iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

There are a lot of eyes on Cornell right now. It’s moments like this where having an independent student press is most important, but doing that work has never been more difficult. Please support The Cornell Daily Sun in its mission for truth and accountability.

cornellsun.com

Support the Sun! - The Cornell Daily Sun

The Cornell Daily Sun - Independent Since 1880.

17022

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

cornellsun.com

Support the Sun! - The Cornell Daily Sun

The Cornell Daily Sun - Independent Since 1880.

17022

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

New Siena College/ReconMR TEXAS poll is absolutely brutal for Republicans—could be a generational wipeout if it comes to pass: SEN Talarico 49 Paxton 43 GOV Hinojosa (D) 49 Abbott (R) 45 Generic ballot R47 D46 9/8-11, 614 LV, live caller/text-to-web, MoE 4.3% reconmr.com/wp-content/u...

62719171

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

“All US Senators are requested to return to the chamber.” They had to make an announcement over the PA system at Griffith Stadium during the 1964 Washington Senators home opener to get pro-Civil Rights US senators back to the Capitol to beat a southern quorum call.

0212

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

This is DC’s version of Barbenheimer

0142

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

🚨 Inside Elections House Ratings moves: CA21 (Costa-D) Likely D→Solid D CA45 (Tran-D) Tilt D→Lean D CO5 (Crank-R) Likely R→Lean R KY6 (Barr-R) Solid R→Likely R NJ9 (Pou-D) Lean D→Likely D NV2 (Amodei-R) Solid R→Likely R SC1 (Mace-R) Solid R→Likely R TX15 (De La Cruz-R) Lean R→Tilt R

insideelections.com

Inside Elections

Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

0134

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

The Rand Paul-affiliated Protect Freedom PAC is airing what looks like an entirely AI-generated ad backing Republican Catalina Lauf in the FL-19 GOP primary. Includes fake images of her on stage with Trump and with a Secret Service detail. Disclaimer at the end.

4101

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

NEW: This cycle’s highest-profile independent candidates (Bodnar, Hill etc) all have something in common: a dense network of Democratic donors and dark money groups channeling millions of dollars toward their super PACs. My effort to untangle the web: insideelections.com/untangling-t...

insideelections.com

Untangling the Democratic Dark Money Web Funding Independent Candidates

182

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

IA-GOV: Toss-up ➡️ Tilt Democratic (flip) IA-SEN: Lean GOP ➡️ Tilt GOP IA-02: Likely GOP ➡️ Lean GOP IA-03: Tilt GOP ➡️ Toss-up State Auditor Rob Sand's rising tide is lifting all Democratic boats in the Hawkeye State. Read more in this week's issue: insideelections.com

insideelections.com

Inside Elections

Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

418333

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

We aren’t talking enough about the rapid advancement in potato chip technology. Not too long ago all we had was plain, BBQ, or sour cream and onion. But today…

3171

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

Something to keep an eye on: @aoc.bsky.social has quietly become far and away the best fundraiser in the House. She's always been strong — 7th in 2024, 10th in 2022, 5th in 2020 — but this year she's lapping everyone but the Speaker and could do than too by the end of the cycle.

1286

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

This kind of thing is too cute by half and emblematic of what sank Mills in the first place. Not mounting a serious or energetic campaign and hoping people vote for you anyways because your name is there. Wasn’t enough to beat Platner and doesn’t speak well to a general either.

2223

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

📺Coming up on @velshi.com at the top of the hour to talk the Texas Senate race with actual Texan @ktumulty.bsky.social — tune in!

030

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

New poll from Slingshot Strategies (D) for Texas Public Opinion Research Talarico 47 Paxton 44 Brown (L) 1 w/undecideds pushed Talarico 48 Paxton 45 Brown 2 Talarico 47 fav/40 unfav Paxton 38/57 Trump +10 electorate, R+19 on party ID 1670 LV, 5/27-28 drive.google.com/file/d/1lCia...

drive.google.com

TPOR_Post_Runoff_Final_Topline_5.29.26.pdf V4.pdf

414925

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Galen Druke @galendruke.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

NEW POD: The weaker Trump gets nationally, the more GOP lawmakers will be incentivized to break with him, and the more Trump will want to enforce party loyalty. Call him a lame duck with teeth. @rubashkin.bsky.social and I talked about this and much more on the latest pod!

