Sign in

Laura Bronner

@laurabronner.bsky.social
2.1K followers 277 following 55 posts

Stats, product, analysis, research, cooperation at the Austrian National Bank || Previously: Public Discourse Foundation, ETH Zürich, FiveThirtyEight || Views my own www.laurabronner.com

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Laura Bronner
James Feigenbaum @jamesfeigenbaum.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Across 130+ years, the gap between MC fathers and tightly-matched controls has grown, not shrunk. Vs year of birth or congress numbers. Whatever opened up about American politics, it wasn’t who gets to Congress.
153
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Drew Dimmery @ddimmery.com · 29/04/2026
The Hertie School Data Science Lab is hiring a postdoc. This is an appealing position with fairly low teaching/admin responsibilities and a lot of freedom to develop your research agenda. Feel free to reach out if you want to know more! hertie-school.dvinci-easy.com/en/p/en/jobs...
hertie-school.dvinci-easy.com
Postdoctoral Researcher – Data Science for Public Policy (gn) full-time (40 hours/week)
01212
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
🚨CfA🚨 We're looking for a postdoc joining us in summer in Berlin. 3-year position @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiedatascience.bsky.social. Pursue your own research agenda in data science for public policy - ML/AI, causal inference, computational methods. Questions? Don't hesitate to reach out!
02325
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Corinna Milborn @corinnamilborn.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
so glücklich habe ich Paul Lendvai noch nie erlebt. Er sagt er habe die Ungarn-Wahl „mit einem Gefühl der Freude erlebt, wie er es noch selten in seinem langen Leben verspürt hat.“ Seine Gedanken sind sehr lesenswert: www.zeit.de/politik/2026...
zeit.de
Paul Lendvai: »Was wir jetzt erleben, ist dramatischer als 1989«
Der Autor Paul Lendvai floh 1956 vor den Kommunisten aus Ungarn, erlebte den jungen Viktor Orbán und wurde von ihm angegriffen. Wie denkt er über die Zukunft des Landes?
638184
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Gloria Gennaro @gloriagennaro.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
New paper out in @thejop.bsky.social : "Immigration, Public Housing, and Support for the French National Front." How does expanding public housing affect far-right support? The answer depends heavily on local conditions, and specifically on local immigrant shares. Paper: doi.org/10.1086/736361
47721
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Reto Bürgisser @retobuergisser.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
🚨 Job Alert 🚨 We have an opening for a 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗱𝗼𝗰 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 @stawi-univie.bsky.social starting Aug/Sep 2026! Focus: political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields 📅Apply by 29 April 2026 jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
Job vacancy announcement for a postdoctoral position at the University of Vienna Department of Government, starting August/September 2026. Research focus includes political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields. Application deadline: 29 April 2026. Full details are also available through the shared link.
07164
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Lisa Oswald @lfoswaldo.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
I'm hiring a postdoc! @goetheuni.bsky.social Focus: CSS, political behavior, political communication & transforming information environments. 📍 Frankfurt | ⏳ 3 years | 📅 Deadline: 14 April 2026 Full job ad here: www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794987/Zen... (search for “political behavior” to find it)
uni-frankfurt.de
Goethe-Universität — Zentrale Einrichtungen
Die Goethe-Universität ist eine forschungsstarke Hochschule in der europäischen Finanzmetropole Frankfurt. Lebendig, urban und weltoffen besitzt sie als Stiftungsuniversität ein einzigartiges Maß an E...
