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Nils Steiner

@nilssteiner.bsky.social
2.1K followers 742 following 228 posts

Political Scientist at JGU Mainz, Germany. Research on public opinion, elections, parties, and democracy (more at: www.nilssteiner.com). Co-Chair of the AK Wahlen (@dvpw.bsky.social). Associate editor at @pvs-journal.bsky.social.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 9h
Two neat findings in Christopher Claassen’s new POQ paper: 1️⃣ Democratic support predicts stronger resistance to antidemocratic candidates, even under partisan cross-pressure. 2️⃣ The Claassen et al. liberal democracy scale is the most consistent moderator. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
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Big Data Kane @cmwitko.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Here is a link to the paper that @stano.bsky.social posted about yesterday. BLUF: anti-feminist attitudes have long predicted Republican pres voting, but these attitudes are only recently more likely to be found among unmarried men without college degrees. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Backlashes to Gender Equality and Authoritarian Populism in the U.S. - Stan Oklobdzija, Christopher Witko, 2026
According to recent scholarship, backlash toward gender equality is fueling support for the authoritarian and populist right in many countries and, perhaps, the...
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 16h
For my new research unit Politics of Democracy at the Berlin Social Science Center @wzb.bsky.social, we have 3 open research positions. 2 postdocs: 4 + 2 years (100%) 1 doc: 2 years (75%) Starting date: 1 March 2027 (negotiable) Application deadline: 1 November
Job adjob ad
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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 14h
Postdoc position within my group 3 years (100% TVl-13): stellen.uni-muenster.de/jobposting/2... ⏱️ 06.11.2026 If you have questions: get in touch!
stellen.uni-muenster.de
Postdoctoral Research Associate (Wissenschaftliche*r Mitarbeiter*in, salary level E 13 TV-L)
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
In another great contribution to the AK Wahlen special issue on the 2025 German election, @denis-cohen.bsky.social and colleagues use Bayesian finite mixture models to study mainstream-to-challenger defection. Their findings highlight the underappreciated role of performance evaluations. 👇
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
The Swiss People’s Party SVP is one of the oldest and electorally strongest radical-right parties in the world. But: electoral popularity ≠ policy popularity Voters keep supporting the SVP in elections, but only 2 out of 12 popular initiatives launched by the SVP have passed Data: Swissvotes
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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
⏳ Why are voters out of step with parties on immigration and redistribution? Hironao Yoda and Serika Atsumi study 16 Western European countries: newer cohorts link the two issues as parties do — older ones don't, so the gap should narrow with generational turnover. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Description of the article "Time dilation: the temporal structure of elite–voter incongruence on redistribution and immigration" by Hironao Yoda and Serika Atsumi, published online first in West European Politics.
Figure 1. Two scatter plots on redistribution (x-axis) and immigration (y-axis) for 14 Western European countries. Panel (a) shows party positions from the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, which line up along a clear diagonal; panel (b) shows voter positions from the European Social Survey, which spread across all four quadrants with essentially no relationship between the two issues.
Figure 2. Dot-and-interval plot of how strongly immigration attitudes relate to redistribution attitudes in each of seven cohorts, from the interwar generation to the newest "crisis" generation. For cohorts up to the 90s generation the link is small and often indistinguishable from zero; it turns clearly positive for the 00s generation and is strongest for the crisis generation.
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Marius Sältzer @msaeltzer.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Our colleague and friend Philipp Köker has left us and i can't begin to order my thoughts. I hope I can express to his family the feeling of loss we can't beginn to understand, but attempt to share. rundblick-niedersachsen.de/politikwisse...
rundblick-niedersachsen.de
Politikwissenschaftler stirbt überraschend mit 40 Jahren
Philipp Köker, habilitierter Politikwissenschaftler und Experte für die Erforschung politischer Institutionen, ist im Alter von 40 Jahren überraschend gestorben. Die Nachricht hat in Kreisen der Unive...
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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7
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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Interesting new paper in @wepsocial.bsky.social by Yoda&Atsumi showing that "the positive association between pro-redistribution and pro-immigration attitudes is weaker among earlier cohorts." In other words: the number of left-authoritarian voters decreases across generations.
tandfonline.com
Time dilation: the temporal structure of elite–voter incongruence on redistribution and immigration
While immigration and redistribution issues have increasingly converged at the elite level in Western Europe, they remain less correlated among voters, leading to significant elite–voter incongruen...
