Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 13/07/2026The UK is on the verge of elevating its 7th prime minister in 10 years. Marine Le Pen — now cleared to run for president — is the current front-runner against every potential opponent in France. Today @lennybronner.com and I discuss the reasons for Europe's major political upheaval. 161
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 28/06/2026wir schlagen spanien. Und wir schlagen portugal. Wir schlagen Portugal zwei mal. mir ist das so wurscht 020
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 09/04/2026Come for Mary's analysis of Iran polling, stay for my terrible Hungarian 042
Reposted by Lenny BronnerLaura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 17/02/2026Is online discourse getting worse? To bring actual data to bear on this question, we launched the Public Discourse Indicator, a dashboard tracking online comments submitted to several major Swiss newspapers. Our aim here is twofold: www.public-discourse.org/en/public-di... 294
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 13/02/2026On the latest GD POLITICS episode... ➡️ Epstein fallout ➡️ DHS shutdown fight ➡️ Gallup's farewell to prez approval ➡️ Election updates w/ friends of the pod Mary Radcliffe & @lennybronner.com!gdpolitics.comEpstein Fallout, The Shutdown Fight, And Gallup's GoodbyeHow the Epstein files and immigration enforcement might figure into Democrats’ midterm strategy. 031
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Americans are facing a torrent of political news 🤪 @lennybronner.com and I answered your questions on ICE, Iran, the Senate and more on today's episode of GD POLITICS. www.gdpolitics.com/p/we-answer-...gdpolitics.comWe Answer Your Questions On ICE, Iran, And The SenateAmericans are facing a torrent of politics news. You have lots of questions. We did our best to answer them. 081
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 01/12/2025Today on GD POLITICS: Celebrity Politicians, Dummymandering, And The Texas Primary w/ @lennybronner.com! www.gdpolitics.com/p/celebrity-...gdpolitics.comCelebrity Politicians, Dummymandering, And The Texas PrimaryWe answer listener questions on the power of celebrity, the Republican Texas Senate primary, and much more. 152
Reposted by Lenny BronnerNathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 21/11/2025This is a great job for early-career polling folks. Plus, you’d get to work with the delightful @emgusk.bsky.social ! www.disneycareers.com/en/job/washi...disneycareers.comPolling Analyst at DISNEYLearn more about applying for Polling Analyst at DISNEY 0156
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 21/11/2025Quite the survey from earlier this month in Germany. 61% of Left and 52% of Green voters would like Angela Merkel back as chancellor. Compared to only 22% of voters from her own center-right party. 150
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 18/11/2025Ich bin gezeichnet von einem 1:1 Match, das wir gewonnen haben! 0162
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 13/11/2025id a 2025 post-mortem on the latest GD POLITICS pod w/ @lennybronner.com, @linleyann.bsky.social & Lakshya Jain. We discussed the who, where & why behind Democrats' impressive performance + what it portends for '26. There's some Epstein file polling and moderates vs. progressives discourse too.gdpolitics.comA 2025 Election Post-MortemThe numbers behind Democrats' impressive performance and what it means for 2026, plus the latest Epstein file polling. 081
Reposted by Lenny BronnerKabir K. @kabirkhanna.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Pooled and re-analyzed NJ/VA exit poll data to see which Trump voters were likeliest to vote Democrat for governor While only 5% of White Trump voters flipped, the rate was 21% for voters of color — 36% of Black voters and 17% of Latino voters And Latino women (25%) more than Latino men (10%) 1/2 132
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025same divide can be seen in Bayside and Douglaston vs Richmond Hill and South Ozone Park 020
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025Striking difference between East and South Asian communities. In Jackson Heights Mamdani gets 60% of the vote vs. in Flushing only 35% 142
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025broke: age differential voting woke: age differential in turnout 3273
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025Can also be seen in the margin shift by largest demographic group in the precinct, which he gained a lot in Black and Hispanic precincts. 042
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/11/2025Mamdani's gains relative to the primary was really driven by the Bronx and Brooklyn, elsewhere it stayed relatively constant. 35710
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 04/11/2025TONIGHT: REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET @baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social 1213
Reposted by Lenny BronnerChristine Zhang @christinezhang.bsky.social · 30/10/2025Teamed up with @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social to take a look at the NJ governor’s race & what its results could tell us about the durability of Trump’s 2024 gains/“realignments” www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...nytimes.comWhat New Jersey Could Reveal About the Rightward Shift of Hispanic Voters 0248
Reposted by Lenny BronnerEmily Giambalvo @emilygiam.bsky.social · 09/10/2025How America’s favorite sports bet is fueling sportsbook profits Parlays are becoming more popular, accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Post analysis of betting data. Bettors lose billions a year on these bets. www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...washingtonpost.comAmericans can’t stop betting parlays. Sportbooks are cashing in.As betting booms, parlays are accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Washington Post analysis of state data. 34222
