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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán

@aleferna.bsky.social
1.3K followers 279 following 155 posts

Postdoctoral Researcher in Political Science at Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (@dec-gr.bsky.social) | Political behaviour, public opinion and philosophy of social sciences

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Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Marta Miori @martamiori.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
New opinion piece with @profjanegreen.bsky.social in @financialtimes.com ⬇️📊 We argue that five parties in the polls doesn't mean five-way races. What's really going on is a scramble within each bloc over who can win, fought out seat by seat.
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Alina Vranceanu @alinavranceanu.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
📢 Call for expressions of interest for a 4-years PhD position within my research project ‘Minority rights in an age of immigration: democracy, deservingness and elite influences’. ⏳ Deadline: 9 October. Questions welcome!
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Back in Barcelona after a few intense weeks on the road presenting new research - ECPR in Krakow, @tact-forsed.bsky.social’s project meeting in Dundee and #EPOP2026 in Liverpool to round it up. Met new people, saw friends, got great feedback and drank perhaps too much coffee (both good and bad)
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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 22/09/2026
Far right parties strategically increase the (descriptive) representation of women assuming it helps them win votes in general and, in particular, from women. Does it work? In this short descriptive piece, I show the answer in the case of Reform UK is a clear ‘no’ doi.org/10.1332/2515...
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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I had fun writing the Last Word in the latest (penultimate, I believe) issue of Political Insight. Read for free here: journals.sagepub.com/share/PUST6R... tl;dr: Burnham must continue to take easy short-term wins and keep banging the drum about the long-term vision those short-term wins serve.
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Marc Guinjoan @mguinjoan.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
📣 Big news! 🗓️ Today, @tonirodon.bsky.social and I we are releasing the first version of the ATTCLIMATE panel dataset! ➡️ 4 waves of panel survey data (2023–2025) on citizens' attitudes toward climate change and support for mitigation policies. 🔗 attclimate.net
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
🚨 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social with @klaramueller.bsky.social! “How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty” We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately* www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
We will see you in an hour #ecprgc26! 🚨 ⏰️ Come see @alessandronai.bsky.social, @caterinafr.bsky.social & @robert-a-huber.bsky.social today 📆 to chat about all things #ECRs! 👨‍🎓 buff.ly/7lzB8BY
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EJPR presents: How to develop an open research agenda (while being mindful of the traps along the way)
European Consortium for Political Research
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Another one under the belt #ecprgc2026
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
The academic process is 10% having ideas and 90% discovering why they won't work
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Chris Prosser @caprosser.com · 05/08/2026
New working paper from Stuart Perrett, @drjennings.bsky.social , @jonmellon.bsky.social , @cbwlezien.bsky.social and me: Do polls underestimate support for right-wing parties? Assessing variation in polling error by party family osf.io/preprints/so...
osf.io
OSF
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Alberto López Ortega @bertous.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
1/ Happy to share our paper 'Still Instrumentally Inclusive' w/ @turnbulldugarte.com in @apsrjournal.bsky.social. Understanding homonationalism remains important. Recent events (Berlin) have shown how quickly LGBT+ rights can become instrumentalized in debates about immigration and Islam.
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Marc Guinjoan @mguinjoan.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
🚨 Publication alert! Why is it so hard to win public support for concrete climate policies, even when there's broad consensus that action is needed? New paper with @tonirodon.bsky.social and @joelardiaca.bsky.social in @wepsocial.bsky.social 🧵� @politiquesuab.bsky.social @politiquesupf.bsky.social
tandfonline.com
Public support for climate policies: costs, redistribution, and ideological divides
Securing public support for climate policies remains a major challenge. Citizens’ perceptions of the costs, benefits, and distributive consequences of these policies are key factors shaping their a...
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Chris Wlezien @cbwlezien.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
A new publication of possible interest with @snsoroka.bsky.social on the relationship between negativity bias in media coverage and misinformation: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Negativity and Misinformation
There are large and growing bodies of research highlighting inaccuracies in news coverage. In this paper, we suggest that negativity biases account for a substantial portion of longstanding inaccur...
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Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Should immigrants be allowed to vote? This is a highly politically charged question. In a new research paper and substack piece, me and @tarekjaziri.bsky.social test the biggest objection to letting foreign residents vote locally, and find it doesn't hold up. 🧵 simonhix.substack.com/p/why-not-gi...
simonhix.substack.com
Why Not Give Immigrants the Right to Vote?
The fear that allowing foreign residents to vote in local elections would benefit left-wing parties turns out to be wrong.
