iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

As someone who has taught both causation and logic: if "understands causation and logic" is what distinguishes humans from machines, we're cooked.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 1h

You can tell my baby is her father’s daughter because she really loves those philips hue light strips.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Michael L. Barnett @mlbarnett.bsky.social · 23h

so, what do you do when you find a paper that should be legit that has a ton of AI hallucinated references?

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

jon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 29/09/2026

"Replication crisis" reforms like preregistration & pre-analysis plans were developed to control false positives in experimental research. Does that work in observational studies? Our new paper in Sociological Methods & Research argues for a different approach. 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

A Replication Framework for Observational Research: From Specification Restriction to Specification Expansion
Jonathan Ben-Menachem https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8092-0848 jbenmenachem@gmail.com, Ari Galper https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7909-8837, and Nic Fishman
Abstract
Sociology has remained relatively insulated from debates about the “replication crisis.” Heeding calls to consider replication more deeply, we introduce a distinction between two types of research reforms that have emerged in the wake of the crisis: specification-restricting and specification-expanding reforms. Specification restriction is often promoted as a way to increase the repeatability of research findings by controlling false positives. We argue that this statistical justification is less compelling in observational contexts—where the assumptions licensing false-positive control are harder to sustain and rigid ex ante analytical commitments can instead enshrine fragile specifications—than in experimental contexts. We further argue that apparently low replication rates do not necessarily imply a high prevalence of false positive findings. Instead, we propose a replication framework centered on specification-expanding reforms, stronger incentives for confirmatory research, and meta-analysis. This approach equips sociologists to assess the repeatability of findings and build a more cumulative discipline.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Burak Sonmez @buraksonmez.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Come and join us @sriucl.bsky.social We’re looking for an Assistant Professor in Quantitative Social Science with a research agenda on the environment and/or climate change, and expertise in causal inference. See full details and apply 👉🏼 www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...

UCL Social Research Institute recruitment poster for an Assistant Professor in Quantitative Social Science at the Centre for Quantitative Social Science. Applications close 30 October 2026.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 29/09/2026

🎶 And everything went from wrong to right Significance stars came out, filled up the sky The results you were playing really blew my mind It was love at first cite 🎶

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

DIW Berlin @diw.de · 29/09/2026

"Das Berliner Wohnungsproblem ist vor allem ein Umsetzungsproblem. Die Stadt hat bereits Potenziale für 213.000 Wohnungen identifiziert." In seiner @zeit.de Kolumne nennt @mfratzscher.bsky.social konkrete Maßnahmen, die ohne Vergesellschaftung schnell umsetzbar wären: www.diw.de/de/diw_01.c....

diw.de

DIW Berlin: So lässt sich die Wohnungsnot ohne Enteignungen lösen

Berlin diskutiert über Vergesellschaftung, dabei liegen praktische Lösungen für das Wohnungsproblem direkt in der Stadt: als Flächen, die man nutzen muss. Wohnen ist eine der wichtigsten sozialen Fra...

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 28/09/2026

I don't mean to brag, but this is one of the best videos I have ever taken, feat. @dingdingpeng.the100.ci

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Mike Johansen @mikejohansenmd.medsky.social · 28/09/2026

Why wouldn't we have a program like this review all of our journal submissions?

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

John Flournoy @johnflournoy.science · 28/09/2026

I remember the period of time when I told people often "look at my fat baby my baby is so fat!!" such a good feeling

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 28/09/2026

In related news, I just had a random stranger compliment my baby — “Nice cheeks!”

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 28/09/2026

I’m looking into the literature on the effects of marriage on well-being 👀 if you have any favorite studies, please let me know! My main interest is on the causal inference side of things, but I’ll take anything that is interesting 😋

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

karlomir.bsky.social @karlomir.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Oh, to be a little chocolate Kaulquappe on the Froschbus to my local Bromelienschwimmbad.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 27/09/2026

“Chocolate tree climber” surely sounds nicer than “Marañón poison frog”

Zoo sign for the Marañón poison frog (Excidobates mysteriosus), an endangered chocolate-brown frog with cream spots from Peru's Cordillera del Condor. The sign covers its diet (ants, termites), treetop bromeliad habitat, and how males carry tadpoles to water in bromeliads.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Christoph Kronenberg @ckronenberg.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Kudos to the journal for collaborating! Psych Science is doing quite a few things right from an outside perspective.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Joe Simons @joesimons.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

"Top 10 Medical Lizards" is a Buzzfeed article waiting to happen

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 27/09/2026

Omg thanks to @dingdingpeng.the100.ci I'm now the proud sponsor of a Gila monster at the zoo 🦎 One of the most important lizards in medical history! There it is, sleeping on the right.

Me holding a Gila monster plushie in front of a Gila monster exhibit

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 27/09/2026

I have to concede that the new underwater tunnel at Zoo Leipzig is very cool.

