Sign in

Lukas Mergele

@lukasmergele.bsky.social
5.7K followers 2.2K following 584 posts

Policy consultant @ BSS Economic Consultants, Basel | Economist: Public Sector, Labor Markets, Education | Dad of 3 | German-Swiss musings | trains. sites.google.com/view/lmergele/home

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Bluesky @bsky.app · 3h
Congratulations to Nobel Prize winner @deisseroth.bsky.social! Follow along with the prize announcements all week via @nobelprize.org
17121494
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Ludger Woessmann @woessmann.bsky.social · 15h
📢New working paper:🚨 “Integrated vs. Separated Schooling for Refugee Children: Long-Term Effects on Education and Assimilation” w/ @caterinapavese.bsky.social and @meulensimon.bsky.social 👉 Does direct integration into native schools or temporary placement in separate schools … 1/5
2168
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 04/10/2026
Did a (very scientific, much unbiased) poll of the audience at the <<Empirical Methods in the Age of AI>> conference I just attended. Here were the results! hai.stanford.edu/events/empir...
14210
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
VAW Glaciology @vaw-glaciology.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Switzerland's glacier report 2026 is out. Swiss glaciers have lost 5% of their ice volume this year. Only the last 5 years accounted for nearly 20% of the total ice loss across Switzerland. The numbers are devastating. Full report → doi.glamos.ch/pubs/annualr...
2183148
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Sascha O. Becker @essobecker.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Annual reminder on German Unification Day that West and East differed already before 1945
23710
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
First they came for our two-way fixed effects. Now they're coming for time fixed effects! #EconSky www.nber.org/papers/w35807
1459
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Very interesting project: Living Science uses an AI agent to reproduce key findings from seminal papers in economics, document what holds up and extend the analysis with newer data. It's like a follow-up paper with robustness checks and extensions. New paper every week.
1176
Lukas Mergele @lukasmergele.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Great study based on Swiss data 🇨🇭
060
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Agathe Demarais @agathedemarais.com · 30/09/2026
Vast majority of Chinese children do not enrol in global PISA test • China only enrols pupils from Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu and Zhejiang (BSJZ) to PISA • After adjusting for this, score for China as a whole for maths could stand around 536, or 4th place globally www.economist.com/china/2026/0...
0133
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
New-Cleckit Dominie @ncdominie.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Great moments in Scottish engineering history: James Watt tries to work out how his phone attaches to his selfie stick.
Statue of James Watt. In his right hand he holds a telescopic stick with a frame at the top; in his left he holds a flat object about the size of a large smartphone. He is scowling at the possibly-not-a-smartphone as if he is tempted to yeet it into the sea. On that basis, it probably _is_ a phone.
161483386
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Agathe Demarais @agathedemarais.com · 29/09/2026
Mainstream narrative of China shock decimating EU industry may be overblown • Over past decade, China accounted for just one quarter of growth in bloc's extra-EU imports • China's share of EU’s imports has barely moved over past decade, rising from 20.5% to 22.3% www.economist.com/business/202...
23221
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
ArtButMakeItSports @artbutmakeitsports.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Man in a Blue Mantle, by John Singer Sargent, 1891, 📸 via @cjzero.bsky.social
305032756
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Coach Finstock @coachfinstock.bsky.social · 10/10/2023
About to get thrown out of here for obvious reasons
Pumpkin hoop
252248775815
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
NBER @nber.org · 28/09/2026
An LLM workflow that reproduces, improves, and extends economics research has been applied to over 4,000 published replication packages, from Matthew Schwartz, Isaiah Andrews, and Jesse M. Shapiro www.nber.org/papers/w35782
0197
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Yuriy Gorodnichenko @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
School Math Olympiad in #Kyiv these days, held in a bomb shelter. Russia keeps attacking Ukrainian cities, so these kids solve geometry problems between pipes and ventilation ducts. Every solved problem is a small act of defiance. 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine
03012
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Bartelds @bartelds.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
In a Swiss referendum, a majority voted against tightening neutrality rules. Far-right groups had proposed the measure, but 70.2% of the Swiss people voted NO, so Switzerland can now continue its sanctions against Russia www.tagesschau.de/ausland/euro...
tagesschau.de
Volksabstimmung in der Schweiz: Mehrheit gegen verschärfte Neutralität
In einer Volksabstimmung hat sich in der Schweiz eine Mehrheit dagegen ausgesprochen, das Neutralitätsgebot für das eigene Land zu verschärfen. Ein Ergebnis, das in Russland für Unmut sorgen dürfte.
0146
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
ulrichgut.bsky.social @ulrichgut.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
edition.cnn.com/2026/09/27/e...
edition.cnn.com
Germany’s AfD is so extreme it’s putting off other far-right parties | CNN
The rise of Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) is causing widespread alarm, including in unexpected quarters - other far-right European parties.
064
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
SparcMotion @sparcmotion.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
This is the start of Volkswagen becoming an EV company. insideevs.com/news/809219/...
insideevs.com
Volkswagen Is Now Selling More EVs Than Gas Cars In Germany. That Changes The Plan
Demand for EVs is exploding in Germany, so Volkswagen needs to rethink how it builds cars in its home country.
085
Lukas Mergele @lukasmergele.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Like electronic music? You might be delighted to hear that Bonobo's new album is out. A pleasure, as always. My favorite so far on.soundcloud.com/u14XQ4UX5dk2...
soundcloud.com
Shokoufeh
'Distance in Static', out now on Ninja Tune: https://bonobo.lnk.to/disSo Follow Bonobo - Spotify: https://found.ee/bonobo-sp Apple Music: https://found.ee/bonobo-am Amazon Music: https://found.ee/bo
130
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 25/09/2026
Data from France show that firms respond to increases in the minimum wage not only by employing fewer workers, but also by increasing training and flattening management hierarchies. Nicholas Lawson, Claire Lelarge, Grigorios Spanos cepr.org/voxeu/column...
Figure: Estimated firm responses to a 3.7% rise in minimum labour costs. Point estimates at average initial exposure to the GMR2 wage-guarantee group. Left panel: percentage changes. Right panel: percentage-point changes (pp). Revenue TFP is revenue-based total factor productivity, not physical productivity. The training estimate concerns production workers in relatively simple firms. Confidence intervals are not shown