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Shout out to all my colleagues for their great presentations, thoughtful ideas and heat acclimation capabilities
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
If you work on public opinion and/or political behaviour you might want to consider submitting your abstract(s) to JCPOP 2026 in Barcelona - All the info 👇
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Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Always chuffed to get a spot in one of the world's great papers, the @financialtimes.com, not least when I'm writing about something I really care about. But while I'm a long-term advocate for electoral reform, I do think we need to be realistic (and principled) about what, when and how.
ft.com
Electoral reform for the UK? Don’t bet on it
Fractured party politics and enthusiasm from Labour’s hopefuls are not a sign of imminent proportional voting
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Daniel Gorelick @danielgorelick.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Paying peer reviewers works. Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social: • 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews • ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript • no reduction in editor-assessed review quality • similar acceptance rates www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
Scatter plot showing that Fast & Fair peer review reached first decision with reviews much faster than conventional peer review: mean 5.5 versus 37.7 working days. Most Fast & Fair manuscripts met the 7-working-day target, while conventional manuscripts were slower and more variable, up to 116 working days.
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Belén Fdez. @abelenfg.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
📚New paper with @jakobschwoerer.bsky.social @saengler.bsky.social in @prxjournal.bsky.social📚 We show that moving toward the far right on immigration doesn't benefit mainstream parties. Not even in elections where immigration is salient. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
When everyone talks about migration: how mainstream parties shift to the right and still lose
The rise of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) has prompted mainstream parties (MPs) to adopt more sceptical positions toward immigration. Spatial theory suggests that MPs benefit electorally b...
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
British politics is resembling the rest of Europe: • Multi-party competition has replaced two-party dominance • Challengers are on the rise, esp. the populist right • Political realignment centres on identity politics (incl Brexit) But FPTP is poorly suited to this fragmentation
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James David Griffiths @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 New Blog 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 The Senedd election is just over a week away, and the polls suggest Labour might lose in Wales for the first time in a over century! So, I've written a quick overview on the blocs structuring Welsh politics, and what people think of Labour: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk
Issues, Accountability, and Labour’s Declining Support in Wales
Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.
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Peter Luca Versteegen @versteegenluca.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
🚨 Western democracies are often described as polarized. @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @mtsakiris.bsky.social + I study how polarization actually feels. Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️ www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Petter Törnberg @pettertornberg.com · 23/04/2026
Social media is no longer social. Most of it is passive viewing of videos and pictures from people we've never met. But we're still studying social media like it's 2010. We've entered the post-social media era — and research needs to catch up. osf.io/preprints/so... preprint w/ Richard Rogers
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
The DEC research group is now welcoming expressions of interest for Marie Curie postdocs. If you are interested in joining a stimulating and healthy environment I'm happy to chat about research avenues, group activities, and what it's actually like to work here! Feel free to repost and DM me :)
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
It’s not the first time I’ve said this on Bluesky: you will always learn something from reading Matthew
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Grateful for the opportunity to present joint work with @galais.bsky.social & @mguinjoan.bsky.social today at the @tact-forsed.bsky.social conference in @charlesuni.cuni.cz - Almost as important, it is my first time in Prague 🫶
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Probably the most talented early-career political scientist out there just became a doctor! If you have a project, budget, or call for applications that suits her profile, you’d be wise to reach out to her. Do it and thank me later 😉
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Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
“Plaid Cymru remain in the strongest position - Reform faces far greater constraints, yet there should be no mistake: winning a third of seats would represent a remarkable result.” - @jaclarner.bsky.social #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru www.itv.com/news/wales/2...
itv.com
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Polling enthusiasts, you're going to like this one! 🤩
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
"Just because you can turn to AI at a moment’s notice doesn’t mean you should. There is something to be said for planning ahead before interacting with the AI, and for blocking out time without it — leaving space for the human in the loop to stop, to reflect [...]" giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
What if AI just makes us work harder?
Employees have reported increased momentum, but also a feeling of having more to do
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
🌀 👣 @alinavranceanu.bsky.social & @bpetrova.bsky.social show that in Western Europe, generous #welfare systems – perhaps counterintuitively – make natives more favourably inclined toward #immigrants. 💸Indeed, cutting benefits risks exacerbating anti-immigrant sentiment 👇🏾
buff.ly
How welfare policy affects immigration attitudes
Social policies shape public opinions on immigration. A study by Alina Vrânceanu and Bilyana Petrova shows that in Western Europe, generous welfare systems – perhaps counterintuitively – make natives…
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Ingvild Zinober @ingvildzinober.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Still controlling for gender without thinking about why? You can cite me💚👩‍🔬💚 I show that the gender gap in progressive climate and environmental views is a persistent empirical regularity that cannot be explained by differences in socioeconomic background, political ideology, or risk aversion.
sciencedirect.com
The Green Gender Gap: Environmental attitudes and pro-environmental vote choice across Europe
Does gender matter for how we engage with green political ideas? Using more than twenty years of data across 36 European countries, this paper identif…
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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
@martamiori.bsky.social and I have been writing, since 2024, about why Labour's 'Reform' challenge and emphasis was based on a misunderstanding of Labour's vote. Here for anyone interested: politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/news-and-eve...
