Reposted by Steve FisherYouGov @yougov.co.uk · 13hBritons tend to oppose Kemi Badenoch's proposals to extend free childcare for working parents in England to families where one parent earns more than £100,000 Support: 38% Oppose: 45% yougov.com/en-gb/daily-... 0143
Reposted by Steve FisherSimon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 30/09/2026NEW ANALYSIS: Record wind and solar save UK from gas imports worth £5.9bn during Hormuz crisis 🌤️ wind/solar generation up 14% in 2026 to date 🏭 gas down ~10% 🚢 >100 LNG cargoes avoided 12546219
Reposted by Steve FisherConor J. Kelly @conorjkelly.bsky.social · 29/09/20261/4 🧵 What happens next if power sharing at Stormont collapses over Drumcree? @colinmurray.bsky.social and I have taken a look for @ukandeu.bsky.social. The answer is perhaps less straightforward than you might think. ukandeu.ac.uk/what-happens...ukandeu.ac.ukWhat happens next if power sharing at Stormont collapses over Drumcree? - UK in a changing EuropeConor J. Kelly and Colin Murray discuss what would happen next if one of the major parties pulled out of the Stormont... 11412
Reposted by Steve FisherFederica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Important public opinion patterns described here by Steve. The fragmented elite-level consensus on climate change and aggressive anti-net zero campaign on the (far) right is starting to show in UK public polls. Once again evidence that elites matter, leadership is lacking and apathy is a tragedy. 12920
Reposted by Steve FisherYouGov @yougov.co.uk · 24/09/2026YouGov's September 2026 MRP projects that Labour would be the largest party in a hung parliament, were an election held tomorrow Labour: 241 (-170 from 2024) Conservatives: 130 (+9) Reform UK: 123 (+118) Lib Dems: 71 (-1) SNP: 40 (+31) Plaid Cymru: 15 (+11) Greens: 9 (+5) Others: 3 (-3) 63915
Steve Fisher @stevefisher.bsky.social · 24/09/2026ICYMI new post on how approval for the Net Zero 2050 law has dropped to 46%. First time below 50% according to @deltapoll.bsky.social surveys: Thread … deltapoll.co.uk/net-zero-los...deltapoll.co.ukNet Zero by 2050 law loses majority support | Deltapoll 001
Reposted by Steve FisherJoost @almodozo.bsky.social · 23/09/2026In 2019-2023, the net zero law enjoyed around 60% approval. That dropped to 54% in 2024, 52% in 2025 and just 46% approval this summer, "the first and only time in eight years that less than a majority have approved". This happened despite belief in human-driven climate change holding up at 60-61%. 111
Reposted by Steve FisherThe Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (CAST) @cast-centre.bsky.social · 23/09/2026CAST is pleased to have contributed evidence to the Energy Security and Net Zero Committee's report on building support for the #EnergyTransition, as well providing expert witness contributions from our CAST Director Prof Lorraine Whitmarsh MBE & affiliate Prof Rebecca Willis. 👏 Read the report 👇committees.parliament.ukZero sum game: How the UK can reframe the energy transitionThe report considers the Government’s approach to building public support for the energy transition, including how its costs and benefits are communicated to households and businesses. 135
Steve Fisher @stevefisher.bsky.social · 23/09/2026New post from me at @deltapoll.bsky.social on declining support for the net zero by 2050 law: deltapoll.co.uk/net-zero-los...deltapoll.co.ukNet Zero by 2050 law loses majority support | Deltapoll 164
Reposted by Steve FisherAlastair Harper @alastairharper.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Thomas Edison in 1910. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves on this net zero business, lads 213860
Reposted by Steve FisherLewis Baston @lewisbaston.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Oof. Thresholds sometimes matter quite a lot. Two parties just below the 5 per cent level. 4121
Reposted by Steve FisherBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 14/09/2026NEW - Reshaping Belonging: National Identity Change in Post-Referendum Britain - cup.org/4AhXkmW - @jaclarner.bsky.social, @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social & @danielwincott.bsky.social #OpenAccess 0125
Reposted by Steve FisherElection Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 11/09/2026In today's @navigatepolitics.uk weekly roundup, I analysed how candidates surnames' dictate how well they do within party slates in multi-member wards. 72% of the time, the candidate 1st alphabetically received the most votes. Surnames starting with Z topped their slates just 6% or the time!! 157119
Reposted by Steve FisherDamian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Climate hazards disrupted school for more than 171 million students in 2025, says UNICEF #climatecrisis HT @carbonbrief.org www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/...aljazeera.comClimate hazards disrupted school for 1 in 10 students in 2025: UNICEFMore than 171 million students affected globally with girls disproportionately impacted. 01110
