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Jake Grumbach

@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
36K followers 845 following 4.8K posts

policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof (formerly: Princeton CSDP, UW)

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 8h
Shoutout to the 🐐GOAT🐐, respect greatness www.macfound.org/videos/2026-...
macfound.org
Ellora Derenoncourt - 2026 MacArthur Fellow
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 12h
Choose your flip of "Enchanted Lady" by Milt Jackson and The Ray Brown Big Band www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kh0L...
youtube.com
Large Professor - Ijuswannachill
YouTube video by TheChiefAtlas
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Pontifex Chicagiensis comprobatus est?
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Man
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Phil Klinkner @pklinkne.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I really love this chart. I'm guess that the correlation here (.85) is about as big as you would find for any other variable. Also, a less serious scholar than @tesler.bsky.social (namely me) would have made a crude Freudian reference to the slope of the line.
Chart shows a close positive relationship between Trump's 2024 vote and Google searches for testosterone boosters.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
*sips boba 🧋 👀* it’s still Brat Summer for Democratic campaign consultants
facebook
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Troy Jackson ~
$46 million on these TV ads,
Follow
**sips boba tea
09**
Bud Allen
The "Forrest Gump" of politics
Reply
488
380
23
facebook.com
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Whenever you see a pollster or consultant give a take like this, it’s always worth following the money. In this case, Emanuel has paid Anzalone’s firm nearly $300k (maybe more but that’s what I found so far). A consultant class is devouring the Dem Party www.elections.il.gov/CampaignDisc...
John Anzalone &
@JohnAnzo
X.com
Underestimate @RahmEmanuel at your own risk.
He knows how to win. He knows how to fight.
And he knows how to message.
And no one will out work him. Regardless of whether he wins the Democratic nomination in 2028 he will make an impact on the race. You can be sure of that. Don't take your eyes off of him. At the minimum, learn from him.
Rahm Emanuel Makes His 2026 Play
Rahm Emanuel Makes His 2026 Play
From nytimes.com
6:47 AM • 9/26/26 • 274K Views
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I don’t even know what to say newrepublic.com/post/213446/...
newrepublic.com
Trump Moves to Cut Off Student Loans for Tons of Degrees
Under a new rule, if your degree doesn’t make enough money, you won’t be able to get a student loan.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
static.klipy.com
Brock Purdy 49ers
Alt: Brock Purdy Jerry rice
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
All of those person of the year awards over the past few years should’ve gone to student journalists. Courageous and rigorous coverage of university policy and procedures around student protests, university relations with Trump admin, profs in the Epstein files, sexual assault, and more
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Mike Eliason @holz-bau.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
chat is this good?
all construction dropping massively.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Rejecting paid ads, because the goal of the Twitter acquisition was not profit via Twitter, but profit via the rest of Musk’s business portfolio www.vulture.com/article/yout...
vulture.com
Major Social Media Platforms Reportedly Rejected Ads for Musk
YouTube, TikTok, Meta, and (sigh) X don’t want the smoke.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
got his ass
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Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Elites that surrended to Trump in 2025 miscalculated, letting his imagined cultural dominance spook them into inflating the price of getting on his bad side. But now the logic of collective resistance has been confirmed as sound. Should have realized this earlier! newrepublic.com/article/2158...
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Nice piece. Fight nihilism about society by joining society. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/25/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Young Democrats Are Putting the Party Back in Politics. It’s Working.
Fun, free events communicate a larger goal: that everyday people should be able to afford a joyful life.
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Mike Elk @mikeelk.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Lula bans online betting in Brasil
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
EMILYs List endorse Angie Nixon challenge level impossible. Obama endorse and campaign for Angie Nixon challenge level impossible. DSCC fund Angie Nixon’s campaign challenge level impossible. www.ms.now/news/angie-n...
ms.now
‘Gun-shy’ after 2024: Angie Nixon says Democratic leaders are wary of backing Black women candidates
The Florida Senate candidate says a noncommittal Chuck Schumer reflects a broader reluctance, and that the party “could do a lot more.”
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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
New in APSR: Program cuts from DOGE were larger in more heavily Democratic areas www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A lotta people making fun of Jennifer for her answer, but here’s her rebuttal. Who’s laughing now???
Moderator, Kristen Soltis Anderson
Jennifer, you said "same-sex bathrooms." Tell me more about why that comes to you.
