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Polling Canada

@canadianpolling.bsky.social
27K followers 91 following 6.3K posts

Your Canadian Public Aggregator For Polling, Data, and Other Related Canadian Content // 338Canada Contributor // Consider Supporting: ko-fi.com/polling 🇨🇦🇺🇦

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 52m
Had to model this one out Thanks Forum
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 1h
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 26% (+11) PLQ: 25% (+11) PCQ: 21% (+8) CAQ: 13% (-28) QS: 13% (-2) Forum / October 4, 2026 / n=1183 / MOE 2.8% / IVR (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Reposted by Polling Canada
Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3h
Final Polling Canada Quebec Model: ⚜️ PQ: 64 - (57-72) 🔴 PLQ: 37 - (33-39) 🟣 PCQ: 18 - (16-25) 🟠 QS: 6 - (6-8) 🔵 CAQ: 2 - (0-4) - October 4, 2026 - Read it free here: www.canadianpolling.com/p/eight-year...
canadianpolling.com
Eight Years Later, the CAQ-Era Is Over
With 64 seats needed for a majority, the PQ sits right on the line in our final model
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 2h
(Models Available For Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: NDP: 38% (-7) CON: 38% (-6) GRN: 13% (+5) ONE: 5% (New) CNBC: 4% (New) Others: 2% Pollara / Sept 30, 2026 / n=3000 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/bc
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3h
Final Polling Canada Quebec Model: ⚜️ PQ: 64 - (57-72) 🔴 PLQ: 37 - (33-39) 🟣 PCQ: 18 - (16-25) 🟠 QS: 6 - (6-8) 🔵 CAQ: 2 - (0-4) - October 4, 2026 - Read it free here: www.canadianpolling.com/p/eight-year...
canadianpolling.com
Eight Years Later, the CAQ-Era Is Over
With 64 seats needed for a majority, the PQ sits right on the line in our final model
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3h
And with that, we run the final model results for Quebec! Stay tuned :^)
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3h
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 31% (+16) PLQ: 25% (+11) PCQ: 20% (+7) CAQ: 13% (-28) QS: 10% (-5) Research Co. / October 4, 2026 / n=658 / Online (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 5h
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 28% (+13) PLQ: 23% (+9) PCQ: 20% (+7) CAQ: 18% (-23) QS: 10% (-5) Liaison / October 3, 2026 / n=898 / MOE 3.1% / IVR (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 9h
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 29% (+14) PLQ: 24% (+10) PCQ: 20% (+7) CAQ: 15% (-26) QS: 11% (-4) Pallas / October 3, 2026 / n=1114 / MOE 2.9% / IVR (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 10h
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 27% (+12) PLQ: 23% (+9) CAQ: 20% (-21) PCQ: 19% (+6) QS: 9% (-6) Others: 2% Mainstreet / Oct 3, 2026 / n=1843 / MOE 2.2% / IVR (% Change W 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Huge news "Canada and the European Union plan to link next-generation payment systems to enable faster cross-border transactions" "This will help remove obstacles to business and investment between the two jurisdictions" www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...
theglobeandmail.com
Canada, EU plan to link next-gen payment systems, easing transactions
Move would allow faster cross-border transfers and lessen reliance on U.S. infrastructure
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Mississauga - Mayoral Polling: Parrish: 34% Crombie: 25% Tedjo: 21% Damerla: 14% Others: 7% Pallas / Oct 1, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Mississauga - Mayoral Polling: Crombie: 30% Parrish: 28% Tedjo: 21% Damerla: 10% Someone Else: 11% Mainstreet / Sept 25, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Quebec - Preferred Premier Polling: Plamondon: 25% Milliard: 18% Duhaime: 14% Frechette: 12% Ghazal: 8% Unsure: 23% Leger / Oct 1, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Polling Canada Federal Model Update: 🔴 LPC: 247 (+78) 🔵 CPC: 68 (-76) ⚜️ BQ: 18 (-4) 🟠 NDP: 8 (+1) 🟢 GPC: 2 (+1) (Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election) - October 3, 2026 - Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
open.substack.com
He Can’t Keep Getting Away With This!
