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Matthias Rosenthal

@matthiasrosenthal.bsky.social
405 followers 304 following 0 posts

Research Assistant Reutlingen University

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Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
Woah. Argentina's 1990s preschool expansion program appears to have been a smashing success. The program increased high school completion by a whole 11.9 percentage points. The authors estimate that for every $1 spent, the preschool expansion generated about $11 in benefits.
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Rikki Dean @rikkidean.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
The ERC have given me 5 years to figure out what Europeans really think about democracy. If you would like to come and join me in the endeavour, then I am currently hiring a postdoc @sotonpolitics.bsky.social. Deadline: 30 April | Details here: jobs.soton.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx... #polisky
jobs.soton.ac.uk
Job Opportunity at the University of Southampton: Research Fellow in Political Process Preferences in Europe (PoPPiE)
We are delighted to welcome applications for the position of Research Fellow within a new ERC-funded research group on Political Process Preferences in Europe (PoPPiE): Rethinking Conceptual, Ontologi...
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Stefan C. Aykut @stefanaykut.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
🇹🇷📢 İstanbul today. This is what hope looks like. The current historical conjuncture may have emboldened authoritarian leaders worldwide, but it is also one of massive social mobilizations *for* democracy, in Turkey, Serbia, Georgia, Israel, in US townhalls... The authoritarian wave can be stopped.
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Max Czollek @maxczollek.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
..und noch ein Fall, in dem ein rechsextremer Vierfachmord unter dem medialen Radar läuft. Am 25. März 2024 starben die Eltern und ihre beiden drei Jahre und wenige Monate alten Töchter bei einem Brandanschlag. Erinnert an die Toten. Und die Medien an ihre verdammte demokratische Verantwortung.
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Bolts @boltsmag.org · 12/03/2025
A 2021 study found that proportionate representation on juries could reduce median sentence terms by 50%. “More perspectives on juries means more understanding,” said Elizabeth Swartz, legal counsel on efforts to diversify New Jersey's juries.boltsmag.org/new-jer...
boltsmag.org
New Jersey May Open Juries to Most People with Criminal Convictions
New Jersey has one of the nation
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Noah Berlatsky @nberlat.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
I kind of choked up.
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 11/03/2025
Trump’s handling of the economy is at -11 in this new Emerson poll, down from prior surveys. Not a good trend emersoncollegepolling.com/national-pol...
emersoncollegepolling.com
National Poll: At 50 Days, Trump's Honeymoon Fades as Economy Becomes Key Vulnerability - Emerson Polling
Voters Sour on Both Political Parties, With Democrats Facing Greater Backlash A new Emerson College…Full Release & Results
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
After the Bundestag election, many noted the different voting behaviour of different age groups and of women and men. In a new article in @wepsocial.bsky.social, @nilssteiner.bsky.social and I look at the interplay of cohort, gender, and education to explain GALTAN vote choice in Europe. 🧵1/5
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Annika Joeres @annikajoeres.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Kleiner Funfact: Weil die CDU in ihrer kleinen Anfrage auch @gabrielakeller.bsky.social und meine Recherche zu den "Rechtstreibern in der CDU" erwähnte, hat sich das Publikum für diesen Artikel noch mal vergrößert. Prognose: Wir überschreiten bald die 500 000 Zugriffe correctiv.org/aktuelles/pa...
correctiv.org
Die Rechtstreiber der CDU
Einige Wirtschaftslobbyisten und Denkfabriken untergraben aktiv die Brandmauer. Der nächste mögliche Tabubruch: eine Minderheitsregierung
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 23/02/2025
#Germany's federal criminal police office, not exactly known for over-counting such things, reports that at least 41,000 crimes with a right-wing extremist motive were committed in 2024, a 1/3 increase compared to 2023. 2023, with a 23% increase on 2022, had already marked an all-time high #farright
taz.de
Rekord rechtsextremer Straftaten: „Erschreckender Aufwärtstrend“
Rechtsextreme Straftaten erreichen neuen Höchststand: mehr als 40.000 Delikte. Das zeigt eine Anfrage von Bundestagsvizepräsidentin Petra Pau (Linke).
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Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Basically right, except Die Linke are no-longer “populist left. More like “radical left” or even “progressive left”, like the Scandi equivalents. BSW have done Die Linke a huge favour, by detoxifying them.