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
Article - Nuffield Politics Research Centre
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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Join us tomorrow for this exciting talk by @klaramueller.bsky.social in the MZES Social Science Data Lab! Details and Zoom link ⬇️
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Eva Anduiza @evaanduiza.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
It has been great to navigate this paper with amazing @gefjonoff.bsky.social . Started expecting angry right-wing men to feel threatened by feminism and found out more than one surprise 👇
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Alberto López Ortega @bertous.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Thrilled to share our new paper with amazing Agus. We show that non-traditional families, especially open and age-gap couples, face substantial prejudice. Even LGB couples encounter bias, highlighting persistent inequalities in societies often seen as tolerant.
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
My favourite author 'departs', and I can't help feeling a bit sad. Can't recommend enough *The sense of an ending*, a book that changed my life when I was in the midst of shattering changes. www.theguardian.com/books/2026/j...
theguardian.com
Departure(s) by Julian Barnes review – this final novel is a slippery affair
Memoir merges with fiction as the author reflects on failed love, ageing and the end of life in this last instalment to his writing career
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Max Schaub @maxschaub.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Why did antisemitism rise in Germany during the Covid pandemic? And why was this increase concentrated among political centrists, rather than on the fringes? doi.org/10.1017/S153... @kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
doi.org
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany
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Karl Pike @karlpike.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
I have a new article just published in Political Studies: What is Centrism? Open access here: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
doi.org
What Is Centrism? - Karl Pike, 2026
Centrism, an ambiguous political term, requires greater analytical scrutiny. After summarising conceptualisations of centrism – and of a centre in politics – th...
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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
I really enjoyed reading this article, now available in @bjpols.bsky.social: In recent years in Spain, when the Left governs, voters seem to undergo an ideological realignment and become more right-wing in their policy preferences. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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South European Society & Politics @sespjournal.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
🧭 in our #NewIssue (30.3) The study by @galais.bsky.social & @ruizhdezmaria.bsky.social reveals that sadness can reduce support for far-right parties in Spain, whereas anger—the most studied emotion—shows only a limited reinforcing effect 🔓 Read the article www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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James Breckwoldt @jamesbreckwoldt.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
🚨New article in @electoralstudies.bsky.social🚨 New method using open-text survey, parliament speech analysis & conjoint experiment to detect policies/issues where all of: 1) bottom-up public demand 2) elites are neglecting it 3) would motivate vote choice if party adopt it tinyurl.com/44ryyybc 🧵
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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Apologies for being self-referential but
Abstract of the paper "How Mainstream Politician Erode Norms": "How does anti-immigrant rhetoric by mainstream politicians affect norms of tolerance? How does this compare to similar statements made by radical-right politicians? Drawing on experimental evidence, we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians. Subsample analyses suggest that this is because statements by mainstream-right politicians erode norm perceptions of right-wing individuals, while those by radical-right politicians induce backlash among left-wing individuals, who hold closer to the norm in place. The latter effect (backlash by the left) disappears when similar statements are made by mainstream right politicians. We argue that this difference occurs because mainstream politicians represent the views of a larger part of the population or have a higher status. Our results highlight the pivotal role of mainstream politicians in enforcing or eroding democratic norms, and that similar political statements can have different effects depending on their sender."
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Blog Piedras de Papel @piedrasdepapel.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Arrancamos el nuevo año con una entrada de @damjantomic.bsky.social, @sergiferrer.bsky.social, Enrique Prada y @ehernandez.bsky.social. Muestran que, contrario a lo que podíamos esperar, los ciudadanos siguen bastante comprometidos con las reglas democráticas. www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
eldiario.es
¿Aceptan igual la democracia quienes ganan y quienes pierden las elecciones?
El aumento de la polarización y de opciones políticas autoritarias podría generar una brecha en el compromiso democrático entre ganadores y perdedores electorales. No obstante, datos de elecciones rec...
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Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Some reflections from me on January 6 in comparative and historical perspective (first time on substack) open.substack.com/pub/ziblatt4...
open.substack.com
January 6 in Historical Perspective
January 6, 2026
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Anja Neundorf @anjaneundorf.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
New article out in @bjpols.bsky.social 🎉 Why do elections remain widely supported even as democratic checks and balances erode around the world?
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Joe Phillips @polpsychjoe.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
Out now and open access with @sethers.bsky.social at Political Research Quarterly! How do election outcomes shape affective polarization among Americans? 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Election Outcomes and Affective Polarization in the United States - Joseph B. Phillips, Seth B. Warner, 2026
Do election outcomes exacerbate affective polarization? While polarization often rises during campaigns and correlates with democratic backsliding, isolating th...
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Joe Phillips @polpsychjoe.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
Which factors affect how Americans react to political violence? Our paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social addressing this question just got a volume and issue number! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
When Push Comes to Shove: How Americans Excuse and Condemn Political Violence - Political Behavior
What factors do Americans find most important when evaluating acts of political violence? Normatively, details regarding the violent act (e.g., the target and violence severity) should determine the p...
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
tandfonline.com
Revealing long-term trajectories of public opinion and polling in Britain: a new resource of historical data from the Gallup Poll in Britain, 1955–1991
From the 1930s to early 2000s, the British affiliate and later subsidiary of the Gallup Organization conducted around three thousand surveys of public opinion in Great Britain. While the records of...
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