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Employ America

@employamerica.bsky.social
2.1K followers 675 following 19 posts

Strategies for the full employment of America’s workers, resources, and capabilities. Team: @prestonmui.bsky.social @skandaamarnath.bsky.social @kimstiens.bsky.social @arnabdatta.bsky.social employamerica.org

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
No strong beliefs on my end, except the meta belief that @employamerica.bsky.social is correct www.employamerica.org/inflation-an...
employamerica.org
So You Want to Talk About Trimmed Mean Inflation?
Kevin Warsh says he wants to "survey a billion prices," yet has embraced a trimmed mean measure (conveniently the most dovish signal) which asymmetrically throws out 55% of the basket and leans on lag...
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
From @prestonmui.bsky.social: Prices of essentials like healthcare and energy are starting to weigh on labor income and consumer spending. These constraints will lead to softer real GDP growth and productivity growth, spoiling Warsh's case for imminent rate cuts www.employamerica.org/productivity...
Headline: Post-ECI note: The Supply-side May Spoil Warsh's Productivity Story
subtitle: Healthcare and energy costs are crowding out labor income and consumer expenditures.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
www.employamerica.org/inflation-an... Vikas and Skanda at @employamerica.bsky.social on how Kevin Warsh's selective focus on "Trimmed Mean inflation" misses upside inflationary dynamics
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Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
Confess I had not thought through the implications of no data collection in Oct. for Nov.'s jobs report until I read BLS's FAQ. 1)CPS is a panel. No collection in Oct means no new respondents initiated into the survey, and so many more need to be added in Nov. 2)above clearly has implications for
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 07/12/2025
We have brand-new Employ America merch, just in time for the holidays! Support our work for sustainable full employment by shopping at our store: employ-america-shop.fourthwall.com
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
New today from @prestonmui.bsky.social - Employ America's reaction to Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech www.employamerica.org/monetary-pol...
employamerica.org
The 2025 Framework Update Preserves Full Employment Lessons but Misses an Opportunity to Face the Supply Problem
Our immediate reaction to Powell's Jackson Hole speech.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
Framework update from Powell: removed the "shortfalls" language but adds: "employment may at times run above real-time assessments of maximum employment without necessarily creating risks to price stability." noting that estimates of "maximum employment" are "highly uncertain."
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 24/07/2025
Is AI responsible for the relative increase in unemployment among recent college graduates? Probably not. Recent grad employment trends are similar in industries more or less likely to use AI Nice analysis from Will Raderman @employamerica.bsky.social
Line plot from an analysis by Will Raderman showing similar employment trends for recent college graduate in "low" and "high" AI usage sectors
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
New from me at @employamerica.bsky.social In Defense of the 2020 Fed Framework's Emphasis on Full Employment www.employamerica.org/monetary-pol...
employamerica.org
In Defense of the 2020 Fed Framework's Emphasis on Full Employment
The 2020 Fed Framework changes around full employment were appropriate and an important part of achieving the full employment recovery seen after the pandemic. Blaming it for historically unique deman...
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
New up at @employamerica.bsky.social from our guest writer Will Raderman www.employamerica.org/labor-market...
employamerica.org
Don’t Blame AI For The Rise in Recent Graduate Unemployment
AI may be a hot topic, but there isn't strong evidence that it’s responsible for the weaker labor market for recent college graduates.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
And, perhaps the most important part, check out the merch store employ-america-shop.fourthwall.com
employ-america-shop.fourthwall.com
Employ America Merch Store
The official merch shop of Employ America. Buy stuff to support our mission for sustainable full employment.
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
There’s lots of exciting news from Employ America today - we’re unveiling new branding, new mission-focused language, and a new vision for how to achieve durable full employment through robust macroeconomic policy. But that's not all...
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Luke Kawa @ljkawa.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
this is an extremely thoughtful note; one can really look at EA as a guiding light for how the “needs” for US policymaking have evolved over the past 5-10 years.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
new EA just dropped
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
Exciting news: Employ America is relaunching to face the challenges of a new era! Not only do we have a new logo and new branding, but we’ve also refocused our work pursuing Full Employment, and the array of policy solutions that can sustain it www.employamerica.org/expanding-th...
employamerica.org
Our Mission In An Age Of Turbulence: Creating A New Economic Policy Toolkit
ICYMI: The Past, Present, And Future Of Macroeconomic Policy Overview Employ America was founded to advance the cause of full employment. In a full employment economy, jobs are plentiful, wage grow...
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
At @employamerica.bsky.social: The Past, Present, And Future Of Macroeconomic Policy by Vikas Patel and myself. www.employamerica.org/blog/the-pas...
employamerica.org
The Past, Present, And Future Of Macroeconomic Policy
Overview We originally launched Employ America to confront the policy failures that plagued the decade following the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 (GFC). The failure of our policymakers to support ...
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Unemployment rate flat, but epop dips quite a bit. A lot of employed -> not in labor force flows this month.
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Arnab Datta @arnabdatta.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
New @rooseveltinstitute.org report from me & @alexbhturnbull.bsky.social: we need not choose between markets & planning—we can build better markets. Strategic reserves, integrated w/ modern financial markets, can boost supply resilience & stabilize prices during shocks. 1/
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Hannah Groch-Begley @grouchybagels.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Roosevelt brought together 20+ authors (incl. Sen Murphy, AFL-CIO's Liz Shuler, Mariana Mazzucato, Cecilia Munoz, Ned Resnikoff, Arnab Datta...) to answer the question: what should progressive policy priorities look like in the coming months and years? (mini 🧵)
