Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 3hAs with AI-assisted scientific writing in general, there are permissible and non-permissible uses, and people just aren't nuanced enough about the distinction. 240
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 4h"A study published in 2022 by Sweden’s Defence Research Agency did find that the three Baltic countries together accounted for almost two thirds of publicly recorded espionage convictions in Europe." Putin clearly thinks in spheres of influence and he must be stopped. 030
Reposted by Paul HünermundBaltic Takes (formerly badbaltictakes) @baltictakes.com · 5hCountries usually like to keep quiet about espionage cases. Sometimes that helps gather more counter-intelligence without revealing methods. Often though, it can just be about saving face and keeping relations uncomplicated. Those days are over: www.baltictakes.com/estonia-just... 0386
Reposted by Paul HünermundJoe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 11hSocial science should be more open with the fact that novelty is smaller and smaller and more constructed. In like 1950, you could be like "we don't know how congressional committees work here is my book on congressional committees". Not the case now. 1224
Reposted by Paul HünermundJamin Speer @jaminspeer.bsky.social · 6hLegit surprised he didn't keep AI but make the A stand for American 392
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 11hI reached 30k followers overnight. I will use my newfound influence to say this: Coding agents are able to make beautiful graphs in base R 5260
Reposted by Paul HünermundÁngel Saavedra @polpsychangel.bsky.social · 29/09/2026To people on the academic job market right now: so much of this is luck. Don't forget that, and never stop doing what you think is best. 12914
Reposted by Paul HünermundJeffrey Wooldridge @jmwooldridge.bsky.social · 29/09/2026In case anyone is interested, here is a new working paper on non-binary treatments with staggered interventions. Essentially, I show under what assumptions it is valid to estimate cohort x time dose-response functions. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....papers.ssrn.comA Heterogeneous Slopes Approach to Difference-in-Differences with Non-Binary TreatmentsI extend the approach of Wooldridge (2023, 2025) to allow for heterogeneous gains to treatment in the context of staggered interventions for non-binary treatmen 210932
Reposted by Paul HünermundJ Dierkes @dierkes.bsky.social · 29/09/2026We're hiring at School of Social Sciences at Univ of Mannheim Full Professorship (W-3) in Social Data Science and Social Science Methodology Apply by Oct 22 2026 www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/en/about/job... @methodsnet.bsky.socialsowi.uni-mannheim.deJob Vacancies 01428
Reposted by Paul HünermundAndrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 29/09/2026The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was actually this checkbox 3696
Reposted by Paul HünermundDarren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Some days I really do wish I had one of those types of science jobs where I can just say 2 things are correlated and call it a fucking day. 4254
Reposted by Paul HünermundPer Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I’d be curious what proportion of original authors agree with the "improves" statement 1191
Reposted by Paul HünermundWolfgang Huber @wkhuber.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I've been trying to respond with a personal email to every request for a PhD or Master thesis placement in my group. But with the flood of AI generated applications that's now coming in every day, this has become impossible. 7405
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 28/09/2026When you receive a message from Kita early in the morningstatic.klipy.comMiguel Nunez Scared in Friday the 13th MovieALT: Miguel Nunez Scared in Friday the 13th Movie 1170
Reposted by Paul HünermundEmily Riederer @emilyriederer.bsky.social · 27/09/2026CFP for @causalscience.org closes on Wed! Selfish reminder to submit so I can watch your talk 🍿 Also remember to register; always closes before conf! IMHO everything you need to know about any flavor of DS can be learned from causal thinking (One day I will finish my drafted post on this... 🤦♀️) 1/ 121
Reposted by Paul HünermundSteve Cicala @stevecicala.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Paging Covert and Kellogg. 0102
Reposted by Paul HünermundVera Wilde @verawil.de · 25/09/2026Now published in *Behavior Research Methods*: An LLM canary in the online data coalmine. LLMs solve Bayesian reasoning problems way better than people do. That capability gap can flag LLM contamination in online samples. rdcu.be/4Fw8jpGpkVpardcu.be 292
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 25/09/2026Authors and reviewers only differ these days in the types of prompts they use. 1160
