iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jon Green

American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 14h

Congratulations to @jongreen.bsky.social, @sdmccabe.com, @shugars.bsky.social, Hanyu Chwe, Luke Horgan, Shuyang Cao, and David Lazer, winners of the Walter Lippmann Best Published Article Award for "Curation Bubbles," published in the APSR. buff.ly/580BrtS

APSR abstract for "Curation Bubbles," by Jon Green, Stefan McCabe, Sarah Shugars, Hanyu Chwe, Luke Horgan, Shuyang Cao, and David Lazer, The authors argue networked curation on social media creates partisan "curation bubbles" at the story level, showing that source-level partisan measures can mischaracterize how partisan individual stories actually are. Full abstract is available in linked article.

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 18h

I'm sure there will be plenty of discourse about this funny little episode but in all seriousness there's a Take out there for a responsible centrist worried about ~civility~ to write on how bad it is for a senator to *double down* on this very specific, very wrong detail in their conspiracy theory

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mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

seeing a lot of discussion about this and like: the reason the poster did a screenshot with no link is that if you actually search for the article you'd learn that this bill 1) has nothing to do with Zohran Mamdani 2) was introduced in committee back in May and didn't go anywhere

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

given the player and their history this makes it sound less like that’s all the information they have and more like they don’t believe him

Porzingis to miss start of Warriors camp with ‘health issue’

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Drew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Quite the figure from @tesler.bsky.social in this @goodauth.bsky.social piece. goodauthority.substack.com/p/republican...

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Seth Masket @smotus.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

New at the Smotus Report: A network analysis of presidential announcement speeches can give us an idea of who is central to the party and who isn’t — and who is more likely to win as a result

smotus.substack.com

Predicting the presidential nominees... from their announcement speeches

A new paper focusing on presidential announcement speech rhetoric

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

we almost had to pull the car over just now because my wife started playing Cleveland and we were already laughing about how bad it is and then it got to the truly cringe bridge and the toddler started saying “ALL DONE! ALL DONE!” and we just lost it

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

seems intuitive to me that a committee ranking top 100 anything based on purely subjective tastes in multiple dimensions could produce a ranking weirder and less defensible than any individual would produce on their own

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

New in APSR: Program cuts from DOGE were larger in more heavily Democratic areas www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

both parties think this (that they are incompetent and divided while the other side is disciplined and united), but also, a starting point for good messaging is not constantly going on tv to talk about how bad your message is

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

so how did the more vigilant patrons of the masks-required lesbian bar feel about…drinking

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

every passage I’ve seen from this article is like finding a soldier who’s been hiding on an island for five years and doesn’t know that Woke War 1 is over and they lost

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

it happened to me (toddler started picking the music in the car)

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Cool analysis from @fiftyplusone.news on the effect of releasing close polls on fundraising, with implication for which internal polls get released blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/why-does-e...

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Donald Trump’s effects on public opinion are wild. Last week he negatively polarized our country against free money. This is at least the *second* time he’s generated a rally around the flag effect in Canada this term

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

I have great news about how candidates with heterodox stances are perceived by voters in the context of one-dimensional party competition

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

non-new-ish parents might not know that they changed the alphabet song for the better at some point in the last 30 years???

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

yeah that's the problem www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/o...

What has made the University of California exceptional is its commitment to increase access without sacrificing excellence. In recent years, California has proudly defied a national trend: On average, about 40 percent of its students are the first in their families to attend a four-year college. More than half qualify for free tuition. The percentages of underrepresented students have crept up, through a variety of initiatives. The California Dream Act gave undocumented students access to financial aid, as well as in-state tuition. Students on University of California campuses may struggle with basic math, but they are graduating at record rates.

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Cooper Lund @cooperlund.online · 16/09/2026

This is a cheap post but only getting 17% of the country to support you sending them five thousand dollars is a sign that you haven’t just lost your fastball, you’ve lost the entire strike zone

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Netflix: For the seventeenth time, we have recreated Squid Games from the hit Netflix show "Don't Create Squid Games"

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Ian Campbell @iwcampbell.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

NDSU’s punter might hold the record for kinds of cultural experience in a six year span

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Kevin Reuning @reuning.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Two weeks ago researchers identified another "OpenAI Swarm" where their Agents started editing an old wiki page. They released the edit data, which can be used to reveal a network made by looking at the edits (they were signed) and the pages they were editing. kevinreuning.com/blog/ai_swar...

kevinreuning.com

OpenAI Swarm – Kevin Reuning

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Sad Beige Toys for Sad Beige Tikes

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Reposted by Jon Green

David Shor @davidshor.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

We cross-referenced the psychometric personality data of ~ 1 million people with their zodiac astrological signs: 1) There is a small but statistically significant effect of zodiac sign on personality controlling for demographic and attitudinal variables

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

intentional grounding should be a pure judgment call and until it isn’t running backs should be throwing the ball away on busted outside runs

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

“You’re right to push back. This is where the risk of creating the Torment Nexus from the classic sci-fi novel ‘Don’t Create the Torment Nexus’ bites hard. It’s not the very same pitfalls humanity has warned itself about for decades—it’s responsible stewardship.”

