Reposted by Raphael CunhaEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 02/10/2026“We find that on medium-length, well-defined accounting tasks, frontier AI models are now faster and more accurate than junior accountants, even the best one in our study.” Eighteen months ago they scored well below human accountants Good discussion here: www.mercor.com/blog/human-b... 513012
Reposted by Raphael CunhaBurak Sonmez @buraksonmez.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Come and join us @sriucl.bsky.social We’re looking for an Assistant Professor in Quantitative Social Science with a research agenda on the environment and/or climate change, and expertise in causal inference. See full details and apply 👉🏼 www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/... 25868
Reposted by Raphael CunhaRobert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Wow.🤯 I just used @yamilrvelez.bsky.social Github repo for enabling Claude Code as an agent for Qualtrics surveys: github.com/yrvelez/qual... Claude Code took a disorganized Word doc survey draft and turned it into a stellar Qualtrics survey--better-formatted than any survey I've ever written 😅github.comGitHub - yrvelez/qualtrics-mcp-serverContribute to yrvelez/qualtrics-mcp-server development by creating an account on GitHub. 55013
Reposted by Raphael CunhaJennifer N. Victor @jenvictor.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Absolutely spot on piece from @dandrezner.bsky.social today. It validates what I said on a panel at APSA (getting slightly outside my lane) when I said the remaining pillars of US hegemony are the military and the dollar. Drezner nails it here. danieldrezner.substack.com/p/the-dollar...danieldrezner.substack.comThe Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To FallThe Trump administration is gutting the pillars of U.S. hegemony one by one. 23212
Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 02/09/2026Fascinating new results by @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social and coauthors. 011
Reposted by Raphael CunhaThe British Academy @britishacademy.bsky.social · 02/09/2026The second round of the British Academy/Leverhulme Small Research Grants scheme is now open. Our most popular funding opportunity supports UK-based Postdoctoral researchers – or equivalent – in the humanities and social sciences. Find out more: bit.ly/4iwQQtI 02128
Reposted by Raphael CunhaEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 31/08/2026The First Golden Age of AI writing is now over. For a brief period of time, many people were better off having Claude do a lot of their writing, because it is a pretty good writer & AI detectors were bad Now ClaudeSpeak is cliched & suspect & annoying, and Pangram is well-known. 6826
Reposted by Raphael CunhaAdam L @adam-lg.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Re: bicycle helmet discourse - you should look at the Virginia Tech Helmet Lab's test results before buying a helmet. Anything with 5 stars is good; if you're just riding around town, you don't need a full-face. Most companies will give you a discount on a new helmet if you ruin it in a crash.helmet.beam.vt.eduBike Helmet RatingsVirginia Tech Helmet Ratings - Bike helmets have been tested to evaluate their ability to reduce brain injury risk. 195
Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Also this: “For UK government bond veterans haunted by the Liz Truss disaster of 2022, Treasuries are starting to look like gilts in an expensive suit and with good teeth.” 010
Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Great opening line by @katie0martin.ft.com: “Scott Bessent’s running battle with the bond market is starting to look like his boss’s war in Iran — started by his own hand with a tangled set of objectives, an underestimated opponent and an implausible path to victory.” 172
Reposted by Raphael CunhaJacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · 24/08/2026On this day in 2018. Kieran @kjhealy.co ‘s obituary will include the MacArthur essay and “Fuck Nuance,” but for a particular niche audience of connoisseurs, this is his masterpiece. 1035984
Reposted by Raphael CunhaCyrus Samii @cdsamii.bsky.social · 14/08/2026The new Alsan and Neberai paper on why the US doesn't have national health insurance offers an interesting template for research on the origins of institutions academic.oup.com/qje/article/...academic.oup.comWhy Doesn’t the United States Have National Health Insurance? The Political Role of the American Medical AssociationAbstract. This article examines how the American Medical Association (AMA) helped shape the development of the U.S. health insurance system in the critical 1133
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSteve Kambouris @steve-kambouris.bsky.social · 11/08/2026My single top recommendation would be Zenodo (zenodo.org), but there are other very good options, such as Dryad (datadryad.org) and the Dataverse (dataverse.org), which is deployed by institutions (for Australia, see dataverse.ada.edu.au/dataverse/ada) 1216
Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 08/08/2026“…Textbooks and research articles are full of examples that work, they’re full of estimates that are a bit more than 2 standard errors from zero, everything’s a bit too clean.” 010
Reposted by Raphael CunhaThales ZP @thaleszp.bsky.social · 24/07/2026Existe! Testado e aprimorado em sala de aula ao longo dos últimos anos, traz uma historiografia atualizada para as disciplinas de Economia Brasileira. 072
