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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Pedro Sánchez creating an unexpected (?) occasion to put this out here again. Seems like we will need to add a new robustness test to this piece… 🇪🇸👀

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Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Our School of Politics and International Relations at @ucddublin.bsky.social is hiring two permanent (!) Assistant Professors in any field of political science, international relations, political theory, or development. Deadline: 9 November Start date: 30 August 2027 my.corehr.com/pls/coreport...

Lecturer/Assistant Professor in Politics and International Relations (x2), UCD School of Politics and International Relations, Permanent
Applications are invited for a permanent post of a Lecturer/Assistant Professor in Politics and International Relations (x2) within UCD School of Politics and International Relations.

The UCD School of Politics & International Relations (SPIRe) is a globally ranked, research-active school with teaching and research expertise across the fields of political science, international relations, normative political theory, international development, and other areas. It is committed to the highest standards in undergraduate and graduate teaching and research supervision. The school is home to a number of research centres, and further information can be found at: https://www.ucd.ie/spire/about/

95 Lecturer/Asst Professor Above The Bar (7943) Salary Scale: €66,055 - €104,600 per annum

Appointment will be made on scale and in accordance with the Department of Finance guidelines.

Closing date: 12:00 noon (local Irish time) on 9th November 2026.

Applications must be submitted by the closing date and time specified. Any applications which are still in progress at the closing time of 12:00 noon (Local Irish Time) on the specified closing date will be cancelled automatically by the system. UCD are unable to accept late applications.

UCD do not require assistance from Recruitment Agencies. Any CV's submitted by Recruitment Agencies will be returned.

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J Dierkes @dierkes.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

We're hiring at School of Social Sciences at Univ of Mannheim Full Professorship (W-3) in Social Data Science and Social Science Methodology Apply by Oct 22 2026 www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/en/about/job... @methodsnet.bsky.social

sowi.uni-mannheim.de

Job Vacancies

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Another round of my favourite PoliSci conference done. Liverpool, it‘s been a blast! Now entering recovery mode. #EPOP2026

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 01/09/2026

The Rainbow Vote now has a cover & publication date. www.therainbowvote.com 🗳️🏳️‍🌈 Please consider pre-ordering, or asking your institution’s library to pre-order! Insufferable self-promotion to follow but I am dutifully celebrating every milestone along the way to publication day in February 😎

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

New WP!📄📣 For anyone working with quasi-experiments (especially UESD) and survey data, this is for you. Treatment events may affect not only opinions, but also survey participation and thereby bias causal estimates. I develop a framework to assess and tackle this bias. osf.io/preprints/so...

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

👉 Snap election calls can shift the baseline level of voters’ (un)certainty. This means that the electoral calendar matters not only for when voters make up their minds, but also for the level of uncertainty they bring into the campaign.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

The results show that voters become more confident in their intended choice immediately after the snap election is called. The effects vary across cases: In 🇩🇪, the uncertainty reduction is concentrated among non-partisans, while in 🇬🇧 it is more broadly distributed across voter subgroups.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

We analyze two cases by different methods: 🇩🇪 2025: UESD using @gles.bsky.social data 🇬🇧 2024: Panel design using @britishelectionstudy.com data In both cases, we use “don’t know” responses to the vote intention item to measure uncertainty.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

We argue that the mere act of *calling* a snap election can reduce voters’ uncertainty about their vote choice. The sudden election announcement creates a clear and immediate electoral context, which incentivizes voters to think more seriously about their vote, even before the campaign begins.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

📢 New paper out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social (w/ @aleferna.bsky.social)! Asking how a snap election call affects vote choice (un)certainty, we find that they tend to increase voters’ confidence in their vote intentions. The longer answer: 🧵👇 OA here: doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

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Alberto López Ortega @bertous.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

1/ Happy to share our paper 'Still Instrumentally Inclusive' w/ @turnbulldugarte.com in @apsrjournal.bsky.social. Understanding homonationalism remains important. Recent events (Berlin) have shown how quickly LGBT+ rights can become instrumentalized in debates about immigration and Islam.

