Sign in

Erin Covey

@erincovey.bsky.social
1.3K followers 77 following 8 posts

covering House races at the Cook Political Report.

PostsRepliesMedia
Erin Covey @erincovey.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Early voting started today in Texas, there’s a ton of House primaries worth watching — 4 vulnerable incumbents, 10 open seats, and primaries in competitive South Texas seats Read my preview of the Dem primaries (GOP primary preview coming later this week): www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
cookpolitical.com
Texas Primary Preview: Two House Democrats in Danger of Losing Primaries
Several House Democrats in the Lone Star State could have their careers cut short this cycle, largely due to the ripple effects of gerrymandering.
083
Erin Covey @erincovey.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
my column will be The Barefoot Prognosticator
140
Reposted by Erin Covey
The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 08/07/2025
One week out from the special election primary, Adelita Grijalva remains the favorite to succeed her late father in Arizona’s 7th District. Here's @erincovey.bsky.social:
cookpolitical.com
AZ-07 Special: Can Outsider Candidates Block Grijalva’s Path to Victory?
Since the beginning of this year, three Democratic members of Congress have died in office, putting a spotlight on the party’s aging leaders and sparking special elections that pit the party’s old gua...
1144
Reposted by Erin Covey
Michael Li (李之樸) @mcpli.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Holding the case over means that the current map, with two Black-majority districts, will remain in place for the 2026 midterms. Louisiana now uses partisan primaries for congressional elections and the primary cycle starts in September with the opening of petition gathering.
22710
Reposted by Erin Covey
The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 11/04/2025
Right now, Democrats’ potential tea party movement is united by their fighting attitude — but little else binds them together. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest analysis:
cookpolitical.com
Breaking Down the Early Primary Challenges to House Democrats
As liberal voters become increasingly frustrated by their leaders’ response to the Trump presidency, a crop of young Democrats is attempting to direct that anger at longtime members of Congress.“What ...
044
Erin Covey @erincovey.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Happy PVI day! We have updated scores for House seats based on the 2024 and 2020 presidential results. Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/int...
cookpolitical.com
Introducing the 2025 Cook Partisan Voting Index: A Slightly Depolarizing Election
Since first descending Trump Tower's golden escalator in 2015, President Donald Trump has been one of the most schismatic political figures in American history. The 2016 election set a modern record f...
162
Reposted by Erin Covey
The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 19/03/2025
Just sixteen lawmakers now represent crossover districts: three Republicans hold seats that Kamala Harris carried, and 13 Democrats hold seats that Donald Trump carried. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest:
cookpolitical.com
The Sweet Sixteen: 2024’s Crossover Districts
The most exclusive club in Congress might be the class of members who represent crossover districts — those who won elections in seats carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee.Just sixteen...
02412
Reposted by Erin Covey
Perry Bacon @perrybaconjr.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
wapo.st/41NRx9e
wapo.st
Opinion | FiveThirtyEight is gone. Its legacy will endure.
Nate Silver’s website suffered because of Trump and changes in political news coverage.
7382
Reposted by Erin Covey
The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 08/03/2025
California’s Central Valley will once again be at the center of the House battleground map. Read @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein's California House (CDs 1-22) analysis:
cookpolitical.com
2026 Northern California House Analysis: Central Valley Takes Center Stage
California’s Central Valley will once again be at the center of the House battleground map in 2026. Democratic Rep. Adam Gray (CA-13) won his race by a smaller margin than any other House member and i...
064
Reposted by Erin Covey
The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 28/02/2025
The Cook Political Report is delighted to name Carrie Dann as Managing Editor. Learn more about Carrie:
cookpolitical.com
Carrie Dann Named as The Cook Political Report's Managing Editor
ARLINGTON, VA (February 28, 2025) — The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter is delighted to name Carrie Dann as Managing Editor.
063
Erin Covey @erincovey.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
We've got 2026 House ratings! Democrats are only three seats from a majority, but right now, the battleground of competitive races is small and fairly evenly divided. 39 seats are currently competitive (rated Toss Up or Lean), with 29 more seats rated Likely GOP/Dem.
23121
Reposted by Erin Covey
The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 20/12/2024
The three closest House races won by Republicans were decided by a combined 7,309 voters. Here are 12 things @erincovey.bsky.social learned from this year's House races: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/twelve-things-we-learned-2024-house-elections
077
Erin Covey @erincovey.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
New from me: in a closely divided House, the Main Street Republicans expanded their footprint while the Freedom Caucus slightly shrunk. www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
cookpolitical.com
Main Street Republicans Expand Their Footprint While Freedom Caucus Slightly Shrinks
Now that the final House race has been called, it’s official: Republicans will have a 220-215 majority — one seat smaller than their current 221-214 majority.That margin will be even smaller for the f...
1154
Reposted by Erin Covey
Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
I cobbled together a quick and not at all-exhaustive list of elections reporters, analysts, operatives and analysts - if you're interested in this stuff please follow and share widely! go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo
2012147