Reposted by Lenny BronnerCaitlin Gilbert @caitlingilbert.bsky.social · 07/10/2025🤳EXCLUSIVE: We analyzed real data from over 800 U.S. TikTok users to reveal how the app transforms casual users into power users. Extremely proud of this one, over a year in the making w/ @richardsima.bsky.social Leslie Shapiro @asteckelberg.bsky.social @ence.bsky.social wapo.st/4obueibwapo.stHere’s how TikTok ‘power users’ end up scrolling 4 hours a day or moreWashington Post reporters analyzed data from over 800 TikTok users to learn how the app turns people into power users, some of whom spend hours per day scrolling. 915769
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 06/10/2025Demands from Dems provoked the government shutdown, but Reps are getting most of the blame so far. Why? I talked about it on GD POLITICS today w/ @lennybronner.com and Mary Radcliffe. We also discussed that poll out of PA showing Fetterman is -20 with PA Dems, but +40 with PA Reps.gdpolitics.comWhy Americans Blame Republicans For The Government ShutdownDemands from Democrats provoked the shutdown, but so far Republicans are getting more blame. 111
Reposted by Lenny BronnerNathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 24/09/2025I'd been delinquent, but I've updated my spreadsheet of special election results. On average, Democrats have done 13 points better than a neutral baseline. docs.google.com/spreadsheets... 17012
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 12/09/2025Presidents’ names are getting shorter. Why? incredible investigation by @andrewvandam.bsky.social and @alyssafowers.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/business/202... 1101
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 12/09/2025On the latest GD POLITICS installment, @lennybronner.com and I answer your questions about the youth gender gap, Democrats' unpopularity, ChatGPT election forecasting, & more. We also chatted about the latest election results in VA 11 and... Norway! www.gdpolitics.com/p/election-u...gdpolitics.comElection Updates, Listener Questions, And A Note On Charlie KirkA note on the assassination of Charlie Kirk. 241
Reposted by Lenny BronnerDylan Freedman @dylanfreedman.nytimes.com · 19/08/2025NEW: Earlier this month, OpenAI released the latest version of ChatGPT, GPT-5, sparking online backlash at the new chatbot's less friendly tone. The scale of people's emotional attachment to the previous chatbot, GPT-4o, even surprised the company's CEO, Sam Altman. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/b...nytimes.comThe Chatbot Updated. Users Lost a Friend. 106618
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 13/08/2025and in terms of p(any individual candidate in a toss-up district wins)? 100
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 13/08/2025do you think national environment is the largest source of additional uncertainty? 100
Reposted by Lenny BronnerChris Warshaw @chriswarshaw.bsky.social · 13/08/2025Big update to @upshot.nytimes.com 2024 precinct map. Now includes most of CA and CO. 2197
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 13/08/2025or even better, randomly assign ideology to the candidates that are running! 231
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 13/08/2025Democrats just need to run some ideological extreme candidates in toss-up districts and see what happens. For the science! 150
Reposted by Lenny BronnerDylan Freedman @dylanfreedman.nytimes.com · 08/08/2025NEW from @kashhill.bsky.social and me: Over three weeks in May, a man became convinced by ChatGPT that the fate of the world rested on his shoulders. Otherwise perfectly sane, Allan Brooks is part of a growing number of people getting into chatbot-induced delusional spirals. This is his story.nytimes.comChatbots Can Go Into a Delusional Spiral. Here’s How It Happens. 1924599
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 05/08/2025if you had to set yourself a reminder for 2045, how would you do that? 310
Reposted by Lenny BronnerGalen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 31/07/2025Data extraordinaire @lennybronner.com and I opened up the mailbag on the latest GD POLITICS episode. It's in your feeds now and it's a good one... "Gaza, Gen Z, And A Gay President" 051
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 07/07/2025What if Trump’s gains with minorities weren’t about Trump at all? @andrewvandam.bsky.social and I took a look at recent election results in NYC, Toronto and London and tried to figure out why we're seeing similar trends in all three cities www.washingtonpost.com/business/202... 47018
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 27/06/2025oh yeah, it makes the effect worse. Dem over-performance in blue states goes from +8 to +6 if you remove ny-22 (compared to +21 in red states) 020
Reposted by Lenny BronnerDavid Karol @davidkarol.bsky.social · 27/06/2025Dems' education-based turnout advantage may be reduced in midterms compared to special elections, since turnout is higher in midterms. But it won't be zero. A swing against the President's party is normal. Dems need to gain only 3 seats to flip the House. It's be surprising if they didn't manage. 172
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner.com · 27/06/2025Also, an interesting finding: there looks like there is a divide in how well Dems do between red and blue states. Might be another sign of Democrats unpopularity in places they have governed. 151
