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Luca Siepmann

@lucasiepmann.bsky.social
408 followers 857 following 25 posts

PhD Candidate Political Science, LSE @lse-ei.bsky.social | Representation and political parties | Research Coordinator Dahrendorf Programme, St Antony’s College, Oxford | Previously: MPhil Oxford‬ + BA Hons KCL

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Reposted by Luca Siepmann
Jacob Edenhofer @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
See also this thought-provoking and related JoD piece by Justin Daniels and @lucasiepmann.bsky.social www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclu...
journalofdemocracy.org
Why Germany’s Mainstream Parties Have Lost Their Way | Journal of Democracy
The country’s far right is connecting with voters where they live. Germany’s mainstream parties need to borrow from that playbook and become a presence in the communities they hope to lead.
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stevelevitsky.bsky.social @stevelevitsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Lucan Way and I have been writing about competitive authoritarianism for more than 25 years. We never thought we'd write this piece. www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/com...
journalofdemocracy.org
Competitive Authoritarianism in America | Journal of Democracy
The United States has slid into competitive authoritarianism. The slide has been modest and remains reversible—but it is real. Even after Donald Trump, American democracy will remain fragile.
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Luca Siepmann @lucasiepmann.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Thanks @lse-ei.bsky.social for featuring our essay (w/ @justinmdaniels.bsky.social) for the @jodemocracy.bsky.social. We discuss the role of the AfD's presence in local communities in mobilising many of its (new) voters in the recent elections + what this should mean for centrist parties' responses.
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Mark Wallace @wallaceme.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Most striking of all is that this is explicitly a very *pro-politics* speech, a direct rebuttal to the anti-politics that is so widespread. And rightly so: politics can change things, it is an admirable thing to choose to engage in and a duty for us all to step forward and pursue.
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Miguel Pereira @miguelpereira.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
"The effects of participating in government-led citizens' assemblies" (with @mcduarte.bsky.social & @jmfernandes86.bsky.social) is out at @psrm.bsky.social www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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🎃Darin S Pumpkins🎃 @darinself.com · 22/09/2026
static.klipy.com
Thankyou
ALT: Thankyou
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Marta Miori @martamiori.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
New opinion piece with @profjanegreen.bsky.social in @financialtimes.com ⬇️📊 We argue that five parties in the polls doesn't mean five-way races. What's really going on is a scramble within each bloc over who can win, fought out seat by seat.
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Mara Weber @marathwe.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
📢 CALL FOR PAPERS! We invite submissions for the Political Methodology Seminar Series on frontiers in empirical political science and CSS. We welcome research examining political behaviour, public opinion, comparative politics, and CSS. Research on adjacent topics are also highly encouraged.
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Luca Siepmann @lucasiepmann.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Our essay (w/ @justinmdaniels.bsky.social) on the recent German state elections and why mainstream parties must increase their presence in local communities. Parties - literally - have to meet people where they are to (re)gain their trust. Thanks to the @jodemocracy.bsky.social for publishing it!
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Luca Siepmann @lucasiepmann.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Our essay (w/ @justinmdaniels.bsky.social) on the recent German state elections and why mainstream parties must increase their presence in local communities. Parties - literally - have to meet people where they are to (re)gain their trust. Thanks to the @jodemocracy.bsky.social for publishing it!
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Duarte Amaro @duarteamaro.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
New paper in @jeppjournal.bsky.social! With @leandrebenoit.bsky.social, we find that mainstream parties become more Eurosceptic as radical right support rises (whether in past elections or opinion polls), but only when the radical right is in parliament. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Different signals, same message? Evidence of mainstream accommodation of the radical right on European integration using parliamentary speeches
What drives mainstream parties’ reactions to the success of the radical right? Existing research shows that mainstream parties respond by moving closer to the radical right but most studies focus o...
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Politics_Oxford @politicsoxford.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Oxford’s Centre for Democratic Resilience, in partnership with @buceriuslaw.bsky.social and @verfassungsblog.de, has launched the Higher Education and Democratic Resilience Programme. Find out more: www.politics.ox.ac.uk/higher-educat…
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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social "What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success" Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
journals.uchicago.edu
What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP) is now online! 🇩🇪 GLMP provides a systematically documented & reproducible corpus of local manifestos & related political programmes from municipalities across Germany. Browse & download the data: localmanifestoproject.de @christinajuen.bsky.social
localmanifestoproject.de
German Local Manifesto Project
Besuche den Beitrag für mehr Info.
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Will Allen @williamlallen.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
The @magdalenoxford.bsky.social junior research fellowships are now open, including for politics. Due 15 Oct. 3 years of 100% research time to those who submit their PhD between July 2025-Oct 2027. Comes with good ECR pay, relatively generous support funds. www.magd.ox.ac.uk/job-vacancie...
magd.ox.ac.uk
Job Vacancies - Magdalen College
Magdalen College is one of the oldest, largest, and most beautiful colleges in Oxford – it is a wonderful place to work. You can explore and apply for current vacancies on our recruitment website via ...
