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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (+1) RFM: 23% (=) CON: 20% (+2) GRN: 9% (-2) LDM: 8% (-2) RES: 7% (+2) SNP: 3% (=) Via BMG Research, 23-24 Sep. Changes w/ 25-26 Aug.

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 27% (-1) RFM: 24% (+1) CON: 21% (=) LDM: 11% (+1) GRN: 7% (-1) SNP: 3% (+1) RES: 2% (=) Via @survation.bsky.social, 22-23 Sep. Changes w/ 9-10 Sep.

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Aggregate Result of the 123 Council By-Elections Since the 2026 Locals: RFM: 26 (+9) | 22% (+11) CON: 23 (-3) | 18% (-2) LDM: 21 (+4) | 14% (+1) LAB: 19 (-5) | 19% (-4) GRN: 15 (+2) | 15% (-2) PLC: 10 (-1) | 3% (+1) Ind: 5 (-4) | 4% (-3) SNP: 3 (+1) | 3% (-2) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

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Bray (Windsor & Maidenhead) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 36.1% (+1.3) 🔶 LDM: 34.9% (+20.1) ➡️ RFM: 17.8% (New) 🏘️ BFI: 9.4% (-32.9) 🌹 LAB: 1.8% (-6.3) Conservative HOLD. Changes w/ 2023.

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Queen's Park (Brighton & Hove) Council By-Election Result: 🌍 GRN: 50.1% (+1.8) 🌹 LAB: 35.3% (+4.2) ➡️ RFM: 7.0% (-3.1) 🌳 CON: 4.3% (+0.8) 🔶LDM: 3.7% (-0.9) No Ind (-2.7) as previous. Green GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2025 By-Election.

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New Bradwell (Milton Keynes) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 54.2% (+19.7) ➡️ RFM: 23.4% (-3.1) 🌳 CON: 8.5% (-2.6) 🌍 GRN: 9.3% (-12.5) 🔶 LDM: 4.6% (-1.5) Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2026.

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Remaining 3 council by-elections count tomorrow morning - goodnight!

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Wombourne North (South Staffordshire) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 50.1% (+8.1) ➡️ RFM: 37.4% (New) 🌹 LAB: 6.7% (-12.3) 🌍 GRN: 3.9% (-16.1) 🔶 LDM: 1.9% (-7.3) No HER (-9.8) as previous. Conservative HOLD. Changes w/ 2023.

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🌍 | It's been a shocking year for the Cotswold Green Party. At the start of the year they had 2 councillors, both who've since caused by-elections: The Rissingtons, 5.5% (-51.7) - LDM GAIN Blockley, 6.9% (-49.5) - CON GAIN

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Blockley (Cotswold) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 54.7% (+11.0) 🔶 LDM: 29.2% (New) ➡️ RFM: 7.5% (New) 🌍 GRN: 6.9% (-49.5) 🌹 LAB: 1.8% (New) Conservative GAIN from Green. Changes w/ 2022.

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Cranbrook, Sissinghurst & Frittenden (Tunbridge Wells) Council By-Election Result: 🔶 LDM: 37.3% (+22.9) 🌳 CON: 31.6% (-14.6) ➡️ RFM: 21.0% (-4.4) 🌍 GRN: 10.1% (-3.9) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Localist. Changes w/ 2026.

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I'll be at the Labour Party Conference this weekend! Drop me a message if you want to go for a coffee/drink, or if there's any events that might be of interest :)

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 24% (-1) RFM: 23% (=) CON: 19% (+1) GRN: 13% (+1) LDM: 12% (+1) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 23 Sep. Changes w/ 16 Sep.

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MRP | Labour 54 Seats Short: 🌹 LAB: 272 | 28% ➡️ RFM: 153 | 24% 🌳 CON: 85 | 20% 🔶 LDM: 69 | 11% 🎗️ SNP: 40 | 3% 🌼 PC: 8 | 1% 🌍 GRN: 3 | 10% 🙋 Oth: 1 | 4% Via @survation.bsky.social, 20 Aug - 4 Sep.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 23/09/2026

MRP | Labour 85 Seats Short: 🌹 LAB: 241 | 24% 🌳 CON: 130 | 21% ➡️ RFM: 123 | 22% 🔶 LDM: 71 | 12% 🎗️ SNP: 40 | 3% 🌼 PC: 15 | 3% 🌍 GRN: 9 | 12% ◼️ RES: 0 | 3% 🙋 Oth: 3 | 2% Via @yougov.co.uk, 23 Aug - 18 Sep.

