iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Lily Mason @lilymasonphd.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

My new JOD piece arguing against the “cure polarization” approach to saving democracy.

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Es gibt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Aber es gibt auch Mecklenburg und Vorpommern. Wie wir heute Abend voraussichtlich wieder sehen werden, unterscheiden sich beide Regionen deutlich in ihrem Wahlverhalten. Woher kommen diese Unterschiede? Ein Thread mit Daten aus dem Kaiserreich bis heute. 🧵

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Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Writing, quite literally, is thinking. Hence, it is hard to write well because it requires systematic, disciplined thinking. If you aren't writing for yourself you aren't thinking for yourself.

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Frances Cayton @francescayton.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

The "Victory Trap," my latest w/ @elvinongpolsci.bsky.social. Why do victorious pro-democracy coalitions often struggle to reverse autocracy? Using a most different case design (Malaysia🇲🇾 + Poland🇵🇱) we argue that internal weaknesses to the coalition lay the groundwork for autocratic comeback. 1/3

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Stefan @kleinradfahrer.de · 26/07/2026

Von einer Bundesregierung, die den Aktionsplan Queer Leben einstellt, die Lambda die Finanzierung wegkürzt, die queere Menschen an Verfolgerstaaten ausliefert und die es zum CSD keine Regenbogenfahnen hisst ("Zirkuszelt") empfinde ich jegliche Solidaritätserklärungen als pure Heuchelei. #CSDBerlin

Screenshot vom Tagesspiegel: Zu sehen ist Friedrich Merz und die Überschrift: Kanzler spricht von "abscheulicher Tat". Politiker reagieren bestürzt auf schweren Zwischenfall beim Berliner CSD

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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 26/07/2026

What started as a peaceful protest and celebration in Berlin ended in devastation. Thoughts are with all those who did not make it home safely yesterday. 🖤

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Melanie Sauter @melinscribe.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Day 5 of our Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology! It’s been inspiring to see participants from across countries exchange ideas, build collaborations, and strengthen a supportive research community. Huge thanks to our fantastic speakers, organizing team, and supporters! 🙌 #PolMeth #WPM

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Greta Schenke @gretaschenke.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

The expected 41°C in Berlin over the weekend is not normal and I think all of this is terrifying.

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jenna newman phd @jennanewman.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

“When participants used ChatGPT to draft essays, brain scans revealed a 47% drop in neural connectivity across regions associated with memory, language, & critical reasoning. Their brains worked less, but they felt just as engaged—a kind of metacognitive mirage.”🧪

“When participants used ChatGPT to draft essays, brain scans revealed a 47 percent drop in neural connectivity across regions associated with memory, language, and critical reasoning. Their brains worked less, but they felt just as engaged—a kind of metacognitive mirage. Eighty-three percent of heavy Al users couldn't recall key points from what they'd "written, compared to only 10 percent of those who composed unaided.
Neutral reviewers described the Al-assisted writing as "soulless, empty, lacking individuality." Most alarmingly, after four months of reliance on Chat GPT, participants wrote worse once it was removed than those who had never used it at all.
The study warns that when writing is
delegated to Al, the way people learn fundamentally changes.”

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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

“Writing is hard.” Thrilled to share that this simple idea led to a new paper in Political Analysis! Where most text methods focus on content, I test if expression is also effortful action. I find simple measures like character counts reveal attitudes and predict voting. cup.org/4cUmoXi 1/

Text as Behavior
Text as Behavior published in Political Analysis

by Omar Wasow

Abstract

Text analysis typically focuses on content—such as sentiment or topic—but expression is also a form of effortful action. Building on this insight, I propose using simple features of open-ended tasks to study text as behavior. This approach treats expression, such as writing, as cognitively, emotionally and temporally “costly” for subjects but inexpensive for researchers. I show basic statistics like the number of characters can approximate effort and significantly improve estimation of quantities of interest, including candidate choice, the probability of turning out to vote and psychological states about which a subject may not be fully aware. Further, these methods can convert nonresponse into informative data; validate survey instruments; serve as mechanism checks; be hard for a subject to “game”; work across different languages and analogize well to real-world situations. In sum, text as behavior can help address a range of issues related to quantifying attitudes and actions.

