Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 24mThe most notable thing of the last so hours and the Schmitt-Hawkeye screw up of epic proportions, is how Trumpites are primed to pump out any narrative handed to them without thought or reflection. It’s Putinesque. 510719
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 1hMidweek update is out, first part free. The US distance blockade of Iran might be seen as a classic case of the US winning a battle but losing a war. Also, the Xi-Trump summit revealed that not only can the Chinese humiliate Trump… phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/midweek-up...phillipspobrien.substack.comMidweek Update #29: The American Distance Blockade: Establishing The Best Possible Terms For US WithdrawalThe Xi-Trump Summit, Keeping The US Fat, Weak And Consuming; Taiwan Should Be Nervous 15616
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 5hImagine how frantically Natalie will tweet if this happens. Will set a record for caps used at any one time. apnews.com/article/carn...apnews.comMark Carney's stand against Trump leads to Nobel Peace Prize and Time Person of the Year buzzCanadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has built a global profile by standing up to U.S. President Donald Trump. 2441469
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 21hWell it’s been approximately two weeks since Trump signed the Lindsey Graham tariff bill, which all those Trump supporters were saying was going to allow him to hammer Russia. Any sign of the new 100% tariffs on China and India—the largest purchasers of Russian oil? 1224565
Reposted by Phillips OBrienArie Sonneveld @ariesonneveld.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The admirable reticense of the Ukrainians in the choice of targets is almost superhuman. That is partly because they have to make the most of their resources. But I suppose it's also a cornerstone of their strength. 610933
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Russia has one enormous strategic advantage of which it is taking advantage. It can daily attack civilian targets--hospitals, universities, markets--knowing that while Ukraine can do the same, the Ukrainians are too humane to do so. 25484196
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Latest piece out. People have asked me to discuss how this war might end. Ultimately it will be because both the Russian and Ukrainian political leaderships want it to end (or at least want a ceasefire). phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/how-might-...phillipspobrien.substack.comHow Might The War End?Leadership Choices and Possibilities 812216
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 27/09/2026The pay for a US Secretary of Defense is $246000 a year. They don’t even bother to hide the corruption these days 37875307
Reposted by Phillips OBrienSilvia S. @silviaschreiber.bsky.social · 27/09/2026The best part of reading this update is there was no mention of Trump for the first two-thirds. Sure would be nice if the American tech billionaires would donate financially to help Ukraine keep their robots and drones manufactured. America has wasted away its good name. 14713
Reposted by Phillips OBrienRev Peter W Nimmo @peternimmo.bsky.social · 27/09/2026"Now a human life counts for nothing" 0233
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Hi all, free weekend update is out. I start with the Army of Robots concept, which the Ukrainians are using as part of Vivaldi. They want machines to fight, not men. Also, Russia is having one significant strategic success (abetted by the USA). phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...phillipspobrien.substack.comWeekend Update #204: An Army Of RobotsRussia’s Most Effective Campaign; The Trump Rehabilitation Campaign Continues 516860
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I see Trump apologists getting apoplectic at this, which is pure childishness. The President of the USA openly and repeatedly threatened Canadian sovereignty and belittled Canadian independence. It would have been dereliction of duty if Carney did not consider this. 1538588
Reposted by Phillips OBrienBob Davidson @wa7iut.bsky.social · 25/09/2026it’s a mock, not a trap… and Trump doesn’t even understand that. bsky.app/profile/phil... 15514
Reposted by Phillips OBrienfanf42.bsky.social @fanf42.bsky.social · 25/09/2026The collapse is incredible. Having Xi publicly mocking Trump, and not even barely understanding what's happening is depressing. I really wonder if American citizens are understanding what happened 38827
Reposted by Phillips OBrienGraham Davis @agendaforreform.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Genius or fool? Trump’s ‘qualities’ were never in doubt. Those republican lawmakers who hitched their wagon to him did so with the cynical recognition that he was a corrupt fool but an electoral asset. Meanwhile the ignorant masses of MAGA were convinced he was a genius. Reality beckons for both. 0639
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Latest piece. It’s bad enough that Chinese leadership mocks the US openly in the White House, however the real problem is that they did this once before and then went on to help Iran rebuild its military. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/its-not-th...phillipspobrien.substack.comIt’s Not That Xi Insults Trump Once...It’s that the Chinese are actively destroying the US global position while the US president bows and scrapes 1221571
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 25/09/2026There is nothing that better sums up the real political alignment today than seeing anonymous Russian bots jumping to defend Trump from the obvious fact that President Xi insulted him and the USA in the White House. Perverse but revealing. 931781
Reposted by Phillips OBrienDavid Sandahl @dsandahl.bsky.social · 24/09/2026"And Trump sits their making moo eyes like a lovestruck teenager" 37715
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Lord, President Xi just insulted Trump and the USA, right to Trump's face-in the White House. Xi referred, yet again, to the "Thucydides trap". This is an reference to the US being in decline and China replacing it. And Trump sits their making moo eyes like a lovestruck teenager 47641220
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 24/09/2026What the heck is up with the one glove look--is he channeling his inner Michael Jackson? 5018622
Reposted by Phillips OBrienKhashoggi's Ghost @urocklive1.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Hating what Trump is doing to America is not even remotely the same as being anti-American or hating America. 3425484
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 23/09/2026When historians look back on Trump's foreign policy in a century, I bet these are their verdict on his most famous policies: The support of Russia--the most evil. The pillaging of Venezuela--the most corrupt. The decision to go to war with Iran--the most incompetent. 331021294