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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

Unbelievably, there are *two* academic jobs at Cardiff University. One in British politics (seemingly broadly defined) cardiffuniweb.eploy.net/vacancies/53... One in political behaviour/opinion 🙌 cardiffuniweb.eploy.net/vacancies/52...

cardiffuniweb.eploy.net

Lecturer in Politics - Teaching and Research in Law Building | Internal & External Website

View details and apply for this Lecturer in Politics - Teaching and Research vacancy in Law Building. Lecturer in Politics - Teaching & Research School of Law and Politics The School of Law a...

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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Why do fewer people want the government to do more about climate change than five years ago? Maybe because the government is doing something about it. I wrote about how public opinion on net zero is (ironically?) like a thermostat: open.substack.com/pub/drmatthe...

open.substack.com

The Global Warming Thermostat

Why the public has stopped turning up the heat on climate policy action

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Korinna Lindemann @korinlind.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

One week left to apply!

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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

New working paper w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social @rantuna.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com! *Does publicly refusing to cooperate with the far right only strengthen it?* A widespread belief says yes. In this paper, we test it based on a natural experiment from Spain. tinyurl.com/5azkfnas [1/6]

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

Genuinely interested in your views: What is the future of teaching statistical programming language for data science in the age of AI? Will we even still teach programming R or Python?

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

💡 Reminder: Open call for two additional contributions to our Special Issue "Methodological Advances for the Study of German Politics" @pvs-journal.bsky.social. 📅 Submit your abstract by the end of this week ⬇️ Details below

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Korinna Lindemann @korinlind.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

📢 Job Ad: I am looking for one doctoral researcher (75%) in my newly funded DFG project on misperceptions and factual information on immigration from 1.10. or soon after! 📌 Location: MZES, University of Mannheim 💢 Application Deadline: 21st of July

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

📢 Open call for two additional contributions to our Special Issue "Methodological Advances for the Study of German Politics" @pvs-journal.bsky.social. 📄 Submit by July 12: www.sosci.uni-hamburg.de/pvs/ ℹ️ www.dvpw.de/gliederung/s... @gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

Screenshot of the announcement page for the PVS Special Issue 2027, Methodological Advances for the Study of German Politics. The page introduces the open call for up to two additional contributions, summarizes the scope of the special issue, and outlines the methodological focus on contemporary German politics.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Some news! 📣 This week I started a new postdoc position at @gesis.org. Besides continuing my research on public opinion, electoral behaviour, and all things measurement bias, I'll also be scientifically coordinating methods training at @gesistraining.bsky.social. Looking forward to what's ahead!

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

Another round of talking about how to tackle common biases in quasi-experimental designs, this time at @gesis.org in Cologne. 🗓️ May 11th, 10-11am, Room A-104, USH I'll be there Mon/Tue - feel free to reach out if you're around and fancy a chat☕ Join online here: ethz.zoom.us/j/69720935316

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

And above all, thanks to all my wonderful colleagues and friends from the University of Mannheim, @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social, @gessunimannheim.bsky.social, and @ub.edu who have been there along the way. Your support, input, and fun have been pure gold. ✨

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

A huge thank you to my examiners and supervisors Harald Schoen, Thomas Gschwend and @jordimunoz.bsky.social. This viva has truly been the cherry on top of my PhD journey. Time flew by and I really enjoyed our discussion.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

So pleased to share that I passed my viva yesterday 🎓✨ What a journey these past years have been! I’m happy, proud, and undeniably also quite relieved to have wrapped this up now. Now on to discovering what new challenges the world of political science has in store! 📚📊

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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 17/03/2026

📢 Out Now! V-Dem Dataset v16 & the V-Dem Institute Democracy Report 2026 💾 The V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d... 📰 The Report "Unraveling The Democratic Era?”: v-dem.net/publications... 📈 Explore the new data with the V-Dem Graphing tools: v-dem.net/graphing/gra... #PoliSky #PoliSciSky 1/3

Two map graphs show the state of liberal democracy according to the V-Dem Liberal Democracy index for 2025 and 2024. The higher the score (or darker blue), the more democratic the country. Lower scores (or dark red) mean less democratic. While North and South America, Western Europe and Oceania are mostly in the blue, most parts of Asia and Africa are in the red in 2025.
In comparison to the map for 2024, the map graph for 2025 shows democratic backsliding in some traditionally stable democracies in Western Europe and North America, in particular the USA, United Kingdom and Italy.