How far can minimum wages rise without damaging jobs and output? This column uses evidence from France to show that firms respond not only by employing fewer workers, but also by increasing training and flattening management hierarchies. A quantitative model suggests that this reorganisation cushions the impact of moderate increases. Higher revenue productivity, however, is not a free efficiency gain, and the adjustment becomes less effective as wage floors rise.
064
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Grabmacherjoggi Basel @grabmacherjoggi.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Die Baumkronen der Pfalz leuchten in ihrem herbstlichen Kleid im warmen Licht der aufgehenden Sonne. Guten Morgen, liebes Basel 🧡
blick auf die terrasse der basler pfalz nach osten durch die kastanienbäume zur aufgehenden sonne hin. das licht glänzt auf den historischen sitzbänken und ein mann schiebt sein fahrrad hinter einem baum vorbei.  in der ferne ragen aus dem morgendunst blassdunkel die schwarzwaldhöhen
2307
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
First sentence says it all. From @thestudyofwar.bsky.social
084
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Kevin Rinz @kevinrinz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I know we’re focused on looming AI-driven extinction now, but can you spare a thought for what’s going on with labor demand? I have a new paper about that doi.org/10.26509/frb...
1128
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Dennis Alexis Valin Dittrich @davdittrich.economicscience.net · 23/09/2026
#EconSky What German reunification reveals about how we really find work, and the one connection that makes the difference. www.rfberlin.com/wp-content/uploads… Only 3 to 4% of displaced East German workers moved west within five years of losing their jobs, despite 1/4
rfberlin.com
Displaced workers relocate toward former coworkers, driven by relevant, job-specific information rather than social support.
111
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
mr. TIM @timkellogg.me · 22/09/2026
every now and then, on X i’ll see someone joking about how bluesky doesn’t have an AI community bro, i switch from X to bluesky because the AI takes here are more interesting. My feed is almost entirely AI-positive
61716
Lukas Mergele @lukasmergele.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Embarrassing
010
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Ilko-Sascha Kowalczuk @ilkokowalczuk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
1/In den sozialen Medien ist nach der Rede von Bundeskanzler Merz ein Sturm der Entrüstung ausgebrochen. Warum eigentlich? Ich halte mal dagegen, denn ich fand die Rede angemessen, ruhig, zugleich kämpferisch und selbstbewusst. Natürlich wäre es für unsere Demokratie ein großer Schaden,
138289
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Rudi Bachmann @bachmannrudi.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Three historical results today in two German state elections: 1) The extremist right continues to win elections in the East with pluralities, if not yet majorities; 2) in Berlin, the city where the Holocaust was planned, won a deeply antisemitic islamosocialist party a plurality and may well lead
4233
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
American Association of Wine Economists AAWE @wineecon.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Global Per Capita Wine, Beer, and Spirits Consumption, 1961–2025
284
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
NBER @nber.org · 19/09/2026
A field experiment with 10,000 professionals shows that female students get more information on work/life balance than male students when asking the same questions about careers, from Yana Gallen and Melanie Wasserman www.nber.org/papers/w35750
0115
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Dariia Mykhailyshyna @dariia.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
❗️Our next workshop will be on October 1st, 10 am CET on Visualising High-dimensional Data with R by @visnut.bsky.social Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine! Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S Please share! #AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
22011
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Martin Halla @mhalla.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
🇦🇹 Universitäten migrierten de facto alle von X nach hier – allerdings mit massiven Reichweitenverlusten. Über die Unis hinweg: 84.349 Follower auf X → 18.176 auf Bluesky, also 78,5 % weniger. Besonders hart hat es meine eigene @wuvienna.bsky.social erwischt. Details in meiner Grafik 👇
3105
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Petra Moser @pmoser.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTICE: Hi, someone is impersonating me on Bluesky using a fake account. Please be aware: If you receive a message or follow from an account that looks like mine but has a slightly different handle, please do not engage with it. Thanks, and sorry for the inconvenience!
0167
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 18/09/2026
Switzerland’s Federal Council has approved the new Swiss Security Policy Strategy www.admin.ch/en/newnsb/zR...
admin.ch
Comprehensive approach to security: Federal Council adopts the 2026 Security Policy Strategy
17519
Lukas Mergele @lukasmergele.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
