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Adam Smith

@aipsmith.bsky.social
2.6K followers 1.4K following 53 posts

Professor of US Political History at Oxford. Director of the Rothermere American Institute. Research conservatism, parties, Civil War. Host of The Last Best Hope? Podcast.

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Reposted by Adam Smith
Past Present Future Podcast @ppfideas.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
NEW EPISODE OUT NOW! In today’s episode, recorded in front of students from three schools in Oxford, David talks to historian of America @aipsmith.bsky.social about whether the US might be drifting into another civil war. Is today in any way comparable to the 1860s? Find us at...🎧 ppfideas.com
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Adam Smith @aipsmith.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
This is great stuff.
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Orkney Library & Archive @orkneylibrary.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Today is the 81st anniversary of #DDay. This is issue 178 of The Orkney Blast, published on 9th June 1944 just 3 days after the Allied invasion of Europe. The weekly paper ran for 202 issues from 1941 to 1944, for the thousands of armed services personnel based here during WW2.
The front cover of The Orkney Blast newspaper which was an armed forces paper published in Orkney during World War Two. The main headline reads This Is The Invasion and it was published just after D-Day in 1944
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Jack Jenkins @jackjenkins.me · 12/05/2025
BREAKING: The Episcopal Church has announced it will end its decades-old partnership with the government to resettle refugees, citing moral opposition to resettling white Afrikaners from South Africa who have been classified as refugees by the Trump admin. religionnews.com/2025/05/12/e...
religionnews.com
Episcopal Church refuses to resettle white Afrikaners, ends partnership with US government
(RNS) — In light of our church’s steadfast commitment to racial justice and reconciliation and our historic ties with the Anglican Church of Southern Africa, we are not able to take this step,' the pr...
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Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
"Democracy is a conversation, not a proclamation". A thread on the rise of "authoritarian democracy": what it is, why it's dangerous and why we need to rebuild the case for "liberal democracy". ⬇️
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Caitlin G. DeAngelis @caitlindeangelis.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
If I were JD Vance, I would consider whether God is perhaps sending me some fairly specific messages
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
The new Pope didn't tweet once in 2024. In 2025, he's posted 5 times, in which he: - Criticized JD Vance's views on Catholicism and Jesus - Posted an article opposing Trump's immigration policies - Retweeted twice about the Pope's health - Retweeted a criticism of Trump & Bukele's laughter at KAG.
Robert Prevost reposted
Rocco Palmo
@roccopalmo
·
Apr 14
As Trump & Bukele use Oval to 🤣 Feds’ illicit deportation of a US resident (https://bit.ly/3ROMjnP), once an undoc-ed Salvadorean himself, now-DC Aux +Evelio asks, “Do you not see the suffering? Is your conscience not disturbed? How can you stay quiet?” https://bit.ly/4j700KN

