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Emily Guskin

@emgusk.bsky.social
11K followers 699 following 2.9K posts

ABC News Polling Director, former Postie, feminist, library fan, BRCA mutant. Nats! Caps! Terps! Kill them with kindness and methodological rigor. she/her signal: emgusk.04

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Emily Guskin
Luke Knox @lukeknox.me · 01/10/2026
tracing Japanese managers challenging an ump’s call, I’ve watched this 500x
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ivan Pereira @ivanper4.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
"If there's one takeaway from all of this, it's that we know for certain that sexual assault is underreported," Jennifer Simmons Kaleba, vice president of communications for the Rape, Abuse & Incest National Network (RAINN), the nation's largest anti-sexual assault organization, told ABC News.
abcnews.com
35% of Cornell undergraduate women reported having been sexually assaulted: Survey
A state-mandated survey of undergraduate students at Cornell shows more than one-third of undergraduate women reported having been sexually assaulted.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
There is a lot of "oh dear" to go around in the results of this very thorough Pew study on the issues with synthetic samples, but this strikes me as particularly "oh dear" www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/20...
AI polling results can lean on racial or partisan stereotypes

In many cases, our AI poll took beliefs or attitudes that are reasonably common among a particular subgroup and portrayed them as nearly ubiquitous. For example, our AI poll would indicate that:

    97% of Hispanic adults are at least somewhat likely to follow the World Cup (while the actual share is 43%).
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
If I was in charge: Make an EV version of my 2001 E39, which continues to drive like an absolute dream 25.5 years after it rolled off the assembly line
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
(dabbing wine droplets out of the cup) frogs wild animals differential nonresponse
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I want to read the wild texts people get but I don't need them set to AI music. Please air your dirty laundry in text format for my consumption, tysm.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Team never throw delightful little things away
A tiny golf pencil from Eastern AirlinesName cards with my name I’m assuming from when I was born?
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
The Phantom Tollbooth Quotes @phantomtollbot.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
"But maybe he doesn't understand numbers," said Milo, who found it a little difficult to read himself. "NONSENSE!" bellowed the Mathemagician. "Everyone understands numbers. No matter what language you speak, they always mean the same thing. A seven is a seven anywhere in the world."
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
one of the fun things about digging up older surveys is that you get a lot of practice with the game of "am I more offended by the underlying question or the choice of scale"
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
It’s going to have to!!
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
radically pro-transgender hate monger @theyarejett.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Hello from game 162. The final day of the season is always bittersweet. Today is particularly tough, not knowing when we'll get to come back. It's on the cool side, and drizzling, and there's still very few places on the planet I'd rather be. ❤️
View from the LF corner, just fair of the pole
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Bad news for me, personally: now that Verlander has retired, I am older than every single current MLB pitcher
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I graduated college 20 years ago and still introduced two of my friends to each other at a party tonight based on what dorms they lived in freshman year. Terps forever!
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
This kid art is just a billion times better than anything AI could do
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Guilherme Nunes @guilhernunes.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
capybara and ducks
digital painting of a capybara and ducks in a river on the forest
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Ahhhhh excerpt from Emily’s book!!!
washingtonpost.com
The night that changed everything for 14-year-old Taylor Swift
A new book from The Post’s Emily Yahr features exclusive reporting about the musician’s path to landing a record deal.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Tim O’Brien @timobrien.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
A federal judge said that Trump’s order barring CNN, MS NOW and Politico from the White House was likely unconstitutional and ordered the administration to restore access to the three news outlets. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/23/b...
nytimes.com
Court Blocks Trump’s White House Ban on CNN, MS NOW and Politico
Judge Timothy J. Kelly issued a temporary restraining order and told the White House to immediately restore the press credentials for the employees of the three news outlets.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Me, yelling at a moth that got into our house “follow your adage!!” so he flies out the front door where the porch light is on
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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
every generation gets the Horse_ebooks it deserves
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
H Street Fest today was full of AI slop food signs. Except for this perfect sign from Ethiopic, which I already know is delicious.
In Arial of different font sizes and alignment in black on a white background:
-Beef
-Chicken
 -Lentils

