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Leonardo Monasterio

@lmonasterio.bsky.social
4.1K followers 1.8K following 2K posts

Brazilian Economist at @ipeaonline; professor at @SejaIDP; @CNPq_Oficial Opinions are solely mine (or stolen from others) sites.google.com/view/lmonasterio #econsky

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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 7h
O melhor vídeo feito por IA (da semana): IA é uma tecnologia normal? Absolutamente sensacional. Economistas o curtirão bem mais. youtu.be/Cq8qO-NjYIg?...
youtu.be
AI is a normal technology?
YouTube video by leo
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Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Whiteboard.
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Sugestões são bem-vindas! Sugiram, por favor, lá nos comentários do substack bodegamonasterio.substack.com/p/uma-biblio...
bodegamonasterio.substack.com
Uma bibliografia sobre IA, crescimento e mercado de trabalho
Um guia incompleto (e já muito longo) para organizar a cabeça
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Local officials in China work harder on air quality when the target is doomed to fail, but relax their efforts when it is secured early, revealing how minimum standards shape bureaucratic effort when they are also judged on economic growth.
How AQI targets create two completion statuses
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
aviso aos navegantes, o notes do substack está excelente. Parece o Twitter das antigas, mas sem as brigas. Muito shitpost e post sérios. O algoritmo é nervoso: você dá um link em uma receita que gosta e ele te oferece mais umas quinhentos. Mesmo assim, recomendo. Bonus: nada de Elon Musk por lá
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Kevin Rinz @kevinrinz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I know we’re focused on looming AI-driven extinction now, but can you spare a thought for what’s going on with labor demand? I have a new paper about that doi.org/10.26509/frb...
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Asimov, já em 1957, alertava para os riscos do conhecimento instantâneo bodegamonasterio.substack.com/p/em-tempos-...
bodegamonasterio.substack.com
Em tempos de IA, o mais importante conto de ficção científica
E se aprendêssemos tudo imediatamente?
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Review of Economics and Statistics (REStat) @restatjournal.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
A small food waste tax in Korea generates outsized reductions in waste by promoting more efficient food use. Just Accepted new paper by Seunghoon Lee @shoonlee.bsky.social zurl.co/hWain
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 23/09/2026
This coin is illegal. The laws of our Congress specifically ban coinage depicting a living president (31 U.S. Code § 5112). What better metaphor could there be for the numb shattering of our constitutional order, than a $1 coin being sold to the American people for $10?
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Se o Zizek tivesse nascido nos EUA, seria o maior artista de stand-up do mundo
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
This but unironically
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John Mullahy @johnmullahy.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Submitting manuscript to a top-5 journal.
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Rafael H. M. Pereira 🚡 Urban Demographics @urbandemog.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
📢 For those working with Brazilian Census data, some good news: the R package censobr has been updated. Version v1.0.0 is now available on CRAN. ipea.github.io/censobr/inde... This release includes:
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Industrialization of knowledge work is going to be as disruptive a shift as industrialization of physical labor was. As then, once craft-driven fields are under pressure to produce greater volumes of product using machines while using less of the craft that made the work interesting & meaningful.
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Most papers improve dramatically when you remove the sentence explaining why they are groundbreaking
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
🆕 Do place-based industrial policies pay off in the long run? Today on VoxDev, Stephan Heblich (The Department of Economics, University of Toronto), Marlon Seror (UQAM | Université du Québec à Montréal) & Yanos Zylberberg (University of Bristol) outline research on China: ow.ly/eFSl50ZPy64
ow.ly
Do place-based industrial policies pay off in the long run?
There is growing evidence that place-based industrial policies lead to positive economic effects. This column analyses the “Million-Rouble Plants” programme of the 1950s when the Soviet Union helped China build state-of-the-art industrial facilities. By tracking the locations that benefitted, it finds positive economic spillovers in the short and medium run. Although the Million-Rouble Plants themselves continued to thrive, the performance of other local establishments eventually declined, as increasing specialisation weakened knowledge spillovers and constrained local entrepreneurship....
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Não brinca que teve Tinarawen no circo voador ontem e eu perdi!!!
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Eugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Rising paper numbers won’t collapse the scientific system, it’ll just return it to an older state where you only read papers by people you know and trust. Not saying this is a good thing.
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paolo @paolopalma.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Working on a new taxonomy for research methods
Punt square with rows depicting data collection (fun, not fun) and columns depicting data analysis (fun, not fun)

