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Robin Ryder

@robinryder.bsky.social
977 followers 130 following 129 posts

Mathematician at Imperial College London. Bayesian statistics, Data science, Languages, Phylogenies.

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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 14h
Many thanks to ISBA for taking a stand and for their support!
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Conference: Bayesian Methods for the Social Sciences III, Dublin, 9-11 December 2026. Join us! bayesforshs3.sciencesconf.org
bayesforshs3.sciencesconf.org
Bayesian Methods for the Social Sciences III - Sciencesconf.org
Sciencesconf.org
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Join us! We are hiring Chapman Fellows in Statistics, within the Department of Mathematics at Imperial College London, commencing September 2027. We welcome applications across the breadth of Statistical Science. www.imperial.ac.uk/jobs/search-...
imperial.ac.uk
Description
Please note that job descriptions are not exhaustive, and you may be asked to take on additional duties that align with the key responsibilities ment...
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
A strong call to remember what Mathematics research is actually about. Thanks you for writing this. (I signed.)
In recent months, the success of AI in solving major mathematical problems has made headlines even outside mathematical circles. But solving problems is only a tool and proxy for achieving the primary goal of conceptual understanding and insight. Forgetting this in the world of AI may turn the tool against the primary goal. Indeed, the mass production at faster and faster pace of "true/false" statements could destroy fertile ground instead of breathing life into new ideas.
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Andrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
18 Associate Editors resign from Statistics and Computing editorial board: Problems with commercial scholarly publishing, and what does this all mean? statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/10/1...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
18 Associate Editors resign from Statistics and Computing editorial board: Problems with commercial scholarly publishing, and what does this all mean? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and S...
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Retraction Watch @retractionwatch.com · 09/07/2026
Th resigning editors say the publisher’s decision to become fully open access is “irreconcilable with our vision of science.” According to the journal’s homepage, all submissions from July 1 that end up in the journal will be subject to a $2,990 article processing charge (APC).
retractionwatch.com
‘The exploitation still remains’: Stats journal associate editors resign over $3,000 publishing charge
Eighteen associate editors of the journal Statistics and Computing have announced they will resign after Springer Nature announced the journal would require a fee to publish.  In a July 8 stat…
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
I have just resigned from the board of "Statistics and Computing", along with 17 other Associate Editors. This was a difficult decision: this great journal has published many tremendous articles under the leadership of EiC Ajay Jasra, and before him David Hand, Gilles Celeux, and Mark Girolami.
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The R Foundation @r-foundation.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
The 2026 Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics has been awarded to the R Project. #RStats www.rousseeuwprize.org/2026
rousseeuwprize.org
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics is a biennial prize to celebrate outstanding contributions to statistics research.
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Pierre Alquier @pierrealquier.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Reposting a very exciting job offer (post-doc) from Pierre Jacob's account on LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/posts/pierre...
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Nice piece on our recent paper, led by the always amazing @phschlenker.bsky.social
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Thomas Dietterich @tdietterich.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
We are implementing a similar policy at @arxiv.bsky.social. If there is incontrovertible evidence of LLM slop in a paper, this means the authors did not take the time to read the LLM output and we can't trust anything else in the paper. Penalty is 1 year ban from arXiv followed by...
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Grégoire Clarté @gclarte.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
I was told the Wave model in linguistics had not been formalised. Here is an attempt at it. Note that many things remain to be done, check the discussion for that. The method/model I propose, WaST, can be used on any cognacy dataset. I'll put the code on git soon. arxiv.org/abs/2604.08220
arxiv.org
WaST: a formalisation of the Wave model with associated statistical inference and applications
We propose a mathematical formalisation of the ``wave model'' originally developed in historical linguistics but with further applications in human sciences. This model assumes new traits appear in a population and spread to nearby populations depending on their closeness. It is mostly used to describe joint evolution of closely related populations, for example of several dialects. These situations of permanent contact are not accurately represented by its competitors based on tree structures. We built a fully Bayesian generative model where innovation spread along a fixed graph and disappear according to a death process. We then develop a Metropolis-Hastings within Gibbs sampler to sample from the posterior distribution on the graph. We test our method on simulated datasets as well as on several real dataset.