Picture of some fried food
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Just read it
davebarry.substack.com
Michelle
A tribute.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
This appears to actually be a recession indicator to me: a Walmart holiday toy catalog that came to our house on Sept. 19 with no prices
Walmart toy catalog
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
almost as disappointing as America's Next Top Model
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
19thnews @19thnews.org · 18/09/2026
Last September, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signed a directive requiring sex-neutral fitness standards for all troops in combat roles. Despite tougher standards, Marine Corps data show more than 9 in 10 women in combat arms are passing the test. From @thewarhorsenews.bsky.social:
19thnews.org
Hegseth made the fitness test harder for women in combat roles. Most female Marines are passing.
Despite tougher standards, Marine Corps data show more than 9 in 10 women in combat arms are passing the test.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
The New York Times @nytimes.com · 18/09/2026
Breaking News: Duncan Sheik, the singer-songwriter who traded pop stardom for Broadway as the composer of “Spring Awakening,” has died at 56.
nyti.ms
Duncan Sheik, Who Traded Pop Stardom for Broadway, Dies at 56
Weary of the heartthrob label after his 1996 hit “Barely Breathing,” he pivoted to musical theater and won two Tonys for composing “Spring Awakening.”
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Recession indicator? My husband put out the giant skeleton before meterological fall.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Steven Rich @datab.ae · 18/09/2026
thanks i hate it
futurism.com
How Three Brothers Built an AI Slop Empire by Buying Legitimate News Sites and Turning Them Into Zombie Content Farms That They Say Get 50 Million Page Views per Month
Brown Brothers Media is a media empire raking in millions of clicks with AI, fake writers, and plagiarism.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Steve Herman @newsguy.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
A gallon of diesel fuel in the US now averages $6.40 — a record high, according to AAA. gasprices.aaa.com/
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Maggie Astor @maggieastor.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
BREAKING: RFK Jr. appointed 8 new members to the US Preventive Services Task Force, after more than a year of stymieing its work. I'm diving into their backgrounds now and will update soon. The selection process was opaque and HHS didn't provide required public access to the nomination materials.
nytimes.com
Kennedy Names New Members to Powerful Health Panel Whose Work He Has Blocked (Gift Article)
Mr. Kennedy has repeatedly interfered with the work of the United States Preventive Services Task Force, whose recommendations guide insurance coverage for many Americans.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Would also like to share AAPOR's Election Polling Resources page, which we've cleaned up a bit recently aapor.org/election-pol...
aapor.org
Election Polling Resources - AAPOR
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
want a guide to how polling works? www.pewresearch.org/course/publi... some tips for writing about polls? yourfirstbyline.substack.com/p/how-to-rea... a great newsletter on everything survey world? www.washingtonpost.com/politics/pol...
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
want a Trump approval aggregate? www.cnn.com/polling/appr... want to hear about new polls that have come out? @opiniontoday.bsky.social
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
resources that are better than screenshotting a post made by "InteractivePolls at X dot com" and sharing that with your followers: www.nytimes.com/interactive/... fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi... www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ba... en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Un... just posting the big shrug emoji
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Really helpful write-up from Courtney Kennedy and Scott Keeter on weighting to party ID and vote
pewresearch.org
Weighting Polls on Party Affiliation and Past Vote
This report explains how political weighting works, how Pew Research Center does it, and some of its limitations.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Michael Scherer @michaelscherer.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
This is a bad tweet. Poll did not ask approve or disapprove of $5000 check. Asked whether the quid pro quo of the proposal was appropriate. Totally separate issue. Like asking if Barry Bonds should have cheated vs was a great player.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Vittoria Elliott @telliotter.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
SCOOP: A group of staffers from the right-wing think tank, America First Policy Initiative, have been detailed to the Census Bureau, where they have access to sensitive data +contributed to a public report that bolsters conspiracy theories undermining trust in elections www.wired.com/story/a-trum...
wired.com
The Census Bureau Is Overrun With Staffers From a MAGA Think Tank
The US Census is home to vast troves of sensitive data on nearly every person living in the country, which is used for apportioning and drawing congressional districts as well as allocating federal fu...
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ivan Pereira @ivanper4.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
"I love my country," she said. Still, Hernandez's military service didn't prevent her father from Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention earlier this year -- just one of several cases where military families are being swept into President Donald Trump's aggressive immigration crackdown,
abcnews.com
As ICE deports service members' families, the Pentagon turns to immigrant communities to fill military ranks
The Pentagon is recruiting from the immigrant community, including legal permanent residents, or green-card holders, at a rapidly growing pace.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) @hansilowang.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
BREAKING: The Supreme Court has refused to allow mail-in voting restrictions for the midterms, rejecting the Trump administration’s bid to revive a U.S. Postal Service plan. USPS is expected to continue delivering mail ballots as usual www.documentcloud.org/documents/28...
documentcloud.org
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Sometimes I make graphics about non-polling things
abcnews.com
As ICE deports service members' families, the Pentagon turns to immigrant communities to fill military ranks
The Pentagon is recruiting from the immigrant community, including legal permanent residents, or green-card holders, at a rapidly growing pace.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Excited to report our journal article has finally published! academic.oup.com/jssam/advanc...
academic.oup.com
Who are We Missing? Using Administrative and Contextual Data to Measure and Correct Partisan Nonresponse in Opinion Surveys
Abstract. The 2020 US pre-election polling had the highest error in national polls in 40 years and significantly underestimated Donald Trump’s support. An
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
I am once again abusing my automatic replies to share Fun Polling with my coworkers
Hi -- I am traveling Monday, Sept. 14, and may be slower to respond to emails today.  