Carney’s Liberals surge to 247 seats as the Conservatives collapse to just 68 in our latest model
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 29% (+14) PLQ: 25% (+11) PCQ: 20% (+7) CAQ: 14% (-27) QS: 11% (-4) Leger / October 2, 2026 / n=1001 / Online (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
📌 Pinned 📌 📝 Subscribe to my Substack here: canadianpolling.substack.com 🥂 Have A Job? Always Looking For New Work: www.linkedin.com/in/curtis-f-... ✉️ Reach out to me here: cfpolling(@)gmail(dot)com
canadianpolling.substack.com
Polling Canada | Curtis Fric | Substack
Substack for Canada's largest, independent polling aggregator. Click to read Polling Canada, by Curtis Fric, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Support For Starting A Formal Process To Join The European Union 🇪🇺 🔵 Support: 53% 🟡 Oppose: 32% www.canadianpolling.com/p/canadians-...
canadianpolling.com
Canadians Are Opening the Door to China and Europe
From Carney’s tariff approval to rising EU support, the polling points to a Canada reconsidering its relationship with the US
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I'll have a final update out (Available to everyone) ahead sometime on Sunday!
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Mayoral Polling: 🟣 Chow: 45% 🔵 Bradford: 38% 🟡 Alexander: 9% 🔴 McVie: 2% 🟢 Parker: 2% Mainstreet / Sept 29, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Support For Privatization Of Canada's Four Largest Airports: Oppose: 47% Support: 38% Nanos Research / Sept 29, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Toronto - Beaches East York Polling: Erskine-Smith: 52% Johnson: 24% Worden: 6% Dann: 6% Others: 12% Forum / Sept 27, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Toronto - Etobicoke Lakeshore Polling: Morley: 40% Opitz: 27% Internicola: 14% Andrei: 7% Others: 12% Forum / Sept 27, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Toronto - Parkdale-High Park Polling: King: 37% Guerrera: 23% McNally: 18% Raponi: 6% Others: 16% Forum / Sept 27, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Toronto - Scarborough North Polling: Chen: 37% Myers: 31% Dong: 12% Li: 8% Oleh: 6% Others: 7% Forum / Sept 27, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Toronto - Toronto Centre Polling: Mosie: 29% Tate: 26% Stikuts: 13% Ali: 8% Others: 25% Forum / Sept 27, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
47% of Canadians say a Conservative government wouldn't be able to handle American tariffs any better than the current Liberal government is www.canadianpolling.com/p/canadians-...
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
"Do you support or oppose the Government of Canada imposing a temporary moratorium on the development of new, more powerful AI systems until adequate safeguards can be developed?" Support: 68% Neutral: 15% Oppose: 14% EKOS / Oct 1, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
"Do you approve or disapprove of (X) when it comes to tariffs implementated by the US?" Mark Carney: 🟢 Approve: 65% 🔴 Disapprove: 25% Pierre Poiievre: 🔴 Disapprove: 42% 🟢 Approve: 41% - Research Co - www.canadianpolling.com/p/canadians-...
canadianpolling.com
Canadians Are Opening the Door to China and Europe
From Carney’s tariff approval to rising EU support, the polling points to a Canada reconsidering its relationship with the US
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
BC - Approval Of Eby Holding An Election Now Instead Of Waiting Until October 2028: Disapprove: 50% Approve: 32% Ipsos / Sept 29, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
BC - Preferred Premier Polling: 🟠Eby: 33% 🔵Doerkson: 17% 🟢Lowan: 6% 🟡Brodie: 6% 🔴Struko: 4% ⚪️No Opinion: 36% Ipsos / Sept 29, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
BC - Net-Favourables: 🔵Doerkson: +1% 🟠Eby: Even 🟢Lowan: -1% 🔴Sturko: -5% 🟡Brodie: -11% Ipsos / Sept 29, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
BC - "Which is closer to your view?" It's time For Another Provincial Party To Take Over: 47% Eby's Government Has Done a Good Job And Deserves Re-Election: 31% Ipsos / Sept 29, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
(Models Available For Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: CON: 42% (-2) NDP: 40% (-5) GRN: 10% (+2) CNBC: 3% (New) ONE: 3% (New) Others: 2% Ipsos / Sept 28, 2026 / n=730 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/bc
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Canadians are opening the door to China and Europe, while continuing to oppose the idea of joining the United States www.canadianpolling.com/p/canadians-...
