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Alex Adames

@socinequality.bsky.social
2.7K followers 1.9K following 8 posts

Postdoc @Princeton; Sociology PhD @UPenn. Social stratification, social mobility, wealth, labor markets, education, sociology, and economics. I mostly repost interesting research and resources.

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Reposted by Alex Adames
The EDU Ledger @theeduledger.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
A new paper published in @aeraedresearch.bsky.social's AERA Open identifies and publicly names 149 colleges and universities with high outcomes for Pell-eligible students.
theeduledger.com
Identifying Colleges and Universities with Low-Income Student Success
A new paper identifies and publicly names 149 colleges and universities with high outcomes for Pell-eligible students.
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Reposted by Alex Adames
Charlotte Cavaille @ccavaille.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Small-N assessment: AI makes everyone more productive output-wise, but I, as a senior person with prior knowledge benefit the most, while my ("junior") students struggle with actual learning. This paper proves this with a larg(er)-N causal design: www.nber.org/papers/w35720
nber.org
Does AI Assistance Enhance or Erode Expertise? Evidence from a Three-Month Field Experiment in Patent Drafting
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Causal inference is the art of knowing exactly why your estimate isn't causal
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Lucia C. Neco (Luba) @luciacneco.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Hello #philsky / #philsci friends, I was wondering if you have suggestions of short very introductory texts on #STS for scientists/engineers! Thank you :)
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
One of those things you were pretty sure was true but now you have causal quantiative evidence in the American Economic Review: business schools trained CEOs to pay workers less in pursuit of maximizing shareholder value www.aeaweb.org/conference/2...
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John V. Kane @uptonorwell.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
OUT TODAY! 🥳 A straightforward, non-technical guide to thinking like a quantitative social scientist. Written for students, journalists, and curious citizens. A lot of thought and heart went into this. I genuinely hope folks enjoy it!
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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 17/08/2026
➕➕➕ New Working Paper ➕➕➕ Fixed effects are the workhorse of management and economics for dealing with unobserved confounding. But what if they themselves create bias? 😲 A short thread 🧵 1/6
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Academics are biased against null effects. As it turns out, so is the broader public.
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Forthcoming in the AER: "The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival" by Julian Reif and Tatyana Deryugina.
aeaweb.org
The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival
(Forthcoming Article) - Many environmental hazards have long-run health effects, but quasi-experimental studies typically measure outcomes and treatment over short time periods. We develop a new framework for quantifying the effect of air pollution exposure on life expectancy. Using daily changes in wind direction as an instrument for air pollution, we first charac- terize the dynamic mortality effects of short-run exposure. We then incorporate these estimates into a demographic model to quantify the lifelong effects of a permanent re- duction in air pollution exposure. Ninety percent of the survival benefits accrue after the first fifty years of life.
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Adrian Pietrzak @zoningwonk.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
What explains the effects? We argue the new facilities increased exposure to homelessness, increasing the salience of the problem. We find evidence for this in survey data. Voters in ZIPs w/ new facilities report seeing more homeless people and say the issue is more pressing.
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Adrian Pietrzak @zoningwonk.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
New working paper from me, @alexandersahn.bsky.social, and Jacob Brown (offline): how do voters react to new homeless shelters and supportive housing built in their backyards? We find voters living nearby new facilities *increase* their support for more spending on homeless services.
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Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
The UC Berkeley Department of Demography is recruiting a tenure-track Assistant Professor, open field. Applications are due October 15, 2026. See details and applications: aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF05488 Please share widely.
aprecruit.berkeley.edu
Assistant Professor - Open Field - Demography
University of California, Berkeley is hiring. Apply now!
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Daniel Carlson @danielwcarlson.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
This site lets you scan barcodes to see if they’re part of Taylor Farms: www.taylordetector.com
taylordetector.com
Taylor Detector — Scan for Taylor Farms brands
Wondering if a product is made by Taylor Farms? Scan any barcode to instantly check brand ownership and affiliations. Free, no signup required.