Reposted by Steve FisherUK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 11/09/2026⏰ Starting soon ⏰ 💻 Join @anandmenon.bsky.social, Fiona Hill, Margaret Macmillan, Rana Mitter & @fromtga.bsky.social online for a discussion on global foreign policy challenges 🎥 Live at 1pm BST Tune in here 👉 app.sli.do/event/xn18Mt... 033
Reposted by Steve FisherMichael Heseltine @michaelheseltine.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Excited to share our new @apsrjournal.bsky.social paper! We introduce the Scaled & Classified Congressional Communication (SCCC) dataset: 7M+ congressional communications across X, Facebook, and email, classified by topic, tone, and a range of core strategic measures. doi.org/10.1017/S000...doi.orgMeasuring Partisanship and Representation in Online Congressional Communications | American Political Science Review | Cambridge CoreMeasuring Partisanship and Representation in Online Congressional Communications 131
Reposted by Steve FisherRobert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 09/09/2026"Remember that the sanctity of life in the hill villages of Afghanistan among the winter snows is as inviolable in the eye of Almighty God as can be your own". In part 2 of Gladstone v Disraeli on empire, we explore the great Midlothian Campaign & the 1880 election! www.ppfideas.com/episodes/now...ppfideas.comNow & Then with Robert Saunders: Gladstone vs Disraeli Part 2 (Burnham vs Badenoch)325 1367
Reposted by Steve FisherUniversity of Oxford @ox.ac.uk · 09/09/2026One in four new cars sold worldwide in 2025 was electric 🚗⚡ But adoption varies widely, from 97% of new car sales in Norway and 53% in China to 10% in the US. On #WorldEVDay, explore the global shift to electric vehicles with @ourworldindata.org ⬇️ ourworldindata.org/electric-car-sal… 0167
Reposted by Steve FisherPhilip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Latest article for the House magazine, in which I wonder if I have wasted my life learning about leadership elections rules... www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...politicshome.comThe Professor Will See You Now: DefenestrationLessons in political science. This week: defenestration 32315
Reposted by Steve FisherSimon Wren-Lewis @sjwrenlewis.bsky.social · 08/09/2026New post: Understanding long term interest rates movements over the austerity period and today mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/09/unde... The AI boom may be part of the story about why longer term interest rates are much higher today than they were a decade ago.mainlymacro.blogspot.comUnderstanding long term interest rates movements over the austerity period and todayThe first section explains some basic ideas, and those familiar with arbitrage and the natural real rate of interest can skip to the auste... 069
Reposted by Steve FisherKatherine Ibbett @eparpillee.bsky.social · 08/09/2026a friend has suddenly had that old favourite a Louis XIV class dumped on her so I sent her the Versailles chickens, and you should know them too if you don't already www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...youtube.comDessin animé 2020 - Versaille à la FrançaiseYouTube video by Dessins animés éducatifs en 2020 293
Reposted by Steve FisherSam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026New PISA data out England is now top ten in all three areas (reading, maths, science) and the second highest performing country outside of east Asia (after Estonia). This is a huge public policy success. 451038253
Reposted by Steve FisherTim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 06/09/2026In case you happen to be wondering why a pointy-headed prat like me is so obsessed with this labelling-issue, I should explain: theloop.ecpr.eu/why-we-need-...theloop.ecpr.euWhy we need to halt ‘hard right’ in its tracksFar-right parties are doing well – so it’s important that we see them for what they are. Yet, in the UK, the label ‘hard right’ is catching on. Why is debateable. But, argues Tim Bale, it’s a misdescr... 13510
Reposted by Steve FisherUnofficial BBCNews (UK) Bot @bbcnews-uk-rss.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Nigel Farage threatens to overhaul Lords and judiciary in Reform conference speechbbc.co.ukNigel Farage threatens to overhaul Lords and judiciary in Reform conference speechThe Reform UK leader promises to deliver on key priorities in the first 100 days of government, if the party wins power. 132
Steve Fisher @stevefisher.bsky.social · 04/09/2026His Life of 'A Thousand Miracles' hurstpublishers.substack.com/p/his-life-o...hurstpublishers.substack.comHis Life of 'A Thousand Miracles'In Conversation with Judge Theodor Meron CMG 000
Reposted by Steve FisherSociology at Oxford @sociologyoxford.bsky.social · 04/09/2026🎉 We’re delighted to announce Professor Heather Hamill as our new Head of Department! 👏 A huge thank you to Professor Colin Mills for his dedication and leadership as Head since 2023. Please join us in welcoming Heather to the role! 🌟➡️ www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/articles/pro... 031