Robert Prevost reposted
Synod.va
@Synod_va
·
Feb 25
We continue praying together the Holy Rosary for the health of #PopeFrancis  this evening at 9 PM in St. Peter’s Square, The prayer today will be presided over by His Eminence Cardinal Louis Antonio Tagle, Pro-Prefect of the Dicastery for Evangelization. #pope #PopeFrancis
Robert Prevost reposted
Synod.va
@Synod_va
·
Feb 15
#PrayForThePope #GoodNews: The Holy See Press Office has announced that Pope Francis' health is improving. Let us pray together for his full recovery 
@franciscus
  Be strong, We are looking forward to seeing you again soon at St. Peter's Square.
#WeLoveOurPope
Robert Prevost
@drprevost
·
Feb 13
Pope Francis’ letter, JD Vance’s ‘ordo amoris’ and what the Gospel asks of all of us on immigration
From americamagazine.org
Robert Prevost
@drprevost
·
Feb 3
JD Vance is wrong: Jesus doesn't ask us to rank our love for others https://ncronline.org/node/292716 via 
@NCRonline
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Christopher Jones @ccjones.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
This comment from Robert Barron, appointed last week to Trump’s WH commission on religious liberty, was spot on, only he didn’t realize it.
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Adam Smith @aipsmith.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
I want the BBC commentary to tell us about the various marching bands and military style parades. Where are they all from? What’s their function? Who can tell us?
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Others being do most Labour-Liberal-Democrat-Green voters continue to go 'yeah, I'll vote for one of the three?' - a strategic advantage that Labour's 'what are the focus groups screaming about today?' threatens to undermine, who leads on best PM (currently a big Starmer advantage).
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
A question that I haven't heard a good answer to: if cutting migration by a third in a year hasn't changed the narrative on it at all - what would make you think cutting it by another third (or half] would?
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Adam Smith @aipsmith.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Why on earth is it possible for German MPs to vote anonymously?
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John Pfaff @johnpfaff.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Hey! Press covering Trump! The statute that lets him impose tariffs at will? It EXPLICITLY excludes movies. He has no authority to do this. Not just bc of an absence of authorization, but bc the law says “you CANNOT do this.” Do NOT say “Trump has imposed movie tariffs,” bc he did not. He CANNOT.
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Sam Bright @writesbright.bsky.social · 03/05/2025
weapons-grade morons
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 03/05/2025
The irony is the revolution against technocrats will end with officials running the councils because Reform councillors will have no idea what to do + many don't even want to be doing it.
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Adam Smith @aipsmith.bsky.social · 03/05/2025
Opposition leader Peter Dutton predicted to lose his seat in Dickson by the great ABC election analyst Anthony Green..
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Rob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils: Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
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Adam Smith @aipsmith.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
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Dylan Difford @dylandifford.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
The 'it's a 1979-83 redux' fans will be delighted to know that Labour losses as a % of contests (-12pts) is the same as the Tories' losses in the 1980 locals (-12pts). However, Thatcher's losses represented 28% of her defences, Starmer's represent 67% of the seats Labour were defending.
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Charlotte Nichols MP @charlotte2153.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
You can track most of the problems the country has to the fact that local government is woefully underfunded for what it is expected to deliver. Cutting it further is very much not the route to improving people's circumstances, & I hope Reform will quickly realise this in the areas they now control.
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Peter Walker @peterwalker99.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
I think one of the key political tests for Reform councils is how much voters enjoy seeing politicians punching down. Because that's what banning equalities initiatives and home working often does. My sense is the appetite for it in the UK might be less than in the US.
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
UK I think actually has a remarkably high birth rate, given it has been government policy for eight years that having children above replacement rate is extravagant, we heavily ration IVF and we have a housing shortage.
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
3000+ vote lead with 10 polls to go? Yeah I think we can call this one folks
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Eva Vivalt @evavivalt.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Quite the quote.
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Jessica Elgot @jessicaelgot.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
God there were so many of these…
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Mark McGeoghegan @markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Looking into Poilievre's electoral history, as he stands on the cusp of losing the seat he has held since 2004. In that 2004 election he stood against the fantastically named Brad Powers of the Marijuana Party (who won 561 votes - not bad Brad).
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Adam Smith @aipsmith.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
CBC election coverage has been pleasingly data heavy. The release of results by “poll” creates artificial horse-race drama almost as fun as in an Irish election, but without the theatre of the declarations in UK elections.
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Lewis Goodall @lewisgoodall.com · 29/04/2025
A truly stunning result for the Canadian Liberal Party. Mark Carney (with a lot of help from Donald Trump) has secured one of the greatest comebacks in electoral history. Liberals are up seats but so are the Conservatives. NDP rout. Libs likely a minority and will have to work with others.