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David Attewell @davidattewell6.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
1/ Happy to see @kaitlin-alper.bsky.social, myself, & Andreas Jozwiak's paper out @ejprjournal.bsky.social It's well-known that, on average, women support redistribution more than men. We find that the gender gap is conditional on household income & inequality within couples. tinyurl.com/3nrn53ej
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 23/09/2026
Yes. here you go. Trump’s approval is significantly below where it was in 2018
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Trump's net approval has now sunk to -27, with absolutely no sign of the trend reversing. What will it look like in two years as we approach the next presidential election? Data as ever via @gelliottmorris.com @fiftyplusone.news
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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Ähnliche Muster auch sich in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Ein höherer AfD-Stimmenanteil korreliert stark mit Ländlichkeit und peripherer Lage. In Gemeinden mit geringerem Bevölkerungsverlust, höherer Beschäftigungsquote Älterer und höherem Einkommensteueraufkommen pro Kopf ist die AfD eher schwächer.
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Die AfD hat bei den Landtagswahlen 2026 ihre Ergebnisse gegenüber dem jeweiligen Landesergebnis bei der Bundestagswahl 2025 gar nicht mal so stark steigern können (wie man vielleicht denken könnte, wenn man immer nur den Vergleich zur vorherigen Landtagswahl sieht).
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
The gender gap among young voters in Berlin’s state election: 51% of women under 25 voted for the Left Party, according to exit polls.
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Deutschland Wählt / Österreich Wählt @de.whln.eu · 20/09/2026
MECKLENBURG-VORPOMMERN: Wahlverhalten nach Alter — Hochrechnung Infratest dimap/ARD, 18:57 Uhr SPD | AfD | CDU | LINKE | GRÜNE 16-24: 22 | 34 | 2 | 24 | 6 25-34: 24 | 31 | 3 | 19 | 10 35-44: 28 | 45 | 3 | 7 | 7 45-59: 29 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 6 60-69: 38 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 4 70+: 52 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 4 #ltwmv
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DFG-funded Research Unit "Beyond Crazy" @beyond-crazy.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
We are delighted (and soooooo happy) that the DFG will fund the first four years of our Research Unit “𝗕𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝗖𝗿𝗮𝘇𝘆: 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗕𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗳𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗽𝗶𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘆 𝗕𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗳𝘀”. We will seek 8 Ph.D. candidates and a postdoctoral coordinator to start in Spring 2027.
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Sebastian Ziaja @sziaja.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Geo-coded electoral data offers immense potential for understanding democratic processes. @dielea.bsky.social, Stefan Jünger, and I will build a research data infrastructure to support the global research community using such data with our DFG-funded project "Electoral Spaces". We are hiring!
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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social "What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success" Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
journals.uchicago.edu
What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
This Sunday, Die Linke could become Berlin’s strongest party for the first time. Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP) is now online! 🇩🇪 GLMP provides a systematically documented & reproducible corpus of local manifestos & related political programmes from municipalities across Germany. Browse & download the data: localmanifestoproject.de @christinajuen.bsky.social
localmanifestoproject.de
German Local Manifesto Project
Besuche den Beitrag für mehr Info.
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Julia Partheymüller @schnizzl.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
📣 Call for papers now open! The next Annual Conference of the European Political Science Society will take place in Copenhagen, 24–26 June 2027. Submission deadline: 13 November 2026 (23:59 CET) Looking forward to it! #EPSS2027 @epssnet.bsky.social
Screenshot of the European Political Science Society website announcing “Copenhagen 2027.” Under “Join us in Copenhagen!”, a photo shows colourful waterfront buildings and boats. Text announces the society’s next meeting on 24–26 June 2027, with panels and networking. An orange notice reads: “Call for papers is now open!”
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
We chair an open panel on "New Cleavage Identities" at the DVPW Convention 2027. Questions: Which identities are emerging as new cleavage identities? How do they form and stabilize? How do elites construct and mobilize them? How do they affect vote choice? CfP: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/en/...
