Reposted by Catarina LeãoDaniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 24/04/2026These are legitimately good post-PhD jobs for junior researchers -- we have (and have had) many fantastic young scholars as Fellows (e.g. @zachdickson.bsky.social @catarinaleao.bsky.social @lanabi.bsky.social @yuanmohe.bsky.social to name a few, along with an all star cast of alumni). Please apply! 084
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 12/04/2026Orbán's concession sets an important precedent on conceding after losing/end of term. Hopefully others will take the cue. 030
Reposted by Catarina LeãoCarl Henrik Knutsen @chknutsen.bsky.social · 17/03/2026V-Dem v.16 is now released, w. updated scores for 2025. Most countries remain stable from 2024, but some clear improvements (on diff’t democracy indices), incl. S. Korea, Sri Lanka & Mauritius. Largest declines came, by far, in the US. This figure shows 10-yr changes on the Liberal Dem. index. 314960
Reposted by Catarina Leãothicc husband and father @lukeisamazing.bsky.social · 06/03/2026how’s that going, Francis? 836283
Reposted by Catarina LeãoLSE Blogs @lseblogs.bsky.social · 10/02/2026Is hype about AI justified? Cristobal Garibay-Petersen @lse-ei.bsky.social @mlorimer.bsky.social and @neuralisa.bsky.social argue AI discourse has gone too far, limiting the space for democratic engagement with and control of the technology @lseeuroppblog.bsky.socialblogs.lse.ac.ukShould you believe the AI hype? Probably notPublic discourse around AI has gone beyond what its technical specifications warrant, limiting the space for democratic engagement and control. 043
Reposted by Catarina LeãoPOLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 09/02/2026Center-left António José Seguro was elected Portugal’s next president yesterday, defeating his far-right opponent by a two-to-one margin.politico.euCenter left beats far right to Portugal’s presidencyFormer Socialist Party leader António José Seguro defeated far-right leader André Ventura to become the country’s next head of state. 616341
Reposted by Catarina LeãoFlorian Hollenbach @fhollenbach.org · 03/02/2026🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs" We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6 39040
Reposted by Catarina LeãoFlorian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 29/01/2026Excited about chairing @bogatyrev.bsky.social in the @lsegovernment.bsky.social Political Behaviour Seminar at 4pm today. Konstantin will present his paper "Shifting Ground". Come along if you are in London, or join us on Zoom: www.lse.ac.uk/government/r... 093
Reposted by Catarina LeãoManuel Tonneau @manueltonneau.bsky.social · 27/01/2026Demographic cues (eg, names, dialect) are widely used to study how LLM behavior may change depending on user demographics. Such cues are often assumed interchangeable. 🚨 We show they are not: different cues yield different model behavior for the same group and different conclusions on LLM bias. 🧵👇 1189
Reposted by Catarina LeãoDaniel Mügge @dmugge.eurosky.social · 25/11/2025Regine Paul, Vali Stan and I have analysed how deeply #AI is entangled in global politics and corporate profit-hunting. “The AI Matrix” is the result – and the digital book-version is open access: www.agendapub.com/page/detail/... (Link doesn't work? Try this one: www.regulaite.eu/images/pdf/M...) 12112
Reposted by Catarina LeãoThe Atlantic @theatlantic.com · 22/01/2026Rejection doesn't have to be ego-shattering—and the people most likely to push through it tend to share a specific quality, Anna Holmes writes.bit.lyThe Upside of Professional RejectionThere’s a better way to approach no’s in your work life. 0143
Reposted by Catarina LeãoPaul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 21/01/2026Y’all were laughing, but once you leave the EU you start to miss the attached bottle caps real fast. 6382
Reposted by Catarina LeãoBetter Things Are Possible @internethippo.bsky.social · 21/01/2026Mafia goon: Nice house you got here...it'd be a shame if something happened to it Media outlets: Mafia goon rules out use of force. Expresses regret at the mere thought of it 58178794321
Reposted by Catarina LeãoWill Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 23/06/2025Madman theory but you're actually mad. 014018
