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Ben Moran

@benmoran.bsky.social
1.1K followers 485 following 546 posts

Intensivist/Anaesthetist. Novice Researcher & Statistician. PhD Cand. Chronic Pain after ICU & Longitudinal Causal Inference. Bayes-curious. #rstats #T1DM

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Reposted by Ben Moran
The Onion @theonion.com · 16/09/2026
Gas Station Price Sign Using Scientific Notation
Gas Station Price Sign Using Scientific Notation
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Matt Kerlogue @matt.kerlogue.co.uk · 09/09/2026
It’s only causal inference if it comes from the Inférènce region of France, otherwise it’s just a sparkling correlation.
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Iván Díaz @idiaz.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
(1/22) Over the last few days I have been discussing the role of formal causal inference in RCTs, and in general the role of formalism and rigor in statistics in twitter with @f2harrell.bsky.social. Thread with an example for why both are fundamental for biomedical research:
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Raj LB @rajlb.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Nobody knows how paracetamol works www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Paracetamol (acetaminophen): A familiar drug with an unexplained mechanism of action
Paracetamol (acetaminophen) is undoubtedly one of the most widely used drugs worldwide. As an over-the-counter medication, paracetamol is the standard and first-line treatment for fever and acute p...
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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Big news! 🎉 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 1.0.0 for #Rstats is out. It’s a big number and it feels like a big step. I wrote a blog on the challenges of interpreting statistical models, SPEED, cool new features, the future, and a 5 year package development and writing odyssey. arelbundock.com/posts/margin...
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Pierre-Simon Laplace @learnbayesstats.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
In this special episode of Learning Bayesian Statistics, @alex-andorra.bsky.social is joined by Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, and Richard McElreath to discuss Bayesian Workflow. From simulation and hierarchical pooling to causal inference, there’s a lot to unpack 🎧 lnkd.in/geX2QkxV #Bayesian
learnbayesstats.com
Bayesian Workflow - Gelman, Vehtari & McElreath
Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, and Richard McElreath discuss their new book on Bayesian workflow, reverse Bayes and hierarchical pooling.
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Andrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Bayesian Workflow free pdf! statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/25/b...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Bayesian Workflow free pdf! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Lars Mølgaard Saxhaug @load-dependent.eurosky.social · 22/08/2026
Editors should not accept for publication papers using the phrase «real world evidence». It’s a marketing term, to embellish non-causal studies. #metasci #stats #cardiosky www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/...
ahajournals.org
Stopping Oral Anticoagulation After Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With High Risk of Stroke: STOP‐OAC Study | Journal of the American Heart Association
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
All four books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - Bayesian Workflow at avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... Links to other three books are in the quoted post 👇 (too many books to fit in one post!)
avehtari.github.io
Bayesian Workflow book: Website – Bayesian Workflow book
Website for the Bayesian Workflow book by Gelman, Vehtari, McElreath, et al. — case studies, code, and exercises in R and Stan.
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Ben Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
The Statistical Society of Australia has a new President... No, it's not Randy the greyhound (although he would've done a fine job) It's me! If you want to know a little more about me, I have the blog post just for you :) benharrap.com/post/2026-08... #statssky #datascience
benharrap.com
Get to know the new President of the Statistical Society of Australia (it’s me) – Ben Harrap
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Cameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
I, for one, welcome my new overlord
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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
we have got to put that into a causal inference lecture
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 08/08/2026
New blog post in which we discover the secret to immortality: accounting errors. www.the100.ci/2026/08/08/m...
the100.ci
My Immortal Time Bias
Preamble: This shortie is my attempt to come up with an example that makes the problem underlying immortal time bias as obvious as possible.  In Japan, people who reach the age of 100 are handed a co...
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Robin Blythe @rbly.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Me, once a month #statsky #rstats
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 30/07/2026
New blog post! Odds ratios are...a bit weird. Here I explain two problems (interpretation, non-collapsibility) and provide some simple recommendations for improved reporting. www.the100.ci/2026/07/30/r...
the100.ci
Reviewer notes: Odds ratios are really odd
When psychological researchers investigate binary outcomes, they routinely report odds ratios to quantify the strength of an effect or an association. This is quite understandable given that psycholog...