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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Der Aufstieg der Linken fasziniert mich. Ich hatte da so eine Vermutung und tatsächlich ist es so: Die Linke gewinnt dort wo die Grünen verlieren. Der Zusammenhang ist bemerkenswert, der Zusammenhang zu Gewinnen/Verlusten der SPD andersrum und zu denen der CDU nicht vorhanden.
Starke positive Korrelation zwischen Linken Zugewinnen und Grünen Verlusten in Wahlkreisen.Negative Korrelation zwischen Linken Zugewinnen und SPD Verlusten in den Wahlkreisen.Keine Korrelation zwischen Linken Zugewinnen/Verlusten und CDU Zugewinnen/Verlusten in den Wahlkreisen.
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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Ihr sorgt euch um Demokratie und Rechtsstaat in Deutschland? Die CDU/CSU-Fraktion hat eine Liste mit exzellenten Organisationen, die eure Spende verdient haben, veröffentlicht. U.a. @correctiv.org, @omasgegenrechts.bsky.social, @campact.bsky.social. dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/150/2...
dserver.bundestag.de
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Claes de Vreese @claesdevreese.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
The 'feeling' that X under Musk is a different place than before is quantified in this new study titled 'Substantial Hate' 1️⃣ hate speech up to 50% higher; 2️⃣ hate speech increase persistent; 3️⃣ no reduction in inauthentic accounts #commsky @polcomm.bsky.social journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
journals.plos.org
X under Musk’s leadership: Substantial hate and no reduction in inauthentic activity
Numerous studies have reported an increase in hate speech on X (formerly Twitter) in the months immediately following Elon Musk’s acquisition of the platform on October 27th, 2022; relatedly, despite ...
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Vote choice by birth cohort and gender in the 2024 European election in Germany: - Increased gender gaps among young voters for several parties. - AfD share more than twice as high among young men (21% vs. 10%). - 49% of young men voted for the right-leaning parties, but only 32% of young women.
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 06/02/2025
How #Twitter/#X amplifies the #farright in #Germany during the #btw25 campaign 👇 👉The blue segment in the first image shows the share of tweets by #AfD-affiliated accounts ~ 1/5 👉Their share of the views is > 1/4 👉They get almost 1/2 of the likes for all party-affiliated tweets
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Mike Galsworthy @mikegalsworthy.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
🔥 This. “Labour cannot simply manage the status quo. To defeat Mr Farage’s sham politics, it must offer more than technocratic governance. Without a compelling vision, including one for Britain’s place in Europe, it risks being outflanked” Perfectly put in @theguardian.com
theguardian.com
The Guardian view on Labour’s Brexit hesitancy: Tories collapse and Farage fills the void | Editorial
Editorial: Sir Keir Starmer’s caution has yet to persuade voters, while discontent fuels a resurgent right that thrives by boosting anti-immigrant, climate-sceptic views
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YouGov @yougov.co.uk · 03/02/2025
49% of Britons support introducing proportional representation, with just 26% backing first past the post PR: 49% FPTP: 26% By party voted for in 2024 Green: 72% PR vs 15% FPTP Reform UK: 67% vs 20% Lib Dem: 61% vs 20% Labour: 53% vs 27% Conservative: 39% vs 42% yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
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Authoritarian Political Systems Group @apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Polisky Dictatorsky New Publication alert! 📢 @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social, @felixwiebrecht.bsky.social (@vdeminstitute.bsky.social) and co-authors have recently published: “When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900.” Read it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900
The world is in a “wave of autocratization.” Yet, recent events in Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia demonstrate that autocratization can be halted and reversed. This article introduces “U-Turn” as ...
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Eine Zäsur in der deutschen Nachkriegsgeschichte. Hundertausende auf den Straßen. Unzählige die daran arbeiten, dass wir es besser verstehen. Und bei Miosga diskutieren eine Rechtsextreme, Springer Presse und Industrieverband. Ist euch eure Verantwortung für die Demokratie einfach scheißegal?