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Hi All, Just sent this post out on the ridiculous trade war Trump has launched with China (and US Allies). It’s a war he did not properly plan for, cannot force China to acquiesce on, and is incentivizing US allies to move closer to the Chinese because of. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
open.substack.com
Losing A War Before It Started
Trump's Trade War With China Is A Strategic Catastrophe In The Making
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Brooke @brooklynmarie.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
I'm in contact with student journalists around here too and yeah same. Lots of college papers about to have entirely "Staff writer" bylines
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Simon Nixon @nixonsimon.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Extraordinary that it has come to this
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Colm Murphy @colmpm.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Funnily enough, I've been working on historic 'Buy British' campaigns recently. Some thoughts in the monster (!) thread 👇 Tl;dr: BB is a moralised demand on consumers that currently loses out to rivals - but only because of geopolitics. I.e. this is not destiny. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Reeves rejects calls for ‘buy British’ campaign in response to US tariffs
Chancellor says asking shoppers to prioritise UK products would make country too ‘inward-looking’
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Mark Urban @markurban.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
I’m about the fire up the substack that I created a little while back - and after all those years at the BBC am very much looking forward to unfiltered blogging on all my usual topics- please subscribe, it’s free! substack.com/@markurban
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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
I'd add to this excellent @dsmitheconomics.bsky.social piece that the way to hit Trump where it hurts (psychologically/politically) isn't a tariff war we can't win, but showing we/other advanced economies can globalise *without* the US. www.thetimes.com/business-mon...
thetimes.com
Starmer must defy Trump by hugging other tariff victims closer
Britain doesn’t deserve to be on the end of Donald Trump’s taxes, but the solution may be to form an economic coalition of the willing and focus on what we’re good at
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
It’s very weird to me that in all the (genuinely comical) hermeneutic reading of Trump’s decision to annihilate the global trade system, no one actually quotes one of the major reasons he himself cites for it:
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 05/04/2025
Murphy: "The vast majority of Republicans, their number one priority is Trump seizing power, and the Trump family and the MAGA universe holding power forever ... with the exception of maybe 20 Republicans in the Senate, the GOP inside Congress is done with democracy."
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Dorian Lynskey @dorianlynskey.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
The upshot of every interview with a MAGA voter is Cult Member Supports Cult Leader. It's really a pointless exercise because they have no opinions of their own. They have given up on thinking for themselves. There's nothing to learn from them
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
New post from me about Trump's tariffs and why Harold Macmillan was right - we Brits are truly Greece to America's Rome - because our Brexit-era compulsion to think everything was 'simple' has a Trumpian heir. A short thread. 1/n benansell.substack.com/p/simple
benansell.substack.com
Simple
Or perhaps not
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Alex Thomas @alexgathomas.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
bsky.app/profile/josh...
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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 04/04/2025
NEW 🧵 A quick thread of charts showing how Trump’s economic agenda is going so far: 1) US consumers are reacting very very negatively. These are the worst ratings for any US government’s economic policy since records began.
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A cat like that @onesparkfire.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
I am so grateful to the people of Vilnius, and the President of Lithuania for the care and honor they gave to our soldiers. I wish I had a way to thank them for this.
This is not to say the four American soldiers who died in Lithuania were not honored by a sitting president.

On Thursday, when the bodies of the soldiers were being transported to the airport in Vilnius, the capital of Lithuania, thousands of people there lined the streets to pay their respects.

Among them was Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda, who, apparently, has more respect for our troops than our own commander-in-chief.
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Adam Schwarz @adamjschwarz.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Carney: "The 80 year period when the United States embraced the mantle of global economic leadership, when it forged alliances rooted in trust and mutual respect, and championed the free and open exchange of goods and services, is over."
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Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Carney: The system of global trade anchored on the United States.. is over. Our old relationship of steadily deepening integration with the United States is over. The 80 year period when the United States embraced the mantle of economic leadership… is over.
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Eric Columbus @ericcolumbus.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
This deeply moving @sivav.bsky.social piece — weaving together the personal, professional, and political — is the best thing I’ve read all month. Sure, it’s only April 2 but I bet it’ll still be high on the leaderboard by April 30. Please read and share widely. newrepublic.com/article/1933...
newrepublic.com
In the Academy and the Legal World, It’s Time to Stay and Fight
Stay or run? Let’s not presume this is a simple question or that everyone’s situation is the same. But I know who my heroes are.
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Steve Yates @yatesyman.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Absolute clown car of a country. Be like having Barbara Windsor appear before select committee on nursing.
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