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Another great article from our SI on the 2025 GER election is out! Roßteutscher et al. find that “young men on lower tracks are the most likely to support the right-wing populist AfD, and that the political climate in their educational contexts amplifies this association.” doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
"providing factual statistical information showing that most people do not believe in various specific conspiracy theories reduced participants’ own conspiracy beliefs" onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Everyone Knows It's a Hoax: The Role of Perceived Descriptive Norms in Conspiracy Beliefs
People's belief in conspiracy theories is shaped by social influence processes. This contribution investigated these processes in six studies (total N = 2906) by examining the role of descriptive nor....
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
@christinajuen.bsky.social & I are very happy to see our first publication of our @dfg.de project published in Party Politics. GLMP provides a new dataset for studying local party politics in 🇩🇪: 2,307 manifestos from 306 political actors in 248 municipalities (1989-2024) doi.org/10.1177/1354...
doi.org
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP): A new data source for studying local party politics - Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen, 2026
Local politics remains comparatively understudied in political science, partly due to limited data on party competition at the municipal level. This research no...
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Jochen Müller @jocmuel.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Nach der Wahl ist vor der Wahl. Nach Sachsen-Anhalt richtet sich der Blick auf Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. In knapp zwei Wochen wird dort gewählt. Einige Dynamiken ähneln Sachsen-Anhalt, andere sind deutlich anders. Ein kurzer Thread zur Ausgangslage in MV. bsky.app/profile/dawu...
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
For me, the most telling figure from this election: parties of the center and to its left mostly traded votes among themselves. At the same time, they suffered a net loss of over 100,000 votes to the AfD and came nowhere close to matching its mobilization of former non-voters.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
In diesem in der @pvs-journal.bsky.social veröffentlichten Aufsatz verorte ich Manows Buch "Spaltungslinien" in der Debatte zum Postliberalismus. Der zentralen Annahme, dass rechtspopulistische Parteien heute wirtschafts- und sozialpolitisch links stünden, widerspreche ich. rdcu.be/swtwc7WqF9ta
Titelblatt zum in der Politischen Vierteljahresschrift erschienenen Aufsatz "Ist rechts das neue links? Die postliberale Erklärung des Populismus". Der Aufsatz ist öffentlich zugänglich.
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Saxony-Anhalt went to the polls, with the AfD falling just short of a majority. Here are some takeaways based on the preliminary results across all 218 municipalities and local socioeconomic characteristics. A thread 🧵(1 /n) Full analysis + write-up: juliuskoelzer.de/saxony-anhal...
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
What do yesterday’s ST results imply for liberal democracy? In our ongoing nationwide survey, we asked about support for liberal democracy (following doi.org/10.1177/0010...). Acceptance of & ambivalence toward illiberal action are worryingly widespread, though majorities reject each transgression.
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Another familiar pattern in the Saxony-Anhalt state election: "New" socio-structural divides along education and gender tend to be larger among younger voters (see: doi.org/10.1080/0140...). Same is again probably true of urban vs. rural, representing a broader pattern of generational realignment.
doi.org
How education, generation and gender jointly structure green and radical right voting
This article refines our understanding of the socio-structural basis of voting for green and radical right parties by studying how formal education, generation and gender interact. Given the emerge...
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
The Saxony-Anhalt state election shows the familiar socio-structural divides—education, urban vs. rural, and the gender gap among young voters (albeit with unusually high support for the AfD).
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Another great contribution to our "AK Wahlen" special issue on the 2025 German election in @electoralstudies.bsky.social is now out: @asheinze.bsky.social and @mlewandowsky.bsky.social study the effects of loneliness on electoral participation and voting for the AfD 👇
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
These UK results are well in line with partisan differences in false consensus beliefs we found in Germany: Clearly highest among far-right party supporters. See our (with @clandwehr.bsky.social) study on false consensus beliefs and populist attitudes here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/....
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YouGov @yougov.co.uk · 26/08/2026
Reform UK and Tory voters are much more likely than others to think their own views are broadly in line with those of the wider public - but are they right? Reform: 75% say similar Con: 71% Lib Dem: 44% Labour: 42% Green: 38% yougov.com/en-gb/articl...
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Satisfaction with the way democracy is working in one's country over the last 50 years in Western European countries. Pooled data from the Eurobarometer.
