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Daniel McDowell

@danielmcdowell.bsky.social
2.8K followers 923 following 1.1K posts

Family man | Professor @Syracuse | Sr. Fellow @Atlantic Council | Fmr. China Fellow @TheWilsonCenter | Geoeconomics, Finance, & Cleveland sports | www.danielmcdowell.org

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Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Latest version of the @cnas.bsky.social Russia Stability Tracker is out. First update in almost 3 years. Very short 🧵- but check the link, it's a quick read.
cnas.org
The Russia Stability Tracker
While the group’s experts agreed that Putin and his regime maintain a firm grip on power, there is now less certainty about Russia’s domestic stability.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Here we go.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Do financial sanctions provoke de-dollarization? In new co-authored research with David Steinberg, we look at this question from the unique perspective of Russian households in 2022-23. A short 🧵(1/7)
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herman mark schwartz @thunen.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
protip for students: if you want to have a private, Oxford tutorial-like experience at your humongous state college, go to office hours and ask questions. i had an undergrad student who basically got an entire graduate level course on pol-econ of development just by showing up for office hours.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Average professor during office hours
static.klipy.com
Waiting
ALT: Waiting
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
TIL gen z doesn't like umbrellas as several of my students showed up to class rain soaked today.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Some people chase trends. I am not some people.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
As goes America's international reputation, so goes the dollar's international reputation. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/b...
nytimes.com
The World Economy Is Becoming Wary of the U.S.
America’s position of global economic stability is starting to look shakier as the Trump administration piles on debt and doubles down on sanctions.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
A+ work out of @mlb.com scheduling Mets-Yankees tonight.
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Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I re-read this incredible piece every year on 9/11. If you've never read it, or even if you have 25 times, it's worth your time.
esquire.com
The Falling Man
Do you remember this photograph? In the United States, people have taken pains to banish it from the record of September 11, 2001. The story behind it, though, and the search for the man pictured in i...
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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Author meets critics! Fun discussion of Aditi Sahasrabuddhe’s excellent new book, “Bankers’ Trust,” with @erinkaylockwood.bsky.social @danielmcdowell.bsky.social Alexa Zeitz, & Lawrence Broz. Congrats Aditi on an excellent book! #APSA2026
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Mina Kimes @minakimes.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
An organization that, like its starting QB, does not respect its fans. Wasting everyone’s time here.
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
57% of Russians consider the political situation "tense," another 13% consider it "critical, explosive." www.levada.ru/2026/08/14/o...
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Maxwell School @maxwellsu.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
“A strong military makes a currency more appealing because it’s a signal to foreign investors that their assets are safe,” says Professor @danielmcdowell.bsky.social. @supolisci.bsky.social
fortune.com
Jamie Dimon warns dollar dominance depends on the military: ‘If we're not the strongest military in 25 years…we won't be the reserve currency either’ | Fortune
The JPMorgan Chase CEO said U.S. military might well be the only thing keeping the world from being “very dangerous for us.”
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
I'm thrilled to share the latest @chesdata.bsky.social paper "A Global Scale of Economic Left–Right Party Positions: Cross-National and Cross-Expert Perceptions of Party Placements", out now at JOP, where we compare expert ratings from Europe, Latin America, Australia, Israel, Canada, & the US.
journals.uchicago.edu
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Sebastian Karcher @adam42smith.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
I'm hiring an Associate Director for the Center for Qualitative & Multi-Method Inquiry: www.sujobopps.com/postings/114... Run IQMR, work on QDR, help run events around methods @maxwellsu.bsky.social - great for recent MA or PhD interested in alt-ac 1/2
sujobopps.com
Associate Director, Center for Qualitative and Multi-Method Inquiry (CQMI)
Work collaboratively with the Director of the Center for Qualitative and Multi-Method Inquiry (CQMI). Lead the planning and logistics for the annual Institute for Qualitative and Multi-method Research...
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Meta-Weezer. This is so good, and best enjoyed in video form, though the song (tongue-in-cheek or not) is bangin' too. www.youtube.com/watch?v=F0N5...
youtube.com
Weezer - C.E.O. (Official Music Video)
YouTube video by weezer
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Doing fieldwork.
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Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
You can tell this is 100% true by the presence of 100s of thousands of Russian troops in Ukraine
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
A week ago I was sent this graphic showing Ukraine had hit 10 of 11 biggest Russian oil refineries producing gasoline. I thought hitting #1 in Omsk, in Siberia, was a refinery too far. Silly me.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Restrictions to stop capital from leaving China. Restrictions to stop AI engineers from leaving China.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Not sure if anyone else can relate, but about half of my family's glasses growing up were empty dried beef jars.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Are Bessent's proposed swap lines with Gulf and Asian states an indication that the dollar has become what Susan Strange--the OG theorist of the geoeconomics of international currencies--called a "Negotiated Currency"? A short 🧵(1/10)
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
We're getting Trump Airlines, aren't we. www.wsj.com/business/air...
wsj.com
Exclusive | Trump Administration Nearing Rescue Deal for Spirit Airlines