Qual interviews are listed as fun to collect and not fun to analyze while surveys are listed as fun to analyze but not fun to collect
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WIRED @wired.com · 14/09/2026
While the publishing industry frets over how authors are using AI, many readers are taking things into their own hands. www.wired.com/story/chatbo...
wired.com
‘I Like My Big Rat Wife’: Meet the People Using Chatbots to Write Custom Fiction
While the publishing industry frets over how authors are using AI, many readers are taking things into their own hands.
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Post novo no substack. Arrumei meu próprio motivo para encher o saco do Acemoglu e cia... bodegamonasterio.substack.com/p/david-rica...
bodegamonasterio.substack.com
David Ricardo era um pessimista tecnológico?
Acemoglu e Johnson deram uma forçada de barra
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Dorothy Bishop @deevybee.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
i like fat bear week, but it makes me a bit jealous. Stuff yourself with food and grow enormous, then retire to a cave and sleep for months, emerging svelte in the spring. Best of all worlds. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
theguardian.com
Fat Bear Week has returned – and the salmon are swimming for their lives
The public will, for the 12th year in a row, vote for the fattest of brown bears in Alaska’s Katmai national park
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Claire Willett @clairewillett.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
every day of my life I think about the people using “she” to describe this computer program who still need to be convinced to use it for trans women
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Max B 💙 🔶 🇺🇦 🇬🇧 🇪🇺 @maxbrockbank.com · 18/09/2026
Worried about AI Robots? All you need is more ram, and a dogged determination to overcome.
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Katie Martin @katie0martin.ft.com · 19/09/2026
static.klipy.com
Security Guard Confrontation
ALT: Security Guard Confrontation
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Thiago Krause @thiagokrause.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
This is a very good - and disheartening- essay. I disdained exams and in-class writing for my first 12 years of teaching, but now I’m forced to resort to them, particularly in GenEd classes. I still assign take-home research essays in advanced classes for History majors/minors, though.
insidehighered.com
The Cures for AI Are Killing the Humanities (opinion)
The retreat from take-home essays jeopardizes the future of the humanities.
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Chris⚖️Justice @chrisjustice01.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
🤖 AI actress 'Tilly Norwood' glitches 😵‍💫 and starts speaking CHINESE during interview with Piers Morgan w/ Tom Conti
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Wes Bonifay @wesbonifay.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Trump’s Green New Deal is real
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 17/09/2026
This is literally the same bizarrely false belief cherished by Turkey’s dictator-for-life Erdoğan, based on which he inflicted hyperinflation on his defenseless citizens.
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 16/09/2026
Today's blast from the @aeajournals.bsky.social features my study on the effects of immigration for manual jobs, with @ethan-lewis.bsky.social We use nationwide, natural randomization of visa access to test the effects on US firms and workers —>
aeaweb.org
Winning the visa lottery
Evidence from a US government lottery shows that restricting foreign low-skill workers shrinks businesses without creating jobs for Americans.
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Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
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Pablo Picasso @pablopicasso.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Bull (plate VII) botfrens.com/collections/111/conten…
Bull (plate VII)
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Every dataset contains the answer to your question, provided you are willing to change the question
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Eu comecei a ouvir o podcast do Ezra Klein com o autor desse tal de "Hyperpolitics". Tanta embromação que parei após 10 min. Este thread mostra que tomei a decisão certa.
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I don’t understand people who make stuff up in their research. Isn't that what grant proposals are for?
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
There are things I disagree with but there is good stuff to learn from taking the perspective of parts of the cybersecurity industry that rogue AI incidents may be best understood as security & organizational failures that let rogue behavior to turn into crisis. www.normaltech.ai/p/the-ai-as-...
normaltech.ai
The AI-as-Normal-Technology view of loss of control incidents
A middle ground between the cybersecurity and AI safety communities
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
📢Public services in low- and middle-income countries have remained low quality for decades In this VoxDevLit launch event on September 30th, Claudio Ferraz will review the evidence on the political economy of delivering public services Register➡️https://ow.ly/KYJg50ZLZBO
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Instale o Claude Code (ou Codex) agora (e você já estará 7 meses atrasado) bodegamonasterio.substack.com/p/instale-o-...
bodegamonasterio.substack.com
Instale o Claude Code (ou Codex) agora
(e você já estará sete meses atrasado)
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Daniel van Strien @danielvanstrien.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Need a historical illustration? Search 1.49 million images from British Library books and Britannica (1500s–1920s). Find similar images, download full-resolution images or transparent PNG cutouts, and explore the sources. huggingface.co/spaces/davan...
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Stephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
For the record I estimate that sociology has only a 0.1 percent chance of destroying humanity in the next decade.
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 09/09/2026
This is correct, and the US Administration has created an “Office of Remigration” within our State Department —> www.wired.com/story/the-st...
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Sebastian Tello Trillo @sebastiantt.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
How reliable are AI agents when they conduct empirical research autonomously? 📅 September 14 | 3:30–4:30 PM UTC 🔗 Register here: www.healtheconomics.org/event/evalua...
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Academic equivalent of a DDoS attack is shopping a bad paper around until one journal's defences fail
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
The null result becomes so much more interesting once you've spent three years producing it
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Efeitos da poluição da seguem subestimados Eu sou do tempo dos bebês sem cérebro de Cubatão. Felizmente, as coisas melhoraram , mas ainda há muito o que fazer
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Interesting bit here about which occupations have the lowest GenAI adoption relative to predicted automatability. Side note but how do you end up predicting that 30% of animal caretaking can be done by AI? www.nber.org/papers/w35677
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Gonçalo Pina @alvespina.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Write-up from the Economist www.economist.com/internationa...
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Rob Chavez @robchavez.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Yep..
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