Reposted by Paul HünermundJoe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 25/09/2026One tip to new PhDs. You probably are worried that an audience member will "catch" some fatal flaw in your research. You should be more worried that five minutes in everyone is answering emails on their laptop. If people are engaging (even critically), it is better than not paying attention. 1619
Reposted by Paul HünermundSumita Pahwa @sumitapahwa.bsky.social · 25/09/2026One of these days I want to explain to them what character traits lead people to spend 5-7 years obsessively studying narrow topics 🤣 151
Reposted by Paul Hünermundlastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 24/09/2026The old line that analytic philosophy is answering questions that come naturally to toddlers via methods that come naturally to lawyers remains undefeated. 7556104
Reposted by Paul HünermundSaloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 24/09/2026I have just eaten my first Spaghettieis. It felt very unnatural to eat it with a spoon. 211284
Reposted by Paul HünermundTodd Pugatch @toddpugatch.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Senior faculty member explaining why they haven't published anything in 12 years 1211
Reposted by Paul HünermundManasvini Singh @vinisingh.bsky.social · 08/06/2026New WP, just in time for #ASHEcon26! What started off as a project to learn LLM use for text analysis turned accidentally into a paper about stigma. [1/n] 26524
Reposted by Paul HünermundMattan S. Ben-Shachar @mattansb.msbstats.info · 24/09/2026This quote by haunts me. From Wilcox's "Introduction to Robust Estimation and Hypothesis Testing" #stats 310422
Reposted by Paul HünermundHeather Urry @heatherurry.io · 24/09/2026holy fucking shit - see Claude Code (Opus 5.5) rip through a survey eligility test I was really proud of... It requires tracing a route through designated points on a map with server-side Javascript applying eligibility criteria. (1.5 min video) 63422
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 24/09/2026Why are journal submissions so dreadful? This should be an act of celebration. 2150
Reposted by Paul HünermundGautam Kamath @gautamkamath.com · 23/09/2026NYU Courant professor Tristan Buckmaster, of Navier-Stokes drama fame, gave a talk at the new NYU Mathematics in the Age of AI seminar series. It was... popular. 012115
Reposted by Paul HünermundRafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026European space start-ups are taking off! I guess the German space defence budget plays a role here but also the possibility of a huge increase in the EU's space budget (maybe three times the current budget). The numbers are from dealroom: dealroom.co/resources/eu... 083
Reposted by Paul HünermundPer Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Like a true interdisciplinary scholar, I've been told "you should send this to a more appropriate journal" by several disciplines 1645
Reposted by Paul HünermundRichard Corbett CBE @richardcorbett.bsky.social · 23/09/2026New Swedish Prime Minister, asked whether Britain should rejoin the EU: “Yes. Please. Tomorrow.” www.politico.eu/article/magd...politico.eu‘Sweden is back’: Magdalena Andersson has big plans for EuropeIn an interview with POLITICO, Sweden’s election winner reveals her unfinished business with Russia, Trump — and the far right. 824874
Reposted by Paul HünermundJohn Mullahy @johnmullahy.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Me on my first day of grad school. www.thefarside.com/2026/09/23/0 1143
Reposted by Paul HünermundEuropean Space Agency @esa.int · 23/09/2026We’re strengthening our cooperation with Mistral on artificial intelligence. Together, we’ll explore secure and trusted European AI solutions for Earth observation, engineering and the next generation of space activities. 917827
Reposted by Paul HünermundMattan S. Ben-Shachar @mattansb.msbstats.info · 23/09/2026Just played a fun game with a client - it's called: Do I Have Real Clusters In My Data, Or Am I Conditioning On a Collider? #stats 1161
Reposted by Paul HünermundJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026Amazing to consider that he started with punchcards and now uses Codex. 051
Reposted by Paul HünermundRafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026ZDF has seen the F-35 contracts and I am seriously shocked! In a Letter from the German Federal Ministry of Defence to the Bundestag’s Budget Committee it says “The contractual terms are dictated by the US side and are non-negotiable.”zdfheute.deUS-Rüstungsdeals: Teure Knebelverträge für die BundeswehrDeutschland kauft Kampfjets in den USA. Die vertraulichen Kaufverträge zeigen: Deutschland liefert sich noch mehr der Trump-Administration aus. 41711
Reposted by Paul HünermundRafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 23/09/2026if anyone tells you to cite my papers that is also paul 3393
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 23/09/2026Always referring people to @dingdingpeng.the100.ci's paper (on which I am a coauthor), so that people think she was the reviewer. 😈 5320
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 23/09/2026Deadline approaching: Just ine more week to submit to #CDSM26! 000