Best,

Ariel




PS: Did you know that in a  2021 Ipsos poll, 12% of US adults said they had tried a pumpkin spice latte before, but "will not drink it again"?
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Reality check -- you probably won't get a $5,000 Trump check
abcnews.com
Reality check -- you probably won't get a $5,000 Trump check: ANALYSIS
To pay every American adult $5,000 would cost over close to $1.3 trillion based on an estimate gathered from census data.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
More than 9,400 people have died from 9/11-related illnesses.
abcnews.com
After thousands of deaths, first responders are still navigating health effects 25 years post-9/11
It’s estimated 400,000 people were exposed to toxins, risk of physical injury and stressful conditions from 9/11 and the aftermath, according to the WTC Health Program.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Four Washington Post photographers rushed to cover 9/11. Here’s what they saw.
washingtonpost.com
Four Post photographers rushed to cover 9/11. Here’s what they saw.
Their photographs from the World Trade Center and the Pentagon are instantly recognizable, and still shocking, 25 years later.
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Reposted by Emily Guskin
Omnibus Out of Context @omnibusooc.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
There’s a cabbage patch. There’s a baby.
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Andrew Ba Tran @abtran.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Trump administration proposes changes to Census that could exclude undocumented immigrants and noncitizens without permanent residency and eliminate questions tracking race, ethnicity or sexual orientation www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
washingtonpost.com
Trump administration proposes changes to census that could exclude millions
If adopted, the changes could exclude millions of residents from the decennial tally, reshaping congressional representation in the country.
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Nice thread from Kevin of a conference I wish I was in attendance for!
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Make your surveys mobile-friendly!!
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Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
TBH this is too easy
washingtonian.com
Daily Word Game – DC Link - Washingtonian
Find the hidden connections between 16 people, places, and things from around Washington.
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Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) @hansilowang.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
BREAKING: Trump admin proposes major #2030Census changes that would reshape voting maps, including no race & ethnicity questions and excluding non-U.S. citizens without a green card from a count that 14th Amendment says must include “whole number of persons in each state” www.npr.org/2026/09/09/n...
npr.org
Trump officials propose sweeping changes to the census that would reshape voting maps
A Trump census proposal would stop asking about race and exclude millions of U.S. residents from a count that the 14th Amendment says must include the "whole number of persons in each state."
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