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSchool of Politics and Economics @kcl-spe.bsky.social · 02/06/2026NEW: Can financial markets really make a difference in electoral outcomes? A new paper co-authored by @raphaelcunha.bsky.social examines whether the public’s perception of political candidates can be influenced by the reactions of global financial markets 🌏 More ⬇️ www.kcl.ac.uk/news/can-fin...kcl.ac.ukCan financial markets really make a difference in electoral outcomes? | King's College LondonA new study has revealed that the public’s perception of political candidates can be influenced by the reactions of international financial markets, with investor opinion proving powerful enough to sw... 162
Reposted by Raphael CunhaMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 01/06/2026Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf... 1310107
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSantiago Sanchez-Pages @sanpages.eurosky.social · 15/05/2026Another successful edition of the @kingsqpe.bsky.social Early Career Workshop! 0124
Reposted by Raphael CunhaRoman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 09/04/2026This is similar to what we find in our recent study on which countries people want their government to learn from. China ranks in the middle but still comes out ahead of the United States, pointing to shifting perceptions of the two powers. 02511
Reposted by Raphael CunhaDaniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 08/04/2026There is a rare permanent job in the UK - assistant prof (lecturer) in political science with a focus on quant methods www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRD143/a...jobs.ac.ukAssistant Professor in Political Science at University of NottinghamRecruiting now: Assistant Professor in Political Science on jobs.ac.uk. Click for details and explore more academic job opportunities on the top job board 02433
Reposted by Raphael CunhaNina Obermeier @ninaobermeier.com · 02/04/2026@kcl-spe.bsky.social is hosting a Junior International Political Economy Researchers Workshop on 28 April and we have a great line-up of papers by early-career researchers. @adreher.bsky.social will also share expertise on publishing in the field. Register here: forms.office.com/e/q7rUFAVg21 14019
Reposted by Raphael CunhaBen Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 24/03/2026📣 New job at Oxford's Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM)! 📣 The Departments of Politics & IR (DPIR) and Social Policy and Intervention (DSPI) are hiring an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods. Come work with me and amazing Oxford peeps! Deadline NOON April 27th.politics.ox.ac.ukAssociate Professorship of Causal and Experimental Methods in Politics and Social PolicyUniversity salary from £58,265 - £77,645 per annum which is inclusive of an Oxford University Weighting of £1,730 p.aPermanent upon completion of a successful review. The review is conducted during th... 14756
Reposted by Raphael CunhaBastian Becker @beckerbastian.bsky.social · 18/03/2026Also finding it hard to keep up with new research? I built something to fix this. SciLove — swipe through recent papers in your field. The feed learns from your saves. Also matches you with researchers saving your work back (opt-out if you prefer). www.scilove.app 3,000+ journals, updated dailyscilove.appSciLove — Discover new research on the goA personalized feed of the latest peer-reviewed papers — swipe to save, skip, and make connections in minutes a day. 1217784
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSoumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 16/03/2026Email etiquette, a timeline 2015: Scrupulously edit all emails, FULL punctuation 2017: Don't use too many exclamation marks! People will think you are a small girl! 2021: Occasionally leave out full-stops as a power move 2026: One typo per email to show an AI didn't write it 11504105
Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 04/03/2026The submission deadline for the King's Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy is approaching (March 10). Submit your paper! No registration fee, and we *do have* a few travel grants available for participants from outside of London. 001
Reposted by Raphael CunhaBouke Klein Teeselink @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social · 13/02/2026📢 Call for papers! We are organizing the 6th Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy on 14-15 May 2026 at King’s College London! Keynote: Shanker Satyanath (NYU) No fee, travel grants might become available! Submit at: tinyurl.com/qpe2026 12424
Reposted by Raphael CunhaEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 27/02/2026So over the past week you are seeing what you would expect to see if AI is, in fact, both rapidly gaining capabilities & proving to be very useful: - Rolling market disruption in response to growing awareness of AI capacity -Government versus AI lab struggles for control …& it is still quite early 310317
Reposted by Raphael CunhaBrendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 27/08/2025Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ previous peer reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19... Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)chatgpt.comChatGPT - Manuscript review assistantA conversational AI system that listens, learns, and challenges 46111
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSchool of Politics and Economics @kcl-spe.bsky.social · 06/02/2026⏰ Call for proposals!⏰ Organisers are calling for full panel proposals, author-meets-critics sessions, or individual papers from those who would like to attend the next annual PPE conference at King's The deadline for submissions is February 20👇 ppesociety.org/ppe-society-...ppesociety.org2026 PPE Society London Meeting - The Philosophy, Politics, and Economics SocietyWe are pleased to share that, in addition to the PPE Society’s Annual Meetings held each year in New Orleans, the international PPE Society will… 045
