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Niko Jaakkola

@nikoecon.bsky.social
2.7K followers 2.9K following 1.9K posts

Associate Prof, Uni Bologna, Economics of climate & natural resources. Tweeting also as citizen, 🇫🇮/🇪🇺 and as resident 🇮🇹. Views are mine, most likely borrowed from somewhere. Suomeksi @nikoekon.bsky.social sites.google.com/view/jaakkola

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Reposted by Niko Jaakkola
Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 2h
Ukrainian pilot Marat Mambetov died defending Ukraine. Captain Mambetov, 31, of the 40th tactical aviation brigade was at a combat mission on a MiG-29. A Russian missile shot down his aircraft. Eternal glory and eternal memory to Ukrainian Hero.
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 8h
*This* is the fact that Grok's 'MechaHitler' and 'white genocide' episodes made blatantly clear. LLMs are not neutral truth-tellers; they are trained to provide biased answers in line with their owners' interests. This is all the more insiduous when subtle enough to go unnoticed.
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Cheryl Rofer @cherylrofer.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
A more general point: The owners of these models fiddle with them constantly to give the answers they want. This is why we need to distinguish among "AI" models and know who is manipulating them.
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Giulio Mattioli @giuliomattioli.bsky.social · 23h
This is so tragic. In 2022, Italian environment minister Cingolani was arguing that we shouldn't go too fast on EVs because the Chinese will continue to buy combustion engine vehicles www.quattroruote.it/news/industr... In 2026, China has 50%+ BEV sales - the EU lags at 20%-27%
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Brandon Friedman @brandonfriedman.bsky.social · 20h
Pete is lost in terms of modern war. I use the example of this outgunned Ukrainian army officer who successfully terrorized a Russian unit for weeks because she "did the math." At the time, someone commented, "yeah, in combat, 'I did the math' beats 'I can do 100 pushups' every time."
Ukrainian female soldier: Okay, I said the idea is this: There is enough time to empty one full can of 32 grenades and be gone by the time the return mortar fire reaches us. I did the math.
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 21h
New record global sea surface temperature anomaly. This El Niño is for reals pulse.climate.copernicus.eu
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 22h
The perfect illustration of how America has gone to war on itself and is now less able to face external challenges.
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Xan López @xanlopez.net · 30/09/2026
Well, that’s not the opening paragraph I expected.
1. Introduction

In the 1988 sci -fi roleplaying game Cyberpunk , the European Currency Unit serves as the global currency (colloquially referred to as “euro dollar”, “ed" or “eddie”) . In the story, the dismantling of US
democracy, a sovereign debt crisis and geopolitical mistakes
trigger the collap se of the United States . The European Economic
Community steps in and uses its well -regulated banking system and
single currency to displace the dollar’s hegemonic role.
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
GOP Congressman Tim Burchett is worried about voters being angry over high diesel prices. "We’re going to own it, whether we deserve to or not. We’re the ones in power." Oh, you most definitely deserve it, for standing behind a bunch of clowns that started a dumb war w/ no regard for consequences.
ft.com
White House holds crunch talks on diesel export ban as midterms near
Trump at centre of lobbying fight between Big Oil and top Republicans warning of voter anger at high fuel prices
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
​This is 16-year-old Katya. Russia killed her in Sumy on September 27 when three guided bombs hit a residential neighborhood💔🕯 ​She was in her final year of high school. Her school shared: “Katya will forever stay in our hearts as a student, a friend, and an irreplaceable part of our school family”
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
There's never an ask for Russia. Ukraine are going after the refineries to bring their economy and war economy to a halt so that they stop killing Ukranians and leave Ukraine.
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
And the US government wants to invite these vandals & murderers to the G20 meeting. They should be shunned and publicly shamed!
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Dr. Michael MacKay @michaelmackay.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Russian barbarians attacked and burned the National Academy of Sciences building in Kyiv.
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Russia doing more war crimes, starving the residents of Oleshky to death. Horrendous.
theguardian.com
‘Hell on earth’: last residents eat weeds to survive in Russian-occupied Oleshky
Ukrainian forces airdrop supplies in to city where bodies are left to be eaten by dogs because of deadly risk from drones
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Maciek Hamela @maciekhamela.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
With the Strait of Hormuz closed, Iraq has resorted to moving its oil across the desert to Syria in hundreds of tanker trucks, in true Mad Max style. From there, it will be shipped to worldwide markets.