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rgyalrong.bsky.social @rgyalrong.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Our chapter on the tree model (with @thomaspellard.bsky.social and @robinryder.bsky.social ) is at last published online: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Family Tree Model
The family tree remains the main metaphor for describing the evolutionary history and relationships of languages. Languages, like biological species, evolve following processes such as descent with m...
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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
I only knew Chris Sims' work, and I wish I had got to meet him. But to the extent that we know something of each other through what we put out in the world, here is my personal biased favourite of his: Why Econometrics Should Always and Everywhere Be Bayesian sims.princeton.edu/yftp/EmetSoc...
sims.princeton.edu
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
"Quand les bars-tabacs ferment : l’érosion du lien social local et la progression du vote d’extrême droite en France" www.cepremap.fr/2026/01/quan... file:///Users/arthurcharpentier/Downloads/Figure_1-Note.png
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Culture Conference @cultconf.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
What a pre-conference workshop on Bayesian statistical methods—a powerful toolkit for our community! 📊 Many thanks to Daniel Redhead and Ramona Roller for guiding us through STRAND and to Michael Chimento for the introduction to STbayes. And thank you to all participants for their energy! 🙌
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Andrew Rambaut (🐏🎀) @arambaut.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
So I pleased to announce the conceptual spawn of FigTree: PearTree (acronym still to be finalised). If you want to dive right in it is hosted as a web app here: artic-network.github.io/peartree (click the “Example...” button for immediate candy and then click every button you can find).
artic-network.github.io
PearTree — Phylogenetic Tree Viewer
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Pat Savage @patrickesavage.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
My book is now published! 🌏🎶🧪
 You can download it for free at academic.oup.com/book/62353 - I’d be grateful if you do! I also published an accessible summary with audio/video today in @nature.com: www.nature.com/articles/d41... Try reading that first, then give the whole book a read if you like it!
Front cover of my book, titled "Comparative musicology: Evolution, universals, and the science of the world's music" (published today by Oxford University Press)1st of my 4-page essay published in Nature today titled "Music is not a universal language - but it can bring us together when words fail"
Picture caption: "Puerto Rican rapper Bad Bunny (centre) performed in Spanish at the half-time show of the 2026 American Football Super Bowl LX."
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
So cool! Mostly fine until 1300, understood a fair bit of 1200, and close to nothing in 1100
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Congratulations to Dr Antoine Luciano, who defended his PhD on "Contributions to Bayesian Simulation-Based Inference"! I had a wonderful time supervising Antoine's PhD (jointly with Christian Robert), it's always emotional to reach the end.
Photo of 2026 PhD thesis by Antoine Luciano, with title "Contributions à l'inférence bayésienne par simulation"
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Congratulations to Dr Jinyuan Zhang, who defended his PhD in Edinburgh today! I was happy to be the external examiner. Jinyuan worked on Hidden Markov Models for Stylometry, to attribute authorship in texts with several authors. The thesis was supervised by Gordon Ross.
Photo of a PhD thesis with title "Sequential Stylometry: A Bayesian Stylometry Framework for Mixed Authorship Texts", by Jinyuan Zhang (University of Edinburgh, 2025)
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Gro-Tsen @gro-tsen.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
This etymology is wild! #TIL The English word “average”, originally “custom duty” or “loss in transported goods”, comes from the French “avarie” (meaning “damage to a ship or cargo”) from the Italian “avaria” (same meaning), …
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
Congratulations to Dr Roan Talbut, who successfully defended their PhD on "Tropical Geometry for Phylogenetic Statistics"! It was a pleasure to read the thesis and examine the viva. I learned a lot!
Photo of Roan Talbut's PhD thesis
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
I'm happy to join the board of Statistics and Computing as Associate Editor! link.springer.com/journal/1122... I'll be in great company, with lots of fantastic colleagues. And congratulations to my old friend and fellow bird enthusiast @pierrealquier.bsky.social who has also just joined as AE!
link.springer.com
Statistics and Computing
Statistics and Computing is a bi-monthly refereed journal publishing papers at the intersection of statistical and computing sciences. Addresses the use of ...
