iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Stephen Hill

Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 17h

In our course and book _Calling Bullshit_, we posit that If something seems too good, or too bad, to be true, it probably is. Now as a college professor I'm pretty confident that overreliance can AI can harm our thinking ability, but just ten minutes of use? Let's dig into this this study a bit.

news.berkeley.edu

Using AI for just 10 minutes erodes your ability to persist at hard things - Berkeley News

A UC Berkeley researcher co-authored a study that raises profound questions about how we interact with artificial intelligence in education — and daily life.

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854

Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…

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Andrew D Wilson @adw.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I’m getting this on the agenda for a working group on guidance for people here; your flowchart you posted the other day had an emphasis on ‘ask if you really have to use AI *first*’ too which I think is the key flip to make

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

So it looks like (self judged) experts make better metacognitive judgements about their skill. Cool (that’s what we’d expect for ‘true-as-measured-by-performance’ experts so interesting to see the same for self placement).

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Cam Hostinar, Ph.D. @camhostinar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

I am pleased to announce the launch of our new diamond open access journal Psychology Across Development (accepting submissions starting today!). We are a lifespan developmental journal. (1/3) escholarship.org/uc/psycdev

escholarship.org

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Russell Brown @publicaddress.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I see the circus is in full swing already.

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Eddie Clark @dreddieclark.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

In a remotely normal environment this is both front page news and disqualifying for office.

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Butlerian Jihadist of House Dornick @shimminykricket.blacksky.app · 08/10/2026

Harvard just dropped a study AI productivity in software engineering and it found the average increase in productivity from using Claude code is.....zero and for exactly the reasons you'd think fion.ac/jellyfish.pdf

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Definitely a Pokémon ‘gotta catch them all!’ vibe to it all!

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

So he has 10 masters degrees, a BA (4 years in the US), a DPhil (3-4 years), and JD (3 years) - let’s say the masters are on average 1.5 years (although that is probably pushing it) - that’s still ~26 years full time study - no idea how you do that in a serious scholarly fashion before you’re 30.

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Paul Le Comte 🇳🇿🇨🇦📷 @paullecomtephoto.nz · 07/10/2026

That there are parties & industry insiders not only ignoring this but actively maligning this here in New Zealand tells you how much we need to kill the dominant do nothing narrative. Not just kill it, stab it with a wooden stake, seal it in a lead sarcophagus & fire it into the heart of the sun.

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I feel like this piece needs some serious fact checking - the whole thing strikes me as bs. An undergrad degree takes 3-4 years of full time study, so 12 of them would take 36-48 years … remarkable for a 31 year old.

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Dr Bex @drbex.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Ready now for the IHC election forum - interested to see what each of the parties have to say about disability and the promises they will make... #nzpol #IHC

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Great to see him say 'Chris' 37 times.

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Looking at Luxon's most common words I wonder whether quite of lot of his talk was just content-less stuffing.

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Dan @danxduran.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Chris Hipkins won a debate despite speaking fewer words than the person asking the questions. I don't know what this means, but it's certainly a bit funny

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Sounds like he is parroting William Happer's claims ... he was here last year and I believe Groundswell was involved in funding the tour.

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Robert McLachlan @robertmclachlan.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Front page news in The Press! I am surprised that 9 of the 10 farmers interviewed were 'mistrustful' of climate science, thought it might be 3 or 4. The study says they rely on the farming papers like Rural News, which is one of the last mainstream media outlets that still platform climate deniers.

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Rebecca Priestley @rkpriestley.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

We talked to farmers in a South Island community and found: (1) mistrust in climate science and scientists, (2) mistrust in government, (3) mistrust of the mainstream media and (4) a sense of responsibility and care for their farms. #ClimateChange rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

New Zealand Farmers’ Trust in Climate Change Expertise and Policy: A Case Study

Responding to recent discord between Aotearoa New Zealand's agricultural sector and the government over environmental policies, this paper examines farmers’ trust in climate change science and policy...

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Oli - something or other @olimnz.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Thanks, National. #nzpol

Alert from the Gaspy fuel price checking app pointing out that we now have the most expensive fuel in history. National average price is $3.51 per litre.

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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 04/10/2026

"Absent policy steering, AI’s modeled effects increase the carbon intensity of the global economy and reinforce fossil fuel incumbency—outcomes that current analytical and governance frameworks do not fully capture."

nature.com

AI-driven productivity gains enable more CO₂ emissions than they avoid in a global energy–economy model - npj Climate Action

npj Climate Action - AI-driven productivity gains enable more CO₂ emissions than they avoid in a global energy–economy model

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Alison @alisonbee.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Have a lovely weekend 🐑🐏

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André "Normal" Alessi @andrealessi.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

There were plenty of people who could have pointed police in the direction of the Christchurch mosque murderer's online presence or who could provide details on overseas fraud networks, but NZ Police were, and typically still are, uninterested. Maybe that could change with pressure from the top.

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Michael Plank @michaelplanknz.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

To say I did not have high hopes for this government would be an understatement, but I am nonetheless agog at the utter dogs breakfast they have turned the science funding system into in 3 short years

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Bee @dailybee.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

'Before the tender began House of Science chief executive Chris Duggan was also added to a group helping to write the science curriculum, on Stanford's recommendation [...] she stood to gain materially from being on it.' #nzpol www.1news.co.nz/2026/10/01/l...