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
This is going great. (*Average* US price now above $6.50)
Chart of diesel prices, showing them about 50% higher than one year ago.
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James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Trump basically can't hold a substantive one-on-one meeting anymore. www.ft.com/content/cdff...
The US president appeared to shorten the meeting to make time to show Xi around the White House, including a tour of his Marine One helicopter and helipad. He also pointed out his new ballroom, which was not finished on time to host the dinner.
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
On the same day the Americans are warning that Russia could also target Southern Europe with its drones. The warnings are certainly becoming more public now
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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
When they eventually make a movie about this time, please don't put the male politicians in good suits. IMO, the ugly, low rent tailoring should be part of the story.
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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
When @thomasmaddock.bsky.social & I predicted in March that the Trump/Netanyahu war on Iran would be "a prolonged nightmare", we were unfortunately right. Whether Trump carries out his latest threats of genocide or not, he has done huge harm to the US's allies in Europe, the Middle East & Asia.
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Jeff Colgan @jeffcolgan.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Somewhere out there is a Danish staffer who should never again have to buy his own drinks 
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Prof. Anders Levermann, PhD @alevermann.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Two recent studies in PNAS show: 1) Fractures (which are not represented in current ice sheet models) can easily double the ice loss of a region 2) The fastest changing outlet in Antarctica, Pine Island Glacier, has lost almost all traction due to fractures ... www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...
pnas.org
Fracture-driven weakening amplifies projected ice loss from West Antarctica | PNAS
Ice shelves buttress the flow of the Antarctic ice sheet, but this stabilizing effect weakens as fractures form, reducing ice viscosity and acceler...
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Richard Tol @richardtol.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Meta-glassed journalist interviews meta-employees.
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The Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Just as well those committing wrongs against the RNLI are not holding placards supporting a proscribed organisation, else they would really be in trouble.
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Joe Flynn @chinajoeflynn.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Hi folks. If you saw this, you know the administration plans to only accept white South Africans next year. Tomorrow is Congress's formal say before the determination is signed. Please check this brief thread on why I'd like you to speak out for the Afghan people still in limbo...
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Tim White @twmcltd.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Ukrainian opposition MP Oleksiy Goncharenko is the latest to say his car's been bugged. Similar devices are said to have been found in Klychko's office, a car of his Udar party faction + in Lviv MP Sadovyi's vehicle. Goncharenko recorded this video to show the device.
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Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
me that Hegseth was incapable of discussing major strategic and technological issues, and feels very uncomfortable around people who raise them. Instead he really only wants to talk GOP culture war issues that appeals to the Fox base. It's the only thing he feels comfortable talking about.
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Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Jonathan V Last: "It is utterly shocking that the American military is facing its most consequential defeat in several generations because it has not adapted to a revolution in military affairs and Pentagon leadership is worried about... testosterone levels in the ranks." A year ago, an admiral told
thebulwark.com
Trump’s Forever War Is Sucking the Life Out of Him
If it bleeds, we can kill it.
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Maybe the US Congress could impeach the whole administration and ask Mario Draghi to form a caretaker government until 2028?
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
There was actually a decent plan on how to keep Iran from racing to the bomb, and that was the JCPOA, aka the Iran nuclear deal negotiated by the Obama administration, and abandoned by Trump in his first term because of his vanity. And now the American consumer is hurting, as a result.
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CLAYFACE: CELEBRITY DIRT #3 out now @judedoyle.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
It's Monday morning, and I am reluctantly entering into the discussion about what The Democrats should do about The Trans, most of which translates to "believe in something, for once in your life, for fuck's sake." No paywall on this guy: jude-doyle.ghost.io/transformer-...
jude-doyle.ghost.io
Transformer: Velvet Goldmine (Todd Haynes, 1998)
A few thoughts on the queer post-apocalypse.
