iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Sabrina J. Mayer @sabrinajmayer.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Es gibt soviel Forschung und dabei noch mehr Halbwissen -- ein studienbasierter Überblick mit möglichen Stellschrauben gegen die Erfolge radikal-rechter Parteien.

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D. Hicks @danhicks.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

This is an incomplete understanding of academic freedom, and partly confuses academic freedom with freedom of speech. (🧵 adapting some things from this paper, esp. §5: philsci-archive.pitt.edu/28499/. Highly recommend the papers by Dea and Kronfeldner that I cite there!)

philsci-archive.pitt.edu

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vincentholst.bsky.social @vincentholst.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

In 2023, @nature.com published 'Papers and patents are becoming less disruptive over time', receiving world-wide media attention. Our Matters Arising, published after a 32 month delay (more on that soon), shows that the reported decline can largely be attributed to dataset artefacts. 🧵

The average CD_5 index per year for Web of Science. The original Park et al. decline (top curve) becomes essentially flat (bottom curve) when removing papers with CD_5=1. Those papers largely correspond to dataset artefacts.

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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

📄 New working paper out: osf.io/preprints/so... We (@thiloalbers.bsky.social @felixkersting.bsky.social and Fabian Kosse) try to understand why some citizens who are objectively well off still feel left behind, and why this matters for populist attitudes.

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jon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 05/08/2026

Frankly, I don’t think frontier models should be used for research at all. Must be an “archivable” model (open weight or open source) that will be available indefinitely for reanalysis.

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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

This by @jamesrdennison.bsky.social and @andrewpgeddes.bsky.social looks brilliant - and very timely! global.oup.com/academic/pro...

New book - cover - 'What Europeans Think About Immigration and Why It Matters'

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Dan Silverman @dmsilverman.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

Surveys like this always alarm people Fortunately, recent research from cognitive psychology shows that the reason people are so wildly wrong when estimating the size of minority groups is largely NOT because of prejudice — but rather how humans think about unknown proportions of any kind

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Adam Berinsky @adamberinsky.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

Boy this was a long road, but glad it's finally out! @dgrand.bsky.social @robbwiller.bsky.social @arechar.bsky.social (along with Michael N. Stagnaro, James N. Druckman, not tagable)

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Andrea Vik @andreavik.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

New publication! Unelected representation may influence how satisfied people are with democracy, opening up important discussions on the role activists play in shaping the legitimacy of liberal representative democracies. You can find out more below 👇

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Claes de Vreese @claesdevreese.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

🛑 Chatbots are not fit for giving voting advice 🗳️ Latest study from @liberties.eu on the Hungarian election shows lack of transparency and reliability in the advice. Our research shows that 10-15% by now use chatbots for advice, for young voters up to one quarter. www.liberties.eu/en/stories/h...

liberties.eu

Should AI Tell You Who to Vote For?

Open Ai's ChatGPT and Google's Gemini do not provide reliable political guidance on the 2026 Hungarian elections, our latest research finds.

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Charles Logan @charleswlogan.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

My university: "Copilot is Microsoft's AI-powered productivity service that uses large language models (LLMs) to help you create content, analyze information, summarize documents, and complete tasks more efficiently." Microsoft: LOL

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Matt Blackwell @mattblackwell.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

mariozechner.at/posts/2026-0...

Text from linked article “There's a much more important difference between clanker and hu-man. A human is a bottleneck. A human cannot shit out 20,000 lines of code in a few hours. Even if the human creates such booboos at high frequency, there's only so many booboos the human can introduce in a codebase per day. The booboos will compound at a very slow rate.
Usually, if the booboo pain gets too big, the human, who hates pain, will spend some time fixing up the booboos. Or the human gets fired and someone else fixes up the booboos. So the pain goes away.
With an orchestrated army of agents, there is no bottleneck, no human pain. These tiny little harmless booboos suddenly compound at a rate that's unsustainable. You have removed yourself from the loop, so you don't even know that all the innocent booboos have formed a monster of a codebase. You only feel the pain when it's too late.

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Nathaniel Haines @natehaines.bsky.social · 15/03/2026

New blog just dropped! This one is all about estimators—we cover James-Stein, classical test theory, empirical Bayes, penalized regression, and hierarchical models, showing how they all can be used to do a better job than sample stats alone 🤓 haines-lab.com/post/how-to-...

haines-lab.com

How to Estimate a Mean, and What It Means for Science | Computational Psychology

Introduction If I asked you to estimate 30 means, you would probably compute 30 sample means. And you would be provably wrong (well.. maybe not wrong, but at least provably inefficient).

