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Lucy Sorensen

@lucy-sorensen.bsky.social
1.5K followers 399 following 57 posts

Research on education policy, human development, and social inequality. Website: lucy-sorensen.github.io

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Reposted by Lucy Sorensen
Cam Arnzen @camarnzen.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
📢 For all my fellow education politics and policy people: Josh Almes and I now have an @annenberginstitute.bsky.social working paper out detailing our new dataset of school district partisanship for all 13,000+ districts for the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections. edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1600
edworkingpapers.com
A National Measure of School District Partisanship for the 2016 to 2024 Presidential Elections
Scholars increasingly interested in the governance of local school districts, which invites curiosity about the partisanship of their voting constituencies. Presently, researchers have to translate pr...
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Tuan D. Nguyen, Ph.D. @edutuan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
4) Finally, I am producing a feature documentary Why Teachers Matter. This documentary explores how teachers have shaped lives, recognizing that most of us are where we are today in part because of the words or actions of our teachers and mentors. Youtube: shorturl.at/b45E4
shorturl.at
Tuan D. Nguyen, Ph.D.
All of us got to where we are today because of teachers, mentors, and coaches who taught and supported us all along the way. This channel is dedicated to honoring teachers and their roles in educating...
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The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Recently accepted by #QJE: “Busing to Opportunity? The Impacts of the METCO Voluntary School Desegregation Program on Urban Students of Color” by Elizabeth Setren (@elizabeth-setren.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org
Busing to Opportunity? The Impacts of the METCO Voluntary School Desegregation Program on Urban Students of Color
Abstract. School assignment policies are a key lever for expanding access to high-performing schools and promoting racial and socioeconomic integration. Fo
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NBER @nber.org · 24/09/2026
Open call for paper submissions: The Economics of Community Colleges conference April 6-7, 2028 in Cambridge, MA. Full information www.nber.org/economics-co...
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Aaron Ainsworth @ajainsworth.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I’m excited to share a new EdWorkingPaper with @andydebarros.bsky.social. Evaluations are an increasingly common way school systems globally are trying to help teachers improve, but is more always better? A 🧵 doi.org/10.26300/ms3...
doi.org
Evaluation Scores and Student Learning under Compulsory Teacher Re-Evaluation
We examine how lower-performing public school teachers respond to more frequent formative evaluations. A 2011 reform in Chile required teachers rated "basic" (the second-lowest category) to be re-eval...
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C. Kirabo Jackson @kirabojackson.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
If spending more on schools raises the earnings of the children who benefit, does it eventually make the whole economy richer? My new NBER paper examines this using school-finance reforms. 🧵 www.nber.org/papers/w35755
nber.org
The Macroeconomic Returns to School Finance Reforms: Micro-Calibrated Predictions Meet Causal Evidence
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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AERA @aeraedresearch.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
A new article in Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis finds that consequences of redlining persist, with districts with a high concentration of formerly D-graded neighborhoods raising less local revenue & relying disproportionately on state and federal aid. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.3102/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Beth Schueler @bethschueler.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Join our upcoming webinar on submitting conference proposals! To be held 9/21 1pm PT / 4pm ET. Sponsored by the @aefpweb.bsky.social Doctoral Student Community Group and conveniently in advance of the AEFP Oct. proposal deadline. Register here: upenn.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
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The 74 @the74.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Launched in 1995, the Imagination Library sends free books to 1 in 6 U.S. children under 5 years old. The program operates in all 50 states. Read our 2023 story on how Dolly Parton delivered early literacy to three states: www.the74million.org/zero2eight/d...
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Matt Barnum @mattbarnum.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
New: 1 in 80 American public school students now receive a fully virtual education, according to data analyzed by @petrinkae.bsky.social + me. It's a pandemic-era surge that's been sustained. Yet discussions about the quality of virtual ed have been oddly quiet. www.chalkbeat.org/2026/08/27/v...
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Lucy Sorensen @lucy-sorensen.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Racial Status Threat and Anti-DEI Efforts in Local School Districts edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1528
edworkingpapers.com
Racial Status Threat and Anti-DEI Efforts in Local School Districts
This study draws on political science theory to analyze how perceived status threats to White social dominance influence local educational politics. We examine the relationship between racial status t...
