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The National Bureau of Economic Research is dedicated to conducting and disseminating nonpartisan economic research. nber.org

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NBER @nber.org · 18h
Open call for papers: "Inflation: The 34th NBER-TCER-CEPR TRIO Conference" to be held March 6-7, 2027 in Tokyo, Japan. Submission deadline 11:59pm (ET) November 20, 2026. Full details: www.nber.org/calls-papers...
nber.org
Inflation: The 34th NBER-TCER-CEPR TRIO Conference
Between January 2015 and January 2020, the price level rose 10 percent in the US, 6 percent in the euro area, and 3 percent in Japan. In the last five years (from August 2021 to August 2026), the…
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NBER @nber.org · 18h
On the 250th anniversary of Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations: What ignited humanity’s ascent from millennia of stagnation, and what are the roots of global inequality? From @GalorOded www.nber.org/papers/w35799
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NBER @nber.org · 19h
Guideline and physician performance in atrial fibrillation depend on how bleeding harms vary across patients; robust treatment rules can perform well across plausible harm assumptions, from @jabaluck, @LeilaEcon, and David C. Chan Jr www.nber.org/papers/w35798
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NBER @nber.org · 20h
Studying how property rights uncertainty affects prices and speculative activities in the housing markets using a natural comparison of full and limited property houses in Shenzhen, from @HanmingF, Jing Wu, and Vincent Yao www.nber.org/papers/w35797
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NBER @nber.org · 21h
For recent college graduates, unemployment rates did not spike in summer 2026 relative to previous years’ summer months possibly due to AI effects, from @RobertFairlie6 and Jane Wu www.nber.org/papers/w35796
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NBER @nber.org · 22h
Green innovation rises in downturns even as non-green innovation falls. A model matched to this evidence implies larger, greener subsidy effects in recessions, from @drkaenzig, @maxkonradt, Lixing Wang, and @DonghaiZhang3 www.nber.org/papers/w35795
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NBER @nber.org · 23h
Open call for papers: Race and Stratification in the Economy. The conference will be held on April 2, 2027, in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Submissions deadline 11:59pm (EST) December 10, 2026. More info www.nber.org/race-and-str...
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NBER @nber.org · 23h
Anticipated regulation can spur permitting without accelerating investment, as demonstrated by a Colorado case-study. This identifies a novel channel for regulatory leakage, from Anna French and Nicholas Vreugdenhil www.nber.org/papers/w35794
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NBER @nber.org · 29/09/2026
Introducing the expanded Global Repository of Income Dynamics, a database of harmonized administrative-data statistics on income inequality, volatility, and mobility across 26 countries. Led by Fatih Guvenen, Luigi Pistaferri, Giovanni L. Violante, with country teams worldwide. www.grid-database.org
grid-database.org
GRID - Global Repository of Income Dynamics
GRID is an open-access database built from administrative records to study income inequality and income dynamics across the globe.
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NBER @nber.org · 28/09/2026
AI's economic impact? By the end of 2025, markets priced in 32.6 percent higher software engineering productivity, implying 3.6–6.5 percent higher GDP. Both more than doubled by mid-2026, from Alex Blumenfeld, @JADHazell, @ChenLian92, and Andreas Schaab www.nber.org/papers/w35793
nber.org
The Macroeconomic Effect of AI: Sizing the Software Engineering Channel
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers,…
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NBER @nber.org · 28/09/2026
Korea’s 1993 higher education reform markedly increased college completion, which later led to a substantial mortality reduction among the students’ aging parents, from Ah-Reum Lee, William H. Dow, and Jacqueline M. Torres Torres www.nber.org/papers/w35792
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NBER @nber.org · 28/09/2026
Remote work post-Covid boosts employment and lowers commute time for disabled and older workers in the UK but comes with lower wages, from Ian Burn, Melissa D. Gentry, and Joanna Lahey www.nber.org/papers/w35791
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NBER @nber.org · 28/09/2026
Euro cash changeovers are used to test price-setting theories. The moving-boundary problem is solved analytically. Historical data from six countries support state-dependent pricing, from Fernando E. Alvarez, @dargente05, @albertocavallo, and Francesco Lippi www.nber.org/papers/w35790
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NBER @nber.org · 28/09/2026
The text of children's books convey a broad emotional range but images mostly show happiness/calm—a mismatch that consumer demand for "positive" imagery may reinforce, from @aadukia, Matthew Bonci, Paula Dastres Gallardo, @emileigharrison, Jake Nicoll, and @TeodoraSzasz www.nber.org/papers/w35789
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NBER @nber.org · 28/09/2026
