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Jonathan Robinson

@jonrobinson2.bsky.social
830 followers 626 following 66 posts

Ex @Catalist_US. Proud Buckeye & Marylander. Dems are good. Affordable MD PAC YIMBY. Dad. Views my own.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Stephen Jacob Smith @stephenjacobsmith.com · 23/08/2026
I cordially invite every legal academic who thinks the solution to America’s housing crisis is a postwar European-style social housing program to help us try to build some postwar European-style transit in America, and witness the process up close www.nytimes.com/2026/08/23/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | How to Fix the Housing Crisis: Look to WWII (Gift Article)
World War II proves the government can intervene directly to fix the housing crisis.
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Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
People are mad at Nate Cohn over this statement but it seems pretty consistent with Bailey Reese (2025) which looks at how candidates talk about themselves in evaluating the impact of moderation on campaign outcomes particularly in competitive races. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
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Lionel Dripps @lioneldripps.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
This is a fascinating, technical analysis of primary polling misses. But it raises an interesting question we'll likely need final voter file data to answer—did fewer young people turn out than expected, or did more older folks turn out than expected? And also: most elections are not NYC Mayor.
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Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Ok I’ve done a Washington primary analysis that I think does a few useful adjustments to allow a nice comparison over time. This looks at aggregate two party WA primary congressional vote and aggregate two party vote nationally in these elections with some slight adjustments.
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 03/08/2026
Good news: some of the US international aid funding has been restored! I graphed it here to put the numbers in context of the scale of the cuts. The article says PEPFAR restoration is still to come. 🤞
Recipient: Gavi
Restored (2026): $600M
Pre-cut US baseline: $300M/yr (FY24 enacted; FY25 + FY26 each appropriated at
$300M, both blocked by Kennedy)
Restored as % of baseline: ~100% of the two withheld years
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: WFP
Restored (2026): $800M
Pre-cut US baseline: $4.45B (CY2024, top donor; all donors totaled $9.76B)
Restored as % of baseline: 18%
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: UNICEF
Restored (2026): $218M
Pre-cut US baseline: $1.118B (CY2024, largest donor)
Restored as % of baseline: 19%
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: Global Fund
Restored (2026): $661M
Pre-cut US baseline: $1.65B/yr (FY24 approp.; peaked $2.0B FY23)
Restored as % of baseline: 40% of one year — and explicitly arrears against
prior-year appropriations
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: ICRC + IFRC
Restored (2026): $203M
Pre-cut US baseline: US gave CHF 544M to ICRC alone in 2021 as its top donor
Restored as % of baseline: ~⅓ or less
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Mike English @mocomikee.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
On a related note I fixed this ad
An add from Marc Elrich saying he’s is “fighting for affordable housing”Me having crossed out the “for” so that it reads “Marc Elrich is fighting affordable housing” because I’m ever so cheeky and clever
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Henry Grabar @henrygrabar.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
well, it took a year and change, but Cambridge's first-in-the-nation project to upzone the entire city for 4-to-6 story residential has finally produced the kind of thing it was supposed to: 55 units, 20 percent affordable, replacing a single $3m home
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Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
I thought I had heard every leftist slur against liberalism, but “liberals killed rock” is definitely a new one jacobin.com/2026/05/popt...
jacobin.com
Liberal Poptimists Tried to Kill Rock. They Failed.
Faced with declining market share and poptimist contempt, rock music once seemed bound for the dustbin of history. But an industry crisis and a moribund liberal political establishment are driving a r...
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 11/04/2026
Eagle eyed commenter @gojomo.bsky.social pointed out Claude made an oopsie on the math here. I've redone the rings with corrected math, and it's way better now imo.
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 10/04/2026
Another way of looking at our giving over the past 8 years.
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Interested Milwaukee Citizen @citizenmke.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
As @jonrobinson2.bsky.social says, Democrats are good
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David Broockman @dbroockman.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
It also means moderation on specific issues—particularly issues where a party is out of step with the public—may yield bigger electoral gains. These gains will still be small, though—meaning moderation across *many* issues is likely needed for parties to make a meaningful dent.
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Aaron Strauss @aaronstrauss.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections! (from @gelliottmorris.com) And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
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Aaron Strauss @aaronstrauss.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk? Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
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Brad Jones @bradjones.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
New dream job just dropped: pewtrusts.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/CenterExtern... Pew Research Center is an extraordinary organization, and this is such a fantastic opportunity. When I was there, I felt like we were building mountains of data and only able to showcase a tiny slice of what was there.
pewtrusts.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com
Data Archivist
Position Summary Pew Research Center is seeking a Data Archivist to support our commitment to open science and data transparency. This newly created role will play a key part in enhancing the accessib...
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Tracy Hadden Loh @lohplaces.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
I look like I’m praying for land value tax
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Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
The top 16 links @avizenilman.bsky.social sent his wife Noreen Malone this year that she did not open, from @maxread.info maxread.substack.com/p/the-read-m...
https://press.stripe.com/origins-of-efficiency