Jennifer, 50, Republican, white, stay-at-home parent|
That's what he wants to do in schools. I'm totally against that.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
just gave him a lot more “judge me by my enemies” cred lmao
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Come on man
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Jeff Sharlet @jeffsharlet.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
The provost of Dartmouth, at which I teach, has been using AI to write both academic papers & national op-eds, according to brave reporting by @thedartmouth.bsky.social. Many students are already bitter about AI. This leaves us as faculty no ground to stand on. www.thedartmouth.com/article/2026...
thedartmouth.com
Op-eds, academic articles by Provost Santiago Schnell flagged as ‘AI-written’ by ‘near-zero error’ AI detector Pangram
Schnell said he used artificial intelligence for “making writing processes more efficient,” but that AI was not a “substitute” for his own “intellectual judgment or authorship.”
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Michael Shepherd @mshepruralpolitics.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Find out why here: press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
press.uchicago.edu
Rural Pain, Republican Gain
An eye-opening look at how Republican policies have affected health outcomes in rural communities and why poor, rural white voters are turning to the Republican Party—not despite this harm, but becaus...
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The day after the California AG gave the merger the go-ahead. California got rolled. And trolled. What an embarrassment.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Incredible
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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I’m circling back and touching your base. I’m finding some bandwidth to get synced with you in a 1 on 1. You’re a rockstar. My rockstar.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
In my hatemail I just got this morning, the guy tells me to read up on the story of "Sodom and Gilmore"
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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I'm reminded of one of my favorite passages in Banerjee and Duflo's "Good Economics for Hard Times". "The goal of social policy, in these times of change and anxiety, is to help people absorb the shocks that affect them without allowing those shocks to affect their sense of themselves.."
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
My op-ed is out in USA Today www.usatoday.com/story/opinio...
usatoday.com
DEI initiatives didn't cost companies. Just the opposite. | Opinion
Firms that kept DEI, whether due to executive decisions or shareholder pressure, performed as well in the stock market as those that rolled it back.
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Dr. Stephanie @punkrockscience.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The fact that every major news outlet includes vocal tics and hesitations when it’s a woman saying “like” and not when it’s a man saying “um” is itself wicked telling.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
"Most importantly, the back-to-normal approach to governance rests on an unspoken belief that authoritarianism is a unique, albeit terrible, aberration in a long arc of progress. We would not bet on this premise." 🔥 democracyjournal.org/magazine/82/...
democracyjournal.org
Governance in an Anti-System Age
What if returning to “normal” is not the safest path for our democracy, but the most dangerous one?
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Murshed Zaheed @murshedz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🚨👀 “After Donald Trump returned to office, the investigation (into a reported “sweeping pay to play” “interactions” between Susan Collins and a “top donor”) died, a casualty of his purge of the FBI. Its closure shut a potential window into how Washington works.” Oh? #MEPolitics #MESenate
propublica.org
The FBI Anti-Corruption Squad Was Circling Susan Collins — Until Trump Got in the Way
After the FBI caught a defense contractor’s CEO making illegal campaign contributions, it sought to launch a sweeping political bribery probe involving Collins and others. Then the second Trump admini...
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Embarrassed to say I thought this version of P.Y.T. was a remix. I hadn't realized it was the real demo version! Greg Phillinganes on production but sounds like it could be 80s era Stevie www.youtube.com/watch?v=RQC1...
youtube.com
Michael Jackson - 13. P.Y.T. (Pretty Young Thing) (Demo) [Audio HQ] HD
YouTube video by Sven Nelson
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Jonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 21/09/2026
The government moving or hiding jailed people to avoid review by courts isn't some loophole in our habeas corpus rights. This government behavior has been considered a violation of the people's habeas corpus rights since at least the Habeas Corpus Act of 1679. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Habeas_...
Jailors were forbidden to move prisoners from one prison to another or out of the country to evade the writ. In case of disobedience jailers would be punished with severe fines which had to be paid to the prisoner.[5][6]
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
First of all, Lawler is totally beatable. 39% approval, recent polls ranging from Lawler losing by 6 to winning by 5. Second of all, Lawler no longer breaks with Trump. Third of all, I wonder who this anonymous Democratic legislator could be, sure is a mystery
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
If you opined on the NHJ op-ed (from any direction), I recommend this truth bomb of a paper pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/...