1122

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

Looks like ActBlue has shut off Maureen Galindo’s ability to fundraise on their platform

0173

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

Looks like ActBlue has shut off Maureen Galindo’s ability to fundraise on their platform

0173

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Coming up on @cspanwj.bsky.social to talk tonight’s primaries at the top of the hour — tune in!

040

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

New Kansas poll released by the Patrick Schmidt campaign finds a surprisingly close general election vs. GOP Sen. Roger Marshall. Marshall 49 Schmidt 45 Trump fav/unfav 45/51 Marshall fav/unfav 35/42 500 LVs, 4/23-27, mixed mode Schmidt is running in a crowded Dem primary

2213

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

2213

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

🚨New Inside Elections Senate Ratings: 🔴Ohio (Husted, R) moves from Lean GOP to Tilt GOP 🔴Nebraska (Ricketts, R) moves from Solid GOP to Likely GOP 🔴South Carolina (Graham, R) moves from Solid GOP to Likely GOP

insideelections.com

2026 Senate Overview (April 23, 2026): Democratic Majority Within Reach

Democrats are likely to pick up between 2 and 4 seats, and potentially the Senate majority.

1367

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Burchett is right: the most DC thing ever *is* a member of Congress blaming the city for something he and his colleagues did themselves.

10995861664

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

🚨NEW @InsideElections Virginia ratings: VA1 Solid Dem VA2 Tilt Dem VA3 Solid Dem VA4 Solid Dem VA5 Solid Dem VA6 Lean Dem VA7 Solid Dem VA8 Solid Dem VA9 Solid GOP VA10 Solid Dem VA11 Solid Dem www.insideelections.com/news/article...

insideelections.com

Virginia House: Four House Races Shift Toward Democrats

Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.

1196

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Nearly 4 years ago I wrote the first story detailing Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's shady finances and potential breach of House ethics rules. Her office stonewalled me and tried to lead me off course. Today, she resigned. What a ride it's been!

insideelections.com

The Congresswoman and the Taxpayer-funded TV Ads

How a Florida congresswoman used taxpayer funds for TV ads.

2332

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

Checking in on some majority-Hispanic areas in the NJ-11 special election. Belleville Township (50.2% Hispanic) 2020: Biden 61-38 (+23) 2024: Harris 51-47 (+4) 2025: Sherrill 63-37 (+26) *** 2026: Mejia 65-35 (+30)

219128

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

🚨We're hiring🚨 Inside Elections is looking to hire a Reporter/Analyst to help us cover the most competitive House, Senate, and gubernatorial races around the country. Is that you? If so, you should apply! DMs are open for questions as well.

insideelections.com

02111

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

*Great* opportunity to work with the best people. Highly recommend this for an early-career elections analyst.

0115

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

insideelections.com

02111

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

Overall, Shawn Harris improved upon Kamala Harris's GA-14 margin by 25%. He lost by 12 while she lost by 37. But in the five most Hispanic precincts in the district, he improved upon her margin by a whopping 42%. He won them by 28% while she lost them by 14%.

18816181

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

Democrats actually did even better in heavily Hispanic Dalton than in the first round, which was already a massive swing from Kamala’s 2024 performance. Shawn Harris won these two Hispanic-majority precincts by 73% — +3 from in March and a whopping 51% improvement over 2024.

218654

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 23/03/2026

Imagine trust in polling being at an all time low and then doing “polls” where a quarter of respondents are AI agents hallucinating answers based on exit polling.

29776263

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 22/03/2026

Found The Other The Other Wes Moore

060

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 14/03/2026

The IL-09 outside money has tried everything to boost Laura Fine: -pro-Fine ads -anti-Biss ads -anti-Kat ads None of it has worked so now they’re trying to boost a third progressive in hopes she siphons votes from Biss and Kat. A 5D chess move that mostly signals desperation.

