Reposted by Ben MoranThe Onion @theonion.com · 16/09/2026Gas Station Price Sign Using Scientific Notation 283656747
Reposted by Ben MoranMatt Kerlogue @matt.kerlogue.co.uk · 09/09/2026It’s only causal inference if it comes from the Inférènce region of France, otherwise it’s just a sparkling correlation. 031
Reposted by Ben MoranIván Díaz @idiaz.bsky.social · 10/09/2026(1/22) Over the last few days I have been discussing the role of formal causal inference in RCTs, and in general the role of formalism and rigor in statistics in twitter with @f2harrell.bsky.social. Thread with an example for why both are fundamental for biomedical research: 3135
Reposted by Ben MoranRaj LB @rajlb.bsky.social · 06/09/2026Nobody knows how paracetamol works www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....tandfonline.comParacetamol (acetaminophen): A familiar drug with an unexplained mechanism of actionParacetamol (acetaminophen) is undoubtedly one of the most widely used drugs worldwide. As an over-the-counter medication, paracetamol is the standard and first-line treatment for fever and acute p... 2125
Reposted by Ben MoranVincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Big news! 🎉 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 1.0.0 for #Rstats is out. It’s a big number and it feels like a big step. I wrote a blog on the challenges of interpreting statistical models, SPEED, cool new features, the future, and a 5 year package development and writing odyssey. arelbundock.com/posts/margin... 1642199
Reposted by Ben MoranPierre-Simon Laplace @learnbayesstats.bsky.social · 31/08/2026In this special episode of Learning Bayesian Statistics, @alex-andorra.bsky.social is joined by Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, and Richard McElreath to discuss Bayesian Workflow. From simulation and hierarchical pooling to causal inference, there’s a lot to unpack 🎧 lnkd.in/geX2QkxV #Bayesianlearnbayesstats.comBayesian Workflow - Gelman, Vehtari & McElreathAndrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, and Richard McElreath discuss their new book on Bayesian workflow, reverse Bayes and hierarchical pooling. 13610
Reposted by Ben MoranAndrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Bayesian Workflow free pdf! statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/25/b...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Bayesian Workflow free pdf! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 17429
Reposted by Ben MoranLars Mølgaard Saxhaug @load-dependent.eurosky.social · 22/08/2026Editors should not accept for publication papers using the phrase «real world evidence». It’s a marketing term, to embellish non-causal studies. #metasci #stats #cardiosky www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/...ahajournals.orgStopping Oral Anticoagulation After Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With High Risk of Stroke: STOP‐OAC Study | Journal of the American Heart Association 263
Reposted by Ben MoranAki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 13/08/2026All four books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - Bayesian Workflow at avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... Links to other three books are in the quoted post 👇 (too many books to fit in one post!)avehtari.github.ioBayesian Workflow book: Website – Bayesian Workflow bookWebsite for the Bayesian Workflow book by Gelman, Vehtari, McElreath, et al. — case studies, code, and exercises in R and Stan. 8283134
Reposted by Ben MoranBen Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 12/08/2026The Statistical Society of Australia has a new President... No, it's not Randy the greyhound (although he would've done a fine job) It's me! If you want to know a little more about me, I have the blog post just for you :) benharrap.com/post/2026-08... #statssky #datasciencebenharrap.comGet to know the new President of the Statistical Society of Australia (it’s me) – Ben Harrap 13768
Reposted by Ben MoranCameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 12/08/2026I, for one, welcome my new overlord 1131
Reposted by Ben MoranRafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 11/08/2026we have got to put that into a causal inference lecture 743271
Reposted by Ben MoranJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 08/08/2026New blog post in which we discover the secret to immortality: accounting errors. www.the100.ci/2026/08/08/m...the100.ciMy Immortal Time BiasPreamble: This shortie is my attempt to come up with an example that makes the problem underlying immortal time bias as obvious as possible. In Japan, people who reach the age of 100 are handed a co... 128031
Reposted by Ben MoranRobin Blythe @rbly.bsky.social · 01/08/2026Me, once a month #statsky #rstats 3374
