iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jan Berz

Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Happy to see our new paper on mainstream-to-challenger defection in print! w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social & @aigneranna.bsky.social Check out Denis' summary below! Thanks to @nilssteiner.bsky.social, @conradziller.bsky.social & @ackermannk.bsky.social for organizing this SI! tinyurl.com/5aa9wrmb

First page of the journal article "From the center to the fringes: A comparative test of attitudinal explanations for mainstream-to-challenger defection" by Denis Cohen, Werner Krause, and Anna Aigner, published in Electoral Studies. The page shows the journal head, author affiliations at the University of Mannheim and the University of Potsdam, keywords, a link to the replication dataset, and the full abstract.

Dot plot showing net balances of vote switching between mainstream and challenger parties, in percentage points, across 16 west European elections from 1973 to 2025. Each election is a point with a 95% credible interval, ordered left to right from most negative to most positive. Values run from about −6 to +15 points; positive values mean net gains for challengers. German elections are labeled individually and mostly sit between −4 and +4 points. Germany's February 2025 election, highlighted in red, is a clear outlier at nearly +10 points, placing it among the highest in the series alongside the Netherlands 2002, Greece 2012, Denmark 1973, and Italy 1992.

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

1/5 How costly are inappropriate emotional displays by leaders? @wurthmann.bsky.social and I examine Armin Laschet’s laughter during a speech by the German president after the 2021 July floods in our new Electoral Studies article. Open access: doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2026.103143

doi.org

Redirecting

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Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 18/06/2026

How we speak shapes how we feel represented - using original survey data from Germany, @martingross.bsky.social & @wurthmann.bsky.social show dialect speakers feel less politically represented & prefer politicians who speak their dialect. OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/iVEXmZv @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

Abstract
Language is central to political representation, yet the role of dialects remains understudied. This study examines how dialects are associated with citizens’ feelings of and preferences for political representation. We argue that dialect use can be a part of social identity: politicians who share their constituents’ dialect may signal local attachment and social proximity. However, dialects also carry social stigma, potentially leading to underrepresentation in a political sphere dominated by standard language. Using original survey data from Germany, we test whether dialect-speaking citizens (1) feel less represented and (2) prefer politicians who speak a dialect. We find support for both: dialect speakers feel less represented and have stronger preferences for dialect-speaking representatives. These results suggest that dialects can serve as a subtle but meaningful form of descriptive representation. Our findings underscore the role of linguistic identity in political inclusion and call for greater attention to language in research on political behaviour.

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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

‼️ Only 10 days left to apply for the PhD position in my group! All info below 👇

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

New publication with @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org: In “Crises and Electoral Accountability” I ask how voters evaluate governments after different exogenous crises - and which crisis characteristics affect performance & responsibility judgments by voters. OA: doi.org/10.1017/gov.... 1/9

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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 09/06/2026

#OpenAccess from @govandopp.bsky.social - Crises and Electoral Accountability: How Do Individual Characteristics of Crises Affect Performance and Responsibility Evaluations among Voters? - cup.org/4g3GAYI - @janberz.bsky.social #FirstView

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

Looking for an apartment to rent in Berlin. Ideally around Pankow, flexible on move-in date. If you know of anything or have a lead, please email me at wohnungberz@posteo.de. Grateful for any help or reposts!

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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 05/12/2025

Last week, I defended my PhD dissertation at Trinity College Dublin. I am happy to say that I have joined the esteemed ranks of Dr. Dre, Dr. Pepper, and Dr. Seuss! 😁🎉 Thanks so much to family, friends, colleagues, and especially my PhD supervisors, @cboussalis.bsky.social and @janberz.bsky.social!

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Marc Debus @marcdebus.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

Do interpersonal relations affect coalition bargaining? @hannaeback.bsky.social, @michaelimre.bsky.social and I argue that when the Prime Minister is replaced, the incumbency advantage of a coalition will be weakened because of reduced familiarity and trust journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/2

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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 27/03/2025

In the coming months, I'll be recruiting two PhD students to work with me as part of the Voting & Democracy research group at @kuleuvenuniversity.bsky.social. So watch this space if you want to join the team and work on this lovely campus!