1338

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

Counting in Whitfield Co. is all done in the GA-14 special election: The most Hispanic precincts and how they voted in 2024 vs tonight: 5A (64% Hispanic CVAP): Kamala +21, Dems +74 6A (69%): Kamala +23, Dems +64 AN (48%): Trump +14, Dems +30 ES (39%): Trump +41, GOP +4 GL (32%): Trump +39, GOP +13

314030

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

One particular thing I'm watching in the Georgia 14 special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene: how does majority-Hispanic city Dalton in Whitfield County vote? We know a Republican is going to win this seat, but will Democrats continue to overperform among Hispanic voters?

47011

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

NEWS | Former California state Assemblyman Bill Brough (R) filed to run for Congress against Rep. Dave Min in CA-47. In 2020, Brough was accused by at least 6 women of sexual assault or harassment. archive.ph/zdj24

241

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Potential backlash to a last-minute maneuver by Steve Daines circumventing a GOP primary in favor of his chosen successor, plus an intriguing independent candidacy backed by some Democrats, makes Montana’s sleepy Senate race worth watching this fall. Solid R ➡️ Likely R My take:

insideelections.com

Montana Senate: Daines’ Drop Inserts Uncertainty

Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.

141

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 04/03/2026

Got some questions about my pickle pin last night — it’s a piece of Texas history! Congressman Jake Pickle represented Austin for 32 years. A close confidant of LBJ, Pickle was one of the only Southern Democrats to vote for all three major Civil Rights laws of the 1960s.

1152

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

John Fetterman’s wife Gisele posted this an hour ago in response to yesterday’s events but I haven’t seen the senator say anything publicly or issue any statements.

For more than a decade, I lived undocumented in the US. Every day carried the same uncertainty and fear lived in my body - a tight chest, shallow breaths, racing heart. What I thought was my private, chronic dread has now become a shared national wound. This now-daily violence is not
"law and order." It is terror inflicted on people who contribute, love, and build their lives here.
It's devastatingly cruel and unAmerican
•

33697137

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 25/01/2026

Five years ago Kash Patel went on rabid anti-Semite Stew Peters’ podcast to offer free legal services to Kyle Rittenhouse (rumble.com/vpi004-ritte...) Patel later told the Senate Judiciary committee he wasn’t familiar with Peters despite appearing on his show 8 times.

0133

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

Has any House member received more New York Times profiles than MGP on how she is the answer for Democrats? I count at least six since 2023, averaging about one every six months.

1151

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 16/01/2026

Readers of @InsideElections were the first to hear about Seth Bodnar’s potential Montana Senate run all the way back in July 2025! If you’re not reading our Senate overviews, you’re (way) behind. www.insideelections.com/news/article...

070

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 14/01/2026

We’re calling it “Whiskey Fridays,” Lemon. It scores great with men age 38-52 who sleep in race car beds.

1687

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

🚨Alaska Senate moves from Solid Republican to LEAN REPUBLICAN with former Rep. Mary Peltola’s entrance into the race. Democrats have a narrow path to a Senate majority that got slightly wider today. Read more here: www.insideelections.com/news/article...

insideelections.com

Alaska Senate: Peltola Puts Seat on Battleground

Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.

1151

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 01/01/2026

The gap between how the Democratic Party operates on social media and the party’s actual leaders has never been wider. Democratic leaders have kept Mamdani at arms length for months. Meanwhile, on the official party TikTok:

47215

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

Might have to start calling it the Weissand Effect

0152

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

Not sure what this will ultimately accomplish for Weiss other than Streisand-effecting this story into the stratosphere when it eventually comes out.

172

Reposted by Jacob Rubashkin

Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 18/12/2025

It's mailbag time! Inside Elections is doing a mailbag podcast episode before we head into the holidays. Do you have a burning question about ghosts of elections past, present, or future? Drop it below or send it to jacob@insideelections [dot] com and we'll try to answer it on the show!

media.tenor.com

a man in a green and black shirt is sitting in a chair holding a yellow box .

ALT: a man in a green and black shirt is sitting in a chair holding a yellow box .

132