Reposted by zweitstimme.org
📣 Aktuelle Prognosen zu den Wahlen in Sachsen-Anhalt, Berlin und Mecklenburg-Vorpommern:
Projekt zweitstimme.org von Forschenden des MZES, der @hertieschool.bsky.social und der Uni Witten-Herdecke zeigt detaillierte Vorhersagen - inkl. Wahlkreisebene und Einzugswahrscheinlichkeiten der Parteien!
👇
zweitstimme.org
zweitstimme.org
zweitstimme.org: Die wissenschaftliche Vorhersage zur Bundestagswahl
![What Shapes Voter Perceptions of Election Polls? The Impact of Partisanship and Visual Design
Hybrid event [A5, 6, Room A231 + Zoom]
November 05, 2025, 13:45-15:15
Abstract
Election polls are a central feature of modern electoral campaigns, providing voters with information that can guide their decisions. Yet, voters are often confronted with many polls showing volatile or conflicting outcomes, and media outlets present these polls in very different ways. This raises two key questions: (1) How do voters judge the trustworthiness of a poll’s results? and (2) How does the way a poll is presented affect these perceptions? I present experimental evidence from two large-scale studies in Germany. Together, they show that both the content of a poll and the way it is presented influence voter perceptions, offering new insights into how individuals navigate modern campaigns environments.
Presenter(s)
Elias Koch is a Doctoral Researcher at the Research Training Group DYNAMICS (HU Berlin/Hertie School) and a Research Associate at the Hertie School in Berlin. His research explores party competition and political behaviour in established democracies, with a particular focus on shifting public opinion landscapes.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:oizrkjzyr6vekl76tjctghcl/bafkreiea2wek2lsf5fbeqvhbk7bxgtzh6nvd6oodcuvj42nsza6uztkrma)