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Jason Koebler @jasonkoebler.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

I met with AI data labelers in Kenya who are organizing their colleagues to fight the brutal working conditions and horrible pay given to the workers at the "bottom of the AI supply chain." They believe the NDAs they've signed are unenforceable so are speaking out: www.404media.co/ai-is-africa...

404media.co

'AI Is African Intelligence': The Workers Who Train AI Are Fighting Back

Kenyan workers are still the underpaid labor behind AI training, moderation, and sex chatbots. The Data Labelers Association is fighting back.

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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Strictly speaking, a postdoc is just a doc who posts

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Olli Bäckström @ollibackstrom.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

I'm not gonna lie: Macron and his generals singing the Marseillaise to a nuclear weapon is a bit chilling.

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Grant McDermott @gmcd.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

I think the main issue is that many people, quite reasonably tbf, don't like the default base data.frame print method... But this is easy to override! gist.github.com/grantmcdermo...

A nicer print.data.frame method showing column types, as well as a subset of rows. Inspired by data.table's print method.

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Kevin Elliott @kjephd.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Arendt suggests Eichmann is a clown *rather than* a monster. But why not both—a clown AND a monster? It seems to me a key part of the horror of fascism is precisely its pervasive clownishness. There's a mind-rending indignity in having to take seriously rulers who are fundamentally unserious.

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Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

The art of politics is not to do what people think. If it was, there literally wouldn’t be any politics. The art of politics is to convert public opinion in the direction of your policies. Not so subordinate your policies to opinion.

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Cyrus Samii @cdsamii.bsky.social · 03/12/2025

A blog post giving a more thorough take on survey experiments and the credibility revolution: cyrussamii.com?p=4168

cyrussamii.com

Survey experiments and the credibility revolution – Cyrus Samii

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 14/11/2025

The billions of research funds channeled into the pockets of Elsevier and other commercial publisher in return for very little actual value is one of academia's big inefficiencies that will eventually be replaced by more attractive Community-run alternatives

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Python Software Foundation @python.org · 27/10/2025

TLDR; The PSF has made the decision to put our community and our shared diversity, equity, and inclusion values ahead of seeking $1.5M in new revenue. Please read and share. pyfound.blogspot.com/2025/10/NSF-... 🧵

python.org

The official home of the Python Programming Language

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Matt Graham @mattgraham.bsky.social · 27/10/2025

After a huge post-election flip in economic perceptions, I thought Democrats and Republicans might be lying to pollsters to send a partisan message — but I was wrong! New in the Journal of Experimental Political Science (open access): doi.org/10.1017/XPS....

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Sven Hegewald @svenhegewald.bsky.social · 21/10/2025

Super happy to see this out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social 🎉🎉

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ceej @ceej.online · 12/10/2025

the disastrous refusal of the self-styled silicon valley technokings to keep anyone in their lives capable of questioning their increasingly incomprehensible politics has lead to a crisis of thinking so severe that a fifty-eight year old man believes something is important because he knows about it

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Ted Underwood @tedunderwood.com · 07/10/2025

Unless the article is fully generated (not likely) this is a symptom of a much older problem, which is that people aren’t reading many of the sources they cite — just gesturing at them.

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Will Lowe @conjugateprior.org · 18/09/2025

Every time this worry comes up (www.ft.com/content/d419...) I post some Landy et al. (2018). People just answer questions about proportions (of anything) in a rather particular way. So I think it's unlikely that what they are being asked about is as important as you might expect it should be.

issues, and the results on immigration are
sobering. UK respondents dramatically overestimate how many immigrants there are and how many of them are Muslim. They overestimate what proportion of immigrants are from north Africa by a factor of 10, and from the Middle East by a factor of two, and underestimate how many are from North America. Respondents underestimate how many are Christian, and also underestimate the education levels and employment status of immigrants relative to the UK-born population. These misperceptions are not unique to the UK - they are common in rich countries.

People seem to answer proportion questions in log odds space, not probabilities. And when you know that, there seems a lot less substantive interpretation worth doing.

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Paul Meiners @pmeiners.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

Any comparable data for Europe out there?

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 25/08/2025

First they came for the immigrants, and I did not speak out (because the message test performed at a low percentile rank compared to other messages in our testing bank for non college men who opt into online surveys through various consumer reward programs)

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Thomas Lumley @tslumley.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

I wrote a thing about substituting LLMs for survey respondents notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/08/15/i...

notstatschat.rbind.io

Interviewing your laptop - Biased and Inefficient

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Andrea Vik @andreavik.bsky.social · 12/08/2025

If the articles from my PhD were my children this article now published in @bjpols.bsky.social is my favorite. Written together with truly amazing supervisors and mentors, Pieter de Wilde, Oliver Treib, and Lene Aarøe, I had the support I needed in bringing this baby into the world. Summary below 👇

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Kristina Bakkær Simonsen @kristinabsimonsen.bsky.social · 06/08/2025

Now in an issue @psrm.bsky.social: I show that the 🇩🇰 Social Democrats could have won policy support for a pro-immigrant platform if their messaging were framed in moral terms. Findings provide a central corrective to the popular notion that the Social Democrats were destined to go anti-immigrant 👇🏻

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Paul Meiners @pmeiners.bsky.social · 25/07/2025

Dangerous things are happening in Germany. We know that a lack of trust is a significant factor in RR voting. Has anyone also looked at whether RR politicians trust the state? These people always seem to radiate intense hatred for democratic institutions. But maybe that's just for show.