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Gabriela Greilinger @gabrielagreilinger.com · 05/05/2026

Sounds interesting! Looking forward to reading this ⬇️ www.cambridge.org/core/element...

Cambridge Element: "Abandoning Democracy for the nation" by Filip Milacic

Abstract: This Element contributes to a better understanding of the burning question of why voters support politicians who subvert democracy. Instead of focusing on the usual explanations such as polarization or populism, the Element breaks new ground by focusing ontheinterplay between democracy andnationalism. By relying on the experiences of five countries (Serbia, Poland, Hungary, Israel, and Turkey) and using exclusive data obtained through surveys and interviews with actors involved, the Element answers three key questions: (1) How the subversion of democracy in the name of the nation unfolds, (2) Why many voters acquiesce to the subversion of democracy by nationalist elites, and (3) What matters in resisting the attacks on democracy with nationalist appeals. The answers to these questions reconcile demand-side and supply-side findings on democratic backsliding and shed new light on how to fight back more successfully.

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Margarete Stokowski @margaowski.bsky.social · 12/12/2025

falls jmd denkt, in dem text steht es bestimmt differenzierter drin — absolut nicht

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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 25/10/2025

⚠️New paper fothcoming in POQ! ⚠️ With @marcjacob.bsky.social and @seanjwestwood.bsky.social, we worried about norm-violating local politicians rising to higher office. We tested when voters defect from such politicians in local, state and federal races. osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵...

Preprint: Levels of Office and Voter Accountability for Democratic Norm Violations

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner: Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries Harmonized roles/policy areas Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940 Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p ⬇️

doi.org

GESIS-Suche

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taz @taz.de · 25/08/2025

Ex-Vizekanzler Habeck verlässt den Bundestag. Die Grünen hätten ihre neue Rolle nun gefunden, sagt er der taz. Und dann gibt er Julia Klöckner noch eins mit.

taz.de

Robert Habeck tritt ab: „Ich will nicht wie ein Gespenst über die Flure laufen“

Ex-Vizekanzler Habeck verlässt den Bundestag. Die Grünen hätten ihre neue Rolle nun gefunden, sagt er der taz. Und dann gibt er Julia Klöckner noch eins mit.

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Daniel Schade @danielschade.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

While Merz has now been elected, this will be a stain on the chancellorship from the beginning. This 2nd vote today was made possible due to the statesmanship of the opposition Greens and Die Linke groups.

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Greta Schenke @gretaschenke.bsky.social · 05/05/2025

The helmets, the torches, ... the optics of Großer Zapfenstreich are questionable and uncomfortable. And yet, the band and their interpretations of popular music are oddly impressive.

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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 24/04/2025

In one of the most profound and thought-provoking contributions to political science of recent years, Steffen Ganghof proposes an alternative view of Australia (as well as the Australian federal states, and Japan) as semi-parliamentary forms of government. library.oapen.org/handle/20.50...

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Andreas Wiedemann @awiedemann.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

Out now! "GERDA: The German Election Database." GERDA provides comprehensive municipal, state, and federal election results at the municipality level between 1990 and 2021. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

nature.com

GERDA: The German Election Database - Scientific Data

Scientific Data - GERDA: The German Election Database

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Rebecca Kittel @rebeccakittel.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

🚨Publication Alert Very happy to share that my second PhD paper is now out with @govandopp.bsky.social 🤗🎉 Do populist politicians use simpler language? I analyse 30 years of parliamentary discourse to shed light on that question! 👇 Full article: doi.org/10.1017/gov.... #OpenAccess

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Anne Rabe @annerabe.bsky.social · 07/03/2025

Die Angriffe auf die Zivilgesellschaft durch die CDU in trauter Einheit mit der AfD gehen weiter. Nach dem der Landkreis Bautzen, der seit langem für seinen rechtsoffenen Landrat Udo Witschas und seine offen rechtsextreme Szene bekannt ist, hat nun auch Salzwedel bewilligte Bundesgelder für 1/3

belltower.news

Nächste Kommune lehnt Fördermittel für Demokratiearbeit ab

Die nächste Kommune lehnt Fördermittel für Demokratiearbeit ab. Wie lässt sich Demokratieförderung in Salzwedel und anderswo sichern? Von Timo Reinfrank.

