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Lenny Bronner

@lennybronner.com
6.8K followers 236 following 207 posts

founding member of election bluesky also election + data at Broome Street Labs

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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 19/07/2026
der opitz und der zwirschina
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
The UK is on the verge of elevating its 7th prime minister in 10 years. Marine Le Pen — now cleared to run for president — is the current front-runner against every potential opponent in France. Today @lennybronner.com and I discuss the reasons for Europe's major political upheaval.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 28/06/2026
wir schlagen spanien. Und wir schlagen portugal. Wir schlagen Portugal zwei mal. mir ist das so wurscht
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 09/04/2026
Come for Mary's analysis of Iran polling, stay for my terrible Hungarian
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Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Is online discourse getting worse? To bring actual data to bear on this question, we launched the Public Discourse Indicator, a dashboard tracking online comments submitted to several major Swiss newspapers. Our aim here is twofold: www.public-discourse.org/en/public-di...
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
On the latest GD POLITICS episode... ➡️ Epstein fallout ➡️ DHS shutdown fight ➡️ Gallup's farewell to prez approval ➡️ Election updates w/ friends of the pod Mary Radcliffe & @lennybronner.com!
gdpolitics.com
Epstein Fallout, The Shutdown Fight, And Gallup's Goodbye
How the Epstein files and immigration enforcement might figure into Democrats’ midterm strategy.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 02/02/2026
ok, but have they considered an ensemble model?
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Americans are facing a torrent of political news 🤪 @lennybronner.com and I answered your questions on ICE, Iran, the Senate and more on today's episode of GD POLITICS. www.gdpolitics.com/p/we-answer-...
gdpolitics.com
We Answer Your Questions On ICE, Iran, And The Senate
Americans are facing a torrent of politics news. You have lots of questions. We did our best to answer them.
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
Today on GD POLITICS: Celebrity Politicians, Dummymandering, And The Texas Primary w/ @lennybronner.com! www.gdpolitics.com/p/celebrity-...
gdpolitics.com
Celebrity Politicians, Dummymandering, And The Texas Primary
We answer listener questions on the power of celebrity, the Republican Texas Senate primary, and much more.
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Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
This is a great job for early-career polling folks. Plus, you’d get to work with the delightful @emgusk.bsky.social ! www.disneycareers.com/en/job/washi...
disneycareers.com
Polling Analyst at DISNEY
Learn more about applying for Polling Analyst at DISNEY
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 21/11/2025
Quite the survey from earlier this month in Germany. 61% of Left and 52% of Green voters would like Angela Merkel back as chancellor. Compared to only 22% of voters from her own center-right party.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 19/11/2025
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 18/11/2025
Ich bin gezeichnet von einem 1:1 Match, das wir gewonnen haben!
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
id a 2025 post-mortem on the latest GD POLITICS pod w/ @lennybronner.com, @linleyann.bsky.social & Lakshya Jain. We discussed the who, where & why behind Democrats' impressive performance + what it portends for '26. There's some Epstein file polling and moderates vs. progressives discourse too.
gdpolitics.com
A 2025 Election Post-Mortem
The numbers behind Democrats' impressive performance and what it means for 2026, plus the latest Epstein file polling.
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Kabir K. @kabirkhanna.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Pooled and re-analyzed NJ/VA exit poll data to see which Trump voters were likeliest to vote Democrat for governor While only 5% of White Trump voters flipped, the rate was 21% for voters of color — 36% of Black voters and 17% of Latino voters And Latino women (25%) more than Latino men (10%) 1/2
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025
Striking difference between East and South Asian communities. In Jackson Heights Mamdani gets 60% of the vote vs. in Flushing only 35%
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025
broke: age differential voting woke: age differential in turnout
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025
Mamdani's gains relative to the primary was really driven by the Bronx and Brooklyn, elsewhere it stayed relatively constant.
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
TONIGHT: REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET @baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
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Christine Zhang @christinezhang.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Teamed up with @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social to take a look at the NJ governor’s race & what its results could tell us about the durability of Trump’s 2024 gains/“realignments” www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
nytimes.com
What New Jersey Could Reveal About the Rightward Shift of Hispanic Voters
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 22/10/2025
the naming of cats is a difficult matter
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
Rebranded!!!
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 09/10/2025
try and beat me
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Emily Giambalvo @emilygiam.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
How America’s favorite sports bet is fueling sportsbook profits Parlays are becoming more popular, accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Post analysis of betting data. Bettors lose billions a year on these bets. www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...
washingtonpost.com
Americans can’t stop betting parlays. Sportbooks are cashing in.
As betting booms, parlays are accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Washington Post analysis of state data.
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Caitlin Gilbert @caitlingilbert.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
🤳EXCLUSIVE: We analyzed real data from over 800 U.S. TikTok users to reveal how the app transforms casual users into power users. Extremely proud of this one, over a year in the making w/ @richardsima.bsky.social Leslie Shapiro @asteckelberg.bsky.social @ence.bsky.social wapo.st/4obueib
wapo.st
Here’s how TikTok ‘power users’ end up scrolling 4 hours a day or more
Washington Post reporters analyzed data from over 800 TikTok users to learn how the app turns people into power users, some of whom spend hours per day scrolling.
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Demands from Dems provoked the government shutdown, but Reps are getting most of the blame so far. Why? I talked about it on GD POLITICS today w/ @lennybronner.com and Mary Radcliffe. We also discussed that poll out of PA showing Fetterman is -20 with PA Dems, but +40 with PA Reps.