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Well, this is a marmalade dropper
channel4news.substack.com
Exclusive: Nigel Farage filmed undercover celebrating secret new foreign donations
Undercover footage verified by Channel 4 News reveals a secret plot by senior Reform UK figures to break the law on party donations. A leading legal expert is now calling for a criminal investigation.
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Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
What exactly is an establishment bin?
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
(Swiss) politicians are bad at knowing what voters actually want. There is a clear conservatism bias: Political elites systematically perceive voters as more conservative than they really are, irrespective of the actual policy debate (e.g., raising retirement age) www.defacto.expert/2026/07/28/s...
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Chris Prosser @caprosser.com · 29/07/2026
It’s not out for another six months or so, but *Electoral Realignment: How Brexit Reshaped British Voting Behaviour*, my book with Ed Fieldhouse, @profjanegreen.bsky.social , Geoff Evans, @jack-bailey.co.uk and @jonmellon.bsky.social, is up on the OUP website! global.oup.com/academic/pro...
Cover of *Electoral Realignment: How Brexit Reshaped British Voting Behaviour*
By Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Christopher Prosser, Geoffrey Evans, Jack Bailey, and Jonathan Mellon
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Ant Breach @antbreach.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
This would be the most important local finance reform since Elizabeth I. Finally introducing local revenue sources that aren't property taxes will ensure places really benefit from local growth - more jobs and/or higher wages in a place will translate into more investment and services:
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Politics_Oxford @politicsoxford.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
DPIR's @benansell.bsky.social argues in @prospectmagazine.co.uk Labour spent years trying to win over voters it could never keep—and alienated ones it already had. The real battle isn’t left vs right. It’s understanding what the electorate actually wants: f.mtr.cool/pgcjiqcony
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David KC @davidmuttering.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
What an incredible huddle that is
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Glen O'Hara @gsoh31.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
A strong and competent UK state would sweep in here and grab every PhD student we can find. Alas, no such state exists and we won't bother doing anything, as usual.
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John Kampfner @johnkampfner.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
The Brits’ neuralgia about the Germans is about to go into overdrive johnkampfner.substack.com/p/is-a-germa...
johnkampfner.substack.com
Is a German about to save the English?
The painful irony after 60 years of hurt
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University of Oxford @ox.ac.uk · 10/07/2026
Today His Majesty The King officially opened the Stephen A. Schwarzman Centre for the Humanities at Oxford University - the largest building project ever undertaken by the Uni. Find out more ⬇️ bit.ly/3SUeq94
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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
The irony of this man talking about his safety being under threat by investigative journalism when he actively stokes race riots.
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Benjamin Braun @benbraun.social · 07/07/2026
As usual, Anton says it best: "the desiccation of the mass-party capillary structures that once connected elected governments to local supporters has weakened rulers’ ability to forge hegemonic cross-class blocs or mobilize support for long-term business strategies" newleftreview.org/issues/ii159...
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Phil Tinline @philtinline.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
No.10 North is a good example of a symbol: it works literally and figuratively at once. As I wrote last week: "Perhaps Burnham the English Lit graduate grasps that politics needs to be conducted in metaphors and symbols as well as metrics & stats." www.newstatesman.com/comment/2026...
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Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Some news: Based on work out of the @wzb.bsky.social earlier this year Nourhan Elsayed, Hanno Hilbig, Sascha Riaz, & I published this on how communist era schooling in Germany affects attitudes today in the "British Journal of Political Science." A quick summary www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
The Gendered Persistence of Authoritarian Indoctrination | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
The Gendered Persistence of Authoritarian Indoctrination - Volume 55
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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
@britishelectionstudy.com Director Prof Ed Fieldhouse here explaining the Brexit realignment with insights from our new forthcoming book … please check it out! blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Brexit is still shaping British politics | LSE British Politics
Brexit is no longer front of mind for voters, but the values and identities that they organised around in the run up to the referendum still shape how they vote.
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Marie Le Conte @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com · 23/06/2026
was looking for something else Brexit-related but ended up stumbling upon some copy I filed for the Evening Standard do please join me in spotting the date of the email, then the opening line, then running head first at a wall
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LSE Department of Government @lsegovernment.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
We're delighted that Professor Helen Margetts OBE FBA FAcSS, a world renowned expertise in AI, technology, public policy, and democracy, has been appointed as Professor of Political Science and Public Policy in the LSE Department of Government and Director of the Data Science Institute 🙌
lse.ac.uk
Professor Helen Margetts OBE FPA | Data Science Institute
Find out more about Professor Helen Margetts research on the relationship between technology, politics, public policy and government.