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Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

MASSIVE FISCAL PACKAGE OUT OF BERLIN: 12-20%+ of GDP. - 500 billion fund for public investment - All defence spending above 1% of GDP not counted for debt brake. - Federal states can borrow 0.35% p.y. for investment. Germany is back - economically and militarily. 1/x

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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Der Aufstieg der Linken fasziniert mich. Ich hatte da so eine Vermutung und tatsächlich ist es so: Die Linke gewinnt dort wo die Grünen verlieren. Der Zusammenhang ist bemerkenswert, der Zusammenhang zu Gewinnen/Verlusten der SPD andersrum und zu denen der CDU nicht vorhanden.

Starke positive Korrelation zwischen Linken Zugewinnen und Grünen Verlusten in Wahlkreisen.

Negative Korrelation zwischen Linken Zugewinnen und SPD Verlusten in den Wahlkreisen.

Keine Korrelation zwischen Linken Zugewinnen/Verlusten und CDU Zugewinnen/Verlusten in den Wahlkreisen.

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Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Remarkable: Merz wants to discuss reforming debt brake in the *outgoing* Bundestag, where CDU/CSU+SPD+Greens still have over 2/3 of seats, before new Bundestag is constituted by 25 March. Greens already signalled willingness this morning.

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Gabriela Greilinger @gabrielagreilinger.com · 23/02/2025

Also interesting in this regard is the gap in the far-right vote between young men and young women. @tabouchadi.bsky.social discusses this here and shows that far-right parties are increasingly in young men's "consideration set": bristoluniversitypressdigital.com/view/journal...

bristoluniversitypressdigital.com

A gendered far-right wave among young voters in Western Europe?

"A gendered far-right wave among young voters in Western Europe?" published on 13 Dec 2024 by Bristol University Press.

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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 24/02/2025

NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany: Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left. www.ft.com/content/29fd...

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Matthew Shugart @laderafrutal.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

With the German election looming (23 February), I am re-upping this post about the new electoral system, and why it no longer fits the proper definition of a mixed-member system. fruitsandvotes.wordpress.com/2025/02/21/g...

fruitsandvotes.wordpress.com

Germany’s electoral system after the Constitutional Court ruling

It is doubtful, as I shall explain, whether the German system, after this reform, should continue to be called mixed-member proportional (MMP)

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Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

*And* despite some thousands of German citizens in North America (and probably other continents) not receiving the ballot on time. A really huge number if you compare to US, UK and France in 2024 (all around 60%)

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

Merz just said on German TV that the primary priority of his government will be to ensure that Europe can achieve full strategic independence from the United States in the defence against Russia. Merz was once a die hard Atlanicist. Now, after Trump he is a Gaullist. Extraordinary.

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Robert Fietzke @robertfietzke.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

Unabhängig davon, was heute Abend rauskommt: Dieser Wahlkampf war die Hölle. Eine Dauerkakophonie der Menschenfeindlichkeit. Ein Überbietungswettbewerb der Boshaftigkeit. Vielen Menschen hat das große Angst gemacht. Für sie bedeutet der Abend heute zumindest eine Atempause.

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

Very interesting to look at the age distribution in the exit poll. The SPD which already did very poorly with young voters last time continues to loose further there - a party of pensioners. Interestingly, also huge losses for the Greens among young voters and massive gains for the Linke.

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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

More importantly, as always, SPD is NOT the main supplier of new AfD voters. Most new AfD voters did not vote in 2021 (not only first voters!). Right-wing parties CDU and FDP were main suppliers. Despite hype, BSW took virtually nothing from AfD.

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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

First exit polls are in, and it is extremely tight. The ZDF has both FDP and BSW in, which means only a three party coalition can work, whereas the ARD has both just bout failing to enter parliament, allowing for an CDU/CSU & SPD coalition. This will be a long night for German politics.

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Isabella M. Weber @isabellamweber.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

As a German living abroad, I like probably 100.000s didn’t get my ballot in time to vote in today’s election, an election that will see the strongest result for a far right party since WWII. AfD reinvents Hitler as Communist. One of their leaders can legally be called fascist.