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The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
🚨🚨 NEW ECONOMICS JOURNAL 🚨🚨 We are excited to announce the launch of The Review of Economic Studies: Insights, a new open-access journal in the REStud family. Mission: publish concise, high-quality research on important questions across economics and economic policy.🧵1/13
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Care work is often treated as somehow less "real" than making tangible goods. Nonsense. It's physically demanding, emotionally demanding, and often highly skilled. That's real work, mate.⁣ ⁣ Check out the full analysis here: newsletter.platypuseconomics.com/p/…
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ArXiv Paperboy (Stat.ME+Econ.EM) @paperposterbot.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
arXiv📈🤖 Causal inference with ordinal outcomes: copula-based identification, estimation and sensitivity analysis By He, Li
In causal inference with ordinal outcomes, several interpretable estimands are functions of the probability that the potential outcome under one treatment is larger than that under another treatment for the same unit. This probability depends on the joint distribution of both potential outcomes and is generally not identifiable. Existing work has focused on sharp bounds of this probability based on partial identification, but bounds are often too wide to be informative. We propose a copula-based method that links the identifiable marginal distributions of the potential outcomes via a parametric copula, treating the copula association parameter as a sensitivity parameter. With a fixed copula parameter, the estimands become identified functionals of the observed data. Working under unconfoundedness, we derive the efficient influence function in the nonparametric model and construct one-step estimators that accommodate flexible nuisance estimation. The resulting procedure is rate-doubly-robust and attains the semiparametric efficiency bound under standard conditions. Varying the copula parameter yields a sensitivity curve with point-wise confidence bands that typically lie within the sharp bounds, providing an interpretable bridge between partial identification and point estimation. We further provide a comprehensive sensitivity analysis with respect to both the copula specification and the unconfoundedness assumption. We develop an associated R package \texttt{ordinalCI}.
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Alondra Nelson @alondra.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
The School of Social Science at the Institute for Advanced Study is pleased to announce its 2026–27 Members. This exceptional cohort of 21 scholars was chosen from a pool of more than 600 fellowship applications. www.ias.edu/sss/2026-202...
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Troy Tassier @troytassier.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
“We use ML trained on US death certificates from March 2020 to December 2021 to predict 155,536 unrecognized COVID-19 deaths. This indicates 19% more COVID-19 deaths occurred in US than officially reported.” The undercounting was concentrated among people of color & low income (read below). 1/n
science.org
Applying machine learning to identify unrecognized COVID-19 deaths recorded as other causes of death in the United States
A machine learning approach suggests that COVID-19 deaths were undercounted unevenly across sociodemographic groups in 2020–2021.
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 05/03/2026
P.S. Pre-post differences are *not* valid treatment effect estimates. Why? Here's a post by @statsepi.bsky.social: statsepi.substack.com/p/one-simple..., here's a post by me: www.the100.ci/2025/01/22/r... >
the100.ci
Reviewer notes: In a randomized experiment, the pre-post differences are not effect estimates
Reviewer notes are a new short format with brief explanations of basic ideas that might come in handy during (for example) the peer-review process. They are a great way to keep Julia from writing 10,0...
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Christopher Barrie @cbarrie.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about... 🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples? We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...
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Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
@agazmararian.bsky.social: Federal leadership can be lost in the "fog of messaging." Gazmararian et al find Biden-Era clean energy investment policies had limited political returns: Voters overwhelmingly attributed new clean energy projects to their governors. news.umich.edu/voters-credi...
news.umich.edu
Voters credit governors—not Biden White House—for clean energy projects
The Biden administration's historic multibillion-dollar investment in clean energy and manufacturing transformed local economies across the United States—but it does not translate into political credi...