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
What a wonderful few days in Belfast for #EPSS2026 and what a fantastic community! Thank you to everyone who joined the conference with such enthusiasm A special thanks to @simonhix.bsky.social @kenbenoit.bsky.social @macartan.bsky.social & the rest of the EPSS Council for making it all possible
EPSS Council
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Timothy Garton Ash @fromtga.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Britain's strategic goal should be to rejoin the EU. But to have a chance, the British have first to understand it. And start a marathon of democratic persuasion… www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
If the UK wants to rejoin the European Union, it first needs to understand it | Timothy Garton Ash
A full return will require a marathon of democratic persuasion, on the continent as much as in Britain. For one side holds most of the cards, says Guardian columnist Timothy Garton Ash
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Toni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
🚨New article🎉 ➡️ Parliamentary power in early representative assemblies: evidence from XVII century England, published at @JHPE_journal and co-authored with Tom Paskhalis www.emerald.com/jhpe/article... (1/n)
emerald.com
Parliamentary power in early representative assemblies: evidence from XVII century England
The patterns of behaviour of representatives in early parliaments have not received much attention in the political science literature. In this article, we bring in new data and propose several theore...
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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
🚨 What happens with voters when politicians use simpler language? New @thejop.bsky.social paper with @rsenninger.bsky.social: simple language changes not just what citizens understand, but who they think politicians are. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
journals.uchicago.edu
Can Simple Language Affect Voters’ Political Knowledge and Their Beliefs About Politicians? | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No 0
How does the level of sophistication in political messages affect citizens? While research has examined how politicians use this element to distinguish themselves, little is known about how it resonat...
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 07/06/2026
The 2026 update brings you 130 new research articles on the #RadicalRight. Here’s to the people who wrote these, and especially to 7 super-productive super-contributors: Marianna Griffini, Luca Manucci, @mattiazulianello.bsky.social, 1/2
kai-arzheimer.com
Hot references summer: the 2026 update of the radical right bibliography is here - kai arzheimer
Voting! Gender! Normalisation! 130 new pieces on the far right for you
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European News @eunews.social · 07/06/2026
Speaking in Madrid yesterday, Pope Leo XIV stated: "I encourage you to nurture the process of the European Union, which is not merely a counterweight to other powers, but a gift to humanity."
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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
I explain why Labours vote is splintering left, why the Tories lost so much to Reform, how the latter are more vulnerable than assumed, why we cannot know if Burnham would improve Labours ratings as PM. BUT …. the ways it *could* potentially happen.
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Andrés Rodríguez-Pose @rodriguez-pose.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
Social capital was meant to be #democracy's bulwark. It isn't (not on its own) My brand new research with @pedrofierroz.bsky.social, @fcorowe.bsky.social & @Helsper in JRS shows that bonding social capital fuelled the #Trump swing. Bridging #SocialCapital blunted it. doi.org/10.1111/jors...
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Annette Dittert @annettedittert.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Currently on an interesting tour with my new book across Germany and very surprised how much love, affection and interest there still is for Britain and its ppl. We haven’t forgotten you ! Really enjoying it, and actually quite moving.
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
This new tool from the Commons library, allowing you to see the wards and parishes in any constituency, is fantastic: commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...
commonslibrary.parliament.uk
Constituency data: Wards and parishes
Explore which electoral wards, civil parishes and communities are part of your constituency, including an interactive map
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
2% of LE26 Labour voters consider voting for Reform at the next election. Less than 1% of Reform voters consider Labour. Yet, Labour continues to target exactly those voters. Literally, politics for the 1%. Meanwhile, 42% of Lab voters consider the Greens. After already having lost tons to them.
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Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
I am very excited to be returning to LSE and joining @lsepublicpolicy.bsky.social. Eager to help develop this already fantastic policy school, co-teach with @alicirone.bsky.social, and launch a new course on "Designing Democracy”.
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Sofia Ammassari @ammassarisofia.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
6 years ago, I started asking a question that political science had largely ignored: how & why do women get involved in PRR parties as grassroots members? Today, my 1st book proposes an answer. Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right is now out online with OUP: academic.oup.com/book/62754
academic.oup.com
Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right
Abstract. This book investigates women’s involvement as members of populist radical right (PRR) parties. The latter have long been characterised as ‘men’s
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
I remember Keir Starmer saying we should be at the “heart of Europe” as if it were only last week.
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Still some imperfections with this but I've updated my local elections explorer to have (a) all county level wards, (b) bloc politics as an option, (c) more demographics, and (d) ability to control for other variables on the scatterplot. And the new URL is below. 1/n benwansell.github.io/le2026/
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Wanna talk about the cordon sanitaire (the "Brandmauer"?) 🚨We (@christinajuen.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social and I) have a new paper out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010... What do we do in the paper? A 🧵: 1/7
Abstract of the article "The Cordon Dilemma: How Voters Evaluate Cooperation With the Far-Right in Parliament" by Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen and Christian Stecker. Published online first in Comparative Political Studies.
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Anand Menon @anandmenon.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
This sounds like a message for those who have stuck with Labour rather than for those who deserted them
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John Oxley @joxley.jmoxley.co.uk · 09/05/2026
Political nerds, I made a thing! How well do you know the UK electoral map? Could you find ten constituencies, picked at random? Test yourself! play.jmoxley.co.uk
play.jmoxley.co.uk
ConstituencyClick
Can you find ten UK parliamentary constituencies on a map? Click inside for full marks.
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