iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jens Wäckerle

Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

New working paper w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social @rantuna.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com! *Does publicly refusing to cooperate with the far right only strengthen it?* A widespread belief says yes. In this paper, we test it based on a natural experiment from Spain. tinyurl.com/5azkfnas [1/6]

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

I want thank all world powers for creating *waves hands* all this, which ultimately led me to have a stopover in london instead of flying directly to conference week.

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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review. It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.

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Jannik Jansen @jannikjansen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

Today’s Omnibus vote has rolled over an already perforated cordon sanitaire in the European Parliament. For the first time, the EPP sided with far-right groups on a file key to the Commission’s agenda. Make no mistake: this was no accident and it’s unclear whether the centrist coalition can recover🧵

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

New from @erc.europa.eu project #MINORITYRULE with @sopro.bsky.social: We study voters’ knowledge about and perceptions of minority governments in 🇩🇰, 🇩🇪 and 🇸🇪. Link: doi.org/10.1017/S147... When survey researchers or politicians talk about minority governments, what do voters understand? ⬇️

Screenshot of the start of the paper. Title (Political knowledge and perceptions of minority governments in Europe), authors (Jens Wäckerle and Sven-Oliver Proksch) and journal (European Journal of Political Research)

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner: Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries Harmonized roles/policy areas Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940 Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p ⬇️

doi.org

GESIS-Suche

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Bruno Castanho Silva @bcastanho.bsky.social · 18/09/2025

The current consensus in political science is that Nazis hating me and me hating Nazis are both equal parts of the ~polarization problem

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Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · 08/09/2025

Blog post: github.com/sophieehill/... TL;DR: There are a LOT of errors/inconsistencies in the results reported in this paper (estimates outside CIs, sign errors, duplicates, asymmetric CIs). Even in the abstract itself! This suggests manual editing of results tables. Which is not good... 🧵

Summary
Unfortunately, this example is not an isolated issue.

Across 9 appendix tables with 256 regression coefficients, I find:

5 cases of estimates outside their reported confidence interval
46 duplicates (i.e. estimate/CI combinations with an identical match in the same table)
At least 20 cases of asymmetric confidence intervals, which cannot be explained as rounding errors
17 values rounded to 4 decimal places (all others to 3 decimal places), indicating manual editing of tables
Over 50% of all estimates and confidence intervals are multiples of 0.008
It is difficult to diagnose exactly what is going on without access to the underlying data and code.

However, two broad conclusions can be drawn:

There are many errors and inconsistencies in the results which appear to be the result of manual editing.
There are strange patterns in the results which, if genuine, should have been noted and explained by the authors.

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Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 10/09/2025

The pretty draft is now online. Link to paper (free): www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.... Our replication package starts from the raw data and we put real work into making it readable & setting it up so people could poke at it, so please do explore it: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

The social sciences face a replicability crisis. A key determinant of replication success is statistical power. We assess the
power of political science research by collating over 16,000 hypothesis tests from about 2,000 articles in 46 areas of the
discipline. Under generous assumptions, we show that quantitative research in political science is greatly underpow-
ered: the median analysis has about 10% power, and only about 1 in 10 tests have at least 80% power to detect the
consensus effects reported in the literature. We also find substantial heterogeneity in tests across research areas, with
some being characterized by high power but most having very low power. To contextualize our findings, we survey
political methodologists to assess their expectations about power levels. Most methodologists greatly overestimate the
statistical power of political science research.

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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 07/08/2025

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

It tells us so much about the debate around immigration that the first response by journalists and politicians here is not: does this mean they are over- or underrepresented? This bias and ignorance used to be limited to the most lurid and hateful parts of the media. It is now a standard response.

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Fabio Votta📊🐧 @favstats.eu · 21/07/2025

I'm adding to the Seoul novelty hats as political science concepts collection: Comments from Reviewer 2

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

Seoul novelty hats as political science concepts. A thread. 1. Quantitative methods

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 26/06/2025

Very excited to be part of this new association, a great future ahead for European political science.

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GESIS Training @gesistraining.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Need causal insights into how people make decisions? Conjoint survey experiments let you unpack complex choices in realistic settings. Learn to design, implement, and analyze them in our #GESISsummerschool course with @phanxi.bsky.social & Lukas Rudolph. Book Now ➡️ t1p.de/GSS25-C6

GESIS Summer School in Survey Methodolgy
Introduction to Conjoint Survey Experiments
04 to 08 August | Cologne
Franziska Quoß (GESIS) & Lukas Rudolph (University of Konstanz)

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Bruno Castanho Silva @bcastanho.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

Now out in an issue with proper page numbers🎉 Women in parliament, particularly in left parties, adapt their speaking style over the years to fit the male-dominated hierarchies of parties and parliaments With the best coauthors one could ask for @dmpullan.bsky.social @jwaeckerle.bsky.social

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library

Women in male-dominated organizations often must adopt more stereotypical masculine traits to advance within those hierarchies. While politics, historically male-dominated, should induce women to ble...