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Manuela Moschella @manuelamoschella.bsky.social · 16/07/2025

📘🇪🇺 Much more than a report In our new @jcms-eu.bsky.social piece, Lucia Quaglia and I argue that the Draghi and Letta reports go beyond competitiveness - they mark a shift in the EU’s political identity. But this entails huge challenges! Open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Much More Than a Report: The Search for Europe's New Political Identity and the Politics of Competitiveness

Click on the article title to read more.

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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 16/07/2025

It might be my own bias, but I think many of the individual-level dynamics of the rise of the far right are strikingly similar across Western countries.

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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 16/07/2025

The Portuguese far right party CH has been growing spectacularly, shattering views of the country as immune to this phenomenon. This has prompted a discussion about where their votes come from. Some thoughts on this, prompted by newly released survey data:

Plot with the evolution of vote share for CH:
1.3% to 7.28 % to 18.06% to 22.08%

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Curd Knüpfer @curdknupfer.bsky.social · 14/07/2025

✨NEW PAPER OUT✨ “Far-right challenges to liberal democratic press norms: ‘indexing by proxy’ in a German immigration debate” together with Lance Bennett & @ulrikeklinger.bsky.social in @journal-of-comm.bsky.social. Why do far-right issues keep making the news? 🧵⤵️ academic.oup.com/joc/advance-...

academic.oup.com

Far-right challenges to liberal democratic press norms: “indexing by proxy” in a German immigration debate

Abstract. This study examines the mechanisms by which illiberal politics make the news by disrupting democratic systems. During the late 20th century, a li

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Ian Hussey @ianhussey.mmmdata.io · 05/07/2025

I am often told that public critique of published articles must also solve the issues found. I think this frequently enforced requirement hinders scientific self-correction. Blog post: mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...

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Paolo Crosetto @paolocrosetto.bsky.social · 15/06/2025

A *null* result I'm very proud of! Led by Rustam Romaniuc, 35 coauthors from all over France tested nudge interventions to boost voter turnout. None worked, and we are possibly not surprised -- but a well-powered null result *is* a result! Paper: kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...

The main figure from the voter turnout paper -- no effect of any nudge intervention on voter turnout.

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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 28/05/2025

Trade policy update.

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Frederik Hjorth @fghjorth.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

🚨 New publication 🚨 : Happy to share that my paper, "Losing Touch: The Rhetorical Cost of Governing" is now forthcoming at @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Short 🧵 about the paper here 👇 1/10

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Ted Schwaba @tedmond.bsky.social · 20/05/2025

Extremely excited to share the first effort of the Revived Genomics of Personality Consortium: A highly-powered, comprehensive GWAS of the Big Five personality traits in 1.14 million participants from 46 cohorts. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...

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Manuel Müller @manuelmueller.foederalist.eu · 14/05/2025

Interesting how security is nowadays framed as a "core task" of the EU 🙃 (In reality, of course, Flanders simply has a centre-right(ish) government that wants the EU to focus on centre-right goals. But since EU policy is traditionally framed in functionalist terms, they talk of "tasks" instead.)

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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

I am very excited to share a new working paper coauthored with @amaliaab.bsky.social. Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences. osf.io/preprints/os... 1/8

Paper abstract: Are some political preferences more costly to express? In this study, we investigate the extent to which individuals face social exclusion for showing far-right political beliefs. We run a field experiment in Madrid where confederates initiate an interaction with random passers-by. We randomize whether the confederate wears a neutral (white) t-shirt or a t-shirt of different parties. Results show that passers-by are more likely to avoid interacting with confederates wearing the t-shirt of a far-right party (Vox). This finding holds both when we compare this condition against the neutral t-shirt one or the ones where confederates wear a t-shirt of other parties. Analyses of heterogeneity show that this effect is particularly strong in a left-wing neigbourhood. These findings contribute to theories about peer pressure and social punishment, providing evidence of how those processes can extend to the expression of different political views. They provide new insights into the micro-level mechanisms that underpin broader political trends, particularly the rapid and sometimes unexpected electoral growth of far-right parties.

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