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🗺️ | Updated the Council Control Dashboard over the weekend so that it now includes ward-by-ward data! electionmaps.uk/councils

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 23/09/2026

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 26% (+1) CON: 23% (+1) RFM: 22% (-1) LDM: 11% (+1) GRN: 8% (-1) RES: 6% (=) SNP: 2% (=) Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 18-21 Sep. Changes w/ 11-15 Sep.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 22/09/2026

🌹 | Labour lead with ALL pollsters for the first time since October 2024.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 22/09/2026

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 23% (=) CON: 21% (+1) RFM: 21% (-2) GRN: 14% (+3) LDM: 12% (-1) RES: 4% (+1) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @yougov.co.uk, 20-21 Sep. Changes w/ 13-14 Sep.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 21/09/2026

➡️ | Helen Jenner MS has been selected as Reform UK Wales' new leader. She will become the the leader of the Opposition in the Senedd.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 21/09/2026

Six Council By-Elections to hanker on this week: 🏘️ Cranbrook, Sissinghurst & Frittenden (Tunbridge Wells) 🌹 Queen's Park (Brighton & Hove) 🌍 Blockley (Cotswold) 🌹 New Bradwell (Milton Keynes) 🌳 Wombourne North (South Staffordshire) 🌳 Bray (Windsor & Maidenhead) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 20/09/2026

🔵 | Holyrood Nowcast page now live! For the first time, you can input your own projections just like with the GB Nowcast. (Central projection currently only based on a singular poll, so don't read much into that). electionmaps.uk/nowcast/holyrood/2031

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 20/09/2026

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 27% (=) RFM: 24% (-1) CON: 18% (-1) GRN: 11% (=) LDM: 10% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 16-18 Sep. Changes w/ 9-11 Sep.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 20/09/2026

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 27% (-1) RFM: 23% (-2) CON: 21% (+3) GRN: 13% (+1) LDM: 8% (-1) SNP: 4% (+1) RES: 3% (-1) Via @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social, 10-15 Sep. Changes w/ 30 Jul - 4 Aug.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 19/09/2026

🌹 | Highest Labour Polling (30%) with any pollster since December 2024

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 19/09/2026

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 30% (+2) RFM: 22% (=) CON: 21% (+1) LDM: 10% (-1) GRN: 9% (=) RES: 3% (New) SNP: 2% (-1) Via Trajectory Partnership, 7-16 Sep. Changes w/ 5-12 Aug.

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 29% (-1) RFM: 25% (-2) CON: 19% (-1) GRN: 9% (+1) LDM: 8% (=) SNP: 4% (+1) Via @deltapoll.bsky.social, 11-14 Sep. Changes w/ 21-24 Aug.

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Who says data can't be sexy? In @navigatepolitics.uk's Weekly Roundup, I used scores from the recently revived 'sexyMP' website to investigate whether being hot helps at the ballot box. My findings? A certified 10/10 typically polls 1.9pts higher than a 0/10. Do with that what you will...

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Aggregate Result of the 117 Council By-Elections Since 2026 Local Elections: RFM: 26 (+9) | 22% (+11) CON: 20 (-4) | 18% (-2) LDM: 20 (+3) | 14% (+1) LAB: 18 (-4) | 19% (-4) GRN: 14 (+2) | 15% (-1) PLC: 10 (-1) | 3% (+1) Ind: 5 (-4) | 4% (-3) SNP: 3 (+1) | 3% (-2) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

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Avondale & Stonehouse (South Lanarkshire) Council By-Election Result [1st Prefs]: 🎗️ SNP: 27.6% (-0.8) 🌹 LAB: 20.0% (+0.2) ➡️ RFM: 19.6% (New) 🌳 CON: 10.6% (-10.0) 🌍 GRN: 8.2% (+1.8) 🔶 LDM: 9.6% (New) 🙋 Ind: 2.9% (New) 🔺 YRP: 1.2% (New) 🔷 ADF: 0.3% (New) No Ind (-23.7), ALBA (-1.1) as previous.

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Wreake Valley (Charnwood) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 48.2% (+8.0) ➡️ RFM: 31.2% (New) 🌍 GRN: 16.4% (-34.3) 🌹 LAB: 3.1% (-6.0) 🔶 LDM: 1.1% (New) Conservative GAIN from Green. Changes w/ 2023.

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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 17/09/2026

Walkley (Sheffield) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 53.4% (+14.4) 🌍 GRN: 28.8% (-11.2) ➡️ RFM: 12.5% (-1.6) 🔶 LDM: 2.6% (-0.2) 🌳 CON: 1.4% (-0.7) 🧑‍🔧 TUSC: 1.3% (+0.3) No Ind (-1.0) as previous. Labour GAIN from Green. Changes w/ 2026.

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 25% (-1) RFM: 23% (=) CON: 18% (=) GRN: 12% (=) LDM: 11% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 16 Sep. Changes w/ 9 Sep.

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🐉 | Now we've had the first post-election Senedd polls, I've relaunched the Senedd Nowcast ahead of the 2030 election. For the first time, you can input your own projections just like with the GB Nowcast! electionmaps.uk/nowcast/sene...

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Welsh Westminster Voting Intention: PLC: 27% (-3) RFM: 19% (-7) LAB: 18% (+10) CON: 16% (+4) GRN: 8% (-5) LDM: 5% (-1) Via @yougov.co.uk, 7-13 Sep. Changes w/ 27 Apr - 4 May.

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Senedd Voting Intention: PLC: 32% (-3) RFM: 27% (-2) LAB: 13% (+2) CON: 11% (=) GRN: 7% (=) LDM: 5% (+1) Via @yougov.co.uk, 7-13 Sep. Changes w/ May Election.

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