canadianpolling.com
Canadians Are Opening the Door to China and Europe
From Carney’s tariff approval to rising EU support, the polling points to a Canada reconsidering its relationship with the US
0206
Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
"Which of the following statements comes closest to your view?" Alberta Should Remain Part Of Canada: 83% Alberta Should Leave Canada + Become An Independent Country: 9% Narrative / Sept 28, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal - Quebec Polling: LPC: 49% (+6) BQ: 28% (-) CPC: 15% (-8) NDP: 5% (-) Others: 2% Pollara / Sept 17, 2026 / n=1012 / Online (% Change With 2025 Election) Check out @338canada.bsky.social for more polling: 338canada.com/federal.htm
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 29% (+14) PLQ: 22% (+8) CAQ: 21% (-20) PCQ: 17% (+4) QS: 10% (-5) Pollara / September 17, 2026 - (Dated) / n=1012 / Online (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Federal - Brantford-Brant South Projection: 🔴LPC: 42% (-) 🔵CPC: 41% (+1) 🟠NDP: 10% (-) - September 26, 2026 - (% Change With Previous Model Update) www.canadianpolling.com/p/carneys-li...
canadianpolling.com
Carney’s Liberals Keep Climbing as Eby’s BC Gamble Begins
Federal polling remains firmly in the Liberals’ favour, while David Eby enters his snap election with the BC Conservatives gaining ground
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Albertans Separation Would Mean: - 44,000-69,000 job loses in Calgary specifically - Would shrink Alberta's economy by up to $62 billion - $10-15 billion in foregone investment - $9 billion shortfall in deficit spending www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/arti...
ctvnews.ca
Alberta separation could mean tens of thousands fewer Calgary jobs: chamber report
Calgary could lose between 44,000 and 69,000 jobs if Alberta separates and trade costs rise, according to a new report commissioned by the Calgary Chamber of Commerce.
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Polling Canada Polling Averages - Vancouver Metro: 🟠 NDP: 43% (-3) 🔵 CON: 36% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 11% (+1) 🔴 CNBC: 4% (New) 🟡 OneBC: 3% (New) - September 30, 2026 - Full model here: www.canadianpolling.com/p/perhaps-an...
canadianpolling.com
Perhaps An Early Election Call Wasn’t The Move
The Conservatives Surge as Eby’s Early Election Gamble Unravels
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Toronto - Chow Approval Polling: Approve: 49% Disapprove: 45% Liaison / Sept 27, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Toronto - Mayoral Polling: 🟣 Chow: 48% 🔵 Bradford: 39% 🟡 Alexander: 10% Liaison / Sept 27, 2026
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Polling Canada British Columbia Model: 🟠 NDP: 48 (+1) 🔵 CON: 43 (-1) 🟢 GRN: 2 (-) - September 30, 2026 - Full model here: www.canadianpolling.com/p/perhaps-an...
canadianpolling.com
Perhaps An Early Election Call Wasn’t The Move
The Conservatives Surge as Eby’s Early Election Gamble Unravels
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
(Models Available For Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: NDP: 41% (-4) CON: 39% (-5) GRN: 11% (+3) ONE: 4% (New) CNBC: 3% (New) Others: 3% Innovative / Sept 28, 2026 / n=411 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/bc
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Federal - Laurier-Sainte-Marie Projection: 🔴LPC: 50% (-2) 🟠NDP: 24% (+3) ⚜️BQ: 13% (-) - September 26, 2026 - (% Change With Previous Model Update) www.canadianpolling.com/p/carneys-li...
canadianpolling.com
Carney’s Liberals Keep Climbing as Eby’s BC Gamble Begins
Federal polling remains firmly in the Liberals’ favour, while David Eby enters his snap election with the BC Conservatives gaining ground
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
(Models Available For Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: CON: 39% (-5) NDP: 36% (-9) GRN: 13% (+5) CNBC: 5% (New) ONE: 5% (New) Others: 2% Leger / Sept 28, 2026 / n=1003 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/bc
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
In case you're wondering where that seat sits
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Most Important Issue: Trump/US Relations: 25% (-3) Jobs/Economy: 19% (-2) Inflation: 11% (+1) Healthcare: 5% (-1) Environment: 5% (+1) Immigration: 3% (-) Housing: 3% (-1) Homeless: 3% (+1) Nanos / Sept 25, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% change with Sept 18, 2026)
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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Another Conservative MP is heading out www.ctvnews.ca/politics/art...
ctvnews.ca
Conservative MP Scott Aitchison to resign by end of year: source
Conservative MP Scott Aitchison is resigning his seat from Parliament by the end of the year, according to a source close to him.
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