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Dr. Drew Brayshaw 🌊🪨 @drewbrayshaw.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Still think this was one of the best power moves of all time www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Henrik Bengtsson @henrikbengtsson.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
The detectCores() apocalypse is creeping up on us 👻🐛 As more people are getting access to 128+ CPU cores, code spinning up parallel cluster with detectCores() workers fails - not enough #RStats connections available Friends, do *not* default to detectCores(), bc www.jottr.org/2022/12/05/a...
jottr.org
Please Avoid detectCores() in your R Packages
The detectCores() function of the parallel package is probably one of the most used functions when it comes to setting the number of parallel workers to use in R. In this blog post, I’ll try to explai...
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rgyalrong.bsky.social @rgyalrong.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
New article in collaboration with @chrisbuckley.bsky.social , @thomaspellard.bsky.social @robinryder.bsky.social on the phylogeny of Kra-Dai languages and of the looms used by their speakers: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Contrasting modes of cultural evolution: Kra-Dai languages and weaving technologies | Evolutionary Human Sciences | Cambridge Core
Contrasting modes of cultural evolution: Kra-Dai languages and weaving technologies - Volume 7
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Axel Gandy @agandy.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
We’re hiring! Join Imperial's Department of Mathematics as an Assistant, Associate or Full Professor in Pure Maths, Applied Maths, Stats or Math Finance. We have several posts available, so apply by 30 Nov 2025! imperial.ac.uk/jobs/search-... @imperialmaths.bsky.social
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Absolutely crazy that Harvard had to resort to this. PhD students are society's future experts. What happens when even elite universities can no longer afford to train them?
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Department of Mathematics @imperialmaths.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
Applications are invited for Chapman Fellow in Mathematics (Statistics Section) at the Department of Mathematics. Closing date: 11 November 2025 www.imperial.ac.uk/jobs//search...
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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
Jane Goodall was my first childhood hero, as I loved animals as a kid and was inspired by her story. I still remember the National Geographic specials about her. RIP.
Jane Goodall reaches out and touches a small monkey.
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
We are hiring! We are inviting applications for the Chapman Fellowship in Statistics at Imperial College London. This is a kind of super-postdoc: 3 years contract, excellent working conditions, and candidates are expected to propose an independent research plan. www.imperial.ac.uk/jobs//search...
imperial.ac.uk
Imperial College London Authentication - Stale Request
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International Society for Bayesian Analysis @isba-bayesian.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
Proposals for contributed talks & posters are now being accepted for the 2026 ISBA World Meeting! The world meeting will take place in Nagoya, Japan between 28 June and 3 July, 2026. Proposals may be submitted here: forms.gle/dVTUrdEuVF6g...
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International Society for Bayesian Analysis @isba-bayesian.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
The newest section of ISBA has been formed to promote Bayesian methods in the social sciences! Find out more 👇
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
I'm super excited to announce that ISBA @isba-bayesian.bsky.social has voted to start a new section on Bayesian Social Sciences! It will be a great way to further collaborations with many disciplines in the Social Sciences and Humanities. bss-isba.github.io
bss-isba.github.io
Home - BSS-ISBA
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Mélissa Berthet @berthetmelissa.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
Really nice coverage of our work on bonobo syntax with Simon Townsend and Martin Surbeck, by @rfieldmouse.bsky.social. Thanks so much, Rachel! www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
AI is helping to decode animals’ speech. Will it also let us talk with them?
The complexity of vocal communication in some primates, whales and birds might approach that of human language.
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
A great overview of SBI by @fxbriol.bsky.social If you missed the conference, check out his slides!
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Richard Mann @richardpmann.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Do diversification rates and molecular evolution covary? Maybe, maybe not, but it’s surprising how much falls into place if we assume they do doi.org/10.1093/sysb...
doi.org
Evolutionary Tempo, Supertaxa, and Living Fossils
Abstract. A relationship between the rate of molecular change and diversification has long been discussed, on both theoretical and empirical grounds. Howev
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Monica Alexander @monjalexander.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
The wonderful Niamh Cahill is recruiting a PhD student (co-supervised by me!) to work on estimating and projecting population exposure to extreme sea levels. Please contact me if interested!