gdpolitics.com
Why Americans Blame Republicans For The Government Shutdown
Demands from Democrats provoked the shutdown, but so far Republicans are getting more blame.
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Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
I'd been delinquent, but I've updated my spreadsheet of special election results. On average, Democrats have done 13 points better than a neutral baseline. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 12/09/2025
Presidents’ names are getting shorter. Why? incredible investigation by @andrewvandam.bsky.social and @alyssafowers.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
A scatterplot, including a line of best fit, showing that the average length of presidents' surnames went from between 7 and 8 characters between 1800 and 1930 to between 4 and 5 characters after 2000.
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
On the latest GD POLITICS installment, @lennybronner.com and I answer your questions about the youth gender gap, Democrats' unpopularity, ChatGPT election forecasting, & more. We also chatted about the latest election results in VA 11 and... Norway! www.gdpolitics.com/p/election-u...
gdpolitics.com
Election Updates, Listener Questions, And A Note On Charlie Kirk
A note on the assassination of Charlie Kirk.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 27/08/2025
inside you are two wolves
a screenshot of a wikipedia page showing November 4th as the 2025 election datea screenshot of steam, showing that the video game EU 5 is coming out on November 4th 2025.
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Dylan Freedman @dylanfreedman.nytimes.com · 19/08/2025
NEW: Earlier this month, OpenAI released the latest version of ChatGPT, GPT-5, sparking online backlash at the new chatbot's less friendly tone. The scale of people's emotional attachment to the previous chatbot, GPT-4o, even surprised the company's CEO, Sam Altman. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/b...
nytimes.com
The Chatbot Updated. Users Lost a Friend.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 13/08/2025
still looking for an answer to this
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Chris Warshaw @chriswarshaw.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
Big update to @upshot.nytimes.com 2024 precinct map. Now includes most of CA and CO.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 13/08/2025
Democrats just need to run some ideological extreme candidates in toss-up districts and see what happens. For the science!
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Dylan Freedman @dylanfreedman.nytimes.com · 08/08/2025
NEW from @kashhill.bsky.social and me: Over three weeks in May, a man became convinced by ChatGPT that the fate of the world rested on his shoulders. Otherwise perfectly sane, Allan Brooks is part of a growing number of people getting into chatbot-induced delusional spirals. This is his story.
nytimes.com
Chatbots Can Go Into a Delusional Spiral. Here’s How It Happens.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/08/2025
if you had to set yourself a reminder for 2045, how would you do that?
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Data extraordinaire @lennybronner.com and I opened up the mailbag on the latest GD POLITICS episode. It's in your feeds now and it's a good one... "Gaza, Gen Z, And A Gay President"
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 07/07/2025
What if Trump’s gains with minorities weren’t about Trump at all? @andrewvandam.bsky.social and I took a look at recent election results in NYC, Toronto and London and tried to figure out why we're seeing similar trends in all three cities www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
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David Karol @davidkarol.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Dems' education-based turnout advantage may be reduced in midterms compared to special elections, since turnout is higher in midterms. But it won't be zero. A swing against the President's party is normal. Dems need to gain only 3 seats to flip the House. It's be surprising if they didn't manage.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 27/06/2025
Democrats are dominating special elections. But is that as good a sign for them as it used to be? I looked at the history -- and what’s shifting now. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
washingtonpost.com
What Democratic swings in special elections mean for 2026
Special election results are providing insight into the 2026 election outlook, with Democrats making significant gains across the country.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 26/06/2025
were you looking for another article on the Pew data released today? we got you covered: Trump shook Democrats’ hold on non-White voters in 2024, report finds w/ @sfcpoll.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
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Scott Clement @sfcpoll.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Trump shook Democrats’ hold on non-White voters in 2024 - our story with @lennybronner.com on the @pewresearch.org 2024 validated voter survey www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
washingtonpost.com
Trump shook Democrats’ hold on non-White voters in 2024, report finds
A Pew study of the 2024 election also found that higher turnout probably would not have helped Harris win.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 25/06/2025
sometimes it does also come down to turnout
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 24/06/2025
broke: trying to infer election outcomes from yard signs woke: trying to infer election outcomes from google trends bespoke: trying to infer election outcomes from poll wait times
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Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
What exactly happened in 2024? Come crosstab diving with Mary Radcliffe, @lennybronner.com, and me on the latest GD POLITICS episode.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/06/2025
80 years of Vergangenheitsbewältigung and President Trump just...
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 03/06/2025
Something I hadn't noticed before in @electproject.bsky.social analysis: while 2022 was the first midterm since 1990 where the electorate was whiter than the previous midterm, in 2024 earlier trend continues, the 2024 electorate was less white than 2020 michaelmcdonald.substack.com/p/2024-votin...
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OpenElections @openelections.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
Do we know anyone who lives near Karnes County, Texas, and would be willing to go to the county clerk's office in Karnes City, fill out a form and pay $10 in cash for precinct-level election results? Because that's what they've told us needs to happen.
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 02/06/2025
TIL that MA archives their election results with the correct (if confusing when looking things up quickly) color scheme electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/vi...
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Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 21/05/2025
A Russian spy story? Obviously must have some Österreichbezug
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