An LLM workflow that reproduces, improves, and extends economics research has been applied to over 4,000 published replication packages, from Matthew Schwartz, Isaiah Andrews, and Jesse M. Shapiro www.nber.org/papers/w35782
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NBER @nber.org · 27/09/2026
Proposing to use quasi-exogenous variation in market structure to estimate equilibrium pricing policy functions, from Gautam Gowrisankaran, Christopher D. Bruegge, and Alex Gross www.nber.org/papers/w35787
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NBER @nber.org · 27/09/2026
Using plausibly exogenous veterans’ payments, new evidence shows stimulus checks generate large, hump-shaped increases in consumption, with multipliers above 2 after a year, from Joao Guerreiro, Jonathon Hazell, Diego R. Känzig, and Ed Manuel www.nber.org/papers/w35786
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NBER @nber.org · 27/09/2026
Studying how the US-China trade war has reshaped global trade patterns, creating significant spillovers to third countries, from Pol Antràs, Adrian Kulesza, and Andrea F. Presbitero www.nber.org/papers/w35785
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NBER @nber.org · 27/09/2026
When a spouse becomes incapacitated, older adults use substantially more formal care and become less sensitive to its price, revealing the value of spousal care, from Itzik Fadlon, Tal Gross, Alex Hoagland, and Timothy Layton www.nber.org/papers/w35784
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NBER @nber.org · 26/09/2026
In a new theory of bundling frictions, increasing productivity of cognitive skills explains changing patterns in within occupation wage inequality in the US, from Chris Edmond and Simon Mongey www.nber.org/papers/w35783
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NBER @nber.org · 26/09/2026
Studying how aggregate financial conditions shape firm insurance and, through it, labor income risk, from Maarten Meeuwis, Dimitris Papanikolaou, and Lawrence D.W. Schmidt www.nber.org/papers/w35781
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NBER @nber.org · 26/09/2026
New evidence shows that incorporation capital requirements substantially reduce entrepreneurial entry without screening on entrepreneurial quality, from Annika Bacher, Andreas Fagereng, Marius A. K. Ring, and Ella Getz Wold www.nber.org/papers/w35780
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NBER @nber.org · 26/09/2026
Considering official and alternative data sources for measuring and projecting the role of US manufacturing in the global semiconductor manufacturing industry, from David M. Byrne, Robert J. Kurtzman, and Heidi L. Williams www.nber.org/papers/w35779
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NBER @nber.org · 25/09/2026
When regulation is fragmented across countries, foreign political frictions determine whether corporate stewardship or policy advocacy better addresses global externalities, from Robin Döttling, Doron Levit, Nadya Malenko, and Magdalena Rola-Janicka www.nber.org/papers/w35778
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NBER @nber.org · 25/09/2026
Discussing how immigration affects identity, and the implications for politics, from Vasiliki Fouka and Marco Tabellini www.nber.org/papers/w35777
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NBER @nber.org · 25/09/2026
They find that high school courses exposing students to careers in education did not increase entry into the profession, likely because course takers do not enroll in college, from Danielle Sanderson Edwards and @matthewakraft.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35776
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NBER @nber.org · 25/09/2026
Firms affected by interest deductibility limitations experience significant declines in patenting and a narrowing of the technological scope of their patent portfolios, from Xinru Chen, Mara Faccio, Stefano Manfredonia, and Jin Xu www.nber.org/papers/w35775
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NBER @nber.org · 25/09/2026
Migrants from Austria to Germany and those from Germany to Austria both earn higher wages after moving. Gains are largest for those who stay the longest in the destination, from Weber, Card, Dauth, Frimmel, Schmieder, and Winter-Ebmer www.nber.org/papers/w35774
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NBER @nber.org · 24/09/2026
Fertility delays compound across generations to raise age at first grandmotherhood, from Dora L. Costa and Matthew E. Kahn www.nber.org/papers/w35773
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NBER @nber.org · 24/09/2026
After CA adopted workplace heat protections, injuries on hot days fell 15–27 percent for outdoor workers, from Olesya Fomenko, Melissa McInerney, and Sebastian Negrusa www.nber.org/papers/w35772
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NBER @nber.org · 24/09/2026
US life insurance integrated without decentralizing: from 1888 to 1940 control of premium shifted between regions while the national share kept in-state barely moved, from Pawel Janas www.nber.org/papers/w35771
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NBER @nber.org · 24/09/2026
Studying how advertising claims direct consumers to different customer experiences, and how prices change the available evidence, from @joshgans.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35770
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NBER @nber.org · 24/09/2026
Open call for paper submissions: The Economics of Community Colleges conference April 6-7, 2028 in Cambridge, MA. Full information www.nber.org/economics-co...