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Lucy Sorensen @lucy-sorensen.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Local Labor Demand and Achievement Gaps: Evidence from the Great Recession www.nber.org/papers/w35639
nber.org
Local Labor Demand and Achievement Gaps: Evidence from the Great Recession
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Ian Callen @iancallen.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
New paper! w/ @edizonross.bsky.social, @cedr.bsky.social, Tom Kane, Andrew McEachin, and @ermorton.bsky.social. We know the pandemic hit student test scores hard. But what happened to attendance, discipline, and grades? Did ESSER-funded intervention programs affect students on these measures?
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Matt Barnum @mattbarnum.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
New: There's been a notable and, in many cases, sustained rise in teachers leaving the classroom over the last four to five years, according to new data I collected. The uptick in any one year was modest but the cumulative loss of teachers has been substantial. www.chalkbeat.org/2026/07/30/t...
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Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
We can’t solve the child care shortage without measuring it accurately. New research reflects how families really search for care, measuring childcare within a short drive and accounting for competition for slots. This provides a more realistic picture of local supply. bit.ly/4aV0qlD
bit.ly
To solve child care shortages, we first need to measure them
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Robert Kelchen @robertkelchen.com · 22/06/2026
This Washington Post editorial claims that state funding has not improved student outcomes. There is plenty of evidence to the alternative, which they regrettably omitted. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202... nces.ed.gov/programs/dig... www.nber.org/papers/w27885
College administrators desperate to protect bloated budgets will insist in the coming years that they need big state bailouts. But more spending hasn’t kept higher education affordable and, even worse, hasn’t necessarily led to better student outcomes.The six-year graduation rate at public institutions has increased from 51.7% to 63.5% over the last two decades. Community college graduation rates went from 23.6% to 30.2%, although students often transfer or find jobs without completing degrees at that institution.Truncated...

We overcome identification concerns related to the endogeneity of state appropriation variation using an instrument that interacts the baseline share of total revenue that comes from state appropriations at each public institution with yearly variation in state-level appropriations. Our analysis is conducted separately for two-year and four-year students, and we analyze individuals into their mid-30s. For four-year students, we find that state appropriation increases lead to substantially lower student debt originations. They also react to appropriation increases by shortening their time to degree, but we find little effect on other outcomes. In the two-year sector, state appropriation increases lead to more collegiate and post-collegiate educational attainment, more educational debt consistent with the increased educational attainment, but lower likelihood of delinquency and default. State support also leads to more car and home ownership with lower adverse debt outcomes, and these students experience substantial increases in their credit score and in the affluence of the neighborhood in which they live. Examining mechanisms, we find state appropriations are passed on to students in the form of lower tuition in the four-year sector with no institutional spending response. For community colleges, we find evidence of both price and quality mechanisms, the latter captured in higher educational resources in key spending categories. These results are consistent with the different pattern of effects we document in the four-year and two-year sectors. Our results underscore the importance of state support for higher education in driving student debt outcomes and the long-run returns to postsecondary investments students experience.
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Matthew A Kraft @matthewakraft.com · 18/06/2026
🚨Our tutoring meta-analysis is now online at RER. @bethschueler.bsky.social, Grace Falken & I analyzed 263 RCTs. What we learned has important implications for the future of tutoring and the use of meta-analyses to inform policy. Open access: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.3102/... 🧵
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Cara Jackson @carajackson.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Related: there's an opportunity to sign on to a statement opposing the transfer. Broad Coalition of Disability, Civil Rights, and Education Organizations to Denounce ED’s Latest Transfers of Core Functions forms.gle/5v6boQni8rNn...
forms.gle
Join Broad Coalition of Disability, Civil Rights, and Education Organizations to Denounce ED’s Latest Transfers of Core Functions
Disability Rights groups have drafted a statement denouncing the U.S. Department of Education's latest transfers of core functions to other agencies. The Administration's is transferring the Office of...
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Matt Barnum @mattbarnum.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
New- A striking and unexplained disparity has emerged across a number of tests in different grades and subjects. Relative to boys, girls' scores have generally fallen faster and been slower to recover, if they're recovered at all. This is a big deal! www.chalkbeat.org/2026/06/11/g...
