Sign in

Brendan Duke

@brendanvduke.bsky.social
11K followers 493 following 926 posts

Fiscal policy wonk at Center on Budget & Policy Priorities| Former Biden-Harris White House National Economic Council | Former Senate Aide | CAP/JEC Alum | Brock Purdy Fan Club Founder linktr.ee/pthe.queer.oasis

PostsRepliesMedia
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Canada's revenue as a share of the economy is about 9 percentage points higher than the U.S. ~5 percentage points of the discrepancy is higher individual and corporate income taxes and ~3 percentage points is higher taxes on goods and services (i.e. VATs and sales taxes).
1144
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
In fact, the House-passed version of One Big Beautiful Bill's makes pretty clear that the Rural Opportunity Zones are intended to fuel data center investment in rural areas. www.congress.gov/119/bills/hr...
4103
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Here is the House Ways and Means Committee--Congress's tax writing committee--touting One Big Beautiful Bill's special expansion of Opportunity Zones for rural areas as a way to expand investment in "hyperscale data centers". waysandmeans.house.gov/2025/08/27/b...
1169
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Here is the House Ways and Means Committee--Congress's tax writing committee--touting One Big Beautiful Bill's special expansion of Opportunity Zones for rural areas as a way to expand investment in "hyperscale data centers". waysandmeans.house.gov/2025/08/27/b...
1169
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
It’s good news that the Senate included a delay of the proposed OMB grants rule in its bipartisan temporary funding bill — bipartisan recognition of the rule’s harm to communities, small businesses, state and local governments, tribes and taxpayers. 🧵 www.cbpp.org/research/fed...
cbpp.org
The Trump Administration Seeks to End Nonpartisan Grantmaking
A proposed rule would radically transform how grant award decisions are made, allowing them to be based on purely political calculations — including who receives funds, what is required of grantees, a...
1169
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Great piece from Governing for Impact's Reed Shaw about the Trump Admin's attempt to weaponize terrorism-prevention grants to illegally coerce states on their elections agenda. www.justsecurity.org/148665/trump...
justsecurity.org
No, Trump Can’t Withhold Anti-Terrorism Funds to Pressure States to Change Their Election Rules
The attempt to condition states' counterterrorism funding on changes to election rules is unlawful and likely to be challenged in court.
263
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
People across the U.S. consistently say they want Washington to focus on affordability, especially the cost of food. Mitigating last year’s cuts to SNAP and staunching the number of families and children losing SNAP would be a good place to start.
1108
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
The House bud res could direct the Ag Cmte to help both farmers & families. At a minimum, they need to slow down the hasty implementation of the massive shift in SNAP costs to states, which is resulting in kids losing SNAP. x.com/Katie_Bergh/...
x.com
Katie Bergh (@Katie_Bergh) on X
NEW: A year after H.R. 1 enacted the deepest SNAP cuts in history, the number of children receiving SNAP nationwide has likely dropped by more than 1.5 million, based on our analysis of available data...
121
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
But even if no additional cuts are included, “no new cuts” isn’t the right yardstick when more than 1.5M children, and 4M+ ppl overall, have already lost SNAP because of the cuts enacted last year.
154
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
These members want to run the same play as last year’s harmful reconciliation law, which enacted deep cuts that are already taking away health care & SNAP from millions of people (in that case to offset some of their mammoth tax cuts).
121
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
It’s helpful that House leadership and the Trump WH apparently don’t want FURTHER cuts to SNAP to pay for the $12B in aid to farmers. But some House Rs are already demanding cuts or offsets to the farmer relief in exchange for their vote. x.com/meredithllee...
x.com
Meredith Lee Hill (@meredithllee) on X
There are no spending offsets so far in House GOP leaders' plans for a $95 billion Iran war and ag package. Rep. Warren Davidson (R-Ohio) warned GOP leaders yesterday: “I’m positive there will be pa...