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Matthias Meisner @meisnerwerk.bsky.social · 22/02/2025

Es war ein Problem mit Ansage, nun ist der Frust rund um den Globus groß. Die kurzen Fristen bei der vorgezogenen Bundestagswahl führen zu Ärger bei Wählenden im Ausland. Wahlunterlagen kommen zu spät an - oder gar nicht www.tagesschau.de/inland/bunde...

tagesschau.de

Wahlrecht: Bleiben viele Deutsche im Ausland diesmal außen vor?

Es war ein Problem mit Ansage, nun ist der Frust rund um den Globus groß. Die kurzen Fristen bei der vorgezogenen Neuwahl führen zu Ärger bei Wählenden im Ausland. Wahlunterlagen kommen zu spät an - o...

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

Some thoughts and pointers on the upcoming German elections on Sunday. Nearly all polling institutes have released final polls in the last days that show a very similar picture. It is nearly certain that the CDU/CSU will come out on top and Friedrich Merz is going to be the next Chancellor. 1/

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Yiqing Xu @yiqingxu.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R. yiqingxu.org/packages/fec... Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Germany, Ipsos poll: CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+2) AfD-ESN: 20% (-1) SPD-S&D: 15% (-1) GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% LINKE-LEFT: 7% (+3) FDP-RE: 5% (+1) BSW-NI: 5% +/- vs. 30-31 January 2025 Fieldwork: 12-19 February 2025 Sample size: 2,000 ➤ europeelects.eu/germany

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Christian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

The Left now wins seats in 72 out of 100 simulations in our German election model. www.economist.com/interactive/...

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Wahlrecht.de @wahlrecht.de · 18/02/2025

Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl • Forsa für RTL/n-tv: CDU/CSU 30 % | AfD 20 % | SPD 16 % | GRÜNE 13 % | DIE LINKE 7 % | FDP 5 % | BSW 4 % | Sonstige 5 % ➤ Übersicht: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/ ➤ Verlauf: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/for...

Säulendiagramm der Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl von Forsa für RTL und n-tv

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Wahlrecht.de @wahlrecht.de · 17/02/2025

Sonntagsfrage von YouGov zur Bundestagswahl: CDU/CSU 27 % | AfD 20 % | SPD 17 % | GRÜNE 12 % | DIE LINKE 9 % | BSW 5 % | FDP 4 % | Sonstige 5 % ➤ Übersicht: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/ ➤ Verlauf: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/you... #btw2025 #Bundestagswahl2025

Säulendiagramm der Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl von YouGov

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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 15/02/2025

Always too late & just enough to prevent failure but never enough to ensure success. "Failing Forward" is the 🇪🇺 way (www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....), driven by 🇩🇪 Merkeling. The common borrowing that needs to happen is on a Hamiltonian scale no one in 🇩🇪 wants to admit: bsky.app/profile/mcop...

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Christian Rauh @chrauh.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

🚨 #Data alert 📣 We just released #ParlLawSpeech – full texts of more than 40k bills, 28k laws, and 3 mio. parliamentary speeches from 7 countries (AT, CZ, DE, DK, ES, HR, HU) and the EU! If you study democracy with #TextAsData / #NLP methods, this is for you! A short 🧵 (1/3) #PoliSkyData #polisky

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Ronja Sczepanski @ronjasczepanski.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

With the amazing Jana Lipps and @giorgiomalet.bsky.social we have a new publication in ISQ! We explore and theorize citizens’ preferences for border securing policies using open-ended survey responses and a conjoint experiment academic.oup.com/isq/article/...

academic.oup.com

Understanding Preferences over Borders

Abstract. The governance of international borders has evolved into a contentious issue of political competition along the cosmopolitan-nationalistic divide

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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 08/02/2025

2 weeks before election day, hundreds of thousands march to protest against the #farright in #Germany. In Munich alone, at least 200,000 people attended a rally

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Aviel Roshwald @avielroshwald.bsky.social · 02/02/2025

250,000 demonstrators in Berlin protesting center-right CDU’s cooperation with neo-fascist AfD in passing anti-immigration legislation.

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Jacob Edenhofer @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social · 09/01/2025

I’ll collect some useful resources on the upcoming German election in this🧵over the next couple of days. First up: “The Changing German Voter”. global.oup.com/academic/pro...

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