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Jack Iwashyna @iwashyna.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Thank you for your kind words 2 responses: 1/ Source control is good for patients with sepsis, so if we can find the right patients, this could be more than just marginal for those patients 2/ ICU care in general is a game of inches; much of excellence is just cumulating marginal benefits, right?
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Ben Moran @benmoran.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
You know you’re getting old when the consultants look like interns!
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Hadas Weiss @hadas.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
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Ben Moran @benmoran.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Ha! These young ones with their gaming! They can’t even spell estimate properly!
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Critical Care Reviews @criticalcarereviews.com · 25/07/2026
Our latest blog is out: The Nothing-to-Lose Fallacy criticalcarereviews.com/2026/the-no…
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Ben Moran @benmoran.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Holy shit!!!!! I was today years when I learned…
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Proper Dave @properdave.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
weird AI music: (person frowning & grimacing)

Weird Al music: (person looking thoughtfully approving. With Weird Al's hair, glasses, moustache, Hawaiian shirt, and accordion Photoshopped in)
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Cameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
I fear this is a losing battle, but I'm trying very hard to avoid using the term "AI". a word that can refer to anything from LLMs/GenAI through to control systems and prediction models through to linear regression has no useful meaning at all
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Cameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
happy pi approximation day (22/7) to all those who celebrate
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Ruben C. Arslan @ruben.the100.ci · 21/07/2026
Modelling makes a difference, but the problem here starts with including an SMD of >2. That sounds like an error, and probably is an error or fraud. Trustworthiness assessment www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1... would be in order @ianhussey.mmmdata.io
medrxiv.org
INSPECT-SR: a tool for assessing trustworthiness of randomised controlled trials
Precis The integrity of evidence synthesis is threatened by problematic randomised controlled trials (RCTs). These are RCTs where there are serious concerns about the trustworthiness of the data or fi...
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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
We are all statisticians 😜 statsepi.substack.com/p/im-not-a-r...
statsepi.substack.com
I’m not a real statistician, and you can be one too
Cara and I were hand-in-hand, slowly strolling around Cork on a bright, summer evening.
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
I have just resigned from the board of "Statistics and Computing", along with 17 other Associate Editors. This was a difficult decision: this great journal has published many tremendous articles under the leadership of EiC Ajay Jasra, and before him David Hand, Gilles Celeux, and Mark Girolami.
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Dr Gavin Sullivan A.N.A.E.S.T.H.E.T.I.S.T 🇳🇿🇦🇺🇬🇧 @lotusgav.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
This one I find really interesting ever since one of the American ED physicians introduced me to the idea of the “physiologically difficult”airway. An AFOI negates precipitous falls in BP and CVS collapse. If. You know what you’re doing 🤔 #ansky
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Cameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
it all comes back to the age-old question: WHat's Your Fucking Estimand, Motherfucker
goose chasing a man wearing a puffer jacket
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Rob Calver @robcalver.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
I am giving away a free copy of the #BayesianWorkflow book by @statmodeling.bsky.social, @avehtari.bsky.social, @rmcelreath.bsky.social et al!! Please like, repost, and follow to enter. I will randomly draw the winner next Weds July 8. 😀 routledge.com/9780367490140 #RStats #DataScience #Bayesian
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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
This paper is worth it for table 1 alone. 👏 @sabinehoffmann11.bsky.social @boulesteixlaure.bsky.social et al onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
When to Adjust for Multiple Testing: A Unifying Guiding Principle
Most original articles published in the medical literature report the results of multiple statistical tests. In a few simple cases, there is agreement on whether to adjust for the number of performed...
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Ben Moran @benmoran.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
This is really cool!!!