111
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
House Rs believe that farmers struggling w/ high costs due to tariffs & oil prices is an emergency that needs to be addressed, but are ignoring another crisis: kids going hungry as their families have SNAP benefits taken away. x.com/JakeSherman/...
x.com
Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) on X
RECONCILIATION instructions are as follows: House Admin: $10B -- this is for SAVE America Act or whatever they can make work in SAVE HASC $60B and Intel $13B - that's another $73B for Iran war and o...
122
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
At least 1.5M fewer kids are receiving SNAP after unprecedented cuts enacted last year. Now, House Rs are starting a budget process that risks more cuts & ignores the urgent need to help low-income families who are losing SNAP & can't afford groceries. www.cbpp.org/research/foo...
cbpp.org
SNAP Tracker: People Are Losing Food Assistance as the Republican Megabill Is Implemented
SNAP participation nationwide fell by more than 4 million people (nearly 10 percent) between the law’s July 2025 enactment and March 2026, based on the latest month of data.
512064
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Lots of rumors swirling on a Reconciliation 3.0, but it appears House Republicans are once again considering fast-track legislation that could take away health care, nutrition assistance, or other help from low-income people. 🧵
12014
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
The main purpose of this budget resolution is to set up a partisan process to fund ICE/CBP w/o reforms. But it also includes non-binding fiscal targets illustrating that Senate GOP has no plan to improve fiscal trajectory other than big unspecified cuts to public services.🧵
21713
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Me discussing how enormous, broad-based middle-class tax cuts threaten the progressive economic agenda with @zeeshanaleem.bsky.social. Reversing Trump’s worst policies is important and expensive—a question is whether those tax cuts will make it harder to offset reversing Trump’s policies.
1193
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Point #1: The deductions for overtime and tips make up a huge percentage of the Trump Administration's talking points on behalf of One Big Beautiful Bill. But they are much smaller than the tax cuts for those making over $500k or the cuts to Medicaid/SNAP.
23925
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
New paper from me on the overhyped and misguided deductions for tips and overtime in the flawed GOP megabill. www.cbpp.org/research/fed...
0123
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Peggy Bailey @peggybaileydc.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
It is amazing! The Admin can propose anything it wants & this hateful, harmful budget is what they throw down. Evicting formally homeless people from their homes, cutting food asst for kids & older adults, reducing utility payment asst, narrowing energy options...etc...etc..
083
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Last week, I outlined questions I would be looking to have answered when the President’s budget is released. Now that we have the full proposal, we can now answer them. Hint: It fails to offer affordability solutions to make life more affordable while raising the risk of hasty, harmful cuts. 🧵
21810
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Trump's budget's revenue projections not only appear to ignore the Supreme Court ruling invalidating many of the tariffs--they exceed CBO's tariff projections made *before the SCOTUS decision.* Not just implausible but also a sign they may not back off on tariffs anytime soon.
1145
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Stay tuned – more analysis coming.
121
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Bottom line: The nation faces enormous opportunities and challenges. Too many people struggle to afford the basics, inequality is glaringly large, AI holds promise and the possibility of dislocation, we need a clean energy transition to address demand and costs,…
232
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
…and massive tax cuts over the last two decades have robbed us of the resources needed to tackle these problems with creativity and boldness. This budget provides no roadmap for seizing opportunities and addressing challenges. It is fundamentally unserious.
132
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
What else is missing? The budget lays out no serious plan to address our fiscal challenges, which last year's megabill (HR 1) made worse to the tune of $3.4 trillion over a decade.
242
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
What are the priorities identified? Massive defense funding increase; deployment of huge HR 1 immigration dragnet $$; cuts in a range of areas that matter to families & a view that we should cede control of the energy transition innovation runway to our int’l competitors.
133
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
First, the budget lacks any commitment let alone policy ideas to address families’ struggles to afford housing, health care, food, utilities, and child care. Stunning given where the public is focused.