This is the amazing @gczching.bsky.social posting about lots of new research from time use surveys; presented at the International Association for Time Use Research Conference #IATUR2026
000
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Ran Blekhman @blekhman.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
This is the future of scientific papers. Instead of a PDF, the paper is an AI agent that you can talk to, ask questions, run analyses. No more digging through supplements - just ask the paper directly: "what p-value cutoff was used in Fig 3B? Re-run at 0.01." www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Reimagining research papers as interactive and reliable AI agents - Nature
Paper2Agent converts research papers into interactive artificial intelligence agents by turning manuscripts, code and data into model context protocol-based tool-invoking systems that reproduce origin...
1866312
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Jörg @realkachelmann.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Wir haben eine Karte gebaut, wo zu sehen ist, wie sich deutsche Städte nach dem letzten teils rekordverdächtigen Sommermitteltemperaturen (Jun/Jul/Aug) klimatisch nach Süden verschoben haben. Als Einordnungskriterium wurde die Sommermitteltemperatur vom Referenzzeitraum 1961-1990 genommen. 1/
641067407
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Whereas we in Europe often underestimate the power of the EU, remember Putin started the first aggression against Ukraine, including the annexation of Crimea, in response to the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement in 2014:
415345
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
NBER @nber.org · 16/09/2026
Can foreign attacks strengthen the regime they seek to weaken? Presenting empirical evidence that the 2026 US–Israeli strikes reduced anti-regime protest and boosted pro-regime mobilization, from Sultan Mehmood, Yaroslav Prokhorskoy, and Leonard Wantchekon www.nber.org/papers/w35734
043
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Christian Zimmermann @czimm-economist.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Search results on IDEAS now explicitly show citation numbers. ideas.repec.org/search.html #RePEc #EconSky
ideas.repec.org
Search on IDEAS
IDEAS is a central index of economics research, including working papers, articles and software code
021
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
James Green @james-r-green.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Competitiveness, sovereignty, innovation. I reckon we'll hear these words just a few times during Thursday's SOTEU. But how does Europe achieve them? Public equity markets can play an important role - funding European bets on new technologies and scale. Yet Europe is falling behind. 1/8 🧵
1237
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Lukas Haffert @lhaffert.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Überall in Europa brechen die alten Volksparteien zusammen oder sind es schon, aber auf der Titelseite von ZEIT Online denkt man immer noch, in Deutschland liege das an "handwerklichen Fehlern" der Regierungsparteien...
3259
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
ArtButMakeItSports @artbutmakeitsports.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Tennis Court Oath, by Jacques-Louis David, 18th century
568088
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
CESifo are organising a workshop on the economic and societal impacts of AI, to be held in Munich 3-4 December 2026. Deadline: 15 September. transform-cluster.de/event/cesifo...
093
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 14/09/2026
📝 New article on Our World in Data: Is organic farming better for the environment than conventional farming? One of the most common questions we’re asked about food systems is whether organic farming is better for the environment than conventional methods.
411354
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Thiemo Fetzer 🇪🇺🇺🇦 - same handle elsewhere @trfetzer.com · 14/09/2026
Late as usual, but still relevant: 25 years ago, 9/11 led NATO to invoke Article 5 for the first time in its history. Afghanistan would become NATO’s longest mission. Over the years, in one strand of my research, we studied how coalition warfare works... or didnt! 1/N
111
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 14/09/2026
Your regular reminder: If the Russians stop fighting, the war ends. If the Ukrainians stop fighting, their land will be occupied, their leaders will be killed, their history and language will be erased, their children will be kidnapped to serve Russia.
5953725113399
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Quantitude the Podcast @quantitude.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
18520
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Beat Flach @beatflach.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Diese Vier stehen für rund 48% der weltweiten Wirtschaftsleistung und 41 % der Weltbevölkerung und verfolgen unterschiedliche Ziele. Mit einer Ausnahme: Sie wünschen sich alle ein schwaches Europa. Wir Europäer/innen sollten uns im Klaren darüber sein und zusammenstehen #WirSindEuropa #Demokratie
22816
Reposted by Lukas Mergele
Pauline Carry @paulinecarry.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
New paper with P. Cahuc, F. Malherbet, P. Martins Employment protection (EPL) often depends on firm or establishment size and age. These discontinuities are widely used to evaluate EPL with RD or DiD. But what aggregate conclusions can we draw from such estimates?🧵
123