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Tadeas Cely

@celytadeas.bsky.social
427 followers 358 following 128 posts

Postdoc in political science (Aarhus‬ University), on the job market Working on ideology, polarization, and how to save democracy from ourselves tadeascely.github.io

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Reposted by Tadeas Cely
Pedro Magalhães @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The Atlas of Social Attitudes is now live: www.atlasofsocialattitudes.eu What is it, what can you do with it, and why did we build it? A short🧵. (1)
atlasofsocialattitudes.eu
Atlas of Social Attitudes
Explore comprehensive public opinion data from the European Social Survey and the European Values Survey. Discover insights across topics, countries, an...
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Guido Panzano @gpanzano.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
So thrilled to see that the @ejprjournal.bsky.social article by me and @lucatomini.bsky.social has been included in this collection “Resisting Illiberalism” by ECPR ➡️ tr.ee/QJmYQCpBKg You can find our article (open access) here👇🏼 
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
doi.org
Unity makes strength: Patterns of democratic resistance against autocratization | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Unity makes strength: Patterns of democratic resistance against autocratization
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Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Ideologies differ across generations in Central and Eastern Europe, but not by much. Hrbková et al. find that, while there were modest generational differences in the early 2000s, these differences have since diminished considerably. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
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Zeljko Poljak @zeljkopoljak.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
When politicians mock and insult each other, is this communication strategic OR is it simply reflective of who they are as people? Our new study shows that such communication is predominantly strategic, but how much politicians use it depends on their individual traits. ➡️ doi.org/10.1177/1940...
doi.org
Incivility Among Politicians: Driven by Rational Minds or Personal Drives? - Željko Poljak, Bart Maes, 2026
There is growing concern about politicians engaging in incivility by mocking and insulting each other. While prior research often explains such discourse throug...
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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
🏛️ Do party youth wings get a real say? @sofiamarini.bsky.social and @henrikseeberg.bsky.social hand-code 57 youth wing statutes from 11 countries. Most of them have high levels of internal democracy and autonomy from the senior party but low access to the senior party. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Description of the article "How political parties' youth wings are organised: comparative evidence from 57 statutes in 11 countries" by Sofia Marini and Henrik Bech Seeberg, published online first in West European Politics.
Scatter plot of internal democracy in the parent party (x-axis) against internal democracy in its youth wing (y-axis), one marker per pair, with several cases labelled (SF, Forza Italia, Parti Socialiste, Høyre). The fitted line is almost flat and the association is not statistically significant, so knowing how internally democratic a senior party is tells you little about its youth wing.
Small-multiple plot showing the distribution of internal democracy, autonomy and access for the youth wings of each of the 11 countries, with medians marked. Youth wings look more alike within a country than across countries: autonomy is uniformly high in Denmark, Norway and Sweden but low and dispersed in Italy, France and Portugal, and access sits near zero almost everywhere except a few Finnish and Italian cases. Country differences account for much of the variation in internal democracy and autonomy, while party family accounts for essentially none.
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Where do governments turn for policy knowledge? In 185 countries, evidence cited in policy documents is dominated by a few Global North countries, with the 🇺🇸 at the centre. Our paper (w/ @seramirezruiz.bsky.social ) is now out in the July issue of @nathumbehav.nature.com. 🔗 doi.org/10.1038/s415...
Four-panel figure: world maps showing that the US and UK dominate both government-to-government citations (H-index) and cited academic authorship; a table of the top 20 countries, led by the USA (H-index 44; 43% of cited papers); and distribution plots showing that across all world regions, most foreign citations go to sources from developed economies.
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
This paper is now online and #OpenAccess. While you are at @poqjournal.bsky.social, you can also check out our article with @marcjacob.bsky.social and @seanjwestwood.bsky.social on accountability for democratic norm violations in races for different political offices: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
doi.org
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Kristian Frederiksen @kristianvsf.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
New public pre-print with @aarslew.bsky.social and Martin Bisgaard 🧵 We introduce a perspective on democratic erosion that focuses on quiet anticipation among political elites: what do they think happens to those who cross a strongman that challenges democracy? www.researchgate.net/publication/...
researchgate.net
(PDF) The Imagined Strongman: How Elites Anticipate the Cost of Opposing Trump
PDF | What happens to politicians who speak up against a strongman that challenges democracy? Political scientists typically answer this question using... | Find, read and cite all the research you ne...