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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Going to start explaining heated rivalry to Australians by saying imagine if Shane Warne and Mike Gatting had also somehow been in a secret relationship when the ball of the century happened
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Wolfgang Viechtbauer @wviechtb.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
The standard random-effects model in meta-analysis assumes that the amount of heterogeneity is homoscedastic. This assumption may not be true. I derived and examined various tests for heteroscedastic heterogeneity. See osf.io/cavhy for a preprint describing these methods. #MetaAnalysis #RStats
osf.io
OSF
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Ben Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
#justiceforthomas
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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 19/06/2026
No disrespect, Australia, but "Our land abounds in nature's gifts"???
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Dr Jan Bell @janbell.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
“Like an gay Aussie version of the King Arthur legend, returning to us in our time of need”
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Ben Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
There's nothing like a bit of good news to brighten up the week! Not only did my abstract on data missingness and questionnaire redesign get accepted for the Australasian Epidemiological Conference 2026 (in Fiji!), but I'm delivering an Intro to #rstats workshop there too!! 🎉🎉🇫🇯🌴🥥
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Frank Harrell @f2harrell.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Today we celebrate the awarding of the prestigious Rousseeuw prize to the R Core team in recognition of their 30 years of dedicated work on R and in recognition of the massive impact of R on the scientific community rousseeuwprize.org/2026 #RStats
rousseeuwprize.org
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics is a biennial prize to celebrate outstanding contributions to statistics research.
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František Bartoš @fbartos.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Check out the great program of the *1st Interdisciplinary Symposium on Meta Science for Methods Research* organized 31 August and 1 September in Zürich! Ton of cool speakers and meta-methodological reseach! crsuzh.pages.uzh.ch/msmr/program/ (registration still open)
crsuzh.pages.uzh.ch
index – MSMR 2026
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Ben Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Gomez needs to come to Australia, it's clearly an iced vovo
Two iced vovo biscuits, one on top of the other. They're rectangular with jam down the middle and pink icing on either side, dusted with coconut
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Emil Hvitfeldt @emilhvitfeldt.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Having a visual component when you are teaching a new concept is always something I value. I went back and redid some old diagrams as animations This website has all mp4, gif and code for you to use yourself in slides of websites! emilhvitfeldt.github.io/tidy-animati... #rstats #quarto #dataBS
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ANZCA CTN @anzcactn.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
The SNaPP Study results were published today in Lancet Respiratory Medicine. The publication can be viewed here: www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... A podcast with Kate Leslie can be found here from Fri June 12th: www.topmedtalk.com Congrats to all involved! @anzca.bsky.social @katy-skier.bsky.social
Prof Kate Leslie presenting the SNaPP study results at the 8th Biennial Collaborative Clinical Trials in Anaesthesia meeting in Prato, Italy
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Kate Leslie @katy-skier.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
The SNaPP Study was published today! authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S...
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Xynthia Kavelaars @xynthia-kavelaars.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
Imagine you’re evaluating a new cancer treatment. It reduces tumor size in most patients, but some experience severe side effects. Would we consider the new treatment better? Read more about it in a new post on superiority in the multivariate context. bit.ly/4e97n4n #statistics #bayesian #rstats
xynthiakavelaars.github.io
Multiple outcomes, multiple choices: Understanding superiority in the multivariate context – The Open Inference Lab
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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
You mean I should do an Australian version of this? 😂 bsky.app/profile/pwgt...
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Ben Harrap @bharrap.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
You'll just need to add a subtitle for the Australian tour poster Have DAGs fulfilled their promise? Yeah nah yeah
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Cameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
fuck yeah!
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Demetri @phdemetri.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
A Painstakingly long post on covariance and how projection matrices are ESSENTIAL for understanding these things. And look! Interactivity!
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Lars Mølgaard Saxhaug @load-dependent.eurosky.social · 06/05/2026
Bayesian reanalysis can be a great way to assess a contested trial, by showing how strong a prior you need to nullify or inverse the results. I don't understand why they did not include a pessimistic prior here though (even as I see a sceptical one more realistic). #emimcc #cardiosky #cccsky #stats
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