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Raphael Cunha

@raphaelcunha.bsky.social
2.5K followers 1.6K following 127 posts

Political scientist at King's College London @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social @kingsqpe.bsky.social | international political economy, politics of money & finance | raphaelcunha.info

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Reposted by Raphael Cunha
Burak Sonmez @buraksonmez.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Come and join us @sriucl.bsky.social We’re looking for an Assistant Professor in Quantitative Social Science with a research agenda on the environment and/or climate change, and expertise in causal inference. See full details and apply 👉🏼 www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...
UCL Social Research Institute recruitment poster for an Assistant Professor in Quantitative Social Science at the Centre for Quantitative Social Science. Applications close 30 October 2026.
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Robert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec.bsky.social · 21h
Wow.🤯 I just used @yamilrvelez.bsky.social Github repo for enabling Claude Code as an agent for Qualtrics surveys: github.com/yrvelez/qual... Claude Code took a disorganized Word doc survey draft and turned it into a stellar Qualtrics survey--better-formatted than any survey I've ever written 😅
github.com
GitHub - yrvelez/qualtrics-mcp-server
Contribute to yrvelez/qualtrics-mcp-server development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Jennifer N. Victor @jenvictor.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Absolutely spot on piece from @dandrezner.bsky.social today. It validates what I said on a panel at APSA (getting slightly outside my lane) when I said the remaining pillars of US hegemony are the military and the dollar. Drezner nails it here. danieldrezner.substack.com/p/the-dollar...
danieldrezner.substack.com
The Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To Fall
The Trump administration is gutting the pillars of U.S. hegemony one by one.
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Fascinating new results by @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social and coauthors.
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The British Academy @britishacademy.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
The second round of the British Academy/Leverhulme Small Research Grants scheme is now open. Our most popular funding opportunity supports UK-based Postdoctoral researchers – or equivalent – in the humanities and social sciences. Find out more: bit.ly/4iwQQtI
British Academy/Leverhulme Small Research Grants, deadline of 4 November 2026. Independent scholars deadline 28 October 2026
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
The First Golden Age of AI writing is now over. For a brief period of time, many people were better off having Claude do a lot of their writing, because it is a pretty good writer & AI detectors were bad Now ClaudeSpeak is cliched & suspect & annoying, and Pangram is well-known.
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Adam L @adam-lg.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Re: bicycle helmet discourse - you should look at the Virginia Tech Helmet Lab's test results before buying a helmet. Anything with 5 stars is good; if you're just riding around town, you don't need a full-face. Most companies will give you a discount on a new helmet if you ruin it in a crash.
helmet.beam.vt.edu
Bike Helmet Ratings
Virginia Tech Helmet Ratings - Bike helmets have been tested to evaluate their ability to reduce brain injury risk.
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Great opening line by @katie0martin.ft.com: “Scott Bessent’s running battle with the bond market is starting to look like his boss’s war in Iran — started by his own hand with a tangled set of objectives, an underestimated opponent and an implausible path to victory.”
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Jacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
On this day in 2018. Kieran @kjhealy.co ‘s obituary will include the MacArthur essay and “Fuck Nuance,” but for a particular niche audience of connoisseurs, this is his masterpiece.
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Cyrus Samii @cdsamii.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
The new Alsan and Neberai paper on why the US doesn't have national health insurance offers an interesting template for research on the origins of institutions academic.oup.com/qje/article/...
academic.oup.com
Why Doesn’t the United States Have National Health Insurance? The Political Role of the American Medical Association
Abstract. This article examines how the American Medical Association (AMA) helped shape the development of the U.S. health insurance system in the critical
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Steve Kambouris @steve-kambouris.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
My single top recommendation would be Zenodo (zenodo.org), but there are other very good options, such as Dryad (datadryad.org) and the Dataverse (dataverse.org), which is deployed by institutions (for Australia, see dataverse.ada.edu.au/dataverse/ada)
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
“…Textbooks and research articles are full of examples that work, they’re full of estimates that are a bit more than 2 standard errors from zero, everything’s a bit too clean.”
