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Tatyana Deryugina

@tderyugina.bsky.social
6.1K followers 666 following 1.6K posts

Ukrainian. American. Associate Professor at UofI. Co-editor at AER:I and EEPE. Co-founder of econ4ua.org. deryugina.com ukraineinsights.substack.com

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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
First they came for our two-way fixed effects. Now they're coming for time fixed effects! #EconSky www.nber.org/papers/w35807
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Julian Reif @julianreif.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
"But in the case of basic replication requirements, other disciplines seem to be purposefully making themselves less trustworthy, relevant, and self correcting."
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
First sentence says it all. From @thestudyofwar.bsky.social
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pascalquercus.bsky.social @pascalquercus.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Europe must say to China that it will stop all trades with China if untill China stop helping Putin to kill Europeans. No more money to those who kill us. We must sanction the genocider enablers
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
In my latest policy brief for @econ4ua.bsky.social, Oleksandr Shepotylo and I look at the role of China in propping up Russia's war against #Ukraine. We also discuss what Europe should do to stop it. econ4ua.org/wp-content/u...
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Ukraine Insights @ukraine-insights.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Why go to the trouble of holding a sham election? Because media headlines will still refer to it as an "election". #Russia
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
In my latest policy brief for @econ4ua.bsky.social, Oleksandr Shepotylo and I look at the role of China in propping up Russia's war against #Ukraine. We also discuss what Europe should do to stop it. econ4ua.org/wp-content/u...
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
#EconSky: it’s once again time for our call for papers/proposals for the annual NBER conference+publication combo on Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy (EEPE). Submit here by October 20th, 2026. More details below. And please spread the word! conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...
conference.nber.org
Submission: NBER Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy Conference, Page 1 of 2 - MyNBER
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 16/09/2026
#EconConf
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
#EconSky: it’s once again time for our call for papers/proposals for the annual NBER conference+publication combo on Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy (EEPE). Submit here by October 20th, 2026. More details below. And please spread the word! conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...
conference.nber.org
Submission: NBER Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy Conference, Page 1 of 2 - MyNBER
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Economists for #Ukraine is planning a series of free public policy forums on Ukraine-related issues. If you're interested, please fill out this form. And please spread the word! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com
Economists for Ukraine Policy Forums
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Julian Reif @julianreif.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
My coauthors and I have released a new report on how the Medicaid provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act could affect Illinois’ budget and Medicaid coverage. Here are our main findings: igpa.uillinois.edu/wp-content/u...
igpa.uillinois.edu
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Economists for #Ukraine is planning a series of free public policy forums on Ukraine-related issues. If you're interested, please fill out this form. And please spread the word! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com
Economists for Ukraine Policy Forums
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Project Syndicate @projectsyndicate.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
With Russia ramping up its hybrid war, Europe must accept that deterrence is not alarmism, preparedness is not provocation, and strength is often the precondition for peace, write @tderyugina.bsky.social, @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social, and @ilonasolohub.bsky.social. bit.ly/3Tdb01H
bit.ly
Will Europe Be as Unprepared as Ukraine Was?
Tatyana Deryugina, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Ilona Sologoub say that the main challenge is not merely to spend more, but to change entrenched habits of mind.
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Yuriy Gorodnichenko @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
New piece with @tderyugina.bsky.social and @ilonasolohub.bsky.social The main message is: Europe in 2025 is #Ukraine in 2014. Not investing in defense, thinking the war is local, letting RUS information space, believing that someone else will protect, trying to make a deal with Putin Big mistakes
project-syndicate.org
Will Europe Be as Unprepared as Ukraine Was?
Tatyana Deryugina, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Ilona Sologoub say that the main challenge is not merely to spend more, but to change entrenched habits of mind.
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Forthcoming in the AER: "The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival" by Julian Reif and Tatyana Deryugina.
aeaweb.org
The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival
(Forthcoming Article) - Many environmental hazards have long-run health effects, but quasi-experimental studies typically measure outcomes and treatment over short time periods. We develop a new framework for quantifying the effect of air pollution exposure on life expectancy. Using daily changes in wind direction as an instrument for air pollution, we first charac- terize the dynamic mortality effects of short-run exposure. We then incorporate these estimates into a demographic model to quantify the lifelong effects of a permanent re- duction in air pollution exposure. Ninety percent of the survival benefits accrue after the first fifty years of life.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
US bombed a wedding celebration in Iran, killing at least four, wounding dozens of others, reports now widely confirm. Town near Hormuz, wedding near a communications tower, no reason to think US targeted the wedding itself. But that’s why the choice to launch each round of bombing is so serious.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Apparently, this is how MAGA stays so strong: holding people hostage. 🙃
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
"Russia's Allies Are More Helpful Than Ukraine's" This might sound like an exaggeration, but it's not. Europe has been quite cowardly in standing up to Russia, and the US is looking more like a Russia ally. @phillipspobrien.bsky.social elaborates. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
Weekend Update #198: Russia's Allies Are More Helpful Than Ukraine's
Actually, The USA Is Quite A Good Ally For Russia; Ukraine Is Slowly But Steadily Liberating Territory.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
The US "is now fighting this war simply because it has no idea what else to do, and does not have the courage to admit that it has failed." phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/midweek-up...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
Midweek Update #24: The USA Is Not A Serious Country
In Strategy And Planning The USA Is A Self-Destructive Mess: Here Is A Short-Term Way To Stop The Bleeding
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Me trying to keep up with Claude's output
static.klipy.com
Lucy and Ethel in the Chocolate Factory
ALT: Lucy and Ethel in the Chocolate Factory
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
#EconSky: Do you find yourself arguing over the true state of the US economy? Do you wish you had easy access to a bunch of basic stats on hand? And maybe some indication of where the economy is headed? Check out usbarometer.com
usbarometer.com
US Economy Barometer: Jobs, Prices, Wages & Debt in Simple Graphs
Forecasts of US inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and wages, plus simple graphs of jobs, prices, housing, pay, and consumer sentiment — updated monthly from official sources.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
#EconSky: Do you find yourself arguing over the true state of the US economy? Do you wish you had easy access to a bunch of basic stats on hand? And maybe some indication of where the economy is headed? Check out usbarometer.com
usbarometer.com
US Economy Barometer: Jobs, Prices, Wages & Debt in Simple Graphs
Forecasts of US inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and wages, plus simple graphs of jobs, prices, housing, pay, and consumer sentiment — updated monthly from official sources.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Writing a paper introduction is more art than science, but a good formula gets you most of the way there. Today's blog post: a paragraph-by-paragraph template that is used pretty commonly, plus the mistakes I see most often. 🧵 #EconSky deryugina.com/a-two-for-on...
deryugina.com
A two-for-one blog post on writing introductions – Tatyana Deryugina
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Jack @jackinpogform.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Still from Rogue One. An imperial commander asks Mads Mikkelson

