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gabrielmathy.bsky.social

@gabrielmathy.bsky.social
5K followers 2.8K following 471 posts

Economist and Economic Historian at American University. Macroeconomics, Economic History, Green Transition, International, Finance, Labor Markets, lots more.

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Reposted by @gabrielmathy.bsky.social
Mike Konczal @mtkonczal.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
BLS this morning, with revised 2Q data: "The labor share, which is the percentage of output that accrues to workers in the form of compensation, was 52.8 percent in the second quarter of 2026, the lowest level in the series, which begins in the first quarter of 1947."
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Just realized stack exchange has a gardening section. Funny, but makes sense too- why not.
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Watching the last few Nats games, and there's NOBODY in the stands.
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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
23% drop in student visas to US in 2025 57% drop from India alone catastrophic for research and learning, here and abroad www.insidehighered.com/news/global/...
Graph of visas issued to students per month in 2024 and 2025
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
The core economic pitch for Trump's mass deportations was "fewer immigrants means more jobs for Americans. Unsurprisingly, that's just not happening Instead of rising, prime-age employment rates for native-born Americans fell to the lowest levels in more than four years in data released today
A graph of prime-age employment rates for native and foreign-born
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George Pearkes @peark.es · 07/08/2026
Disaster CES print, really bad. Household numbers look COMPLETELY different. I think CES is running into major sampling issues, there's just no way July jobless claims plunged as hard as they did with a negative job creation number. They're just completely inconsistent.
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Matías Vernengo @nakedkeynes.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Today at 4pm (EST) the Godley-Tobin Memorial Lecture by Professor Jayati Ghosh (link for the YouTube channel below)
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Ramin Nasibov @nasibov.me · 17/07/2026
This only happens when you're in a hurry or angry.
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Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Brent crude oil up ~3% reaching $90/bbl, while WTI crude up ~2% to nearly $85/bbl. RBOB up 5c/gal, national average gas price will hit $4/gal either tomorrow or Tuesday, likely to see increases ahead for most states!
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Guan Yang @guan.dk · 19/07/2026
🇨🇻👋
Luis de la Fuente
Unbeaten as manager, 14 wins, 1 draw
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
not a lot of defense
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
just a little bit
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
This is the real final
FIFA soccer rankings, showing Spain as #1, France as #2, Argentina #3 and England #4
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Ali Esbati @aliesbati.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
🤷🏻‍♂️
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Gotta rewatch the butterfly effect now.
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Telemundo saying it was a "fracasso": FOX not being as honest.
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
ref has lost control of the game
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
Cabo Verde getting to penalties is a huge accomplishment, but hard to win against Messi
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
telemundo is showing 3D radar maps, this is serious soccer coverage
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Reuters @reuters.com · 18/06/2026
India's thermal coal imports drop to 4-year low as green power rises reut.rs/4vujGyo
reut.rs
India's thermal coal imports drop to 4-year low as green power rises
India's thermal coal imports fell to a 4-year low in January-May due to higher local ​output and rising renewable energy generation, commodities consultancy BigMint said.
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Really messing me up that they named two neighboring towns in Pennsylvania Lancaster and York and I didn't notice until today.
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George Pearkes @peark.es · 04/06/2026
Welp *USDA CONFIRMS DEADLY SCREWWORM IN US CATTLE
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
gulfnews.com/business/ene...
gulfnews.com
UAE to leave OPEC in major oil policy shift from May 1
UAE to exit OPEC and OPEC+ from May 2026, reshaping its oil policy to prioritise national interests, flexible production and long-term energy investments.
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Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Just a reminder: I will be talking about my book this Friday at 12 noon at Columbia Univ. Registration link below.
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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 17/04/2026
Finally updated the search engine behind econlit-db to Meilisearch. Everything should be quite fast now -- under a second or two. Let me know if you have any bugs. paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
paulgp.com
Economics Literature Search
Full-text search across 15,000+ papers from top economics journals and NBER working papers. Track how empirical methods have evolved over time.
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Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
New QJE paper measures spending flows between 1000s of small groups of consumers and producers, government, rest of the world. Most consumer spending stays domestic, esp in rural, older, less-educated areas->higher fiscal multipliers; targeting "left-behind" groups boosts economy
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
I think a lot of people here are way underestimating how difficult it is to break a sexual abuse story *even when everybody kind of knows it* unless you can get victims on record. it is very, very hard.
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Rory Johnston @roryjohnston.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
"they have no cards, other than a short term extortion of the World by using International Waterways" Those feel like... pretty solid cards?
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Found it strange that ppl push back on my argument that sales of electric vehicles are going to accelerate after Iran War, coz LINE GO UP for a decade now Turns out almost no one knows this fact: Sales of internal combustion engine cars peaked way back in 2018! bsky.app/profile/70sb...
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Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
We'll have to get used to smaller jobs numbers representing reasonably strong job growth in an environment of low population growth (including immigration). The "breakeven" estimates (job growth needed to maintain u-rate) are often quite low, like here: www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
There's one trait where economists clearly outperform the other social sciences: Hubris.
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Bryce Covert @brycecovert.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Oudone Lothirath missed four out of five chemotherapy appointments while in ICE detention and received no medical care there. Now he will likely die in a matter of days. www.startribune.com/how-ice-deta...
startribune.com
Detained by ICE, he missed multiple cancer treatments. Now he’s in hospice.
Some immigrants with chronic health problems were swept up by ICE in Minnesota, leading to missed medications and, for one man, missed chemotherapy sessions.
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Rima I Anabtawi @rimaanabtawi.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
Prior to Iran attacks, CIA assessed Khamenei would be replaced by hardline IRGC elements if killed www.reuters.com/world/middle...
reuters.com
Exclusive: Prior to Iran attacks, CIA assessed Khamenei could be replaced by hardline IRGC elements if killed, sources say
In the run-up to the U.S. and Israeli attacks on Saturday, the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency assessed that even if Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the operation, he would...
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Jeremy Berg @jeremymberg.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
NSF Update (Awards through 2/27/26) Directorates to follow 1/10
A line graph showing NSF grant awards made through 2/27/26 for fiscal year 2026 compared with grant awards for fiscal years 2021-2025.
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
Broke: dead internet theory Woke: undead internet theory
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Skanda Amarnath @skandaamarnath.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Latest @employamerica.bsky.social It Wasn't A Recession - How Age Divergence & A Participation Boom Drove A 1% Rise In The Unemployment Rate www.employamerica.org/labor-market...
employamerica.org
It Wasn't A Recession - How Age Divergence & A Participation Boom Drove A 1% Rise In The Unemployment Rate
Summary: The unemployment rate has risen 1% from its post-pandemic trough three years ago, but this rise likely overstates the degree of labor market and business cycle deterioration relative to what ...
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Federal Reserve @federalreserve.gov · 12/01/2026
Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell: www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG... www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
youtube.com
Statement by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
YouTube video by Federal Reserve
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
When Mark Carney sets specific goals for Canada to "diversify away" from its reliance on the US—making headlines in Canada but not the US—hear that for what it is: Close partners and allies looking elsewhere for better friends. This is the silent way that the US loses its pointless trade war.
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gabrielmathy.bsky.social @gabrielmathy.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
I wonder who's going to get it.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
> @conorsen.bsky.social
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American University's College of Arts and Sciences @aucollege.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
🎓 Thinking about grad school? Join us Sat, Oct 25 for AU’s College of Arts & Sciences Graduate Programs Fall Open House! 🕚 11 a.m.–3 p.m. | 📍 Check in: Mary Graydon Center, 10:30–10:50 Meet faculty, explore campus, and learn how a CAS grad degree can advance your goals. 👉 Register: bit.ly/3Jbqyhw
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Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
"Trump Hopes Argentina Can Help Bring Down Meat Prices President Trump’s plan to import red meat runs counter to his philosophy of increasing domestic production, and has angered cattle ranchers in the United States." www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/u...
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Eric Umansky @ericumansky.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
BREAKING from PP We found immigration agents have held more than 170 *citizens* The govt doesn't track citizens held. So we did. We tallied: Nearly 20 kids, two w/ cancer More than 20 citizens held for day or more, incommunicado www.propublica.org/article/immi... by @nicolefoy.bsky.social
propublica.org
More Than 170 U.S. Citizens Have Been Held by Immigration Agents. They’ve Been Kicked, Dragged and Detained for Days.
The government does not track how often immigration agents grab citizens. So ProPublica did. Our tally — almost certainly incomplete — includes people who were held for days without a lawyer. And near...
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Better Things Are Possible @internethippo.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
"We're going to create superintelligence" How about making outlook search work first. How about that
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Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
Big picture, we do not know the exact answer to 'how good/bad is the ADP data if BLS data disappears?' but the private data providers themselves are pretty clear in every conference/panel that the quality of their own data will erode if they cannot benchmark to BLS estimates.
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 27/09/2025
Who wants to work with Kate Bahn at the Institute for Women's Policy Research? #econ_ra iwpr.applytojob.com/apply/ACdbXf...
The Research Associate is a position on IWPR’s Research Team conducting research, including quantitative and qualitative empirical analysis, on issues related to IWPR’s core topics of Equitable Work and Wages, Caregiving and Families, Education and Career Advancement, and Reproductive Justice and Health Equity. The goal of our research is better inform partners and policymakers on ways to advance the economic security and well-being of women, their families, and communities.