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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Reminder that these protests work: - Evidence from Greece: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... - Evidence from Italy: academic.oup.com/poq/article-... - Evidence from France: academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a...
cambridge.org
Movement versus Party: The Electoral Effects of Anti-Far Right Protests in Greece | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Movement versus Party: The Electoral Effects of Anti-Far Right Protests in Greece - Volume 118 Issue 2
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
Spot-on by @jonhenley.bsky.social (with great comments by @tabouchadi.bsky.social and @sldelange.bsky.social) - and an interesting question is *why* centre-right politicians refuse to acknowledge this and act on it. Just how long will they go on doing two plus two and making five?
theguardian.com
‘Vicious cycle’: how far-right parties across Europe are cannibalising the centre right
Hardline agendas, especially on immigration, are copied by mainstream conservatives in vain effort to win back votes - but it’s not working
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Bürgerrat @buergerrat.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Unsere Demokratie wird nicht nur von Rechtsaußen bedroht. Es gibt auch eine soziale Krise des Parteiensystems: Vor allem Menschen ohne akademische Ausbildung erleben, dass ihre Interessen oft nicht berücksichtigt werden. Mit Michael Kram, Teilnehmer des #BürgerratErnährung. #bürgerrat
deutschlandfunk.de
Ungleiche Demokratie: Warum vielen Menschen nicht zugehört wird
Es gibt eine soziale Krise des Parteiensystems: Vor allem Menschen ohne akademische Ausbildung erleben, dass ihre Interessen oft nicht berücksichtigt werden.
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Mike Galsworthy @mikegalsworthy.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
🔥 This is an absolutely devastating set of figures on the UK public's view of Brexit. Absolutely damning. Look at each category one by one - particularly the economic ones. YouGov article on these data here. 👉 yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
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Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Is the "firewall" breaking in Germany? Maybe. One thing is certain: if it is, its NOT because it "already broke" long ago at the local level. In our working paper, we show between 2019 & 2024, in 79% of cases all other parties still refused to work w /the Afd bibliothek.wzb.eu/pdf/2025/v24...
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Jim Pickard @pickardje.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
only one in five LEAVE voters think that Brexit has been more of a success than a failure, that is nuts
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 29/01/2025
In #Germany, a watershed moment: Just hours after commemorating the Holocaust, the centre-right has accepted the support of the #farright #AfD to pass a (largely symbolic) motion against immigration, tearing a massive hole into the so-called 'firewall', Germany's variety of the cordon sanitaire.
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Claes de Vreese @claesdevreese.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Did anyone call the VVD in the Netherlands to check what happened when they legitimized Wilders in the last election? Leading the VVD party to loose to Wilders and become a smaller coalition partner in a far right government.
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Constantin Wurthmann @wurthmann.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Meiner Meinung nach gibt es in nationaler/internationaler Forschung 2 Lehren mit Blick auf Parteien wie die CDU/CSU: a) Es braucht starke konservative Parteien, die konservativ-demokratische Auffassungen vertreten & b) sie zerstören sich selbst, wenn die klare Kante zu radikalen Rechten fällt.
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Timothy Caulfield @caulfieldtim.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Conservatives share more false claims in polarized settings www.psypost.org/conservative... @psypost.bsky.social “Conservatives are more likely to share misinformation when they feel their group is under threat..." From study: "...polarized situations exaggerate conservative motives & behaviors."
psypost.org
Conservatives share more false claims in polarized settings, research reveals
Conservatives are more likely than liberals to share misinformation in politically polarized settings, driven by a desire for ingroup dominance, but this behavior diminishes in less polarized environm...
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Politics_Oxford @politicsoxford.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Introducing the Centre for Democratic Resilience - world-leading research and educational programmes to understand and promote the resilience of liberal democracy: ow.ly/1sKl50UL7Wn
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
At @politicsoxford.bsky.social we are launching the Centre for Democratic Resilience. Building on our expertise, we do not only want to produce cutting-edge research but we also want to connect research to important stakeholders. Democracy is under threat. We want to work together to protect it.
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mark brandt @mjbsp.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
Over the 2020 US and NZ elections, antidemocratic attitudes preceded conspiracy beliefs, rather than conspiracy beliefs fostering antidemocratic attitudes by @lindaskitka.bsky.social & many others in @ispp-pops.bsky.social #socpsych #polisky #polpsych onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Screenshot of paper title which reads "Conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding: Longitudinal effects of election conspiracy beliefs on criticism of democracy and support for authoritarianism during political contests". Paper abstract that reads, "There are widespread concerns that conspiracy theories undermine democracies. But do conspiracy beliefs increase criticism of democracy and/or support for authoritarianism? Or are antidemocratic people more likely to endorse conspiracy beliefs? To answer these important questions, we collected longitudinal data during two concurrent democratic elections—the 2020 US Presidential Election (N = 609) and the 2020 General Election in New Zealand (N = 603). Random intercept cross-lagged panel models tested whether conspiracy beliefs affect criticism of democracy in general, as well as support for authoritarianism, and both direct and representative democracy, specifically. There was little evidence that conspiracy beliefs temporally preceded changes in attitudes toward democracy or support for any specific form of government. Instead, people who supported authoritarianism more subsequently endorsed stronger conspiracy beliefs. The results suggested that, in the context of electoral contests (e.g., elections), antidemocratic people are more likely to endorse conspiracy beliefs rather than conspiracy beliefs fostering antidemocratic views."