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Forthcoming in the AER: "The Economic Impacts of Sexual Assault" by Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, and Ning Zhang.
aeaweb.org
The Economic Impacts of Sexual Assault
(Forthcoming Article) - We estimate the economic impacts of sexual assault using population-wide Finnish police reports and hospital admissions. Over the five years following a sexual assault, victims’ employment falls by 6 percentage points and annual earnings decline by ¤1,500, alongside a 6 percentage point increase in anti-depressant use, relative to otherwise observationally equivalent women. These effects persist for at least a decade and correspond to a 15% decline in employment, 17% earnings loss, and 28% rise in anti-depressant use relative to pre-assault baselines. Sexual assault also generates spillover effects to victims’ networks: female schoolmates and victims’ parents experience significant mental health deterioration.
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
💯 @gideonrachman.bsky.social Even competent, far-sighted leaders in US & China would find the moment challenging to navigate: AI race & widening global conflict being the most urgent fires that need putting out. Yet we have two narrowminded nationalists, one of them *exceptionally* incompetent.
ft.com
Trump and Xi are the wrong men at the wrong time
The world needs far-sighted leadership but the US and Chinese leaders are unlikely to provide it
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Corporal Frisk @corporalfrisk.com · 21/09/2026
I mean, when you put it like that, Disney doesn't seem as bad after all...
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Janne M. Korhonen @jmkorhonen.fi · 21/09/2026
I for one had hoped Russian military had improved at least somewhat since WW2, but alas, it remains a cesspool of brutality and barbarism.
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 20/09/2026
Today I learned there are only two known polyhedra in which each face shares an edge with every other face. One of them being the timeless beauty of the tetrahedron and the other one being whatever the heck this is
A tetrahedronA szilassi polyhedron
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
I'm in a superposition of laughing and crying.
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Dmitry Grozoubinski @explaintrade.com · 20/09/2026
I don't think we disdain the center-right enough. First, they rode nativist populist tigers to power to get their tax cuts and deregulation; Then, they lost control of their own parties to those tigers; Now, they sit in lucrative jobs as columnists writing about how it's all the left's fault.
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
A superb interview with @ldfreedman.bsky.social. Refreshing to hear a top thinker call Trump's Iran war what it is: stupid. I mean, the US established an entire combatant command to prevent the one thing the Trump admin didn't bother to think about at all: the closure of the Hormuz Strait. 1/2
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Sky Marchini @sky.skymarchini.net · 19/09/2026
lately
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Jim Pickard @pickardje.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
my brilliant colleague @robertshrimsley.bsky.social on the threat from Elon Musk’s X platform www.ft.com/content/f270...
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Helene von Bismarck @helenebismarck.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Instead of debating “should we do what Canada is doing” (which is, so far, unclear), the debate could be: “how has the world changed that the EU and Canada are considering this, and how do we want to deal with this situation?“ Just a suggestion.
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Caolan Robertson @caolanrob.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Anyone thinking Ukraine should ‘concede terrirory for peace’ should look at what happens to Ukrainians in occupied territories One of the worst humanitarian crisis is unfolding in Oleshky today. Mass starvation and murder by drones. That’s what happens. @ZarinaZabrisky reports
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 17/09/2026
When will the people who argued in April 2025 that Democrats should stay silent on immigration own up to being frankly just disastrously wrong about the politics of mass deportations? Their punditry basically bordered on enablement
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Edward Luce @edwardluce.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
"Out of spite for President Donald Trump, Carney is accelerating the decoupling of a trade bloc that has generated enormous prosperity for North America." Seriously, Wapo editorial - you're going with Canadian spite? www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | Canada’s great European misadventure
Donald Trump is for now. A Brussels bureaucrat is forever.
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Minna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Sweden’s lack of recent war history is an interesting challenge wrt signalling credibility now - other countries in the region have some WWII reference point (for Denmark, Norway and the Baltics ”never again”, for Finland ”5/5 would do again”) but for Sweden it’s a radically new policy now
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Superb and scary piece on AI warfare by @alisonkilling.bsky.social @johnthornhill.bsky.social @digitalcampbell.ft.com @fabricedeprez.bsky.social and Charles Clover. AI-assisted killing makes war faster and reducing the time available to discriminate between legitimate and non-legitimate targets. 1/n
ft.com
The era of AI warfare has arrived
Autonomous systems are being rapidly integrated on the battlefield, as models advance in ways even their creators cannot fully predict
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Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
OK, I guess this will be my motivating example for intro macro this winter.
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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
VON DER LEYEN: WE WANT TO OPEN THE DOOR FOR CANADA TO THE FIRST ASSOCIATE MEMBER OF THE EU.
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