For this position, candidates must have demonstrated working experience with statistical programs such as STATA, R or SPSS, major national public health and/or economic databases, and be able to interpret data, analyze results, acquire data from primary or secondary sources, and filter and clean data. This role is expected to be able to produce high quality research products for public audiences with independent initiative and minimal oversight.

Duties and Responsibilities

Research: 
Conduct and draft literature reviews and collaborate on research proposals that identify novel and impactful research activities on issues related to IWPR core research areas: Equitable Work and Wages, Caregiving and Families, Education and Career Advancement, and Reproductive Justice and Health Equity.
Perform advanced, complex quantitative data analysis of large datasets and trends, utilizing network science and/or other statistical methods, including creating data visuals.
Perform advanced qualitative data analysis, including developing and fielding online surveys; and conducting interviews and focus groups. 
Write high quality blog posts, briefs, fact sheets, reports and presentations based on the data work and analysis and accessible to broad audiences including policymakers, advocates, and the media.
Use and integrate racial equity and intersectional frameworks and analysis in research study designs, written reports, and briefs.
Assist with proposal and grant report drafting.
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JW Mason @jwmason.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
Seems bad: “The rise of unofficial US economic reports.” on.ft.com/4n38BAs

Trump’s administration escalated its assault against the BLS on Tuesday after it revised down its estimates of payroll employment in the year to March 2025 by more than 900,000 jobs. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the revision underlined the need for “truthful and honest data” and added that “the BLS is broken”.

On Wednesday the labour department’s Office of Inspector General announced it was launching a probe into “challenges that [BLS] encounters collecting and reporting closely watched economic data”.

Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at consultancy RSM, said the controversy surrounding the BLS would “increase demand for private label data, which will over time create a widening gap between the haves and the have-nots”.
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Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
Fellow economists: Stand up for Fed Governor Lisa Cook and the principle of Federal Reserve independence. Sign this letter by Monday.
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