Seal swimming over an underwater tunnel segment

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 27/09/2026

Conceptions of leisure time sure do have changed 👀

First, in the 1920s it was still natural to include housework and needlework as ‘free time’; indeed, a quarter of the young women listed these as their favourite activity. By 2000, such tasks had been demoted to ‘unpaid work’. Second, the number of leisure activities has grown exponentially. The Westphalian working women either went swimming or did no sport at all. Their great-grand-daughters could choose football, volleyball, tennis, judo and indoor skiing. The greater level of activity, thirdly, is related to greater mobility. Other than the occasional walk, leisure in the 1920s had a fixed residence, at home or in the hostel.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 27/09/2026

A propos, ich hätte nicht gedacht, dass Udo Lindenberg der erste hartnäckige Ohrwurm meines 4-jährigen Sohnes wird. Babysitterin hat sich schon beschwert weil er es no-stop singt.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

This is a poor take that suggests Owen Jones doesn't know much about Russia in the 1990s, including Russia-US or wider Russia-West relations in the 1990s. By giving only one part of the story, he is repeating the Russian political elite's self-serving line that it was all the West's fault. Long 🧵

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Georg Henning @georghenning.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Just signed the contract so i guess it is official: This october, I will join the Institute of Gerontology at the University of Heidelberg! Super excited about this new chapter!

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Christoph Kronenberg @ckronenberg.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Where do I find student writing that is certain to be AI written? Been playing around building a scanner that produces a dashboard of indicators and it correctly assess my work as non-slop, but I need some definitive slop to test the reverse.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Dan Lewer @danlewer.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Debating with colleagues about the practice of "deseasoning and deweathering" air pollution data before use in time series analysis. I can't see why you don't use the raw pollution data and model season/weather variables like normal confounders (independent variables). Can anyone defend this?

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Associate Marshallian Spillover Coordinator @stevenlandgraf.com · 25/09/2026

Carlyle called it the "dismal science" in the context of an essay where he lamented that emancipated formerly enslaved people were demanding too high wages on West Indies sugar plantations and criticized economists of the day for supporting slavery abolition and free immigration of black people.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 25/09/2026

Happy Friday! Iʼve created a game for you to play! Will AI cure all diseases in 10 years? Inspired by bottlenecks discourse, I created a game to help build your intuitions. Play it here: game.clinicaltrialsabundance.blog Naturally, it’s bottle-themed with bubbles and there are leaderboards too.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 25/09/2026

. @dingdingpeng.the100.ci's baby is so chubby, I had to find out how our face sizes compared, side by side. Unfortunately I still can't tell. It's debatable

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 25/09/2026

Wake up babe, new Gettier problem just dropped en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gettier...

Gettier attempts to illustrate by means of two counterexamples that there are cases where individuals can have a justified true belief regarding a claim but still fail to know it because the reasons for the belief, while justified, turn out to be false.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 25/09/2026

Deepfrozen Apfelküchle? Air fryer, straight away.

A pack of deepfrozen South German apple pancakes

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 24/09/2026

Come to Leipzig, we have novelty ice cream 🥭

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 24/09/2026

Not depicted: the spaghetti carbonara eis which I had for lunch. We’re adults, so we’re allowed to do that.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Anna Neumaier @annaneumaier.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Immerhin einer hier geht achtsam mit sich um

Foto von einem Laptopbildschirm, darauf steht "57% BIOS self healing backup progressing"

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Heather Urry @heatherurry.io · 24/09/2026

holy fucking shit - see Claude Code (Opus 5.5) rip through a survey eligility test I was really proud of... It requires tracing a route through designated points on a map with server-side Javascript applying eligibility criteria. (1.5 min video)

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026

I’m a simple girl, I see a paper with an excellent title, I repost.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026

Me ever since I discovered our electric grill has an air fryer function:

Parcs and Recreations "right to jail" meme.
Fish sticks? Right to air fryer.
Vegetables...right to air fryer, right away.
Tofu? Air fryer.
Donuts? Believe it or not, air fryer.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026

I helped my vanilla ice cream flavored protein powder realize its true nature by turning it into vanilla ice cream.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Sanjay Srivastava @sanjaysrivastava.com · 22/09/2026

I’ve never heard of a university press office that doesn’t ask researchers to review and sign off on press releases. Unless I hear otherwise, this is on the scientists, not the PR office

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026

Just listened to this episode, it’s excellent! You can tell that Paul Allison is an *incredible* teacher. Highly recommended if you’re fixed-effects curious but are new to the party! quantitude.org/s8e03-paul-a...

quantitude.org

S8E03 Control Yourself: Fixed Effects Models with Paul Allison – Quantitude

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Martin Brümmer @derbruemmer.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

We git push —force-with-lease’d these tiny feet into the GitLab socks. Actual deployment is still a few sprints ahead, but staging looks very promising.

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Socks are the best swag (not to mention baby socks)… I don’t know why this isn’t more widely accepted

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026

Dressing the baby like a normal person

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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

if anyone tells you to cite my papers that is also paul

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Reposted by Julia M. Rohrer

Will Lowe @conjugateprior.org · 23/09/2026

"pengdingdinged by dingdingpeng"

Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026

Guys and girls, just so that you know, if a reviewer refers to my papers, it’s not me, it’s Paul!!!

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/09/2026

Happy northern hemisphere snotty nose season to those who celebrate! What better way to celebrate than a podcast episode about the history of the handkerchief? m.youtube.com/watch?v=uRNC...

m.youtube.com

Blowing Your Nose: The Handkerchief-Industrial Complex

YouTube video by Everyday Abundance

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