"Bluesky? Really? A man of your talents?"


He responds: "its a simple life."
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Tens of thousands of Kyiv residents routinely spend the night sleeping inside metro stations to hide from Russian bombs. With their kids, their pets, without their comfortable beds. Last night, over 56,000 people spent the night this way. www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Latest Midweek Update is out. Iran toyed with the USA this week. Trump continues to want out of the war, but Iran escalated. Their strategy seems pretty sophisticated and the end result is looking even worse for the USA. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
open.substack.com
Midweek Update #21: Iran Is Toying With The USA
Plus: Iranian Strategy; How Does This End?
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Writing a paper introduction is more art than science, but a good formula gets you most of the way there. Today's blog post: a paragraph-by-paragraph template that is used pretty commonly, plus the mistakes I see most often. 🧵 #EconSky deryugina.com/a-two-for-on...
deryugina.com
A two-for-one blog post on writing introductions – Tatyana Deryugina
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
It IS indeed time to crush Putin's war economy. Russia is not as resilient as it looks, and any resilience it has is not so much a show of its strength but of Western hesitance and myopia. time.com/article/2026...
time.com
Why It Is Time for the West to Crush Putin’s War Economy
Corporations walked away from Russia in historic numbers. Governments loosened sanctions just as the pressure was working.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Do you find it really difficult to keep track of the ridiculous amount of wrongdoing by the #Trump administration? Here's a handy reference to keep on hand, organized by type and severity (and updated monthly). ruleoflawfail.com
ruleoflawfail.com
Undermining the Constitution: The US Administration's Attack on the Rule of Law
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
It IS indeed time to crush Putin's war economy. Russia is not as resilient as it looks, and any resilience it has is not so much a show of its strength but of Western hesitance and myopia. time.com/article/2026...
time.com
Why It Is Time for the West to Crush Putin’s War Economy
Corporations walked away from Russia in historic numbers. Governments loosened sanctions just as the pressure was working.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
This video shows the deep impact of war on Ukraine in a fascinating way: some settlements are COVERED with drone fiber optic cables, and birds are now using them to weave nests. www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCa2...
youtube.com
The nature of war: Ukraine birds weave nests of fiber optic cable
YouTube video by Reuters
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Do you find it really difficult to keep track of the ridiculous amount of wrongdoing by the #Trump administration? Here's a handy reference to keep on hand, organized by type and severity (and updated monthly). ruleoflawfail.com
ruleoflawfail.com
Undermining the Constitution: The US Administration's Attack on the Rule of Law
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
This video shows the deep impact of war on Ukraine in a fascinating way: some settlements are COVERED with drone fiber optic cables, and birds are now using them to weave nests. www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCa2...
youtube.com
The nature of war: Ukraine birds weave nests of fiber optic cable
YouTube video by Reuters
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OlhaZadorozhna @olhazadorozhna.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
1/3 New episode of #PolicyImplications with Jacob Kirkegaard. We discuss what Europe has actually built since 2022: the EU has become essential on money, sanctions, coordination, and long-term support for UA. But EU defence future increasingly runs through UA. Link: tinyurl.com/5hfs7u9p
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Julian Reif @julianreif.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Brilliant paper
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Seema Jayachandran @seema.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
A tool I hope someone creates: Assessment of how much a scholar overclaims in their papers when interpreting empirical results. Seems well within the skill set of AI, e.g., Refine. Useful for non-experts assessing evidence (especially working papers but even peer reviewed). + a deterrence effect.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
I have a new policy brief on Russia's wartime economy (with Mariia Dzholos and Oleksii Shpanel-Yukhta. TL;DR: Russia can't sustain this war much longer without imposing substantial hardship on its population. Accompanying op-ed here: voxukraine.org/en/russia-s-...
voxukraine.org
Russia’s War Economy Is Running Down. Europe Should Press Harder