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
I am considering this for all my future conference presentations! :)
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Tobias Widmann @twidmann.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
📢 I’m hiring 2 three-year postdocs at Dept of Political Science, @au.dk! Come work with me on The Politics of Shaming and Shamelessness — a new project on elite rhetoric, emotions, norms, hostility and political violence. Deadline: 31 August 2026 Start: Dec 2026–Feb 2027 Please share widely! 🙏
international.au.dk
2 three-year postdocs in political communication and political psychology at Aarhus University - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
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Sol Messing @solmg.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
New in Nature: LLMs give "the party line" in the languages of authoritarian regimes. This works when they control the media, which feeds pretraining data. We show more state control over the media means less critical LLMs. 6 studies spanning 38 languages & 13 models. Details ↓
Scatter plot of 38 countries plus China showing the proportion of LLM responses favorable to the regime in the local language vs. World Press Freedom Index score. Lower press freedom predicts more regime-favorable responses; all production models pooled.
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
New paper out in Nature Human Behaviour. "Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources" with @seramirezruiz.bsky.social DOI: doi.org/10.1038/s415... Ungated: rdcu.be/fh0Ss
doi.org
Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources - Nature Human Behaviour
This analysis of 1.2 million policy documents from 185 countries identifies global inequalities in whose knowledge is cited in policymaking. Governments in the Global South rely more on foreign source...
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Hot Politics Lab @hotpoliticslab.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
🎓 This Friday (May 8), our very own Bert Bakker will give a talk on strengthening democracy with interventions. 📍 Location: Common Room (REC-B9.22) 💻 Or online 👉 teams.microsoft.com/dl/launcher/... We hope you join us on Friday!
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Andrew Trexler @atrexler.com · 24/04/2026
Thrilled to announce my paper with @dianamejordan.bsky.social & sky-less Trent Ollerenshaw is now published open-access at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. In a (very) large replication & extension, we show that design effects of repeated measure experiments are nonzero but typically small. Thread:
Abstract for "New Evidence and Design Considerations for Repeated Measure Experiments in Survey Research" by Diana Jordan, Trent Ollerenshaw, and Andrew Trexler, published in the American Political Science Review. The abstract text reads: "We re-examine recent influential claims that repeated measure experimental designs offer large precision gains without biasing treatment effect estimates in survey research. We test these claims by experimentally varying the design of six classic political science experiments across three distinct large samples of U.S. adults (total N = 13,163). In contrast to prior evidence, we observe consistent attenuation of treatment effects in repeated measure designs. However, we show in simulations that this average design effect is small enough, and the precision gains large enough, that we recommend repeated measure designs for broad application—though (large-N) post-only designs may be preferable when research priorities include estimating the precise magnitude of a treatment effect. We additionally explore how several design considerations affect the bias-precision trade-off, such as within-subject versus between-groups designs, the relative separation of repeated measures within single surveys, and differences in respondent characteristics across sample types."
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Sofia Marini @sofiamarini.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
📢 New publication! 📢 So happy to see this paper finally out @epsrjournal.bsky.social ! Looking at public perceptions of party positions in 29 elections across 20 European countries, I test whether populist radical parties are seen as more moderate when they are part of a government coalition. 👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼
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Jule Kegel @julekgl.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Are you a policymaker, teacher, practitioner, academic in political science, psychology, education or related field? We’re inviting experts to complete a short survey on youth political participation: tinyurl.com/ywnseae3 For every completion, we’ll donate €1.20 to UNICEF. Please share!
tinyurl.com
Qualtrics Survey | Qualtrics Experience Management
The most powerful, simple and trusted way to gather experience data. Start your journey to experience management and try a free account today.
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PNAS Nexus @pnasnexus.org · 19/03/2026
An analysis of politicians’ public statements reveals that personal insults don’t increase donations or the probability of reelection—but ad hominem attacks do increase media attention, likely the end goal for an emerging subset of politicians. In PNAS Nexus: ow.ly/VSz150Ywsrj
Most legislators do not make many personal attacks, but there are extreme outliers, with some attacking at more than 10 times the overall mean. Attacks are also 3 times more common on social media than in speeches, press releases, and newsletters.
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Eventful weekend! In 🇨🇿, a pro-democracy grassroots movement showed striking strength. Around 250,000 people mobilized across diverse views and party allegiances (though mostly critical of the current government), united in their commitment to democracy. www.expats.cz/czech-news/a...
expats.cz
Hundreds of thousands fill Prague's Letná Plain to protest Czech government
An estimated 250,000 people gathered in Letná on Saturday as organizers warned of democratic backsliding and criticized the Babiš government.
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David Broockman @dbroockman.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
New short paper w @jkalla.bsky.social ! Candidates gain from moderation, but less than many theories expect. Many conclude voters must not care about issues. This is wrong. Small *average* effects mask large effects on specific issues & are consistent with widespread issue-based voting 🧵
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
🎉Excited to share our forthcoming paper in POQ! And don’t worry—it’s not all about our mums 😉. With @lenkahrbkova.bsky.social and @matejjung.bsky.social, we ask: did younger generations in post-communist Europe develop more conventional left–right belief systems? Tl;dr: not really. (🧵)
We share a new article, forthcoming in Public Opinion Quarterly, titled: Not Your Mama’s Ideology (But Close) Modest Generational Differences in Ideological Alignment in Post-Communist Europe. The picture shows its title page on OSF.