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Thales ZP @thaleszp.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Existe! Testado e aprimorado em sala de aula ao longo dos últimos anos, traz uma historiografia atualizada para as disciplinas de Economia Brasileira.
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School of Politics and Economics @kcl-spe.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
NEW: Can financial markets really make a difference in electoral outcomes? A new paper co-authored by @raphaelcunha.bsky.social examines whether the public’s perception of political candidates can be influenced by the reactions of global financial markets 🌏 More ⬇️ www.kcl.ac.uk/news/can-fin...
kcl.ac.uk
Can financial markets really make a difference in electoral outcomes? | King's College London
A new study has revealed that the public’s perception of political candidates can be influenced by the reactions of international financial markets, with investor opinion proving powerful enough to sw...
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 01/06/2026
Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...
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Santiago Sanchez-Pages @sanpages.eurosky.social · 15/05/2026
Another successful edition of the @kingsqpe.bsky.social Early Career Workshop!
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
This is similar to what we find in our recent study on which countries people want their government to learn from. China ranks in the middle but still comes out ahead of the United States, pointing to shifting perceptions of the two powers.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
There is a rare permanent job in the UK - assistant prof (lecturer) in political science with a focus on quant methods www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRD143/a...
jobs.ac.uk
Assistant Professor in Political Science at University of Nottingham
Recruiting now: Assistant Professor in Political Science on jobs.ac.uk. Click for details and explore more academic job opportunities on the top job board
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Nina Obermeier @ninaobermeier.com · 02/04/2026
@kcl-spe.bsky.social is hosting a Junior International Political Economy Researchers Workshop on 28 April and we have a great line-up of papers by early-career researchers. @adreher.bsky.social will also share expertise on publishing in the field. Register here: forms.office.com/e/q7rUFAVg21
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
📣 New job at Oxford's Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM)! 📣 The Departments of Politics & IR (DPIR) and Social Policy and Intervention (DSPI) are hiring an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods. Come work with me and amazing Oxford peeps! Deadline NOON April 27th.
politics.ox.ac.uk
Associate Professorship of Causal and Experimental Methods in Politics and Social Policy
University salary from £58,265 - £77,645 per annum which is inclusive of an Oxford University Weighting of £1,730 p.aPermanent upon completion of a successful review. The review is conducted during th...
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Bastian Becker @beckerbastian.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Also finding it hard to keep up with new research? I built something to fix this. SciLove — swipe through recent papers in your field. The feed learns from your saves. Also matches you with researchers saving your work back (opt-out if you prefer). www.scilove.app 3,000+ journals, updated daily
scilove.app
SciLove — Discover new research on the go
A personalized feed of the latest peer-reviewed papers — swipe to save, skip, and make connections in minutes a day.
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 16/03/2026
Email etiquette, a timeline 2015: Scrupulously edit all emails, FULL punctuation 2017: Don't use too many exclamation marks! People will think you are a small girl! 2021: Occasionally leave out full-stops as a power move 2026: One typo per email to show an AI didn't write it
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
The submission deadline for the King's Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy is approaching (March 10). Submit your paper! No registration fee, and we *do have* a few travel grants available for participants from outside of London.
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Bouke Klein Teeselink @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
📢 Call for papers! We are organizing the 6th Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy on 14-15 May 2026 at King’s College London! Keynote: Shanker Satyanath (NYU) No fee, travel grants might become available! Submit at: tinyurl.com/qpe2026
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
So over the past week you are seeing what you would expect to see if AI is, in fact, both rapidly gaining capabilities & proving to be very useful: - Rolling market disruption in response to growing awareness of AI capacity -Government versus AI lab struggles for control …& it is still quite early
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ previous peer reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19... Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)
chatgpt.com
ChatGPT - Manuscript review assistant
A conversational AI system that listens, learns, and challenges
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School of Politics and Economics @kcl-spe.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
⏰ Call for proposals!⏰ Organisers are calling for full panel proposals, author-meets-critics sessions, or individual papers from those who would like to attend the next annual PPE conference at King's The deadline for submissions is February 20👇 ppesociety.org/ppe-society-...
ppesociety.org
2026 PPE Society London Meeting - The Philosophy, Politics, and Economics Society
We are pleased to share that, in addition to the PPE Society’s Annual Meetings held each year in New Orleans, the international PPE Society will…
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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social): We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys. Short version: It mostly doesn’t. w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
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King's QPE @kingsqpe.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Guido Tabellini on "Do Elections Moderate or Polarize Political Rhetoric?" Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.