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Ida Bae Wells @nhannahjones.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
Absolutely devastating and enraging reporting out of Texas from the @nytimes.com local investigations fellowship. Warning: If you care about children, this one is a hard read. Gift link here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
nytimes.com
Texas School Police Pepper-Sprayed, Tackled and Tasered Students (Gift Article)
School officers across the state turned to heavy-handed tactics on children, often in response to minor misbehavior, our investigation shows.
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Jeremy Singer @jeremylsinger.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
NEW: We connected school attendance value-added estimates (for 2022-23 through 2024-25) to statewide survey data on school-based attendance practices. Our goal was to identify effective attendance strategies (e.g., specific practices, organizational systems, staffing, leadership). What did we find?🧵
Identifying Effective Attendance Strategies in Michigan
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Lucy Sorensen @lucy-sorensen.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
arxiv.org/abs/2510.01395
arxiv.org
Sycophantic AI Decreases Prosocial Intentions and Promotes Dependence
Both the general public and academic communities have raised concerns about sycophancy, the phenomenon of artificial intelligence (AI) excessively agreeing with or flattering users. Yet, beyond isolat...
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Matt Barnum @mattbarnum.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
The gloomy headlines about the future of American higher ed been seemingly relentless. But the discourse is missing some basic(and surprising) facts about what’s actually happening right now. Here are 10....
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Hans Henrik Sievertsen @hhsievertsen.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Hi #EconSky 📢 New paper accepted at #EconomicsofEducationReview by Christopher Avery & @abacherhicks.bsky.social : "Inequality and within-school student-teacher assignment patterns" They use US-data to analyse within school matching of students and teachers. 1/3
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Eddy Conroy @econroy.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Turns out it is possible to make financial aid simpler for students! The FAFSA is working, more students are applying for and qualifying to college, and qualifying for aid. @donmoyn.bsky.social was nice enough to have me guest author for Can We Still Govern donmoynihan.substack.com/p/good-news-...
donmoynihan.substack.com
Good News! FAFSA is Actually Working
It is possible to fix burdensome administrative systems
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Paul Bruno @paul-bruno.com · 09/05/2026
I've got a new report out about school district finances in California. It's part of the massive Getting Down to Facts III project out of the SCALE Initiative at Stanford University, and an update of my similar report in 2018. gettingdowntofacts.com/reports/dist...
gettingdowntofacts.com
District Dollars 3: Recent Patterns in California School District Finances, Trends in Teacher Compensation, and Within-District, Between-School Spending | Getting Down to Facts
This report provides a descriptive overview of California school district finances, updating prior analyses in the Getting Down to Facts series. It examines district resources, expenditures, financial...
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Matt Barnum @mattbarnum.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
New: Since DOGE cut the statistical arm of the Education Department, basic facts about American schools are no longer readily available. Some of these data points can be found elsewhere but are now harder to track down. Others simply don't exist anymore. www.chalkbeat.org/2026/05/07/e...
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Emily Penner @emilykpenner.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Interested in some highlights from our latest paper about the effects of Ethnic Studies while it scales district-wide? Our friends at EdWorkingPapers have you covered. edworkingpapers.com/policy-pract...
edworkingpapers.com
Cultural Relevance at Scale: The Effects of an Ethnic Studies Expansion on Academic Outcomes
Ethnic Studies (ES) has emerged as a promising approach to address this challenge. By centering the histories, cultures, and lived experiences of communities of color, ES is designed to make learning ...
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Education Week @edweek.org · 28/04/2026
What Happens When Schools Restrict Cellphone Use: New survey sheds light on how cellphone restrictions are improving student behavior and engagement.
edweek.org
What Happens When Schools Restrict Cellphone Use
New survey sheds light on how cellphone restrictions are improving student behavior and engagement.
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Claudia Persico @claudiapersico.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
We asked four LLMs how exposed your job is to AI. They could NOT agree. Management: 15% vs 90% Legal: 10% vs 75% Healthcare: 5% vs 60% Same rubric. Same jobs. Same data. Different AI, completely different answer. New @nber.org working paper with @michelle-yin.bsky.social & @hoavu.bsky.social ! 1/
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Josh Cowen @joshcowenmi.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Really helpful new data @centeronbudget.bsky.social @joannalefebvre.bsky.social extends what researchers have known since the early 00’s Most voucher users were never in public school. These are subsidies for existing choices. And add new costs for states.