“Interesting book,” he wrote.

https://gist.github.com/Richard-Weiss/efe157692991535403bd7e7fb20b6695
“Applied philosophy”

https://www.thexebec.com/products/xebec-tri-screen-3

[No commentary appended]

https://substack.com/inbox/post/179297961

“Could you send the recipe for the chicken”

https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/private-sector-cant-replace-official-statistics-could-be-great

“Bye bye growth”

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/07/11/mike-lee-utah-mormon-church-profile-00437296

“I want to talk about the ending of this article it’s so good,” he wrote. “But also [redacted preschooler] pooped”

https://www.nytimes.com/1998/07/17/books/books-of-the-times-a-river-ran-through-their-dreams.html

“Did you know Machiavelli and Da Vinci worked together to try to redirect the river Arno away from Pisa and totally failed.”

https://nanransohoff.substack.com/p/is-romanticism-making-a-comeback

“Deranged.”

https://www.plasticlist.org/report

“Have you read this,” he wrote. “All these mega tech guys got super into micro plastics.”

https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/776856/algospeak-by-adam-aleksic/

“Looks interesting”


Jorge Bravo Abad
@bravo_abad
In-memory attention: Accelerating LLMs with analog hardware

Large language models (like GPT) generate text one word at a time. To decide the next word, they compare the new input with many past words stored in a short-term “cache.” On today’s GPUs, that cache has to be

10:01 AM · Sep 10, 2025 · 382K Views
37 Replies · 351 Reposts · 2.17K Likes
“If true, fascinating”



“Really helpful”