06351
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Do conjoint/factorial/vignette experiments reflect choices in the real world? Are hypothetical scenarios in the artificial survey context externally valid? Do hypothetical bias, intention-behavior gap and social desirability biases undermine validity? Two cautionary studies on this question:
47926
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Our first guest at the Inside Data Journalism series, was Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social, who brings a rare combination of editorial experience and methodological training to questions about how quantitative evidence enters public discourse. Read more👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
243
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Unsere neue Studie zeigt, dass der meiste Hass online von einer Minderheit der User:innen geschrieben wird. Und das hat Konsequenzen für die Inhaltsmoderation -- da besonders toxische User:innen sich durch Gegenrede nicht vom Hass abbringen lassen. Details: www.public-discourse.org/articles/has...
public-discourse.org
Hass wird von einer Minderheit geschrieben | Public Discourse Foundation
122
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Today we kick off Inside Data Journalism, a spring talk series where leading practitioners share insights into their work and the future of data-driven storytelling. Join @laurabronner.bsky.social for an inspiring talk on skepticism in data storytelling. ℹ️👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
092
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Philine Widmer @phinifa.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Can feed algorithms shape what people think about politics? Our paper "The Political Effects of X's Feed Algorithm" is out today in Nature and answers "Yes." www.nature.com/articles/s41...
4273129
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Who produces hate speech? And how does that matter for content moderation? We show that across different countries and platforms, a relatively small share of users are responsible for a very large share of hate - overall, 5% write 83-100% of hateful content. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
15219
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
The Data Science Lab presents Inside Data Journalism, a spring talk series featuring leading practitioners who share practical insights into their work and the evolving field of data journalism. More ℹ️👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
273
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Fabian Pawelczyk @fpawel.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
🚨My first preprint is out on @socarxiv.bsky.social! How do AI-generated content labels shape what people see as authentic on social media — and do labels have unintended side effects? osf.io/preprints/so... A thread 🧵
7207
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Is online discourse getting worse? To bring actual data to bear on this question, we launched the Public Discourse Indicator, a dashboard tracking online comments submitted to several major Swiss newspapers. Our aim here is twofold: www.public-discourse.org/en/public-di...
294
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
✖️Who produces most online hate speech and how effective is counterspeech? ➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
36325
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
These average solve times don't seem to account for out-selection as the puzzles get harder... Mondays/Tuesdays probably include a bunch of people who never do the rest of the week. It'd be interesting to show the average number of solvers per day, for context.
170
Reposted by Laura Bronner
The Institute for Analytical Sociology @iasliu.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
Join us on Thursday, 18 Sept, at 14:30 CET for the International Roundtable on Computational Social Science with Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social 🔹Tackling harmful online comments on news platforms: three field experiments 🔹More info: liu.se/en/article/s...
liu.se
Seminars and lectures at IAS
Welcome to IAS public lectures and seminars.
042
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Gloria Gennaro @gloriagennaro.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
📢 In a new online field experiment, we find that #counterspeech with perspective-based messages can reduce online hate speech, and its 🌟amplification🌟 with a large research team across #ETHZurich @ipz.bsky.social @uclspp.bsky.social and beyond www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Counterspeech encouraging users to adopt the perspective of minority groups reduces hate speech and its amplification on social media - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Counterspeech encouraging users to adopt the perspective of minority groups reduces hate speech and its amplification on social media
1187
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Christie Aschwanden @cragcrest.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Wow, thank you for helping to keep this alive. I get so many notes from people using this in their coursework.
04611
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
The end of 538 is a huge shame - both for the incredible people who worked there, and for political and data journalism as a whole. I was lucky enough to work beside them for a few years and want to say a bit about what I think was so valuable that I hope doesn't vanish from the media landscape: 🧵
1143
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Jon Mellon @jonmellon.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Out now open access at @ajpseditor.bsky.social. 194 potential exclusion-restriction violations for studies using weather as an instrumental variable onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
415249
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Interested in how people talk to each other online? Care about causal inference and/or NLP? Want to design and implement field experiments? Come do a PhD with Dominik Hangartner, me, and a bunch of awesome people at IPL in Zurich: jobs.ethz.ch/job/view/JOP...
0109
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Interested in how people talk to each other online? Care about causal inference and/or NLP? Want to design and implement field experiments? Come do a PhD with Dominik Hangartner, me, and a bunch of awesome people at IPL in Zurich: jobs.ethz.ch/job/view/JOP...