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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 17/03/2026

The new V-Dem report was released today. There are dramatic declines in democracy in the US. Much worse than during Trump I.

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Join us tomorrow for this exciting talk by @ankuepfer.bsky.social in the MZES Social Science Data Lab! Details and Zoom link ⬇️

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MZES Social Science Data Lab @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

🚨 Content alert 🚨 New recording and workshop materials published! ➡️ When Events Change Samples: Disentangling Causal Effects from Compositional Bias in Quasi-Experimental Designs 👤 @klaramueller.bsky.social (Uni Mannheim) 📺 youtu.be/kYdDGgaI95w 🗒️ github.com/SocialScienc...

youtu.be

Disentangling Causal Effects from Compositional Bias in Quasi-Experimental Designs

YouTube video by MZES Methods Bites

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zweitstimme.org @zweitstimme.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

🗳️ Neue Prognose: Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg (8. März) und Rheinland-Pfalz (22. März) BW: Kopf-an-Kopf CDU vs. Grüne. RP: CDU und SPD fast gleichauf. Unsere Modellvorhersage mit 5/6-Kredibilitätsintervallen und Szenario-Wahrscheinlichkeiten 👇 zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/f...

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

Join us tomorrow for this exciting talk by @klaramueller.bsky.social in the MZES Social Science Data Lab! Details and Zoom link ⬇️

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 11/02/2026

New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social with @rafaelahlskog.bsky.social & @grahn.bsky.social Your neighbours shape your politics — but can living near people like *cause* higher turnout? We studied 20,000+ queer individuals across the entire Swedish population to find out doi.org/10.1086/740816

doi.org

Rallied by thy neighbor: how minority spatial concentration increases voter turnout | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 09/02/2026

Excited to kick off the @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social Spring series 🙌 I’ll talk about different threats to causal inference in quasi-experimental designs and share hands-on tools to tackle common biases. Hybrid event, so happy to see non-Mannheim folks joining on Zoom as well! 🗓️ Feb 25th, 1.45pm CET

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Korinna Lindemann @korinlind.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

We‘re very excited for the next edition of the Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim! ✨ Join us and apply until 1 March! More info in @melinscribe.bsky.social‘s thread below and here: summerschoolwpm.org Application form: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/wpm/

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 03/02/2026

Congrats, Rubén, really cool!🥳

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Melanie Sauter @melinscribe.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨 7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers. Free of charge (limited travel support). Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org #methodsky #polisky

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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

NEW - Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - cup.org/49auQPf - @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 18/12/2025

This is a fantastic dataset for studying the evolution of political attitudes and party preferences in Germany. Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then). One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

Great to present yesterday in Barcelona the latest version (and hopefully last!) of joint work with @klaramueller.bsky.social. Now looking forward to expanding the project further! It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂 PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!

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Anna Kurella @annakurella.bsky.social · 03/12/2025

Happy to share that the German Research Foundation DFG funds my new project: “Countering Polarization: The Borda count as a basis for proportional representation”. I am recruiting 2 PhD candidates to join me in Hannover as of March 2026 or later! Feel free to reach out!

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

Unbeatable way to start the week! So well-deserved ❤️

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

Personal news! 📣 I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe. Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

⏰ One week left to apply for SekMethoden 2026 — the annual meeting of the DVPW Section "Methods of Political Science". Submit your abstract by Sunday! ⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal. @gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

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James Dennison @jamesrdennison.bsky.social · 25/11/2025

Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.... @ispp-pops.bsky.social

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Anna-Sophie Heinze @asheinze.bsky.social · 22/11/2025

🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 20/11/2025

Spot on, @ainagallego.bsky.social. Esto es realmente importante… y un problema que desde luego no se limita a España.

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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 18/11/2025

📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer” I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies ➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election) tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2

sueddeutsche.de

Demokratie: Wenn die Rechte mitregiert, wird sie nicht geschwächt – im Gegenteil

Eine Untersuchung von 57 Ländern zeigt: Wenn die Rechte in Verantwortung kommt, gewinnt sie dazu. Daraus lässt sich für Deutschland lernen.

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