The president signaled this week the government could help the discount carrier, which has struggled with surging jet-fuel prices.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
NBC Sunday Night Baseball
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
I thought baseball was perfect until I saw this. Every team should have a dog that retrieves the bats.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
In grad school I worked really hard to train my brain that "data" = plural, and now this is what's become of us.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
New research on Chinese economic statecraft, with David Steinberg (@johnshopkinssais.bsky.social) & @seaytac.bsky.social now out in World Development. We consider the question: do Chinese foreign bailouts increase public support for closer economic ties to China in recipient countries? A 🧵 (1/7)
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
There was once nothing cooler than rolling up to your elementary school library and walking out with one of these in your backpack.
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Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Iñaki Aldasoro @aldasoro.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Great article by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social today, inspiring this meme as a unified theory of payment geopolitics (with cameos of @danielmcdowell.bsky.social, Nicholas Mulder & @edwardfishman.bsky.social
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Maxwell School @maxwellsu.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
“If we look at oil markets today, the dollar is still far and away the dominant currency that's used. But there has been some erosion and most of that erosion has taken place with countries that have been sanctioned by the US,” says Professor @danielmcdowell.bsky.social. @supolisci.bsky.social
youtube.com
Is Iran Ending the Petrodollar Era? | DW News
YouTube video by DW News
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Taco Tuesday
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
The MPSA of presidents.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Tickets for the home opener: $80 a pop Meeting your childhood baseball hero on the walk to the stadium: priceless. #PutKennyInCooperstown
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
The world is just a little brighter today because: new Weezer. open.spotify.com/album/6Hqfvc...
open.spotify.com
Shine Again
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
"The official soundtrack of US negotiations with Iran."
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Maxwell School @maxwellsu.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Professor @danielmcdowell.bsky.social says he's concerned the conflict could “result in renewed attacks from the White House on the independence of the Federal Reserve. @supolisci.bsky.social
newsweek.com
US recession odds spike as Iran war explodes
Recession odds rose in prediction markets as the Iran conflict added new pressure to the United States economy.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
My most maniacal parental delusion is when I pull off a solid dad joke, I like to imagine that my kids later say to their friends, "You'll never guess what funny thing my dad said today!" and proceed to speak of my unmatched dad comedy skills. There should be a name for this psychological disorder.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
bold choice putting "love" before "laugh" here.
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Karl Schamotta @karl-schamotta.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
(Almost) needless to say, the US cannot replace income taxes with tariffs. Goods imports are dwarfed by household and corporate income, making a wholesale substitution of one for the other a fiscal impossibility:
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Abe Newman @abenewman.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
What happens when weaponized interdependence meets neo-royalism...this interview? And somehow I got a goatee... www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
scmp.com
Open Questions | Abraham Newman on ‘weaponised interdependence’ in ‘neo‑royalist’ Trump era
American political scientist on how ‘interdependence’ can be exploited as part of the rivalry between major powers.
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Erin Lockwood @erinkaylockwood.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
One path forward would be dedicated, staffed AI-free reading/writing labs: inviting spaces with no wifi access or proctored use of laptops which students are required to attend throughout the term to work on longer-term assignments.
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Spent half an hour talking with Tommy Tucker of WWL First News about the 4th anniversary of the Russo-Ukraine War, where things stand, how Putin stays in power, and more. Had enough of a conversation that I got to break down "collective action problems" and "personalist dictatorship" along the way.
podcasts.apple.com
Hour 4: Why has Putin continued the war in Ukraine for 4 years? How does he keep power? We explain
Podcast Episode · WWL First News with Tommy Tucker · February 23 · 30m
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Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
This @supolisci.bsky.social alum does great work on international security/nuclear weapons and if you’re into that sort of thing you should definitely give him a follow.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
A depressing piece, but also a must read. Regulators and companies must do better. Men have to do better.
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Karl Schamotta @karl-schamotta.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
FX reserve accumulation was a major force in global markets from the Asian Financial Crisis through to the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. But net acquisition volumes have since fallen off dramatically, making discussions of "reserve currency" status much less relevant:
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herman mark schwartz @thunen.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Pleased to announce publication of the fifth edition of states versus markets www.bloomsbury.com/us/states-ve... The book is now old enough to drink in the USA but of course I have significantly updated it with each new edition. Buy a copy for Mother's Day or the holiday of your choice!
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtTz...
youtube.com
Walk Tall (Live From The Troubadour, Los Angeles, CA/1972)
YouTube video by Cannonball Adderley - Topic
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