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Kristina Bakkær Simonsen @kristinabsimonsen.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
🔥 POSTDOC POSITIONS ON CHILDREN'S POLITICAL SOCIALIZATION 🔥 Wanna understand young people's beliefs about political leadership, politics, and power? Then this is your chance! I'm looking for two 2-year postdocs to join my ERC-funded research project @au.dk international.au.dk/about/profil...
international.au.dk
2 two-year postdocs on children’s political socialization at Aarhus University - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
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Yamil Ricardo Velez @yamilrvelez.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social): Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.
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Scholars Working on East European Politics @sweep-workshop.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
🚨 A reminder! 🚨 The call for our Spring/Summer 2026 series is due THIS Friday, March 6 @ 11:59PST. Presenters only need an abstract to submit: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com
EEPGW Call for Papers Spring/Summer 2026
Hi all, The East European Politics Grad Workshop welcomes submissions for Spring/Summer 2026 paper presentations. The EEPGW online workshop will be held one Friday a month between 11:00-12:00 AM ES...
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Great event. I highly recommend applying.
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Christopher Barrie @cbarrie.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about... 🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples? We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...
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Benjamin Lauderdale @benlauderdale.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Nick Vivyan, Chris Hanretty (@chanret.bsky.social) and I have a new book out: “Idiosyncratic Issue Opinion and Political Choice”. The core of the book is making the argument that citizens’ views about political issues neither reduce to an ideological orientation nor to a lack of substance. (1/10)
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LSE European Politics @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Czech President Petr Pavel and a hundred thousand protesters have shown how liberal democracy can prevail against illiberalism. ✍ @jrovny.bsky.social @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
How Petr Pavel and 100,000 protesters held illiberalism at bay
Czech President Petr Pavel’s unflinching position combined with organised civic mobilisation have shown how liberal democracy can prevail against illiberalism.
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Isabella Rebasso @isabellareb.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
🎉 New paper out in Political Behavior (with @gijsschumacher.bsky.social & @mrooduijn.bsky.social) Why do some people feel stronger emotions about politics than others? 💡Not political knowledge, but interest and confidence-in-knowledge drive emotional engagement. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🧵
link.springer.com
Disentangling the Sophistication-Emotion Link: Political Interest and Confidence-in-Knowledge, but not Knowledge, Drive Emotional Responses - Political Behavior
Why do some people feel stronger emotions about politics than others? Past work suggests that political sophistication, consisting of knowledge and interest, is related to feeling strong emotions abou...
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Jona de Jong @jonadejong.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15
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Arnout van de Rijt @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
My colleague Kevin Munger asked me and a bunch of editors to sit and think through AI and peer review. Our take: osf.io/9sxnc/files/... We envision an increased (!) involvement of humans in the evaluation of social science.
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
📰While I read all sorts of bizarre depictions of the Davos speech in American media, I’ve got to love the simplicity of Czech public radio. The headline reads: Ungrateful Canada, Denmark, and Europe on the wrong path. In Davos, Trump scolded the world, praising only himself.
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Magda Breyer @mabreyer.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝 We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions. 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
Abstract
It is widely accepted in political science – and remarkably established in public discourse – that status anxieties fuel a far right backlash against progressive politics. This narrative suggests that right-wing conservatives perceive the status of women, racial, or sexual minorities as threatening. Using open-ended survey questions fielded in Germany, we show that women and minorities indeed figure in people’s perceptions of status hierarchies, but in very specific ways: First, overall, people still perceive status as largely socioeconomically determined. Second, sociocultural groups figure in perceptions of who is gaining/losing status, less so in perceptions of the top/bottom of society. Third, more than conservative voters, it is social progressives who mention women and minorities as “winners”. While on race/ethnicity, we find evidence for a backlash, on gender and sexuality we find more evidence for a progressive momentum. This matters for progressive politics today and for how we empirically study status concerns.
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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
NEW ARTICLE: @palesl.bsky.social, Vesa Koskimaa and I have an letter out in JOP, "Politicians talk less about the future as they age" doi.org/10.1086/739406 (1/10)
doi.org
Legislators talk less about the future as they age | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
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Isolde Hegemann @isoldehegemann.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
I ran a simulated social media experiment with 1450 Republicans to test different fact-checking interventions. AI produced the largest decrease in engagement with Trump misinformation, outperforming independent fact-checkers and doing so far more consistently than Community Notes.