Reposted by Ben MoranJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 30/07/2026New blog post! Odds ratios are...a bit weird. Here I explain two problems (interpretation, non-collapsibility) and provide some simple recommendations for improved reporting. www.the100.ci/2026/07/30/r...the100.ciReviewer notes: Odds ratios are really oddWhen psychological researchers investigate binary outcomes, they routinely report odds ratios to quantify the strength of an effect or an association. This is quite understandable given that psycholog... 2428779
Reposted by Ben MoranJack Iwashyna @iwashyna.bsky.social · 31/07/2026Thank you for your kind words 2 responses: 1/ Source control is good for patients with sepsis, so if we can find the right patients, this could be more than just marginal for those patients 2/ ICU care in general is a game of inches; much of excellence is just cumulating marginal benefits, right? 171
Ben Moran @benmoran.bsky.social · 28/07/2026You know you’re getting old when the consultants look like interns! 210
Ben Moran @benmoran.bsky.social · 26/07/2026Ha! These young ones with their gaming! They can’t even spell estimate properly! 100
Reposted by Ben MoranCritical Care Reviews @criticalcarereviews.com · 25/07/2026Our latest blog is out: The Nothing-to-Lose Fallacy criticalcarereviews.com/2026/the-no… 0117
Reposted by Ben MoranCameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 23/07/2026I fear this is a losing battle, but I'm trying very hard to avoid using the term "AI". a word that can refer to anything from LLMs/GenAI through to control systems and prediction models through to linear regression has no useful meaning at all 6344
Reposted by Ben MoranCameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 22/07/2026happy pi approximation day (22/7) to all those who celebrate 0304
Reposted by Ben MoranRuben C. Arslan @ruben.the100.ci · 21/07/2026Modelling makes a difference, but the problem here starts with including an SMD of >2. That sounds like an error, and probably is an error or fraud. Trustworthiness assessment www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1... would be in order @ianhussey.mmmdata.iomedrxiv.orgINSPECT-SR: a tool for assessing trustworthiness of randomised controlled trialsPrecis The integrity of evidence synthesis is threatened by problematic randomised controlled trials (RCTs). These are RCTs where there are serious concerns about the trustworthiness of the data or fi... 281
Reposted by Ben MoranDarren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 15/07/2026We are all statisticians 😜 statsepi.substack.com/p/im-not-a-r...statsepi.substack.comI’m not a real statistician, and you can be one tooCara and I were hand-in-hand, slowly strolling around Cork on a bright, summer evening. 3175
Reposted by Ben MoranRobin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 08/07/2026I have just resigned from the board of "Statistics and Computing", along with 17 other Associate Editors. This was a difficult decision: this great journal has published many tremendous articles under the leadership of EiC Ajay Jasra, and before him David Hand, Gilles Celeux, and Mark Girolami. 713453
Reposted by Ben MoranDr Gavin Sullivan A.N.A.E.S.T.H.E.T.I.S.T 🇳🇿🇦🇺🇬🇧 @lotusgav.bsky.social · 08/07/2026This one I find really interesting ever since one of the American ED physicians introduced me to the idea of the “physiologically difficult”airway. An AFOI negates precipitous falls in BP and CVS collapse. If. You know what you’re doing 🤔 #ansky 331
Reposted by Ben MoranCameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 04/07/2026it all comes back to the age-old question: WHat's Your Fucking Estimand, Motherfucker 163
Reposted by Ben MoranRob Calver @robcalver.bsky.social · 02/07/2026I am giving away a free copy of the #BayesianWorkflow book by @statmodeling.bsky.social, @avehtari.bsky.social, @rmcelreath.bsky.social et al!! Please like, repost, and follow to enter. I will randomly draw the winner next Weds July 8. 😀 routledge.com/9780367490140 #RStats #DataScience #Bayesian 36947
Reposted by Ben MoranDarren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 02/07/2026This paper is worth it for table 1 alone. 👏 @sabinehoffmann11.bsky.social @boulesteixlaure.bsky.social et al onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...onlinelibrary.wiley.comWhen to Adjust for Multiple Testing: A Unifying Guiding PrincipleMost original articles published in the medical literature report the results of multiple statistical tests. In a few simple cases, there is agreement on whether to adjust for the number of performed... 58428