1news.co.nz

Labour calls for investigation into $40m school science kit contract

The House of Science had repeatedly lobbied the Education Minister for funding – but Erica Stanford insists it’s all above board.

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morgan godfery @morgangodfery.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

I think the Mata poll showing a surge in support for the Greens among Māori voters signals a structural shift as millennials/Gen X Māori rapidly outnumber the older population. This shift was emerging 10 years ago, and for the foreseeable Labour/Greens/and TPM will roughly share support in thirds

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Marco @mcognetta.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

As @karpathy.bsky.social said: tokenization is the root of all suffering. Come learn the good stuff.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I spent the full hour on NPR/@wbur.org's "On Point" in conversation with Meghna Chakrabarti on this year's very strong El Niño event--which is expected reach record intensity by Nov--and the broader context surrounding it, as well as local-to-global impacts.

wbur.org

How the 'super' El Niño will shape the global climate

El Niño has become an annual global climate phenomenon. But this year, scientists are warning of a record-setting 'super' El Niño. What that could mean for the weather everywhere on planet earth.

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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Temperatures in the Central Pacific El Niño region are the hottest ever measured (top panel), and far above any other El Niño at this time of year. But, if you adjust for the warming of the global ocean, the current trajectory is not so different from other very strong events.

Two panel plot showing daily time series of temperature anomalies in the Central Pacific Nino3.4 region during the last four strongest El Niño events without and with correction for changes in global ocean mean temperature.

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Christina Hood @christinahood.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Lindsay Wood has more background on the complaint about NZ's compliance with the EU-NZ Free Trade Agreement climate obligations here:

climatemattersnz.substack.com

“NZ in the Dock” Climate Matters Special

Guilty as charged?

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Sam Schwarzkopf @sampendu.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

If you can spare ~20 min on an online study on perception & #mentalimagery please consider participating: #visionscience #psychscisky #neuroskyence tstbl.co/131-782

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André "Normal" Alessi @andrealessi.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Unfortunate choice of images here.

A screenshot of a NZ Herald news alert about a woman's murder. The accompanying image is of Nicola Willis and David Seymour.

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Reposted by Stephen Hill

Nick Young @nickofnz.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

A Dutch environmental group claims New Zealand has broken its #climatechange promises in the free trade agreement with the EU and is lodging the first complaint of its kind through the European Commission. www.rnz.co.nz/news/politic...

rnz.co.nz

NZ accused of breaking climate change promise with EU, but Todd McClay rejects claim

A Dutch environmental group claims New Zealand has broken its climate change promises in the free trade agreement with the EU and is lodging the first complaint of its kind through the European Commis...

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Jenna Russell @jennarussell.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

Would you realize if the book you were reading was AI? What if it was humanized to remove AI-speak? We find that even without using stylistic cues (e.g., word choice or sentence structure) narrative choices alone give AI fiction away!

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Russell Brown @publicaddress.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Along with others, I've had a bit to say about Simeon Brown's deranged 2024 Transport GPS. But this is actually shocking. It was altered *after the consultation period* to make the books look better – in a way that wrecks the National Land Transport Fund. www.greaterauckland.org.nz/2026/09/29/t...

greaterauckland.org.nz

Transport borrowing comes back to bite - Greater Auckland

Today, Treasury is releasing the Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update (or PREFU) ahead of the election. So I figured it was worth looking at a significant recent change to the way transport expendi...

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Foxes @foxylustygrover.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I think the media are really out of touch with how much women want pay equity for all women #NZPol

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Stuart Palmer @spalm.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

"Fresh Butternut Pumpkin Whole".

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Byron C Clark @byroncclark.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

If these numbers were repeated on election night, The Greens would have 20 MPs. One of them would be New Zealands first Palestinian MP www.1news.co.nz/2026/09/28/p... Crossposted with @openvibe.social

1news.co.nz

Poll: Greens surge to best result ever as National, Labour slide further

The 1News Verian poll result would give the party 19 MPs if repeated in November’s election.

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André Brett @drdrehistorian.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I'm a day later than I should've been, but those of you back home in NZ are now five hours ahead of me in Perth rather than four, and as is tradition I'm reupping my thread about NZ's innovations timewise If you got up for work at 7am today, that would have been 5:30am on NZ's original mean time

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Stephen Hill @srhastraea.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Only been cited 8 times - a criminal under-appreciation!!

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Nick Baker @nickbaker.digital · 27/09/2026

This is your school holiday assignment. Complete the school lunch quiz by matching the image to the name - a quiz based on the school lunch images sent by @ninjakitty.bsky.social this past school term. There are 15 images in total. forms.gle/et7qDL4VGBJH...

forms.gle

The Aotearoa New Zealand School Lunch Quiz

The images show 15 school lunches delivered to a school in August 2026. Your task is to pick the name that was assigned to each one.

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Newsroom NZ @newsroom.co.nz · 27/09/2026

Shoddy studies keep making the news – and they’re all over social media. What are some solutions to the rising tide of misinformation?

newsroom.co.nz

The media is polluted with bad science, but there are ways to clean it up

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