https://nymag.com/strategist/article/how-to-break-phone-addiction.html
[no commentary appended]
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Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 17/12/2025
Elie is awesome and the Givewell story is a huge part of why we built Good Ventures to do leveraged philanthropy at scale.
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Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 12/12/2025
I was also bored and pulled up the replication package. The results are quite sensitive in aggregate to needing the controls. Here's the replication of Figure 3, including the case w/o controls:
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Aaron Strauss @aaronstrauss.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
This is really disappointing from msifry.bsky.social, who I expect better from. Not only is the title ad hominem clickbait, but the substance of the post is simply wrong. We have to train ourselves to listen to evidence, even if it doesn't say what we want it to.
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Joe Fish @sadbusdriver.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
I think this is mostly San Francisco finally shrugging off the pandemic, but it is *really* funny that rent prices in San Francisco shot up *immediately* after the city banned RealPage and other algorithmic price setting software. My pre trends are incredible!
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Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
One reaction: those of us who have worked in government think it is much much harder to get people to pay attention to the issues you want them to care about than a lot of folks who haven’t think.
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Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Even the master of attention, Trump is struggling now to turn attention away from Epstein and has failed to get people to pay attention to the initiatives he wants like No Tax on Tips.
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Jonathan Robinson @jonrobinson2.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
@natalifg.bsky.social will go on @wamu.org to talk about our housing crisis here in MoCo but at the same time she BRAGS about only rezoning ~1/3 of the properties in the new University Boulevard plan initial Planning Board proposal? Lower building heights + reduced density? What am I missing?
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Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
David Shor @davidshor.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
As far as I know not much has been written about the behind the scenes stuff on HR 1, but this post from Bruenig (who definitely is not a moderate!!!) on Childcare gets at a lot of the same dynamics. www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2022/04/19/t...
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Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Base strategies are good at turning out your base. Just one small problem.
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d. reed, crisp & juicy enjoyer 🦀🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️🇬🇾 @justupthepike.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
we asked the Moore administration to share their housing proposals well before session—and they delivered. introducing Moore Housing 3: 🏡 lot splits 🏡 smaller minimum lot sizes 🏡 allow townhomes statewide 🏡 permitting reform marylandmatters.org/2025/08/19/d...
marylandmatters.org
Day gives county planners 'pre-decisional' look at 2026 housing priorities - Maryland Matters
State housing officials are taking a lesson from the past legislative session, when their housing proposals failed, and starting sooner, rather than later, to work out affordable housing priorities wi...
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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
"what is ideology?" the greatest thread in the history of forums, locked by a moderator after 12,893 hours of heated debate,,,
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Raphael Nishimura @rnishimura.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
This footnote on the NYT analysis that has been ciculing around tells exactly the pain Connecticut has been causing on those of us using national county-level data 😅😫😭
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Kevin Pelton @kpelton.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Storm/Death Cab partnership when?
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 17/05/2025
My math here is Walmart has about $20B net income on $700B of sales. So they can eat about a 3% average price increase (vs 10%+ tariffs) before becoming a nonprofit organization.
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Salim Furth @salimfurth.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
I've also posted a critical note challenging the @nber.org paper that @michaelwiebe.bsky.social critiques here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
Response to "Supply Constraints do not Explain House Price and Quantity Growth Across U.S. Cities" by Louie, Mondragon, and Wieland
<p>Louie, Mondragon, and Wieland (2025) use total income to measure demand for housing. But total income is mostly determined by population growth, which is co-
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d. reed, crisp & juicy enjoyer 🦀🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️🇬🇾 @justupthepike.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
in 2009, this parking lot two blocks from the Silver Spring Metro was approved to become offices and a hotel. thanks to Marc Elrich, it will be a parking garage. if you're wondering why taxes keep going up, it's bc he's literally giving the store away bethesdamagazine.com/2025/04/11/c...
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Jonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 02/04/2025
"Here are my regression coefficients. I'm sorry the numbers on the slide are so small. I'll read them to you."
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Noah Kazis @noahkazis.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Because Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson's "Abundance" is less a book than a discourse-generating machine (by design), I'm going to review the *reviews* (I also have a review of the actual book coming, I'm not a total weirdo). Roughly from worst to best:
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d. reed, crisp & juicy enjoyer 🦀🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️🇬🇾 @justupthepike.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
the single-stair and the ADU bill are both carried by @vaughnstewart.bsky.social, Maryland's housing MVP who for years has been pushing for more homes and a fairer housing market. I'm so grateful to see his hard work bear fruit, and to watch Maryland's nascent pro-housing movement grow.
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 07/03/2025
Tired: I don't work at Meta Wired: I don't work in Congress (no but really, PSA - Rep. Moskowitz is a different person than me, no relation)
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 06/03/2025
In business and in many other areas of life, a lot of confusion comes down to correctly distinguishing the difference between selection and treatment effects. I couldn't find a good explainer today, so I made one.
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 27/02/2025
the most surprising and disappointing aspect of becoming a global health philanthropist is the existence of an opposition team
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 01/03/2025
NYT Pitch: Just as Ukraine irresponsibly goaded Russia into invading it by being worried about invasion, Democrats are to blame for Trump becoming Putin’s ally, due to the inexcusable act of accusing him of already being one.
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Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 11/02/2025
Just like writing is thinking and teaching is learning, I find that I often build little spreadsheet models of the world in service of improving my own understanding.
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JLRay @jlray.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
In case anyone needs it -- the tariffs are underwater (as of 2/2/25). The illegal federal firings are underwater. Just *3 percent* of voters wish Elon Musk was "more influential" in the government. I did not conduct this poll but if anyone wants help convincing their MC to act on it, let me know.
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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Main page is ups for me BUT they took down the 2020 Census data www.census.gov/2020results
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Aaron Strauss @aaronstrauss.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Pissed off today? Just sad? Frustrated? If you're a mid-career Dem staffer, join our masterclass seminars. Featuring: @mattyglesias.bsky.social @tarensk.bsky.social @adamjentleson.bsky.social Let's learn from 20 years of RCTs & brainstorm about what we don't know--register today! www.war-room.us
war-room.us
WAR Room
Learn and discuss how Democrats can win more elections with WAR Room's masterclass night school in Spring 2025
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Matt Graham @mattgraham.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
People don't really think any of this! Overestimates of small proportions are a quirk of general innumeracy, not genuine misperceptions. See research by @brianguay.bsky.social et al: —PNAS forthcoming: www.brianguay.com/files/guay_2... —Psychonomic Bulletin 2017: link.springer.com/article/10.3...
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Mike English @mocomikee.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
@justupthepike.bsky.social, as usual, powerfully outlines what is at stake here. We already paused A pause is a “no” that you feel too guilty to say out loud. The county hurts itself, and its current and future residents by preserving the status quo.
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Stephen Wolf @stephenwolf.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
Fair Vote and Lake Research asked 3rd-party voters which major-party candidate they'd have voted for (or abstained). They favored Trump 55-27, & his support was highest with Jill Stein's voters! Stein: 67-21 Trump RFK: 60-27 Trump Oliver: 36-31 Trump (27% abstain) (Via @jonrobinson2.bsky.social)
fairvote.app.box.com
Third party poll toplines 2024 - Lake and FairVote.pdf | Powered by Box
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Jonathan Robinson @jonrobinson2.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
I have never been so thoroughly owned
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