Race and the Mismeasure of School Quality*
By JoSHUA ANGRIST, PETER HULL, PARAG A. PATHAK, AND CHRISTOPHER R. WALTERS*
In large urban districts, schools enrolling more White students tend to have higher performance ratings. We use an instrumental variables strategy leveraging centralized school assignment to explore this rela-tionship. Estimates from Denver and New York City suggest that the correlation between school performance ratings and White enrollment shares reflects selection bias rather than causal school value added.
In fact, value added in these two cities is essentially unrelated to White enrollment shares. A simple regression adjustment is shown to yield school ratings uncorrelated with race while predicting value added as well as or better than the corresponding unadjusted measures.
(JEL H75, 121, 124, 128, J15)
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Here's David Ellison's statement on his successful Paramount-WBD. Thanks Newsom "for his support throughout this process." State AGs were on track to kill the the merger with litigation and delay. Is Newsom giving up on the presidency and instead pursuing a post-gov career as Friend of Oligarchs?
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
She called it.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
California delivered a massive win for Trump’s oligarch coalition on the Paramount-WBD merger
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
A rare instance of coordinated resistance from elite civil society www.politico.com/news/2026/09...
politico.com
Major TV networks decline White House pool duties
The move comes after the Trump administration restricted access to the White House for CNN, MS NOW and POLITICO.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
This is deep wisdom
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Simon Weschle @simonweschle.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
"a different doctorate"
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Jared Golden (D) endorses Mike Lawler (R) www.lohud.com/story/opinio...
lohud.com
I'm a Democrat in Congress. NY should re-elect Mike Lawler | Opinion
Rep. Jared Golden, a Maine Democrat, offers an endorsement of Rep. Mike Lawler, the Republican who represents New York's 17th Congressional District.
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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 21/09/2026
ICE shot a DoorDash delivery guy.
statesman.com
Attorney: Austin man shot by ICE agent was making DoorDash delivery
A Venezuelan man shot by an ICE agent in Austin was making a DoorDash delivery, his attorney said. Wilber Rafael Garces Perez, 28, was later released from the hospital into ICE custody.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Brock Purdy today set the 7th best ever QBR for a game 👀👀👀👀👀
Total QBR - All NFL

RK NAME
DATE
RESULT
QBR Y
1
Carson Palmer CIN
10/25/2009
W 45-10 vs. CHI
99.8
1
マ
Drake Maye NE
12/28/2025
W 42-10 at NYJ
99.8
3
Lamar Jackson BAL
11/25/2019
W 45-6 at LAR
99.8
4
Colin Kaepernick SF
10/27/2013
W 42-10 at JAX
99.8
5
* Lamar Jackson BAL
11/10/2019
W 49-13 at CIN
99.8
6
5266
Lamar Jackson BAL
12/25/2024
W 31-2 at HOU
99.8
7
Brock Purdy SF
09/20/2026
W 35-13 vS. MIA
99.7
8
• Tom Brady NE
10/21/2007
W 49-28 at MIA
99.7
9
Mike Vick PHI
11/15/2010
W 59-28 at WSH
99.7
10
4* Lamar Jackson BAL
09/08/2019
W 59-10 at MIA
99.5
11
EB
Carson Palmer CIN
12/26/2010
W 34-20 vs.
SD
99.5
12
Steve McNair BAL
10/29/2006
W 35-22 at NO
99.5
13
Joe Flacco BAL
10/12/2014
W 48-17 at TB
99.4
14
C.J. Stroud HOU
10/05/2025
W 44-10 at BAL
99.4
15
Aaron Rodgers GB
11/09/2014
W 55-14 vs. CHI
99.4
15
Lamar Jackson BAL
12/14/2020
W 47-42 at CLE
99.4
17
* Tony Romo DAL
12/21/2014
W 42-7 vs. IND
99.4
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Just stumbled on this gen z content on instagram. It’s just amazing how influential and powerful @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social’s book is!
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
I can only assume this bill is designed to protect women athletes such as Aminata Seck
PROTECTION OF WOMEN AND GIRLS IN SPORTS ACT
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Total @carnes.bsky.social victory www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-i...
theguardian.com
Revenge of the labor movement: Democrats with union backgrounds aim to retake Congress
Meet the candidates with labor ties vying for Senate and House seats in midterm races. Most of the nominees are Democrats as the party looks to rebuild support among working-class voters
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
“If he cancels his LA show, where am I supposed to get my hair cut? Since there will no sheeran. And the sheep will have too much wool.” - @timheidecker.bsky.social
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