Reposted by Raphael CunhaDanbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 12/02/2026🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social): We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys. Short version: It mostly doesn’t. w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social URL: osf.io/preprints/os... 417758
Reposted by Raphael CunhaKing's QPE @kingsqpe.bsky.social · 10/02/2026This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Guido Tabellini on "Do Elections Moderate or Polarize Political Rhetoric?" Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending. 052
Reposted by Raphael CunhaKing's QPE @kingsqpe.bsky.social · 02/02/2026This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Ignacio Jurado (@jurado.bsky.social) on "Losing Elections: Democratic Consent and Illiberal Attitudes in Polarized Contexts". Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending. 072
Reposted by Raphael CunhaPepper Culpepper @pculpepper.bsky.social · 23/01/2026Many people think crypto is a scam. Why is it not more heavily regulated? We look at attitudes after the FTX scandal, showing that scandal coverage differed between left and right media. Conservatives who got their news from the left (eg NYT), and vice versa, wound up more moderate. Media matters. 👇 1204
Reposted by Raphael CunhaDaniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 23/01/2026Yet another data point supporting the view that there is change afoot in the global financial system. I know it's trite, but this is all "how to dismantle a reserve currency." The dollar as the go-to haven in times of crisis, well, that appears (again) to be shaky. 1/ 212951
Reposted by Raphael CunhaHetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 22/01/2026The second paper is by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social and @himself.bsky.social. It shows how dollar centrality was weaponised by the US to help maintain order but is now plausibly undermining it. Great topical read on some of the underlying faultlines www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/documents/60... 194
Reposted by Raphael CunhaHadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 21/01/2026We're hard at work on new AI tools for RStudio that will support EDA and we hope generally accelerate data science. If you're interested in trying them out, join the private beta waitlist for a sneak peek: posit.co/products/ai/ #rstatsposit.coInterested in using AI in RStudio? Let us know.We’re working hard to bring more AI capabilities to RStudio. If you’re interested in learning more about what’s coming, including early access to help test new capabilities, join our waitlist. 2419
Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 21/01/2026This is required reading – like everything else that @danielmcdowell.bsky.social writes on the topic. 1103
Reposted by Raphael CunhaThe Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 20/01/2026It is even worse than it looksopen.substack.comThe Old World Order is DeadUnipolarity was given, not taken 491033303
Reposted by Raphael CunhaThe Guardian @theguardian.com · 15/01/2026‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police aparttheguardian.com‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apartSting and his former bandmates go to the high court over a royalties dispute this week – the latest chapter in the song’s remarkably fractious story 107111
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSeva @seva.bsky.social · 13/01/2026I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts. open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...open.substack.comThe Age of Academic Slop is Upon Uswhat happens when AI automates "normal science"? 25651274
Reposted by Raphael CunhaLeonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 07/01/2026Ótimo texto do Marcos Lisboa sobre o Master: www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/marc...www1.folha.uol.com.br 041
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSean Gailmard @sean-gailmard.bsky.social · 02/12/2025This is an interesting paper. I continue to sense that we as a field have concluded, either you have an identification strategy as defined here, or you don’t have a valid causal claim. And that is really not true. 34415
Reposted by Raphael CunhaJohn Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 02/12/2025"The Credibility Revolution in Political Science" osf.io/preprints/so... 53414
Reposted by Raphael CunhaMarina Duque @mduque.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Ever wondered why some countries get recognition while others struggle to be seen? My book 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘔𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘰𝘧 𝘐𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘴 is finally out in the world! 📘 academic.oup.com/book/61560academic.oup.comThe Making of International StatusAbstract. With great power rivalry on the rise again, many worry that struggles for status among states could lead to war. As a growing consensus indicates 33014
Reposted by Raphael CunhaJohn Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 25/11/2025This is wild! Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries. 37324
Reposted by Raphael CunhaSara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 25/11/2025🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨 We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social Any questions, please reach out to me 📣 Please share! 📣 jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... 2115109