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
I am pleased to announce that together with some friends, we are organising a workshop on Non-Reversible MCMC Sampling, taking place at Newcastle University from 8–10 September 2025. Details on the programme and registration can be found at the workshop website (sites.google.com/view/probai-...).
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Balthasar Bickel @balthasarbickel.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
Exciting new opening @nccrlanguage.bsky.social with the option of permanent extension. If you work in cutting-edge stats and are interested in joining a highly inter-disciplinary, vibrant community, don't hesitate to apply at tinyurl.com/3fxwjk8e
tinyurl.com
UZH: Statistician
Within the National Center of Competence in Research (NCCR) Evolving Language and its 46 different research groups from a large variety of disciplines across Switzerland, and the University of Zurich ...
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Martin Modrák @modrakm.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
New on the blog: Using Bayesian tools to be a better frequentist Turns out that for neg. bin. regression with small samples, standard frequentist tools fail to achieve their stated goals. Bayesian computation ends up providing better frequentist guarantees. www.martinmodrak.cz/2025/07/09/u...
martinmodrak.cz
Using Bayesian tools to be a better frequentist
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
New preprint on arXiv, led by PhD student Antoine Luciano:  Permutations accelerate Approximate Bayesian Computation. arxiv.org/abs/2507.06037
arxiv.org
Permutations accelerate Approximate Bayesian Computation
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
New paper, led by @ambresalis.bsky.social and just out in Scientific reports: Birds combined calls more than 11 million years ago www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Birds combined calls more than 11 million years ago - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Birds combined calls more than 11 million years ago
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
This. ⤵️ Some of us are manifesting for the algorithm to be called Metropolis-Rosenbluth-Teller-Hastings, or MRTH. It better recognizes the scientists who had an instrumental role in the original paper. It's what I use in my papers and lectures. I hope it will eventually become the standard name!
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@macroevoeco @macroevoeco.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Is language complexity more likely to evolve in small, isolated populations? We test this idea using global occurrence of one particular form of morphological complexity - polysynthesis (complex word forms that embody whole phrases) www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
Macroevolutionary analysis of polysynthesis shows that language complexity is more likely to evolve in small, isolated populations | PNAS
Evolution of complexity in human languages has been vigorously debated, including the proposal that complexity can build in small, isolated populat...
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Enjoying discovering Singapore, and ready for BayesComp 2025! I'll be giving a talk tomorrow (Wed) on Saddlepoint Monte Carlo and its application to exact Ecological Inference. Come say hi at 16:10 in room LT51 - it's a cool paper, I swear! arxiv.org/abs/2410.18243
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Sloppier-than-usual academic spam. 😬 I'd never thought of publishing a paper whose title would be my name. Sounds like a highly efficient plan, it would eliminate the whole headache of trying to pick a good title! 🙄
Screenshot of an e-mail which reads 
"Dear Dr.Ryder, Robin J.

Hello!

We understand that you have made outstanding achievements in the academic field and published many high-level papers. For example, your recent publication "Ryder, Robin J." has left a deep impression on us. We sincerely invite you to submit to our open access journals.

Our journals have been included in the Scopus database and cover multiple disciplines such as environmental and earth sciences, ecological research, linguistics, building materials, sustainable oceans, medicine, etc., and are committed to publishing high-"
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International Society for Bayesian Analysis @isba-bayesian.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
The Scientific Committee welcomes proposals for Invited Sessions for the 2026 #ISBA World Meeting. Please submit proposals using this form: forms.gle/5G3xJWJaaE6Q... Proposals will be accepted until 11:59pm (anywhere on Earth) on 6 July 2025. Also see the conf. site: isba2026.github.io
forms.gle
ISBA 2026: Call for Invited Sessions & Panel Discussions
The Scientific Committee invites the submission of proposals for Invited Sessions & Panel Discussions for the 2026 ISBA World Meeting, to be held in Nagoya, Japan from 28 June to 3 July, 2026. Invited...
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