Reposted by Catarina LeãoPavlos Vasilopoulos @pavlosvas1.bsky.social · 19/01/2026This is a great postdoc opportunity on a very interesting project on the association between discrimination and social inequality @cris-sciencespo.bsky.social www.sciencespo.fr/cris/en/news...sciencespo.frCRIS is recruiting a postdoctoral researcher for the DISEQUAL projectThe Discrimination-Inequality Cycle: Bridging Unequal Treatment and Unequal Outcomes across Countries, Regions and Workplaces 064
Reposted by Catarina LeãoVicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 17/01/2026Portugal is having a presidential election tomorrow (Sunday). It is a fairly unusual one, which is representative of how much the political landscape has changed in the country. Here is some quick context about it, in case that is of interest: 1/9 115660
Reposted by Catarina LeãoVicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 18/01/2026#tugasky: não deixem de votar hoje. Todas as eleições importam e estas, num momento em que o país está a definir o panorama político no pos-bipartidarismo, não o são menos. 082
Reposted by Catarina LeãoEleanor Power @eapower.bsky.social · 15/01/2026🚨Job alert! The ENDOW project is hiring a Research Officer in Research Database Management, to be based at @lsemethodology.bsky.social. Oversee & expand our database & contribute to research on social & economic inequality. Deadline 15 February. Share & reach out! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... 22028
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 03/01/2026Calling it “a regime-change war” fully obscures what’s actually happening right now. I doubt Trump is concerned with democratization as much as he is with waging a war to distract from problems at home, with oil extraction as a perk. 020
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 16/12/2025Very important work imo. We know surprisingly little about what “good” description actually looks like. 010
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 16/12/2025Repeat after me: replication papers are not the academic equivalent of diss tracks. 010
Reposted by Catarina Leãoghost malone ergo propter bones @proptermalone.bsky.social · 14/12/2025went to bed with a mass shooting, waking up with a different mass shooting 281389275
Reposted by Catarina LeãoFrancesc Amat @cescamat.bsky.social · 02/12/2025📢 📢 Call for Papers IV Yale–UB Historical Political Economy Workshop Organized by @Didacqueralt.bsky.social & @Cescamat.bsky.social 🎤 Keynote: Lisa Blaydes (Stanford) 📍 University of Barcelona 🗓 June 29–30, 2026 Submit your papers by Jan 21, 2026: shorturl.at/oZTNy #pleaseRT 13731
Reposted by Catarina LeãoGiovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 01/12/2025PhD opportunity at the University of Oxford. The Morelli scholarship funds a doctoral student to work with me on on democratic backsliding, strategies of democratic defense and regeneration, or the rise of illiberalism. Deadline Jan 9. More information at users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/ 13129
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 13/11/2025Applications are open for the best Postdoctoral position I’ve had the pleasure of holding. Two years of full-time research in the amazing AxPo community. I couldn’t recommend it more! 021
Reposted by Catarina LeãoSara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 07/11/2025‼️Last chance to submit your paper or panel proposal to EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is TODAY! Don’t miss out - it will be full of great political science and fun social events! 👩🏫🥳 epssnet.org/belfast-2026... 11816
Reposted by Catarina LeãoLanabi @lanabi.bsky.social · 09/10/2025New paper 🚨 “Vicarious denial: war crimes & online deliberation in Serbia” 🇷🇸 with @denisakost.bsky.social We scrape 4 news sites + reader comments and blend text-as-data (keywords; neg. binomial/logistic; BERTopic/SBERT) with critical discourse analysis to track on-topic debate & denial. 0116
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 31/08/2025Today marks the end of my fellowship at AxPo @sciencespo.bsky.social. Grateful for the freedom to pursue my research and for the brilliant colleagues who made this journey so rewarding. In particular @oliviergodechot.bsky.social, Allison Rovny, Noam Titelman, Ulysse Lojkine, Meryem Bezzaz. 171
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 20/08/2025Fellow academics, I need to replace my old Mac laptop. Do you think a MacBook Air can handle R, Stata, QGIS, etc., or do I need a MacBook Pro? Many thanks for the tips! 330