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 23/09/2026It’s amazing that the US has become so pathetic, that the most vocal backers of Trump are trying to make the case that the US successfully bullied Denmark (when it really didn’t). And all the while they avoid the reality of US bowing to China and doing Russia’s dirty work. 827871
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 23/09/2026For now the wheels are coming off for the GOP. But there is still time for this to change. 1019533
Reposted by Phillips OBrienGeorge Vona @doctorgeorge.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Hmm... that $2B Saudi investment in Jared's private equity firm doesn't seem to have panned out. 0486
Reposted by Phillips OBrienRislandr 🇪🇺 🔰 @rislandr.eurosky.social · 23/09/2026At what point does the consensus move to asking why China has *not* yet launched an operation against Taiwan? April/May 2027 elections in France could also take EU economic measures off the table, but the main preconditions are already satisfied. I hope we're ready for this. (we're not) 5366
Reposted by Phillips OBrienchiller @chiller.eurosky.social · 23/09/2026"The new Greenland deal is basically the old deal" A good read. 1618
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Midweek update out (partly free). This is the week US weakness was brutally exposed. The US was too weak to fight the Houthis and Iran, will show its weakness during the President Xi's visit to America, and signed a humiliating deal with Denmark. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/midweek-up...phillipspobrien.substack.comMidweek Update #29: The Week American Weakness Was Brutally ExposedThe US is too weak to fight the Houthis and Iran; The US has never been weaker vis a vis China; The New Greenland Deal Is Basically The Old Deal. 720056
Reposted by Phillips OBrienIan Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Absolutely right. The American Chamber of Commerce in Ukraine have been raising this with the administration for ages; they have got nowhere. 116147
Reposted by Phillips OBrienAnders Åslund @andersaslund.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Is there any US republican who is so dumb that he or she has not understood two things: 1. Trump owns the GOP. 2. Trump supports Putin. To vote for the GOP anywhere means to support Putin. 22414109
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 22/09/2026For God's sake, this is craven. The Russians have been trying to obliterate US companies in Ukraine repeatedly and with some success. The US government says nothing at all. 811653468
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 22/09/2026People who are now deciding that Trump might not be so great, but who still supported him after January 6, 2021, are the reason the country is as screwed up as it is. They should own that. 27584104
Reposted by Phillips OBrienShannypie @shannypie.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Want to understand what is REALLY happening in Ukraine?? Start here 👇 1469
Reposted by Phillips OBrienEdward Walker @gnuggat.bsky.social · 21/09/2026“… both sides are going to increasingly have the ability to attack each other and both are struggling to defend. Well, here we are on the last day of summer, and that is the reality we face. The kinds of raids both are launching have the possibility to get larger and more destructive.” Yup. 25610
Reposted by Phillips OBrienWilliam Bendix @williambendix.bsky.social · 21/09/2026"This was the most detailed, heavy, and arguably effective attack of the war on Moscow (and arguably the most effective air attack ever on Moscow)." 06712
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 21/09/2026How do you really help Putin without saying you are really helping Putin? 3538599
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Trump doesn’t care a bit about Ukrainian civilians as he starves Ukraine of air defense. But he is terrified about the damage to Putin’s oil industry. Why is that? 33510129
Reposted by Phillips OBrienColliu @colliu.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Crucial. Ukrainians are still fighting fair which is both necessary and admirable given the circumstances. The future to me hinges on 3 overt, 1 less talked about topic: 1️⃣ Advanced Anti Air 2️⃣ Oil 3️⃣ Military Production 4️⃣ Starlink 28615
Reposted by Phillips OBrienthebelovedaunt.bsky.social @thebelovedaunt.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Excellent news. 0535
Reposted by Phillips OBrienBenjamin Husstad-Nedberg @factforce.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Excerpts from OBrien's weekly👇 Both side's capasity is increasing. But Ukraine's ability is catching up and is now close to parity with the Russians. 1000 systems in one, single attack, ladies & gentlemen💪🔥 ...and the attacks deal great damage. 29423
Reposted by Phillips OBrienJanne M. Korhonen @jmkorhonen.fi · 21/09/2026A thousand-drone raid! Bomber Harris would be so proud to see this. Yet another fascist attacker who entered the war with a rather naive delusion that they'd bomb everyone and no one would bomb them sowed the wind and now reaps the whirlwind. 312015
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Latest piece. The Ukrainians just launched arguably their largest and most complex raid on Moscow. 1000+ units, 450 or so aimed at the Russian capital. It revealed a great deal about where things are now in the ranged more… phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-ukrain...phillipspobrien.substack.comThe Ukrainians Bomb Moscow With IntentWhat Is Important About This Operation 9377101
Reposted by Phillips OBrienMarie @madl.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Good reminder of how Trump helps Putin as much as possible. “Donald Trump came out and pleaded with the Ukrainians to do Putin a favor and stop attacking Russian refineries.” 26519
Reposted by Phillips OBrienRick Green @bcbrews.bsky.social · 20/09/2026"One study is that the Iran War has caused three times the reduction in world diesel supplies as that caused by the #Ukrainian campaign against #Russian oil. However, #Trump decided to blame the Ukrainians and help #Putin..." 06312
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 20/09/2026The USA can never recover until this arch is torn down, brick by brick. 5844872
Reposted by Phillips OBrienCaw Yar Bluff @j-leslie3k.bsky.social · 20/09/2026"the big advantage that the Russians have is the one provided by the USA—which is doing nothing to help Ukraine in this vital area, and indeed is stringing the Ukrainians along and leaving them exposed." 16816
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Looks like we are back for another one of the recurring editions of: “Blame Witkoff without acknowledging that he is only doing exactly what Trump wants and with Trump’s total blessing.” We live in an age grounded in dishonesty and self-deception. 829760