ALT: I have the receipts

And some speculation about why.

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a…

In a new database of news headlines stretching back to 2016, I show Trump's midterm convention failed to change news agendas

This is why a midterm convention is a dumb idea, part one. Plus how Democrats should deal with low trust in government in 2027-28. Your weekly political data roundup for September 27, 2026.

Plus, polls about the economy, the United Nations, and how often people lie

Public opinion on immigration has shifted — and pundits need to catch up

Our new poll shows by a 56-26 margin, voters want Congress to be a check on Trump — including a quarter of Republicans

Starting Sep 24 at 2:00 PM EDT

A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.

No president has gone into a midterm election this unpopular. Not even George W. Bush in 2006.

The president's approval fell 11 points among Republicans last month, as he set another record low on prices at 21% approve

The party has a near-historically low favorability rating. This is mostly due to disaffection on the left, where voters still say they'll vote Democratic for the midterms

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a ...

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a ...