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Lee Crawfurd @leecrawfurd.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
The Nazis stopped Jewish doctors from practising, so thousands of them left the country (my great grandfather was one of them). So many left that this was a good natural experiment for estimating the causal effect of losing doctors on infant mortality (& thousands died)
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Nicholas A. Christakis @nachristakis.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
As of 2025, this analysis of privacy policies indicates that every major AI company uses your private conversations to train their models by default. Every prompt, file, photo, personal detail: all of it feeds directly into model training. arxiv.org/pdf/2509.05382
arxiv.org
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Pam Davis-Kean, PhD @umpamdk.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
This is consistent with earlier psychometric work that suggests 5-7 is the best response scale options, but good to see that the finding holds up in contemporary research. Also, good to see that labeling scales whether anchored or not has little impact on findings. academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
academic.oup.com
Do You Agree? Do You Strongly Agree? The Effect of the Number of Response Categories on Response Processes and Verification of Substantive Hypotheses
Abstract. This study investigates how the number and labeling of response categories in survey scales affect respondent behavior, psychometric properties,
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Sukie Xiuqi Yang @sukieyang.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Now published #openaccess: my sole-authored article @readdemography.bsky.social investigates how circular parental labor migration affects children who experience frequently changing family living arrangements.
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APPAM @appam.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
New from APPAM: The Journal of Policy Implementation & Evaluation (JPIE)! JPIE will publish short, peer-reviewed articles with timely, real-world insights on policy design, implementation & evaluation. Learn more: ow.ly/TPNW50YmzVr
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Daniel Sparks @jdsparks.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
me and @cmulhern.bsky.social's paper on school counselors is out in econ of ed review We find more funding for counselors in California in the 2000s increased grad rates, college enrollment & school climate in short: counselors improve student outcomes and we should invest more in them!
sciencedirect.com
Expanding school counseling: The impacts of California funding changes
Counselors are a common school resource for students navigating complicated and consequential education choices, but most students have limited access…
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ArXiv Paperboy (Stat.ME+Econ.EM) @paperposterbot.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
arXiv📈🤖 Fast and user-friendly econometrics estimations: The R package fixest By Berg\'e, Butts, McDermott
fixest is an R package for fast and flexible econometric estimation, providing a comprehensive toolkit for applied researchers. The package particularly excels at fixed-effects estimation, supported by a novel fixed-point acceleration algorithm implemented in C++. This algorithm achieves rapid convergence across a broad class of data contexts and further enables estimation of complex models, including those with varying slopes, in a highly efficient manner. Beyond computational speed, fixest provides a unified syntax for a wide variety of models: ordinary least squares, instrumental variables, generalized linear models, maximum likelihood, and difference-in-differences estimators. An expressive formula interface enables multiple estimations, stepwise regressions, and variable interpolation in a single call, while users can make on-the-fly inference adjustments using a variety of built-in robust standard errors. Finally, fixest provides methods for publication-ready regression tables and coefficient plots. Benchmarks against leading alternatives in R, Python, and Julia demonstrate best-in-class performance, and the paper includes many worked examples illustrating the core functionality.
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Daniel Laurison @daniellaurison.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Today I'm releasing probably the most important scholarly thing I've ever worked on - a report based on talking with 144 people about why they don't vote or only vote regularly, and on what needs to be done to build a democracy that can include everyone. www.swarthmore.edu/u... please share!
image of a report cover, with a US flag in the background, and the text "The Political Disconnect: Working-Class and Low-Income People on What Politics Means to Them and How They Might be Mobilized”
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Panel Study of Income Dynamics @umpsid.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Deadline extended! Apply for the MCCFAD 2026 Summer Data Immersion Program by Monday, Feb. 16th! #Umich #AcademicSky #PSID myumi.ch/mRWPj
myumi.ch
Online Survey Software | Qualtrics Survey Solutions
Qualtrics sophisticated online survey software solutions make creating online surveys easy. Learn more about Research Suite and get a free account today.
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Evelyne Hübscher @evehubscher.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Very happy that our review article (with the @annualreviews.bsky.social) on „Austerity and Populism“ is now available as preprint: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... - with @sattlersthomas.bsky.social
annualreviews.org
Austerity and Populism
A large literature explains the rise of populist parties with the economic insecurities stemming from globalization and technological change. But despite the long-standing focus of the comparative and...