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
⚠️New paper fothcoming in POQ! ⚠️ With @marcjacob.bsky.social and @seanjwestwood.bsky.social, we worried about norm-violating local politicians rising to higher office. We tested when voters defect from such politicians in local, state and federal races. osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵...
Preprint: Levels of Office and Voter Accountability for Democratic Norm Violations
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Polarization Research Lab @prl.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Job 🚨! PRL is looking for a postdoc based at Dartmouth College for next year. Candidates should bring advanced data skills and enjoy writing. Read more about our work at polarizationresearchlab.org and apply through Interfolio by February 15, 2026: apply.interfolio.com/175722
polarizationresearchlab.org
Polarization Research Lab
Research on the origins, effects, limits and solutions to polarization
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
🇨🇿 Today’s Czech vote went little differently than polls suggested — centrist populism dominates, extremists underperformed. The next coalition is uncertain, but a minority ANO government backed by the radical right looks likely. Now all depends on coalition talks and what they can secure in return.
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Scholars Working on East European Politics @sweep-workshop.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
🎉 We're excited to share our Fall/Winter 2025-26 schedule! We have a stellar lineup of research highlighting cases from Central Europe to Central Asia🎉 Workshops are on Fridays 5pmCET/11amET/8amPST with links+papers shared on our list-serv the week before. Sign up here⤵️ eepg-workshop.github.io
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Derek Holliday @derekholliday.com · 23/09/2025
New in PNAS with @seanjwestwood.bsky.social and @ylelkes.bsky.social: Why depolarization is hard: Evaluating attempts to decrease partisan animosity in America @prl.bsky.social @pnas.org www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
Now it has also been published in an issue! But I’m curious—and increasingly worried—about how this will look in a year or two.
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
👉Check out our new publication in @electoralstudies.bsky.social (with Toth & Chytilek)! Using eye-tracking and surveys, we test whether framing political issues in moral terms attracts more attention than presenting them with facts. Surprisingly, facts hold a slight advantage doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
doi.org
Redirecting
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
In real time, we can observe very different approaches to the Kirk assassination. Cox (R) places the blame on the attacker, while Trump does not hesitate to politicize it. We have a parallel in 🇸🇰, continuing for months. Politicization can easily succeed. A paper on this topic is in progress.
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Karel Kouba @karelkouba.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
A job opening for comparativists!
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 18/08/2025
📊We collected data from the public and from political scientists in 🇨🇿 to assess the state of the field. We now provide a dashboard of results. 𝐖𝐡𝐲 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞? With traditional centers strained, CEE could expand the academic labor market, attract foreign talent, and integrate into the global community.
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Scholars Working on East European Politics @sweep-workshop.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
🚨CFP - DEADLINE AUG 7!🚨 Apply to present at the Fall/Winter 2025-26 Series of our monthly online East European Politics Workshop for grad students! Submit your abstract BEFORE AUG 7: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... & sign up to our mailing list: eepg-workshop.github.io
forms.gle
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Slovensko je případ, který světová politologie málokdy reflektuje, i když by to leckdy stálo za to. Tak jsme se na to vrhli my :)
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Tadeas Cely @celytadeas.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
𝟒𝟑% 𝐨𝐟 🇨🇿 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐬𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐞𝐞𝐥 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐫𝐢𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐠𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐣𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐬 in our recent survey (N = 118, RR = 46%). IMO, this reflects gaps in methodological training and academic writing rather than systemic bias—but this can isolate CEE scholars from the global community. 1/3
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GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 09/07/2025
#MethodsHub #Study #helpwanted Invitation to participate: Study on method reproducibility The Methods Hub team at GESIS is conducting a study as part of the Tier2 project on how easily researchers can reproduce results from computational methods.
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
If people think American scientists are somehow going to land in Europe, I've got news for you about the difference between millions and billions. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Bar chart titled "Matters of Scale" comparing proposed US research budget cuts to the European Union's €500-million (US$571-million) "Choose Europe" fund. The chart shows:

* National Institutes of Health (NIH): $8 billion in cancelled grants and $18 billion in proposed cuts by 2026 (long orange bar).
* National Science Foundation (NSF): $5.1 billion in proposed cuts by 2026 (shorter orange bar).
* EU's Choose Europe fund: $571 million (very short blue bar).

The graphic highlights that the EU fund is much smaller in scale compared to the US budget cuts. Text above the chart explains the EU’s intention to attract US researchers in response to policy decisions by the convicted felon and rapist Donald Trump.
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
🆕 EJPR NEWS 📰 Find us here on Bluesky 🦋 @ejprjournal.bsky.social for original, peer-reviewed research on comparative European politics. Stay informed, stay connected. #PoliticalScience #EJPR #PoliSky
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