Reposted by Ben MoranRafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 23/06/2026Going to start explaining heated rivalry to Australians by saying imagine if Shane Warne and Mike Gatting had also somehow been in a secret relationship when the ball of the century happened 7264
Reposted by Ben MoranWolfgang Viechtbauer @wviechtb.bsky.social · 22/06/2026The standard random-effects model in meta-analysis assumes that the amount of heterogeneity is homoscedastic. This assumption may not be true. I derived and examined various tests for heteroscedastic heterogeneity. See osf.io/cavhy for a preprint describing these methods. #MetaAnalysis #RStatsosf.ioOSF 13112
Reposted by Ben MoranPaul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 19/06/2026No disrespect, Australia, but "Our land abounds in nature's gifts"??? 5221
Reposted by Ben MoranDr Jan Bell @janbell.bsky.social · 19/06/2026“Like an gay Aussie version of the King Arthur legend, returning to us in our time of need” 041
Reposted by Ben MoranBen Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 18/06/2026There's nothing like a bit of good news to brighten up the week! Not only did my abstract on data missingness and questionnaire redesign get accepted for the Australasian Epidemiological Conference 2026 (in Fiji!), but I'm delivering an Intro to #rstats workshop there too!! 🎉🎉🇫🇯🌴🥥 0191
Reposted by Ben MoranFrank Harrell @f2harrell.bsky.social · 17/06/2026Today we celebrate the awarding of the prestigious Rousseeuw prize to the R Core team in recognition of their 30 years of dedicated work on R and in recognition of the massive impact of R on the scientific community rousseeuwprize.org/2026 #RStatsrousseeuwprize.orgThe Rousseeuw Prize for StatisticsThe Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics is a biennial prize to celebrate outstanding contributions to statistics research. 17917
Reposted by Ben MoranFrantišek Bartoš @fbartos.bsky.social · 02/06/2026Check out the great program of the *1st Interdisciplinary Symposium on Meta Science for Methods Research* organized 31 August and 1 September in Zürich! Ton of cool speakers and meta-methodological reseach! crsuzh.pages.uzh.ch/msmr/program/ (registration still open)crsuzh.pages.uzh.chindex – MSMR 2026 02013
Reposted by Ben MoranBen Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 14/06/2026Gomez needs to come to Australia, it's clearly an iced vovo 022
Reposted by Ben MoranEmil Hvitfeldt @emilhvitfeldt.bsky.social · 11/06/2026Having a visual component when you are teaching a new concept is always something I value. I went back and redid some old diagrams as animations This website has all mp4, gif and code for you to use yourself in slides of websites! emilhvitfeldt.github.io/tidy-animati... #rstats #quarto #dataBS 1495
Reposted by Ben MoranANZCA CTN @anzcactn.bsky.social · 10/06/2026The SNaPP Study results were published today in Lancet Respiratory Medicine. The publication can be viewed here: www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... A podcast with Kate Leslie can be found here from Fri June 12th: www.topmedtalk.com Congrats to all involved! @anzca.bsky.social @katy-skier.bsky.social 083
Reposted by Ben MoranKate Leslie @katy-skier.bsky.social · 10/06/2026The SNaPP Study was published today! authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S... 043
Reposted by Ben MoranXynthia Kavelaars @xynthia-kavelaars.bsky.social · 28/05/2026Imagine you’re evaluating a new cancer treatment. It reduces tumor size in most patients, but some experience severe side effects. Would we consider the new treatment better? Read more about it in a new post on superiority in the multivariate context. bit.ly/4e97n4n #statistics #bayesian #rstatsxynthiakavelaars.github.ioMultiple outcomes, multiple choices: Understanding superiority in the multivariate context – The Open Inference Lab 252
Reposted by Ben MoranPeter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 20/05/2026You mean I should do an Australian version of this? 😂 bsky.app/profile/pwgt... 491
Reposted by Ben MoranBen Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 20/05/2026You'll just need to add a subtitle for the Australian tour poster Have DAGs fulfilled their promise? Yeah nah yeah 161
Reposted by Ben MoranDemetri @phdemetri.bsky.social · 14/05/2026A Painstakingly long post on covariance and how projection matrices are ESSENTIAL for understanding these things. And look! Interactivity! 2281
Reposted by Ben MoranLars Mølgaard Saxhaug @load-dependent.eurosky.social · 06/05/2026Bayesian reanalysis can be a great way to assess a contested trial, by showing how strong a prior you need to nullify or inverse the results. I don't understand why they did not include a pessimistic prior here though (even as I see a sceptical one more realistic). #emimcc #cardiosky #cccsky #stats 022