Reposted by Steve FisherCarbon Brief @carbonbrief.org · 04/09/2026NEW – Analysis: UK solar power hits record high over summer 2026 ✍️ Written by @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org 📊 Data analysis by Ho Woo Nam Read here: buff.ly/g7fZyp6 15829
Reposted by Steve FisherRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Let's talk about the weather and climate changes that preceded the Nepali glacier collapse and landslide. It's well known that Nepal is warming, but we can do better and estimate the changes at the 5200m elevation site where the mass of ice and rock ultimately broke loose. A thread. 🧵🧪 412768
Reposted by Steve FisherInstitute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 04/09/2026The government is expected to approve the Jackdaw gas field later this month. Read our explainer for more on what Jackdaw is and the government's position on North Sea licences www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/ja...instituteforgovernment.org.ukJackdaw and Rosebank | Institute for GovernmentWhat are Jackdaw and Rosebank, and what position has the government taken on North Sea licences? 311
Reposted by Steve FisherDamian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Some good news ... I first wrote about the astonishing mega-leaks of #methane in Turkmenistan in 2023 It's a potent greenhouse gas but fixes can be fast and cheap - a climate "emergency brake" #climatecrisis 1/3 www.theguardian.com/environment/...theguardian.comRevealed: 1,000 super-emitting methane leaks risk triggering climate tipping pointsVast releases of gas, along with future ‘methane bombs’, represent huge threat – but curbing emissions would rapidly reduce global heating 512541
Reposted by Steve FisherSam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 30/08/2026New post: With climate change now visible all around us opponents of action are changing tack. Dismantling their new attacks helps identify a hidden structure in political argument that is often used to try and kill popular + necessary policies. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/how-to-kil...samf.substack.comHow to kill a popular policyOpposing action to tackle climate change is getting tricker. 16296107
Reposted by Steve FisherSunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 30/08/2026Iceland has voted 52.5% to 47.5% against negotiations to join the European Union as a full member. About 100k - 90k with 99% of votes counted. Iceland is a member of the European Economic Association + single market, so will remain in the EEA after the government's proposal was defeated 1512351
Reposted by Steve FisherRob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Little piece from me for @arguablymag.bsky.social on why we Westminster electoral reform is more plausible now than it has been for generations www.arguably.uk/p/electoral-...arguably.ukElectoral reform has never been closerThe three key ingredients are now in place 1313764
Reposted by Steve FisherRobert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Just on behalf of those saying nothing: a problem with online discourse (& a reason people rush into positions they regret) is the idea we have to express an opinion on everything. I'd never heard of Arday till last week & don't know his work. So I'll follow the story but have nothing of use to add. 2372
Reposted by Steve FisherBriony Latter @brionylatter.bsky.social · 04/08/2026⭐ New paper in @natclimate.nature.com: Social influence shapes climate attitudes and action ⭐ Excited to share this from @samhampton.bsky.social, me & @lwhitmarsh.bsky.social, bringing together evidence on how influence operates in the context of climate action. www.nature.com/articles/s41... 1/nature.comSocial influence shapes climate attitudes and action - Nature Climate ChangeIndividuals and groups shape others’ attitudes and actions through social influence. This Perspective articulates a research agenda of social influence for climate action, synthesizes existing evidenc... 34528
Reposted by Steve FisherSofie Jenkinson @sofiejenkinson.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Today I've written for @labourlist.bsky.social on why working class communities deserve to see a bold plan from Labour on climate. Quite simply we all deserve to be safe and be protected. And there's quite a clear political case for the government too. labourlist.org/2026/08/work...labourlist.org'Working class communities deserve a bold climate plan from Labour' - LabourListLabour has always proudly protected, championed and supported working class communities and should do so once more when it comes to climate. 44720