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Wahlrecht.de @wahlrecht.de · 20/08/2026
Die #Mitgliederzahlen der Parteien Ende 2025 (und die Entwicklung zum Vorjahr) aus der jährlichen Studie von Oskar Niedermayer. Die Entwicklung in früheren Jahren: bsky.app/profile/wahl...
Quelle: Oskar Niedermayer, Parteimitgliedschaften im Jahre 2025, ZParl 20260, S. 356 ff.
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
How do citizens change democratic legitimacy? 🧑‍🤝‍🧑 🤨 Adele Webb, @maxgroemping.bsky.social & @marlenemauk.bsky.social test claims that the decision making of citizen's can strengthen the public's confidence in democracy as the governance is seen as more trustworthy buff.ly/XFxtLPS
cambridge.org
Does citizen deliberation inside representative institutions enhance legitimacy among non-participating publics? | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Does citizen deliberation inside representative institutions enhance legitimacy among non-participating publics?
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Great to see another paper from our @electoralstudies.bsky.social SI on the 2025 German federal election out! @victoria-palchiko.bsky.social & @jschultecloos.bsky.social analyze TikTok posts by the AfD and the Left, finding that the two parties succeed through different campaigning strategies. 👇
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
We are hiring a postdoc in Comparative Politics at JGU Mainz! Join our friendly and productive team, led by Armin Schäfer (@arminschaefer.bsky.social). • Full-time position • Five-year contract (!) • Start: from 1 October Apply by 22 August: stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de/jgu/job/56328 Please share!
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Andrés Rodríguez-Pose @rodriguez-pose.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Urban and rural #Europe are drifting into different political worlds, making national #elections feel less national. Pautonnie, @rdassonneville.bsky.social & Nadeau document in Party Politics how the urban–rural electoral divide is widening across the continent. doi.org/10.1177/1354...
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Toni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Bank branch closures in Spain fostered economic pessimism and reduced trust in both the banking sector and national-level institutions, reinforcing perceptions of territorial neglect and institutional abandonment among affected communities journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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felixhormig.bsky.social @felixhormig.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Remember the collapse of Germany's "traffic light" coalition in November 2024? Ever wondered how this affects citizens' attitudes? Look no further: @cyrillotteni.bsky.social and I got you covered in our new article, out now in @electoralstudies.bsky.social 🧵 📄 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Screenshot of the title page of Electoral Studies, with abstract.
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Philipp Lutz @lutzphilipp.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
New paper out 📄 How do citizens mentally map political divides — and where do they go wrong? Using German survey data on immigration, we split perceptual error into 3 biases (egocentrism, conservatism & false polarization) that mirror the very divides they distort. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Seeing Divides: Citizens’ Biased Perceptions of Political Cleavages - Political Behavior
Citizens’ perceptions of political divides shape democratic processes, yet we know little about how these divides are mentally represented. This article develops a conceptual framework that integrates...
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DVPW @dvpw.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
#Wahlen 2026: Geballte #PoWi -Expertise zu den #LTW in #SA und #MV gibt es am 9.7. um 12h online mit @jocmuel.bsky.social, @wolfgang-muno.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social und Kerstin Völkl Alle Infos 👉 www.dvpw.de/informatione... #DVPWiG @trimcev.bsky.social @benjaminhoehne.bsky.social
Grafik mit hellgrauem Hintergrund und Schrift in Schwarz und Dunkelgrau. Unten links das Logo der DVPW in Dunkelgrau. Daneben Portrait-Fotos von Jochen Müller, Wolfgang Muno, Christian Stecker und Kerstin Völkl. Text: Deutsche Vereinigung für Politikwissenschaft. Wahlen im Osten - Sachsen-Anhalt und Mecklenburg-Vorpommern vor einer Zäsur? Politikwissenschaft im Gespräch #DVPWiG. Mit Jochen Müller, Wolfgang Muno, Christian Stecker, Kerstin Völkl, Moderation: Benjamin Höhne & Rieke Trimcev. 9. Juli 2026, 12:00-13:30 Uhr.
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Nils Weidmann @nilsweidmann.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Heute bin ich in @jmwiarda.bsky.social's Blog zu Gast, mit einem Beitrag zur Hitze im Hörsaal und wie sie sich ganz einfach vermeiden liesse: www.jmwiarda.de/blog/2026/06...
jmwiarda.de
Hitzekollaps im Hörsaal
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