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Hannah Ritchie @hannahritchie.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
How did the EU's electricity mix change in the last year? ☀️ Big growth in solar ☢️ 🌊 Rebound in nuclear & hydro 💨 Not so much growth in wind 🏭 Large drop in fossil fuels (both coal and gas) 🔌 Demand up From @ember-energy.org's new European Electricity Review: ember-energy.org/latest-insig...
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Vincent Thivierge @vthivierge.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
"we find that non-participation of the US would eliminate more than a third of the world emissions reduction"
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Toni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
Distrust unconditionally pushes people away from the status quo, but does not unconditionally pull people towards any alternative model. Rather than technocracy and authoritarianism, political distrust particularly stimulates support for direct democracy link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
The Static and Dynamic Effects of Political Distrust on Support for Representative Democracy and its Rivals - Political Behavior
Distrust is widely argued to stimulate support for political and institutional change. Yet, there is little agreement among scholars whether distrust pulls people towards rivaling decision-making mode...
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Matt Graham @mattgraham.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
People don't really think any of this! Overestimates of small proportions are a quirk of general innumeracy, not genuine misperceptions. See research by @brianguay.bsky.social et al: —PNAS forthcoming: www.brianguay.com/files/guay_2... —Psychonomic Bulletin 2017: link.springer.com/article/10.3...
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Petter Törnberg @pettertornberg.com · 14/01/2025
Misinformation isn't random - it's strategic. 🧵 In the first cross-national comparative study, we examine 32M tweets from politicians. We find that misinformation is not a general condition: it is driven by populist radical right parties. with @julianachueri.bsky.social doi.org/10.1177/1940...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
My paper (w/ @turnbulldugarte.com) is now out on: ❓How do people derive social class of representatives and the public? The headline is that working-class parliamentarians are less likely to be perceived as such (compared to otherwise identical lay public) www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
A class of their own: parliamentarians are less likely to be perceived as working class
In order to understand the relevance of class politics and the changing composition of our politicians, we must first understand how the public derive their views of social class and, importantly, ...
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Lala Muradova @lalamur.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Encouraging politicians to act on climate: A field experiment with local officials in six countries. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
Local governments play an important role in addressing the climate crisis. However, despite public support for climate action, local policy responses have been limited. We argue that (1) biased belie...
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Peter Egge Langsæther @peterla.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Workers were never well-represented among cabinet ministers globally, but things have deteriorated over time. From our Paths to Power project where we have collected biographical data on almost 45,000 ministers from 137 countries in the period 1966-2021.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
What happened to national news could happen to local news - as we've seen again and again, elite attacks are the most important factor undermining media trust www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Kevin Walz @kwalz.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Happy to see this piece out in ZfVP🥳 Democratic resilience is a widely discussed topic, but the concept still shows some shortcomings. @lionmert.bsky.social, @matthiasrosenthal.bsky.social, Jana Niedringhaus, Johannes Helgest, and I address these systematically. A🧵: doi.org/10.1007/s122...
The picture shows the title page of the paper "From latest buzzword to conceptual framework: Unraveling the complexities of democratic resilience" published in the German Journal of Comparative Politcs.
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Deviations of economic reporting from actual economy correlate with election outcomes, though not as much as presumed. about 30% of effect of economic growth is mediated through news sentiment; unemployment effect is direct. Across 15 countries. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
journals.uchicago.edu
Do Voters Respond to the Economy or to News Reporting on the Economy? A Mediation Analysis | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
Analysis of the rising gender gap in radical right voting based on @eesresearch.bsky.social EES 2024 data 📊 in the FT 👇
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
Warum lernen wir im Umgang mit der radikalen Rechten nicht dazu? Gerade wieder bei Musk. Es gibt so viele gute Studien zur Normalisierung der radikalen Rechten. Warum gibt es keine Norm im Journalismus, dass zumindest basale Kenntnisse dieser dazugehören sollten, wenn man darüber schreibt? #Thread
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
New Gender Update out in @ejpgjournal.bsky.social. With data from the new wave of the EES, I show a strong increase in support for the far right among young voters. Especially the share of young men who consider voting for the far right has exploded. bristoluniversitypressdigital.com/view/journal...
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