Reposted by Catarina LeãoCentre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 03/07/20253rd IAST-OXPO Conference in Political Economy Tomorrow, @catarinaleao.bsky.social will present her work "Past Benefits Today Keep Extremism Away. Authoritarian Privileges Withdrawal and the Emergence of Contemporary Extremism: Evidence from Post-WWII Italy". ⤵️ www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/news-events/... 021
Reposted by Catarina LeãoEPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/06/2025🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵 4374208
Reposted by Catarina LeãoCentre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 25/06/2025#EPSA2025 starts tomorrow! A dozen of our scholars have papers on political lotteries, challenges to democracy, autocratic legacies, the fate of mainstream parties, group-targeting in politics and media, climate politics, culture wars / backfire... 👉Details here: www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude... 1153
Reposted by Catarina LeãoVicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 23/06/2025I look forward to meeting many of you soon in Madrid for EPSA 2025. In case that’s helpful to anyone, here are some of my personal Madrid favorites: 310020
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 23/06/2025Looking for a last-minute #EPSA2025 Reception ticket. Happy to buy if anyone can’t make it. 100
Reposted by Catarina LeãoTore Wig @torewig.bsky.social · 13/06/2025According to «objective» democracy measures, we have learned nothing about the trajectory and state of democracy in the US since January. That strikes me as pretty damn absurd.. 071
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 23/05/2025If you read just one opinion piece about the latest Portuguese election, make it this one. 111
Reposted by Catarina LeãoGrigore Pop-Eleches @grigopop.bsky.social · 13/05/2025I've been running online surveys in #Romania about the presidential elections. Lots of crazy stuff but the graph below took me by surprise (and I'm someone who studies communist legacies). This is the share of the second-round vote for Simion as a function of what respondents think of Ceaușescu. 88129
Reposted by Catarina LeãoStuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 13/05/2025You've (probably) got mail! ✉️ Heading to #EPSA2025 in Madrid? Consider signing up to our buddy/mentor scheme that the diversity committee has set up to help first-time attendees navigate Europe's biggest political science conference Questions? Send them over to @alonadolinsky.com or me 🙂 36720
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 14/05/2025Overleaf is down. Use Word, or preserve your dignity by doing nothing. 030
Catarina Leão @catarinaleao.bsky.social · 09/05/2025It’s so funny how MAGA thinks the Pope is ‘woke’ for his views on migration and helping the poor—when that’s literally one of the most basic tenets of Christianity. The level of dissociation is off the charts. 180
Reposted by Catarina LeãoAdam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 25/04/2025Even established authoritarian regimes consider arresting defiant judges an extreme tactic—a serious escalation usually reserved for after one-party rule is firmly entrenched. Seeing a judge arrested in the US today should alarm everyone who values democratic governance. This cannot be allowed. 🧵 291874641
Reposted by Catarina LeãoJennifer N. Victor @jenvictor.bsky.social · 24/04/2025My first post at the newly revived @misofact.bsky.social is a nerdy take on why it seems like experts are decrying rising autocracy in thd US, but for most folks, life goes on as usual. How much authoritarianism has the US actually seen so far in Trump-II? open.substack.com/pub/misofact...open.substack.comWhen a democracy falls, do the people know?A simple four-category test applied to acts over the first 90 days of Trump-II shows autocracy rising in the US due primarily to violations of the rule of law, which many people don't perceive. 15024
Reposted by Catarina LeãoClément de Chaisemartin @cdechaisemartin.bsky.social · 18/04/2025Just posted updated version of our DID textbook! We now have drafts of all chapters, including the one on general designs! Now you can tell your friends still on X that they are DID-outdated :-) Happy easter for those of you that celebrate it. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....papers.ssrn.comCredible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural ExperimentsThis book introduces applied researchers to modern Differences-in-Differences (DID) methods, that they can use to obtain credible answers to hard causal inferen 1225678