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Franziska Quoß @phanxi.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

📢 Our latest research (with L. Rudolph, @uni-konstanz.de) on operationalizing natural experiments, particularly extreme weather, has just been accepted @thejop.bsky.social 🌦️Natural experiments offer a unique way to analyze causal effects in real-world settings. But operationalization is often messy:

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Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 17/03/2025

If you are interested in how to design survey experiments in the social sciences, I am teaching a course on exactly that @methodsnet.bsky.social Vienna summer school at CEU! Early bird discount applies through 26 March 👇. Looking forward to meeting you ☺️ methodsnet.org/course/d01-0...

methodsnet.org

D01-01AM: Designing Survey Experiments – Methodsnet

Not a Member yet? Check out the long list of benefits here – Student Membership from only €33.00 and FREE for some locations! > Courses > D01-01AM: Design

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Christian Rauh @chrauh.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

🚨 #Data alert 📣 We just released #ParlLawSpeech – full texts of more than 40k bills, 28k laws, and 3 mio. parliamentary speeches from 7 countries (AT, CZ, DE, DK, ES, HR, HU) and the EU! If you study democracy with #TextAsData / #NLP methods, this is for you! A short 🧵 (1/3) #PoliSkyData #polisky

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GESIS Training @gesistraining.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

📢 Ready to dive into computational text analysis with #rstats? Join @dielea.bsky.social, @janschwalbach.bsky.social & @jwaeckerle.bsky.social for the #GESISworkshop and gain hands-on skills to enhance your research! More info & registration ➡️ t1p.de/comp-text-an...

GESIS Workshop
Introduction to Computational Text Analysis with R
Lea Kaftan and Jan Schwalbach (both GESIS) & Jens Wäckerle (Cologne Center for Comparative Politics)
Online from 01 to 03 April 2025

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Sarah Engler @saengler.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

This 👇👇 Wenn die deutsche Politik schon die Augen vor Forschungsergebnissen verschliesst, könnten sie doch wenigstens von den Nachbarländern lernen. Es ist nur noch schwer zu ertragen

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Dr. Sarah Wagner @sarahwagner.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

»Eine richtige Entscheidung wird nicht dadurch falsch, dass die Falschen zustimmen. Sie bleibt richtig«, sagt Merz. Fraktion CDU/CSU so:

media.tenor.com

a man in a military uniform is asking are we the baddies .

ALT: a man in a military uniform is asking are we the baddies .

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Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 25/01/2025

In Merz‘ lautesten Forderungen der letzten Monate zeigt sich eine fatale Linie: Eine (un)gewollte Zerstörung der europäischen Integration. Wer Grenzkontrollen & -Schließungen fordert, Regierungsparteien zum Europarechtsbruch aufruft & Vorrang von EU-Recht gg. nationalem Recht einreißen will 🧵 1/6

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 20/01/2025

Pretty much exactly 80 years after the liberation of Auschwitz, the richest man in the world uses the Nazi salute at the inauguration of his close ally as US president. What should rationally not be surprising is still so deeply shocking and simply difficult to comprehend.

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Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 16/01/2025

🚨 You are looking for a PhD position in political science & your planned research broadly fits into comparative politics or political behavior? Then join us in Vienna! We offer a 4-year position to pursue your own topic👇. Benefits include good salary & supervision. jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...

jobs.univie.ac.at

University assistant predoctoral

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Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

Romania has started voting in a Presidential Election, which has flown largely under the international media radar, despite the country’s strategic importance to the EU/NATO & a real possibility that RO could elect either its first pro Russian far right president or its first woman President.(1)

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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 05/11/2024

Watching election night coverage

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Bruno Castanho Silva @bcastanho.bsky.social · 12/06/2024

Finally out! We look at 6.8 million parl speeches in 24 countries over 30+ years, finding that women speak in a more masculine style the longer they stay in office With amazing coauthors @dmpullan.bsky.social @jwaeckerle.bsky.social #polisky #gendersky onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Blending in or standing out? Gendered political communication in 24 democracies

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Verena Kunz @verenakunz.bsky.social · 29/05/2024

Next Wednesday (📅 June 5) at 17:00, the last Text-as-Data Speaker Series talk for this spring term will take place feat. @jwaeckerle.bsky.social! Join us to learn more about the genderedness of parliamentary discourse and legislative power in a comparative perspective 🌟

The image shows the invitation for the next talk of the TaDa Reading Group by Jens Wäckerle, titled Undermining the Parliamentary Patriarchy: Women, Political Speech, and Power around the World. It takes place on Wednesday, June 5 at 17:00 Berlin time.

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Yannis Theocharis @yannistheocharis.bsky.social · 24/01/2024

[New Paper] with @franziskapradel.bsky.social, @janzilinsky.bsky.social & @spyroskosmidis.bsky.social now out in APSR! So happy with this piece which significantly reflects the trajectory of our research agenda at the Chair of Digital Governance! polisky Commsky www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Danielle Pullan @dmpullan.bsky.social · 26/09/2023

Excited to share that our (@bcastanho.bsky.social & @jwaeckerle.bsky.social) paper will be out soon in AJPS! We investigate how women MPs adapt to their environment, finding that over time women speak in more masculine ways, particularly women in progressive parties. s.gwdg.de/ecTNEN

Abstract for the paper titled "Blending in or standing out? Gendered political communication in 24 democracies" that can be read at the link in this post

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