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NBER @nber.org · 23/09/2026
Geographic breadth did not stabilize US life insurers between 1888 and 1940: the lower volatility and higher survival that came with expansion reflected scale, not diversification, from Pawel Janas www.nber.org/papers/w35769
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NBER @nber.org · 23/09/2026
Stablecoins may extend the dollar’s global reach, but history shows their stability and dollar dominance ultimately depend on credible institutions, not technology, from Michael D. Bordo and Carolyn Wilkins www.nber.org/papers/w35768
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NBER @nber.org · 23/09/2026
Arguing that China’s distinctive lending structure—bilateral rollover risk without default risk—disciplines recipient countries' borrowing on international markets, from Illenin O. Kondo, César Sosa-Padilla, and Zachary J. Swaziek www.nber.org/papers/w35767
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NBER @nber.org · 23/09/2026
Movements in short- and medium-term yields largely reflect changing interest-rate expectations, which are systematically inconsistent across maturities and horizons, from @pooyamolavi.bsky.social, Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, and Andrea Vedolin www.nber.org/papers/w35766
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NBER @nber.org · 23/09/2026
Featured in the latest Digest: Artificial Intelligence and Hedge Fund Investing www.nber.org/digest/20260...
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NBER @nber.org · 22/09/2026
New evidence from the 2023 Panel Study of Income Dynamics shows family-structure disparities in young-adult poverty have narrowed, while gaps in college completion persist, from Melissa Schettini Kearney, Phillip B. Levine, and Alden Q. Barson www.nber.org/papers/w35765
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NBER @nber.org · 22/09/2026
Reporting on two randomized field experiments that incentivized thousands of Oregon homeowners to participate in pre-existing fire department programs to reduce wildfire risk, from Patrick Baylis, Judson Boomhower, Bob Horton, and Chris Mulverhill www.nber.org/papers/w35764
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NBER @nber.org · 22/09/2026
Having an additional child does leads to higher remote-work rates among women with children before COVID but not after, from Benjamin W. Cowan and Mohamed Hafis Zida www.nber.org/papers/w35763
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NBER @nber.org · 22/09/2026
Across 1,200 startup acquisitions by eight tech firms, innovation rises before the deal, acquired patents gain citations after it, but 31 percent of target employees leave within a year, from @florianederer.bsky.social, Regina Seibel, and Timothy Simcoe www.nber.org/papers/w35762
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NBER @nber.org · 21/09/2026
Using a representative sample of Americans to conduct and analyze a survey on gender attitudes, from Joshua T. Dean, Christine L. Exley, Muriel Niederle, and Heather Sarsons www.nber.org/papers/w35761
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NBER @nber.org · 21/09/2026
Firms differ in their orientation toward employee well-being. Workers who move to firms with higher well-being scores take more sickness absences, without changing healthcare usage, from Riccardo Di Francesco, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and Seetha Menon www.nber.org/papers/w35760
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NBER @nber.org · 21/09/2026
Free natural gas during Georgia’s pandemic lockdown increased household consumption by 2–7 percent, a modest response to an extreme price drop, from Anna Alberini, Levan Bezhanishvili, Milan Ščasný, and @roberton.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35759
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NBER @nber.org · 21/09/2026
Historically, left-wing populism is linked to deficit monetization and higher inflation. Today, central banks with that legacy respond more aggressively to inflation expectations, from Luis I. Jácome, Nicolás E. Magud, Samuel Pienknagura, and Martín Uribe www.nber.org/papers/w35758
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NBER @nber.org · 20/09/2026
For each k≥4, there is a spectrum network where every station exit saves a channel and no single interference relaxation does (+solved 56-year-old Dirac's Conjecture), from @alex8chan.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35757
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NBER @nber.org · 20/09/2026
Using data from Singapore to study whether pro-integrity social norms can substitute for formal enforcement in deterring misconduct by public officials, from Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru, Jian Zhang, and Chun Zhao www.nber.org/papers/w35756
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NBER @nber.org · 20/09/2026
Presenting causal evidence that state-level school finance reforms increase macroeconomic output, from C. Kirabo Jackson www.nber.org/papers/w35755
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NBER @nber.org · 20/09/2026
Subsidized access to appreciating public assets in rapidly growing economies can serve as a powerful instrument for intergenerational redistribution, from Kaiji Chen, Hanming Fang, and Yang Tang www.nber.org/papers/w35754
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