153
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Sharon Parrott @sharonparrott.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
A few initial thoughts on the President’s FY27 budget. Big picture: Today’s budget isn’t a serious plan to address real issues facing families and the nation and isn’t worthy of the American people.
22414
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Fixed it.
162
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Center on Budget and Policy Priorities @centeronbudget.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
The Trump Administration’s upcoming budget proposal should be designed to help people and communities — not harm them by making further cuts to health care, food assistance, and other basic needs programs. More from @brendanvduke.bsky.social: www.cbpp.org/research/fed...
093
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Can’t make it up. www.axios.com/2026/03/30/g...
2315
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
We should do what we did in SNAP and Medicaid on the other 78 means-tested welfare programs at a cost of $1.5T. If we did that, we could offset anything that we want to do...especially including supporting our troops in a time of conflict. -House Budget Chair Jodie Arrington on Squawk Box
262
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
The Chair of the House Budget Committee is literally saying they're going to pay for a war by cutting programs for people with low incomes.
01815
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
The Chair of the House Budget Committee "told us yesterday he wants defense money aded to a reconciliation bill AND PAID FOR WITH SPENDING CUTS ACROSS STATE AND SOCIAL PROGRAMS." The "cost-sharing reductions" are a way to make health care more expensive (explained in next post)
2139
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
House Republicans are seriously considering cutting Americans' health care to pay for a war in the Middle East that is causing Americans to pay more for gas.
4166
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
A Trump budget is expected in the next few weeks. We don’t know yet what and how much information will provide—if it’ll be “skinny” like last year or have more info—but here are five questions we’ll be seeking to answer when they post it:
055
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Corey Husak @chusak.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Econ policymakers should study this poll: what do voters actually want them to focus on? Overwhelmingly, young voters say: housing Older voters say: health care all ages say: food and other necessities retirement/transp/education are in there but nothing else really matters
2103
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
This point from a NYT-Sienna poll--widely considered the gold standard of published public opinion--on how voters prioritize taxes compared to health, food etc. has implications for elected officials considering spending trillions on middle-class tax cuts vs. other priorities like Medicaid and SNAP.
54115
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Congressman Don Beyer @beyer.house.gov · 19/03/2026
Donald Trump and Republicans enacted the largest cuts in history to Medicaid and SNAP because the nation simply “couldn’t afford” them. Now, the Trump Administration is seeking $200 billion to pursue their illegal, poorly planned war of choice against Iran. Absolutely not.
813048
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
This costs more than the ten-year savings from cutting SNAP benefits in Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill that will make it harder for low-income people to buy groceries
7392142
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
291
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Danny Blinderman @dannyblinderman.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
The dark genius of no tax on tips is that it spurs resentment--if those people don't have to pay taxes, why should I?
192
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
The Van Hollen standard deduction proposal costs $1.6 trillion or 20x as much as No Tax on Tips. The Booker standard deduction increase costs $5.5 trillion or about 70x as much as No Tax on Tips.
241
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
My understanding is that much of the motivation for sweeping middle-class tax cuts comes from the perceived political success of No Tax on Tips. No Tax on Tips is flawed policy, but the one good thing I'll say about it is that it's cheap ($80B if made permanent).
3204
Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
New data from @budgetlab.bsky.social peg this tax cut as costing $1 trillion, almost exclusively benefiting the top 10% and overwhelmingly benefiting the top 1%. All without Congress. budgetlab.yale.edu/research/ind...
12513
Reposted by Brendan Duke
Bobby Kogan @bbkogan.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Great thread from Chuck
2169
Reposted by Brendan Duke
chuckcbpp.bsky.social @chuckcbpp.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
The proposal’s goal is a good one: how do policymakers make it easier for families to pay the rent, put food on the table, afford child care, & see a doctor? A vigorous debate that goes beyond tax cuts will help us find workable solutions.
073