0109
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Drew Dimmery @ddimmery.com · 29/01/2025
The US2020 project was not independent (and that's good) open.substack.com/pub/drewdimm...
open.substack.com
What was US2020?
The US 2020 Facebook and Instagram Election Project (US2020) was a sprawling project with dozens of people involved at various levels.
052
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
I really like this development. But it's interesting how much effort is expended on post-publication review, rather than proper pre-publication code review like I used to do at 538. Maybe checking data munging & analysis should be an integral part of peer review, done by paid journal employees -
1204
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Manasvini Singh @vinisingh.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
I've often wondered why we don't invite original authors on replications, especially ones that demonstrate issues with the original papers. It would increase code-sharing, transparency, and lessen the shame of retraction, which would be good for science.
2265
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Ala Alrababah @aalrababah.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
New paper in @apsrjournal.bsky.social with @andreasbeerli.bsky.social, Dominik Hangartner, and Dalston Ward about #immigration and voting for the #FarRight in #Switzerland
913755
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Aveek Bhattacharya @aveek18.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
There but for the grace of god
021
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
Really interesting -- and I especially appreciate how easy to understand the charts are:
050
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Jon Mellon @jonmellon.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Professional software developers routinely release code that contains bugs. Expecting researchers to always do better than this is unrealistic and leads to defensive behavior
191
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Elisabeth Graf @elisabethgraf.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
⬇️❗This is so crucial, we can all learn a lot from this exmple. I am glad I had @laurabronner.bsky.social reviewing my analysis code for this paper several times, and I think that's a huge asset of collaborative research.
1132
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Gregor Aisch @driven-by-data.net · 21/11/2024
We created a new dashboard for @zeit.de showing the current state of election polls in Germany ahead of the upcoming election in February. Also shows probabilities for govt. coalitions based on the polls. The full article version also features my favorite sparklines. www.zeit.de/politik/deut...
Screenshot of zeit.de showing an election polls dashboard (in German)screenshot of the full article showing the election polls since 2021 in a big chart and the polls of the past 3 months as tiny sparklines below
58828
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
A thread about being wrong: 5 years ago, we wrote a paper about how how newly enfranchised 16-year-olds vote in Austria. But we were wrong. This year, @elisabethgraf.bsky.social, @schnizzl.bsky.social, Sylvia Kritzinger and I are setting the record straight: authors.elsevier.com/c/1juT5xRaZk...
26659163
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Christian Endt @cendt.de · 21/11/2024
Offizieller Wahlkampfauftakt auf @zeit.de: Wir haben unseren Wahltrend neu gestartet. Bis 23. Februar zeigen wir nun tagesaktuell, wo die Parteien in den Umfragen stehen und welche Koalitionen laut unserer Simulation der künftigen Sitzverteilung möglich wären. zeit.de/wahltrend
2842666
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 03/11/2024
This election is uncertain not just because the polls are close, but also because a decisive victory for either candidate is within a normal-sized polling error - and since the polls seem to be herding, a polling error may be likelier than usual. Great piece by @lennybronner.com :
0144
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 05/03/2024
😍 the use of baselines when reporting numbers
030
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 22/02/2024
Made a chart
1183
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 26/01/2024
Underrated achievement: first load of laundry in a new apartment
040
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 15/01/2024
One thing I'll miss about working from home with @ddimmery.com is hearing a giggle and knowing I will get a tweet in the next few seconds
010
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 30/12/2023
sometimes brits are european
140
Reposted by Laura Bronner
Drew Dimmery @ddimmery.com · 03/10/2023
Wrote some thoughts on microblogging (derogatory)
open.substack.com
Stop looking for the next Twitter
BlueSky doesn't solve any of Twitter's real problems, nor will any other microblog
092
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 26/09/2023
Any technical job
051
Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 20/09/2023
Doing my part for gender equality by visiting Roman ruins
0110