Reposted by Steve FisherJohn Bull @garius.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Given we are approaching that time of the year, my big piece from years back on the 1983 Cold War Crisis (and the role of Stanislav Petrov in it) over onto authory as a free-to-read. Over the years, the myth of what happened has been simplified. The reality was scarier. Because: Ronald Reagan.authory.comThe Day the World Didn’t EndAt the height of the Cold War, with alarms screaming, one Soviet officer stopped to think. It cost him his career. It may also have saved the world. The morning of the 26th September 1983 had started ... 12391158
Steve Fisher @stevefisher.bsky.social · 03/08/2026journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....journals.sagepub.comA Duopoly Under Siege: Britain’s 2026 Elections - John Curtice, 2026 000
Reposted by Steve FisherEd Conway @edconway.bsky.social · 03/08/2026✍️ The two things no one ever tells you about writing a book... My latest substack, on the weird world of "blurbs", the significance of preorders and... a rare, special limited-time offer! 👇 edconway.substack.com/p/at-least-o...edconway.substack.comAt least one very good reason to pre-order Trade WorldWhat no-one tells you about writing a book. And my shameless attempt to confront it... 93713
Reposted by Steve FisherOur World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 02/08/2026In short, several countries in Europe are having a very large wildfire year, but this is offset by lower burn in the Balkans. Read it here: hannahritchie.substack.com/p/europe-wil...hannahritchie.substack.comIs Europe having a bad wildfire year?Several countries in Europe are having a very large wildfire year; this is offset by lower burn in the Balkans 1205
Reposted by Steve FisherCalum Weir @cwp-weir.bsky.social · 02/08/2026For a bit more context, our summary is now showing an average Labour lead for the first time in a *while* 1112
Steve Fisher @stevefisher.bsky.social · 01/08/2026 www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...bbc.co.ukSir John Curtice: The "Burnham bounce" is real but it's not massiveThe governing party's poll ratings have improved but they're only just ahead of Reform. 001
Reposted by Steve FisherLuke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 31/07/2026How do the results in Greater Manchester Mayorality compare to previous elections? While Labour is well down on its 2024 vote it was significantly up on the locals in Greater Manchester, while both Reform and the Greens are down, with Restore Britain not far off 1 in 10 votes. 58516
Reposted by Steve FisherOwen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · 31/07/2026Manchester mayoral results, first round Bev Craig - Labour 47% (+24 vs local elections) Reform 21% (-10) Green 12% (-7) Restore 9% (new) Conservative 8% (-3) Lib Dem 3% (-7) 1112634
Reposted by Steve FisherFederica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 31/07/2026🚨New paper Like most things in democracies, achieving climate action in the form of sustainable policy needs a significant amount of political mobilization. We investigate when & where this is more likely to happen across places on the climate frontline: the Global South🧵 📌 osf.io/preprints/so... 413440
Reposted by Steve FisherLuke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 30/07/2026Last week Burnham’s positives were in part he had higher unknowns. That changed this week as the number of neither/don’t know declined and he now has highest gross approval. For Farage rise in disapproval matters less than this drop in gross approval which suggests previous fans wavering 25513
Reposted by Steve FisherRob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 29/07/2026If you want the director's cut, here's my much longer preview analysis of the biggest by-election in British history for the Swingometer: swingometer.substack.com/p/the-greate...swingometer.substack.comThe Greater Manchester Mayoral by-electionWhat if you called the biggest by-election ever and no one noticed? 073
Reposted by Steve FisherRob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 29/07/2026I've done a short post for @ukandeu.bsky.social on tomorrow's GM by-election ukandeu.ac.uk/whats-at-sta...ukandeu.ac.ukWhat’s at stake in the biggest by-election in British history - UK in a changing EuropeOn Thursday 30 July, voters in Greater Manchester will vote to elect a new Mayor in a by-election triggered by Andy Burnham's return to Westminster. Here, Rob Ford reflects on the by-election and what... 2154
Reposted by Steve FisherChris Prosser @caprosser.com · 29/07/2026No doubt you’ll all be rushing to pre-order the hardcover for the bargain price of £95 (😬), but should that prove a little steep, we’re pleased to say that the electronic version will be available open access, i.e. free! 183
Reposted by Steve FisherChris Prosser @caprosser.com · 29/07/2026It’s not out for another six months or so, but *Electoral Realignment: How Brexit Reshaped British Voting Behaviour*, my book with Ed Fieldhouse, @profjanegreen.bsky.social , Geoff Evans, @jack-bailey.co.uk and @jonmellon.bsky.social, is up on the OUP website! global.oup.com/academic/pro... 13013