In mid-July, European leaders will gather for another review of the Union's sanctions against Russia. It is therefore a fitting...
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Julian Reif @julianreif.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Observational evidence can be deeply misleading in health settings. In our study of workplace wellness programs, RCT and observational analyses reached opposite conclusions, despite having access to rich administrative data. www.nytimes.com/2018/08/06/u...
nytimes.com
Workplace Wellness Programs Don’t Work Well. Why Some Studies Show Otherwise. (Published 2018)
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OlhaZadorozhna @olhazadorozhna.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
🎧 Today, as RU launched another massive attack on Kyiv, I’m sharing an episode that feels especially timely. Link: tinyurl.com/4fbjbrvs 🎧 Listen as a podcast: 🟢 Spotify: shorturl.at/Ho3jh 🍎 Apple Podcasts: shorturl.at/gOlvb ▶️ YouTube Podcasts: shorturl.at/otJaq #EconSky #PoliSky #EconTwitter
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Julian Reif @julianreif.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Nice review of John List's new book. Relatedly, for those interested in experimental methods, I'm a big fan of Gerber & Green's Field Experiments book: wwnorton.com/books/978039...
wwnorton.com
Field Experiments
A brief, authoritative introduction to field experimentation in the social sciences., Field Experiments, Design, Analysis, and Interpretation, Alan S Gerber, Donald P Green, 9780393979954
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Julian Reif @julianreif.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Thoughtful critique of the iPhone and fertility study
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Dariia Mykhailyshyna @dariia.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
I think for me /paper_verification skill, see here: github.com/dariia-m/my_... It basically reads the paper and checks every single table and claim in the paper text to check whether it is actually backed up by the code/output. It really helps, you can update code but not numbers in text
github.com
my_claude_skills/paper_verification at main · dariia-m/my_claude_skills
Here I share the Claude skills I created as well as links to some other useful repositories - dariia-m/my_claude_skills
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
#EconSky: What the most useful #Claude skill you've made? ("useful" = however YOU want to define it)
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Some sobering statistics about how the people of Sumy, #Ukraine lived in May. 561 hours of air raid alerts. At least one alert every day. ~1960 instances of shelling. Russia is not waging war. It's terrorizing civilians, pure and simple. Full article (in Ukrainian): cukr.city/city/2026/ob...
cukr.city
«Противник продовжує просуватися, але великого наступу немає». Аналізуємо атаки росіян на Сумщині у травні
За квітень 2026 року росіяни обстріляли Сумщину близько 2 тисяч разів. Проаналізували дані ОВА, а також розповідаємо, як ситуація на фронті.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Nothing better than a forecast that tells you the chance of rain at 8pm is 100% but the overall chance of rain for the day is 15%...
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Do you care about animal welfare OR state rights? If so, take a minute to call your Senators ASAP and tell them to oppose HR4673, aka "Save Our Bacon Act". Suggested script below. TL;DR: the act would override states' animal welfare provisions. Read more here: www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-way-we...
noahpinion.blog
The way we treat pigs is a sin
The practice of "crating" is torture, plain and simple. Voters want to end it, but Congress might not let them.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Do you care about animal welfare OR state rights? If so, take a minute to call your Senators ASAP and tell them to oppose HR4673, aka "Save Our Bacon Act". Suggested script below. TL;DR: the act would override states' animal welfare provisions. Read more here: www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-way-we...
noahpinion.blog
The way we treat pigs is a sin
The practice of "crating" is torture, plain and simple. Voters want to end it, but Congress might not let them.
251
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Julian Reif @julianreif.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Another reminder that undertreated high blood pressure has real consequences. A physician bonus tied to blood pressure targets led to fewer medication increases for patients with borderline hypertension, and those patients then experienced more heart attacks and strokes.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
I just followed this suggestion - better to stop AI hallucinations from entering my Google Scholar in the first place than flushing them out later!
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