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

I'm very proud of Lucas, who just published his second single-authored paper! A great track-record since the start of his PhD in 2021.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 17/03/2025

As speakers of the @dvpw.bsky.social's working group Elections and Public Opinion, we invite proposals for a special issue on the 2025 German federal election (to be submitted to Electoral Studies). See: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a... Also see the previous SI: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...

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Dawn Teele @teele.bsky.social · 12/03/2025

As @cpsjournal.bsky.social editor I read about 100 peer-reviews per month. A 🧵 on what makes a great review: 1.) Succinct summary of the contribution (puzzle, argument, data, evidence) 2.) State clearly in your first paragraph whether the evidence supports the argument.

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Peter Egge Langsæther @peterla.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

Very happy to share our new article in JoP @thejop.bsky.social, where we explore how parties forge links with social groups (here: social classes) through different appeals and how citizens respond to such appeals. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....

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Stefanie Reher @stefaniereher.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

My article on voter support for disabled candidates is now published at doi.org/10.1086/732994. I find that left-wing voters in UK+US favour disabled candidates, while right-wing voters prefer non-disabled candidates - but only because voters assume disabled candidates to be more left-wing. [1/2]

doi.org

Voting for Disabled Candidates | The Journal of Politics

Despite important advances in the rights of disabled people, stigma and prejudice remain widespread. Meanwhile, disabled political representatives are few and far between. This raises the question: do...

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Electoral Studies @electoralstudies.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

As Germany heads to the polls on Sunday, here are some articles we have published on German elections that can guide you through what to expect… 🗳️ 📊

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Lena Stephan @lenastephan.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

Letzte Woche haben @corinnakroeber.bsky.social und ich basierend auf den Kandidierendenlisten & der Wahlrechtsreform geteilt, dass der neue Bundestag deutlich weniger weibliche Abgeordnete beinhalten wird. Unsere Überlegungen dazu könnt ihr bei @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social nachlesen. 📚🕵️‍♀️

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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

🚨 Postdoc Fellow at LSE in Political Behaviour 🚨 We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great department (with some teaching in political behaviour and comparative European or EU politics) Please spread the word and reach out with questions! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

jobs.lse.ac.uk

LSE Fellow in Political Behaviour

LSE Fellow in Political Behaviour, , LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university <p style="text-align: cen...

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Or Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 07/02/2025

Had a great time talking all things prime ministers with @janberz.bsky.social, @javiermcanto.bsky.social, @bittner.bsky.social, and many others in the 2-day workshop Roni Lehrer and I organised @MZES Mannheim. Inspiring stuff.

Left to right: Or Tuttnauer, Jan Berz, Amanda Bittner, Maya Mark, Javier Martinez Canto, Roni Lehrer, Justin Spruit, Michelangelo Vercesi, Lucas Da Silva. Also attended: Ferdinand Müller-Rommel, Florian Grotz, Christoffer Green-Pedersen

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Sarah Engler @saengler.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Got my first one today too 👇👇

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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

‼️ New paper out in EJPR! With @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, we use a new survey item that we fielded in surveys in five countries to examine who accepts party policy change. Check out the 🧵 by Maurits below for an overview of our findings!

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Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

EPSA rejection: to all early career people who face this today, I want to say that I had two of them in the past, one of them was published in AJPS in the end, the other has not been submitted yet. Today, my third EPSA rejection. If you have it, too: hear me it means nothing! Enjoy your weekend 😇

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Constantin Wurthmann @wurthmann.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

Die "Umfrage" ist nicht repräsentativ. Sie hat die Qualität einer Videotextumfrage. Sie ist manipulierbar. Es gibt die Möglichkeit, mehrfach abzustimmen. Es widerspricht allen Kenntnisständen, die wir zum Wahlverhalten der Gruppe haben. Teilt diesen Unsinn nicht. #AfD www.focus.de/politik/bei-...

focus.de

Bei Homosexuellen belegt die AfD den ersten Platz - mit haushohem Vorsprung

Diese Umfrage dürfte viele überraschen. Ein Datingportal für Homosexuelle hat rund 60.000 Nutzern die Frage gestellt, wen sie bei der kommenden Bundestagswahl wählen würden. Das Ergebnis ist verblüffe...