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
New from me at @employamerica.bsky.social www.employamerica.org/blog/a-slowd...
employamerica.org
A Slowdown in Hiring is Dangerous Even Without Layoffs
Layoffs are important, but focusing on layoffs risks missing the other part of the equation: hiring.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
www.employamerica.org/blog/the-dre... New from me @employamerica.bsky.social. A follow up to my series on the 1990s productivity growth and lessons for today. Taking stock of everything that's happened in the past 90 days through the lens of full employment, investment, and supply-side stability.
employamerica.org
The Dream of the 90s is Slipping Away in 2025
After the pandemic recession, the right policy decisions resulted in a strong recovery and laid the foundations for another era of sustained productivity growth, similar to the 1990s. Sadly, in 2025, ...
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vegavandal.bsky.social @vegavandal.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
@employamerica.bsky.social my cup over runneth, with employment 🫡
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Stinson Dean @lumber.trading · 10/12/2024
New jacket just dropped: @employamerica.bsky.social
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Arnab Datta @arnabdatta.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
A 1000 word op-ed is not a place for detailed policy prescriptions. Luckily, one thing I pushed for in this article was links to our work at @employamerica.bsky.social and @ifp.bsky.social. Here’s a thread with some of them (not all because we’ve written a LOT). www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Climate Activists Need to Radically Change Their Approach Under Trump
Climate purity is a recipe for failure.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
#JobsDay
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
That fall in prime-age epop looks bad, but there could be some weird residual seasonality going on. Feels more like bouncing around, just above the pre-2020 peak. #JobsDay
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
I think Bostic is asking the right question right now: "The salient question for me today is whether the labor market is cooling more dramatically than I had imagined when I developed my outlook for the economy." Dwells a lot on @davidwiczer.bsky.social's recent work on vacancy yields.
atlantafed.org
Heading into 2025 with Positive Economic Outlook, Mindful of Risks - December 2, 2024
In his latest quarterly message, Atlanta Fed president and CEO Raphael Bostic outlines his stance on labor market conditions and the path to 2 percent inflation.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
New from me at @employamerica.bsky.social www.employamerica.org/researchrepo... Thread to come
employamerica.org
The 1990s Blueprint: Controlling Healthcare Costs to Boost the Economy
The 1990s saw an extended period of full employment, high growth, and low inflation. Part of this achievement was attributable to healthcare cost control efforts undertaken by both public- and private...
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Now Live: the Employ America Merch Store! Shop our gear and support sustainable full employment. You'll find stickers, tees, and even some limited-edition holiday items - use code LNS12300060 to take 10% off your whole order! employ-america-shop.fourthwall.com
employ-america-shop.fourthwall.com
Employ America Merch Store
The official merch shop of Employ America. Buy stuff to support our mission for sustainable full employment.
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Economic Speakers Bureau @econspeakers.bsky.social · 22/07/2024
In a new analysis, @skandaamarnath.bsky.social explains how a decline in homebuilding since the start of rate hikes in 2022 could lead to increased housing inflation in the next 1-3 years, complicating the Fed's efforts to stabilize prices. Check it out: bit.ly/3LPbAeV @employamerica.bsky.social
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Skanda Amarnath @skandaamarnath.bsky.social · 05/09/2024
Today's productivity revisions further confirm how the labor market has more than rebalanced already. To start: Relative to levels & trends observed prior to the pandemic, productivity growth has continued to outperform 3.5-4.2% wage growth is less inflationary given this fact
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 13/02/2024
In case you missed it: check out Preston Mui's (@prestonmui.bsky.social) full series on productivity: The Dream of the 90's Is Alive in 2024 www.employamerica.org/researchrepo...
employamerica.org
The Dream of the 90's, Part I: The Three Drivers of Productivity Growth
"The Dream of the 90's" examines the macroeconomic conditions that led to strong growth in the late-1990s and what policies can revive that productivity growth today.
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 21/12/2023
New today from Ashley George and @arnabdatta.bsky.social in collaboration with @ifp.bsky.social - the latest installment of Hot Rocks! www.employamerica.org/researchrepo...
employamerica.org
Hot Rocks Part IV: The Policy Interventions that Could Boost Geothermal
In this series, we’ve examined the technological advances that created the shale revolution, studied the public policy that accelerated those advances, and evaluated the current state of next-gen ge...
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David Dayen @ddayen.bsky.social · 13/12/2023
Today is the last Fed Day of 2023, but what's more important is how the Fed will act in 2024. A new report from @employamerica.bsky.social makes the case for cutting interest rates to reduce unemployment risk and revive slowing investment due to capital costs:
prospect.org
The Case for Interest Rate Cuts
The Federal Reserve won’t talk about it. A new study shows why they must.
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 08/12/2023
New today from @prestonmui.bsky.social and @skandaamarnath.bsky.social - our playbook for achieving the soft landing. How do we stave off recession risks that threaten the our progress post-pandemic (both fighting inflation and keeping labor markets tight?) www.employamerica.org/researchrepo...
employamerica.org
Three Motivations for Interest Rate Normalization: A Playbook for Fed Policy in 2024
What steps should the Fed take to preserve the hard-earned recovery in the labor market? We present a path for the Fed in 2024.
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Employ America @employamerica.bsky.social · 07/12/2023
An appropriate First Post on this platform for us would seem to be our most-viewed piece (so far): The Physical Capacity Shortage View of Inflation, by the excellent @atwilliams.bsky.social which inspired a lot of conversation! www.employamerica.org/researchrepo...
employamerica.org
The Physical Capacity Shortage View of Inflation
Repeated price crashes in a variety of industries led to a situation of underinvestment in productive capacity that created the conditions for the inflation we see today.
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