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Andrew Camp @andrewmcamp.com · 15/04/2026
NEW PAPER: We study the effects of immigration policy on student attendance in 2025. Students born outside the U.S. were 2.2pp more likely to be absent after Jan 2025 (a 37% increase). That's ~2 extra missed days per semester. LINK: edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1453 @annenberginstitute.bsky.social
Line graph showing monthly absence rates for the 2024-25 school year. Two lines track students born inside vs. outside the U.S. from September through May. Both groups follow similar patterns through the fall, but diverge sharply at a vertical dashed line marking the January 20th inauguration. After that point, foreign-born students' absence rates remain elevated while U.S.-born rates decline as expected, eliminating the pre-inauguration gap.
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Peter Nencka 📊 @peternka.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Increased access to high school accounts for a ~third of the increase in women’s labor force participation between 1870 and 1930!
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Peter Nencka 📊 @peternka.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
🎉🏫New paper! 🏫🎉 "High Schools and the Uneven Rise in American Opportunity" by myself, Alison Doxey, and Ezra Karger (@ezrakarger.bsky.social) www.peternencka.com/assets/high_... www.nber.org/papers/w35068
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Lindsey Kaler @lindseykaler.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
New working paper alert! Our team developed a web crawler to study the accessibility of information related to special education on school district websites in four states (MA, RI, IN, and FL). Read the full WP here: edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1447 And check out Cam's thread below for more detail!
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Melissa (Mimi) Arnold Lyon @mimiarnoldlyon.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
Alarming drops in working conditions for teachers during and after the pandemic www.brookings.edu/articles/sur...
brookings.edu
Survey shows alarming drop in working conditions for teachers: What are we doing about it? | Brookings
Post-pandemic teacher working conditions have plummeted as classroom disruptions surge, fueling a crisis in U.S. schools.
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 30/03/2026
🚨New working paper alert! 🚨 The US spends huge $ on special education services for students with disabilities. Is that spending effective? Today we released a working paper suggesting it is. "Special Education Substantially Improves Learning: Evidence from Three States" Let me explain...
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Sharing with alt
Screenshot of the front of the working paper which reads: Standardized Test Scores and Academic Performance at a Public University System

Theodore J. Joyce, Mina Afrouzi Khosroshahi, Sarah Truelsch, Kerstin Gentsch, and Kyle Du

NBER Working Paper No. 34975
March 2026
JEL No. J13

ABSTRACT
Recent studies of Ivy-Plus institutions suggest that standardized test scores (SAT/ACT) are far better predictors of college success than high school grade point average (HS-GPA), prompting a 
return to the requirement that test scores be submitted for admission at elite colleges. We ask whether re-establishing the SAT requirement for admission at a large urban public university system would improve the predictability of academic outcomes. Using administrative data for the 
2010-2019 first-year cohorts, we update earlier work of students from public universities as to the 
relative predictive power of HSGPA and SAT scores on first-year outcomes and graduation rates. Contrary to findings at elite private institutions, we find that HSGPA is the dominant predictor of 
academic success in this public system. A one-standard-deviation increase in HSGPA is four to six 
times more predictive of six-year graduation than a comparable increase in SAT scores. Out-of-sample forecasts for the post-COVID period (2020–2024) confirm that test-optional models relying only on HSGPA experience relatively little loss in predictive accuracy compared to models that include test scores. We conclude that HSGPA remains the most reliable signal of degree completion 
at broad-access public universities.

Authors names and contact information included but it goes over the character limit for alt text so I included their names above and you can go to the link for information (they all work at CUNY).
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Chloe N East (she/her) @chloeneast.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
The “big beautiful bill” greatly expanded SNAP work requirements for parents In my paper with @jasonbcook.bsky.social, forthcoming at JPUBE, we ask what similar, existing requirements do SNAP work requirements for parents deny vulnerable parents SNAP benefits and do not increase their employment
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Urban Institute @urbaninstitute.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Rising #studentloan debt and delinquencies are worsening Americans’ concerns about #affordability and the cost of living. Explore Urban’s Debt in America map with state-level #data on young adults’ credit card, medical, student loan, and auto/retail debt. urbn.is/47QG7EP
A US map visualizes student loan debt data by county, color-coded to show levels of debt among white communities and communities of color. Accompanying charts detail median student loan debt and delinquency rates, with additional statistics on bachelor’s degree attainment and income. The page header includes filters for different types of debt: "All Debt," "Medical," "Student," and "Auto/Retail.