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Mark Kayser @markkayser.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

Delighted to see this coming out in @thejop.bsky.social. Some basic science that for data reasons was never done before. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

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Lena Masch @lenamasch.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

🚨 New Open Access Publiation! Under the lead of @ronjademel.bsky.social , David Schieferdecker, @hannaschwander.bsky.social , Swen Hutter, Jule Specht and I investigated the role of empathy on attitudes towards refugees and ingroup-outgroup dynamics

Empathy During Crises: Investigating Attitudes, Tolerance, and Ingroup-Outgroup Dynamics in Response to Refugee Movements

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

Our book lays a foundation for understanding PM performance & raises new questions: 🤔 Do capable PMs strengthen democracy? 🤔 Does poor PM performance affect elections or democratic trust? We hope this sparks more research on the causes & consequences of PM performance—in CEE & beyond.

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Corinna Kroeber @corinnakroeber.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

Last but not least, we investigate: What drives prime-ministerial performance? Our analyses highlight:

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

How do PMs’ careers & contexts shape their success? We analyzed of 131 cabinets across 11 CEE countries (1990–2021) to find: ✔ PMs are more experienced than assumed ✔ Contexts are stabilizing (e.g., fewer oversized cabinets). Take away: CEE PMs & their challenges are far from uniform!

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Corinna Kroeber @corinnakroeber.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Is the idea of weak CEE PMs a myth? Our dataset reveals wide variability in PM performance, challenging assumptions of uniform weakness. PMs with strong parliamentary & party backing excelled at conflict resolution & policy influence. CEE PMs are far more dynamic than stereotypes suggest.

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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Our paper on how plant disease pandemic destroying olive groves in 🇮🇹 fuelled far right support by activating local community narrative of state neglect forthcoming @apsrjournal.bsky.social 🧵 below ⬇️ For nerds: also presents research design for combing causal inference with ethnographic research

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Aina Gallego @ainagallego.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

📢 Our new paper in Political Analysis explains how to use LLMs like GPT-4o, Llama or Mistral to estimate the ideological and policy position of political texts. Our approach is fast, reliable, cost-effective and reproducible and works with texts written in different languages 1/7 cup.org/4axBEXo

cup.org

Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core

Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging

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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 12/11/2024

My book “The Normalization of the Radical Right” has recently come out in the US. If you're interested, in this thread I’ll link different ways of learning about the book and its argument (I’ll keep adding if more come out). First, here is the link to the book: academic.oup.com/book/57946

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Alberto López Ortega @bertous.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

Anti-racist protests reduced AfD vote shares in both the 2021 German Election and the 2024 European Election. While the Greens gained in 2021, *they didn’t in 2024*—likely due to their shift towards anti-immigration policies in government. Important implications for progressive parties. More: 👇

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Building on a standardized concept of prime-ministerial performance, we developed an expert-survey tool to measure it across 11 CEE countries. We gathered 200+ expert responses.

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Corinna Kroeber @corinnakroeber.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Our book rethinks prime-ministerial performance by asking: What tasks must PMs fulfill in parliamentary democracies? Using a "delegation chain" framework, we identify 2 core tasks: 1️⃣ Running state affairs (e.g., cabinet conflicts, policies, crises). 2️⃣ Maintaining parliamentary & party support.

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

🔍 Interested in prime ministers’ careers, performance, or politics in CEE? Our new OUP book will be worth your time. Why bother reading the 228 pages? Over the week, @corinnakroeber.bsky.social & I will share threads summarizing its main contributions. Stay tuned!