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The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Recently accepted by #QJE, “The Price of Housing in the United States, 1890–2006,” by Lyons (@ronanlyons), Shertzer (@econhist-allday), Gray (@econhistoryorbust), and Agorastos: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org
The Price of Housing in the United States, 1890–2006*
Abstract. We construct the first annual market rent and home sales price series for American cities over the 20th century using 2.7 million newspaper real
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Oscar Stuhler @oms279.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Now out in Sociological Science (How) do sociologists use GenAI for their research? Find out in our paper. Written with @ajalvero.bsky.social @dustinstoltz.com and Marshall Taylor. Thank you to everyone who participated in the survey!!
sociologicalscience.com
Generative AI in Sociological Research: State of the Discipline
Article: Generative AI in Sociological Research: State of the Discipline | Sociological Science | Posted January 20, 2026
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Matthias Haslberger @mhaslberger.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Just out in @wepsocial.bsky.social: how housing wealth shapes whether people feel heard. Together with @madselk.bsky.social and @benansell.bsky.social, I looked at a neglected determinant of political efficacy: homeownership. Read the #OA paper: doi.org/10.1080/0140... Quick overview below (1/5)
doi.org
Homeownership and political efficacy: how housing wealth shapes whether people feel heard
Why do some citizens feel that political institutions are responsive to people like them, while others do not? Existing research highlights the role of education and income in shaping external poli...
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Robert Kelchen @robertkelchen.com · 26/01/2026
New research by @imbernomics.bsky.social and colleagues using Texas data dives into different economic returns to college majors by race and gender. There are differences in the share of students going into high-paying fields, as well as earnings within those fields.
nber.org
The Contribution of College Majors to Gender and Racial Earnings Differences
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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George B. Radics @georgeradics.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
It's been a long time coming. After several years of revisions, my book Emotional Filipinos is coming out on April 15th. Please share and retweet! It would really mean a lot to me. Preorder sales available here: ugapress.org/978082037545...
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Manuel Mejías @mmejiasl.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
🚨New paper in the International Journal of Sociology of Education where I analyse how growing up in single-parent families influences tertiary education attainment, which mechanisms explain this, their heterogeneity by parental SES and how it has changed over time. 👉🏽 doi.org/10.17583/ris...
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
"We find that minimum wages substantially reduce intergroup wage inequality at least up to the 20th wage percentile, with no evidence of adverse employment effects."
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Kathryn Paige Harden @kph3k.bsky.social · 31/12/2025
Is one of your goals for 2026 to write more? One question I get all the time is, "How do you make time to write?" So, here is my unsolicited writing advice for the new year:
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Jess Calarco @jessicacalarco.com · 24/12/2025
This thread perfectly explains why AI has little value for qualitative research. Yes, large language models can find patterns in qualitative data. But, they're trained on what we already know. So, they won't find anything surprising. And, surprise is qualitative research's primary value-add.
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 01/12/2025
Community college enrollment has been declining since 2009/10. The optimal policy response to this depends on the root of this decline. I'm thrilled @nber.org today released my working paper with Harvard PhD Joe Winkelmann titled: "Labor Market Strength and Declining Community College Enrollment"
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Trevon Logan @trevondlogan.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Segregation was not just a Southern phenomenon, it was a national issue. Explore the spatial history of racial segregation and discover how it connects to our communities today: greenbookproject.osu.edu #GreenBookProject #CommunityMap #EconSky
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PsyArXivBot @psyarxivbot.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
Clarifying the Diploma Divide: The Growing Importance of Higher Education for Political Identity: osf.io/cm2np
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Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Why did that happen, what does it tell us, and what can we do next? That’s what my forthcoming book, The Wage Standard, is about: how rules, norms, and power in the labor market shape who shares in growth. Coming out March 31. Pre-order here: www.thewagestandard.com
thewagestandard.com
The Wage Standard by Arindrajit Dube: 9780593471418 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books
“The go-to guy on minimum wage” (Nobel Laureate and New York Times bestselling author Paul Krugman) tackles one of the thorniest social issues of our times—income inequality—from...
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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
broke: teach the kids to code because it's employable woke: teach the kids humanities because it's important to know about art, philosophy and other languages bespoke: teach the kids to code because it's important to know about art, society, philosophy and other languages
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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
this is why quantitative social scientists, the perfect balance of both worlds, should be in charge of everything.
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C. Kirabo Jackson @kirabojackson.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
Have a favorite AEJ: Economic Policy paper from the past three years? Submit your nomination at the link below! www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...
aeaweb.org
AEJ Best Paper Awards
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