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Chantal Hailey @chantalahailey.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Many school discipline reforms aimed to reduce racial disparities, but we find they worked unevenly. Black–White gaps declined mainly in urban neighborhoods and persisted or grew elsewhere. Check out the article here: doi.org/10.1126/scia...
doi.org
School discipline disparities increase when neighborhood Black population changes
Racial suspensions gaps grew from 2010 to 2018, especially in white neighborhoods and rural areas with shifting Black populations.
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Chantal Hailey @chantalahailey.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
New Science Advances paper w/ Jennifer Candipan: Racial change doesn’t just reshape neighborhoods, it reshapes school punishment. We show Black–White suspension disparities grow in places where Black populations are changing, especially in majority White, suburban, & rural areas.
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Cara Jackson @carajackson.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Very cool opportunity for early career researchers interested in special education research: Apply for access to at least one statewide longitudinal dataset with support from SPARC researchers to conduct a co-developed study on the special education workforce. sparccenter.org/sparc-center...
sparccenter.org
SPARC Center Scholars Program | SPARC Center
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Wheelock Educational Policy Center @wheelockpolicybu.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
🚨New research looks at early impacts of MA’s free community college policies. Early evidence suggests expanded access & a reshaping of who shows up on campus. Full brief ➡️ bit.ly/wepcmassreco... @joshua-goodman.com, @doughesm.bsky.social, Morgan Fleming, Yunee H. Yoon @buwheelock.bsky.social
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Andrew Camp @andrewmcamp.com · 25/02/2026
What happens when you shrink salary differences between districts, increase beginning teacher pay by over $10,000, and compress salary schedules? @gzamarro.bsky.social, @jbmcgee.bsky.social, @taylornwilson.bsky.social, Miranda Vernon, and I find out in our new CALDER working paper: bit.ly/4l4b5hO
Title page for "Raising the Floor: Teacher Retention Effects of a Statewide Minimum Salary Increase"Histograms showing the increase in teacher salaries for beginning teachers and teachers with 5 years of experience. These figures show a large increase in salaries while also showing substantial compression, indicating that pay differentials between districts shrunk.
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Lucy Sorensen @lucy-sorensen.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Great new read on school climate and chronic absenteeism from Jerome Graham, Yi-Chih Chiang, Su-Yon Choi: shorturl.at/ZF5Lg
Shows in graph negative association between different measures of school climate and percent of students chronically absentShows conceptual framework of out-of-school factors, within-school factors, school climate, individual/institutional factors, that influence chronic absenteeism
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Daniel Sparks @jdsparks.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
me and @cmulhern.bsky.social's paper on school counselors is out in econ of ed review We find more funding for counselors in California in the 2000s increased grad rates, college enrollment & school climate in short: counselors improve student outcomes and we should invest more in them!
sciencedirect.com
Expanding school counseling: The impacts of California funding changes
Counselors are a common school resource for students navigating complicated and consequential education choices, but most students have limited access…
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Aaron Ainsworth @ajainsworth.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
I’m really glad to see that our paper is now out at Ed Researcher! We examine turnover among the half of school employees who are not teachers to understand how their turnover compares. Using Oregon data (2007-23) for all public school employees, there are 3 new patterns that we document: A 🧵
journals.sagepub.com
Revolving School Doors? A Longitudinal Examination of Teacher, Administrator, and Staff Contributions to School Churn - Emily K. Penner, Yujia Liu, Aaron J. Ainsworth, 2026
Non-teaching staff comprise over half of all school employees, and their turnover may be consequential for school operation, culture, and student success, yet w...
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Jeremy Singer @jeremylsinger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Compelling new evidence on the positive impact of the community schools model from @oppinsights.bsky.social. Substantial positive impact on academic outcomes and later-in-life earnings, especially for lower-income/higher-risk students. opportunityinsights.org/paper/cis/
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Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Some carnage going on with US official statistics ‘The hardest hit agency was the National Center for Education Statistics, a part of the U.S. Department of Education, which lost 95% of its staff.’ apnews.com/article/cens...
apnews.com
Scores of government statisticians are gone, leaving data at risk, report says
A new report reveals that the U.S. government's statistical system is struggling due to staff layoffs, reduced funding, and political interference.
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