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Jan Berz @janberz.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

🎉 Excited to announce our book "Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe: Careers, Context, and Performance" is out and published by Oxford University Press! Co-authored by the amazing Florian Grotz, @corinnakroeber.bsky.social, & Marko Kukec. More: academic.oup.com/book/59247

academic.oup.com

Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe: Careers, Context, and Performance

Abstract. Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist

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Robert A. Huber @robert-a-huber.bsky.social · 20/01/2025

We (that is @cerpintaxt.bsky.social and me) are happy to share that our co-edited book “Populism: An Introduction” is now out from SAGE. With Trump’s inauguration today, it’s the perfect moment for a clear, accessible overview of populism. Our 15 chapters are written by top experts worldwide.

The picture shows the cover of the book. It depicts colourful marbles on a cracking floor with one big marble on a pedestal.

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PD Dr Philipp Köker @philippkoeker.bsky.social · 10/01/2024

Only 8 days left to submit your abstracts!!! ⏰

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Alona O. Dolinsky @alonadolinsky.com · 12/12/2023

🚨The deadline for submitting abstracts to the 6th annual COMPTEXT conference is approaching - 20 December 2023. link: forms.gle/VrzhEzJEcTNd... This is a great conference that brings together scholars from across social and computational sciences. See more details here: www.comptextconference.org

comptextconference.org

The Comptext Project

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Alona O. Dolinsky @alonadolinsky.com · 20/11/2023

Happy to share my working paper with @lenamariahuber.bsky.social on social group appeals and political representation that is now online as a pre-print and titled "Parties’ Group Appeals as Representative Claims: A New Perspective on Parties’ Efforts to Connect with Voters" 🤓 osf.io/a9sf6

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Lena Masch @lenamasch.bsky.social · 16/11/2023

New Publication in IJPOR with Ronja Demel, David Schieferdecker, @hannaschwander.bsky.social , Swen Hutter and Jule Specht Shift in Public Opinion Formations on Defense, Energy, and Migration: The Case of Russia’s War Against Ukraine academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

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Despina Alexiadou @dalexiadou.bsky.social · 14/11/2023

A reminder that the deadline for a four-year, research only postdoc with me @StrathPolIR on politicians and the reproduction of wealth, funded by VW Stiftung is DUE THIS FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17! polisky

strathvacancies.engageats.co.uk

Post-Doctoral Researcher (570123)

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Wiebke Marie Junk @wmjunk.bsky.social · 10/10/2023

One of my favourite papers in the InterCov project w. @michelecrepaz.bsky.social & @aizenbergellis.bsky.social is finally out in EJPRjournal! We show in a cross-country survey experiment how the strategies of interest organisations respond to access barriers and disturbances. doi.org/10.1111/1475...

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Christian Stecker @pluggedchris.bsky.social · 10/10/2023

Ein Blick auf die ltwHessen mit Urhesse @marcdebus.bsky.social zeigt die zeitliche Veränderung der Stimmenanteile in Dörfern und Städten und die dramatischen Verluste der SPD Langform: shorturl.at/mnJT5

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PD Dr Philipp Köker @philippkoeker.bsky.social · 06/10/2023

We (Allan Sikk & @philippkoeker.bsky.social) are excited about the release of our book "Party People: Candidates and Party Evolution" with Oxford University Press on 19 October 2023 🥳🥳🥳 Find out more here: tiny.cc/partypeople

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Marc Debus @marcdebus.bsky.social · 06/10/2023

Eine Analyse der prog. Positionen von Union und AfD zu den 37 Bund- und Landtagswahlen seit 2013 deutet darauf hin, dass eine Annäherung der Union an die Positionen der AfD eher mit einem höheren Stimmenanteil für die AfD verbunden ist. Ein Beitrag für den DVPW Blog. www.dvpw.de/blog/schwaec...

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Robert A. Huber @robert-a-huber.bsky.social · 06/10/2023

We're hiring! 5-year Postdoc/university assistant position in Methods focusing on comparative politics, University of Salzburg. Application deadline: 1.11. More details: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/zf0il... Please share! polisky

dropbox.com

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Clint Claessen @clint0475.bsky.social · 28/09/2023

📣I am happy to announce my new publication📄 on party leaders in Party Politics @SageJournals Now! Open access🔓at: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13…

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