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

pretty big problem for these LLM companies if the stance on privacy is actually "we won't use your data/logs* without your permission *unless you're doing something our internal teams think is really cool" cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/st...

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

lol. lmao. datacolada.org/139

We expected this to be straightforward, but simple intuition and trial-and-error wasn’t giving us the answer. And so we resorted to an old-school AI method: linear regression. We set the dataset’s final grade as the dependent variable and the five component grades as the predictors. The coefficients tell us the average effect of each component on the final grade. Because final grades should be perfectly predicted by the grade components, we should get an R2 of 100%. Instead we got an R2 of 56.5%.

Huh.

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

PSA your students don’t recognize this meme anymore

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BUM CHILLUPS AKA SPENCER HALL AKA PRESIDENT FOOTBALL @edsbs.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

watching people who follow Tottenham

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turgut keskintürk @tkeskinturk.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

a new job market paper! using surveys from 10.4 million college students over 40 years, I study the role of ideology in career aspirations. I show that ideology structures what careers people want, a pattern much stronger among high-income students. see here: tkeskinturk.github.io/aspirations.pdf

Ideology as a Luxury Good in Occupational Choice
Turgut Keskintürk
Duke University

Abstract
Career aspirations are formed long before people enter the labor market, but whether and how political ideology is part of that formative process remains poorly understood. Using yearly surveys of 10.4 million college freshmen entering U.S. institutions between 1976 and 2015, I show that ideology systematically structures occupational aspirations. This pattern is two to three times larger among students from the highest socioeconomic backgrounds than among those from the lowest. To explain this difference, I propose a luxury-good interpretation: political congruence, the match between one's politics and an occupation's perceived ideological orientation, constitutes an occupational amenity whose importance increases with material security. This, I theorize, makes ideology an expressive resource for life choices, though one that is unequally distributed.

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Rachel Porter @rachelporter.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Very happy to meet with anyone interested in our Quantitative Political Science line at APSA! If you're on the fence about applying, this is primarily a *substantive* line. If your research uses LLMs, networks, large datasets, causal inference, etc., you’re who we’re looking for!

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

there’s always been latent demand for populist/off-diagonal ideologies, the internet may have unlocked more supply

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Claire E. Robertson, PhD @crobertson500.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Is social media truly making us more politically polarized, or does it simply over-represent our most extreme opinions? In our new preprint, @small-schulz.bsky.social and I present *punishing evidence* that social media systematically overrepresents users’ most extreme political opinions. 1/n

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

absolute nonsense that ground nesting yellow jackets not only exist but are somehow more aggressive than regular bees?

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Another new paper on AI-moderated (and AI prompting within) online interviewing academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

dungeon crawler carl is written specifically for millennials who looked over the kid with the gameboy's shoulder while they played. if you want it to be anything deeper than watching someone playing a video game, it'll probably be disappointing. if you don't, it's fun.

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Drew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Working on a dissertation in American political behavior and need money for survey research? Apply for a grant worth up to $15,000 from the Rapoport Family Foundation. They’re planning on awarding up to 15 grants this cycle. Deadline Oct. 21. www.rapoportfamilyfoundation.com/phdgrant

rapoportfamilyfoundation.com

Rapoport Doctoral Dissertation Grants

Supporting projects for PhD students doing political science research, democracy and social justice.

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

it would if there was actual evidence that that is what’s happening. is there?

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

"Thank you for your understanding." No, no I do not understand. This was a shitty thing to do!

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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

I wrote this because most journalists facing this pressure can’t. The paper we count on to check authoritarianism spiked an investigation into the Democratic Party because the party’s lawyers threatened to sue. Holding authoritarians accountable starts with holding your own side accountable.

data4democracy.substack.com

With Fear and Favor

Institutions don’t have courage. They have incentives.

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Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

Fun with LLMs. Using the same method as @weisenthal.bsky.social did for FedLock I made a pairwise tournament (ELO basically) asking Deepseek to read state party platforms going back to the 1950s and on two dimensions, social and economic, evaluate which platform was more liberal/conservative.

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Yamil Ricardo Velez @yamilrvelez.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

New paper with Alec Ewig, conditionally accepted at Political Analysis: Retrieval-Augmented Surveys. Most research evaluates the link between elected officials and citizens on highly salient policies. But what if concerns are systematically excluded from the agenda?

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Duke Poli Sci is hosting the Southern Workshop in Empirical Political Science (SoWEPS) in late October. Call for papers is here: www.soweps.org/call-for-pap.... Organizers are prioritizing submissions from advanced graduate students and junior faculty who could use targeted feedback!

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