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King's QPE @kingsqpe.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Ignacio Jurado (@jurado.bsky.social) on "Losing Elections: Democratic Consent and Illiberal Attitudes in Polarized Contexts". Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.
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Pepper Culpepper @pculpepper.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Many people think crypto is a scam. Why is it not more heavily regulated? We look at attitudes after the FTX scandal, showing that scandal coverage differed between left and right media. Conservatives who got their news from the left (eg NYT), and vice versa, wound up more moderate. Media matters. 👇
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Yet another data point supporting the view that there is change afoot in the global financial system. I know it's trite, but this is all "how to dismantle a reserve currency." The dollar as the go-to haven in times of crisis, well, that appears (again) to be shaky. 1/
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Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
The second paper is by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social and @himself.bsky.social. It shows how dollar centrality was weaponised by the US to help maintain order but is now plausibly undermining it. Great topical read on some of the underlying faultlines www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/documents/60...
The British Academy
CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR
INTERNATIONAL PEACE
Global (Dis)Order international policy programme
The US dollar system as a source of international disorder
Daniel Davies, Frontline Analysts and Henry Farrell, John Hopkins University
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Hadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 21/01/2026
We're hard at work on new AI tools for RStudio that will support EDA and we hope generally accelerate data science. If you're interested in trying them out, join the private beta waitlist for a sneak peek: posit.co/products/ai/ #rstats
posit.co
Interested in using AI in RStudio? Let us know.
We’re working hard to bring more AI capabilities to RStudio. If you’re interested in learning more about what’s coming, including early access to help test new capabilities, join our waitlist.
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
This is required reading – like everything else that @danielmcdowell.bsky.social writes on the topic.
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The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
It is even worse than it looks
open.substack.com
The Old World Order is Dead
Unipolarity was given, not taken
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The Guardian @theguardian.com · 15/01/2026
‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apart
theguardian.com
‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apart
Sting and his former bandmates go to the high court over a royalties dispute this week – the latest chapter in the song’s remarkably fractious story
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Seva @seva.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts. open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...
open.substack.com
The Age of Academic Slop is Upon Us
what happens when AI automates "normal science"?
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
This graph is shocking.
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Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Ótimo texto do Marcos Lisboa sobre o Master: www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/marc...
www1.folha.uol.com.br
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Sean Gailmard @sean-gailmard.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
This is an interesting paper. I continue to sense that we as a field have concluded, either you have an identification strategy as defined here, or you don’t have a valid causal claim. And that is really not true.
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
"The Credibility Revolution in Political Science" osf.io/preprints/so...
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Marina Duque @mduque.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Ever wondered why some countries get recognition while others struggle to be seen? My book 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘔𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘰𝘧 𝘐𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘴 is finally out in the world! 📘 academic.oup.com/book/61560
academic.oup.com
The Making of International Status
Abstract. With great power rivalry on the rise again, many worry that struggles for status among states could lead to war. As a growing consensus indicates
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
This is wild! Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨 We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social Any questions, please reach out to me 📣 Please share! 📣 jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
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Susan Athey @susanathey.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
ICYMI: New paper for causal effects with panel data, subsuming other approaches. We generate realistic synthetic data based on commonly studied datasets, showing our method substantially outperforms others and providing insight about what in the data-generating process corresponds to gains.
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Jelena Subotic @jelenasubotic.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
This is a wonderful book! So happy to see this out! Congrats @mduque.bsky.social
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Is this what hell is like?
theguardian.com
AI-powered nimbyism could grind UK planning system to a halt, experts warn
Tools that help people scan applications and find grounds for objection have potential to hit government’s housebuilding plans
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Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Is this what hell is like?
theguardian.com
AI-powered nimbyism could grind UK planning system to a halt, experts warn
Tools that help people scan applications and find grounds for objection have potential to hit government’s housebuilding plans
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