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Lucas Paulo da Silva

@lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social
165 followers 201 following 102 posts

Researcher at @ikmz.bsky.social PhD from @tcddublin.bsky.social www.lucaspdasilva.com Using computational and causal inference methods to research online media and political behavior

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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
There's a lot of research about the role of media ideology in shaping 𝒘𝒉𝒂𝒕 is covered by the news, but nothing about 𝒘𝒉𝒆𝒓𝒆. 🌍 In our new preprint, @jungminhan.bsky.social and I shed light on this question. Check out our paper! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... More info 👇
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
I'm finally a #blogger! At least, I wrote my first blog for the @ukdataservice.bsky.social.😁It's about my recent study on how #cross-#pressured #audiences (people who don't fit neatly on the #Left or #Right) select #political #media. 💻 🎧 📰 (see more below 👇)
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Reposted by Lucas Paulo da Silva
UK Data Service Impact @ukdsimpact.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
🎉New on the Data Impact blog🎉 What kind of bias do I want? How cross-pressured audiences navigate the news @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social uses British Election Study data to explore how politically cross-pressured audiences choose their news. blog.ukdataservice.ac.uk/cross-pressu...
Someone sat on a bench reading a newspaper.
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗻𝘁 𝗔𝗹𝗲𝗿𝘁: We know that people #select #media with which they agree #ideologically. 💻 📰 📱 🎧 But "𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐬𝐬-𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐯𝐨𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬" (CPVs) have mixed ideological positions and lack outlets that represent their ideologies. How do they select media? 🔎 I'm glad you asked! doi.org/10.31235/osf... See 👇
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
After years of research, I've developed a #World #Cup #prediction #model with a 100% #success #rate for the last 17 matches. 💯 It leaves all other football forecasters in its dust. See below 👇
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
My interview with Norberto Notari on the #Brazilian #podcast "Politica se Discute" by @gruporadioweb.bsky.social was released today!📻 It's about our Football Empires paper. Check it out (in Portuguese) here!🎙️ open.spotify.com/episode/1Vsn... (see more info 👇)
open.spotify.com
#190 | Futebol, colonialismo e o legado que ainda decide Copas, com o pesquisador Lucas Paulo da Silva
Política se Discute? · Episode
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
The #EPSS2026 (European Political Science Society) conference in #Belfast was a great success! The presentations and feedback were absolutely top-notch. 🏆 (see more 👇)
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Thank you to the #Computational #Methods division, the #International #Communication #Association, and our amazing hosts for a fantastic #ICA26 conference in #Cape #Town, #South #Africa! I presented two papers in the Computational Methods division: 👇
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Today is the opening day of the #World #Cup. ⚽ I'm super excited to announce our passion project paper (with Thomas Schincariol and @morganwack.bsky.social), "Football Empires: Simulating the Effects of Colonialism on the 2026 World Cup"! Check it out here: doi.org/10.31235/osf... (see more info👇)
doi.org
OSF
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Check out my (relatively) new preprint paper "Online Media Outlets Struggle to Represent Audiences in a Two-Dimensional Ideological Landscape"! 📰 📺📱📻 (See more below!) doi.org/10.31235/osf...
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
I'm honoured to receive the 2025-2026 #PSA #Dissertation #Prize for the top PhD dissertation related to elections, electoral systems, and voting representation (McDougall Trust Prize)! 🙌 Thank you very much! 😊 (more 👇)
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
My paper has now been published in Volume 36 of the Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties! 📰 This paper looks at how #parties shape #public #opinion beyond their direct partisans, extending work by Slothuus and Bisgaard (2021). (see more below 👇)
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
I graduated with my #PhD from @tcddublin.bsky.social! I'm overwhelmed by gratitude for the many people who contributed to this moment -- whether by research feedback, teaching, encouragement, nurturing my interests, or "just" friendship throughout the years. Thank you so much! Signed, Dr. Lucas 😁
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
I have a new #paper available as a preprint on #OSF! 📰 This study introduces "MQ-Class" to tackle two key methodological challenges in measuring #media #ideology : 🟦detecting subtle forms of news bias 💻📱 🟦integrating #human #expertise with LLMs👩‍🔬👨‍🔬 (See more below!) doi.org/10.31235/osf...
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
I got to visit the beautiful University of Oxford for the Political Studies Association (PSA) conference! 3 presentations might be a bit much. 😅 But I got really valuable feedback from each one. 🙌 See below for more info. Also got to visit Tolkien's old haunts 😍 @ox.ac.uk #PSA26 #tolkien
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Happy to announce that my paper "Media Influence and Spatial Voting: The Role of Perceived Party Positions" has been published in Volume 48 of Political Behavior! Using a quasi-experiment, it looks at the specific pathways in which #media influences our #voting. 📺📱📰 doi.org/10.1007/s111...
doi.org
Media Influence and Spatial Voting: The Role of Perceived Party Positions - Political Behavior
If media outlets influence voters, media elites could hold disproportionate sway over elections. However, little is known about the paths through which these outlets influence voting behavior. Based o...
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Last week, I defended my PhD dissertation at Trinity College Dublin. I am happy to say that I have joined the esteemed ranks of Dr. Dre, Dr. Pepper, and Dr. Seuss! 😁🎉 Thanks so much to family, friends, colleagues, and especially my PhD supervisors, @cboussalis.bsky.social and @janberz.bsky.social!
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The Science Matters @tscimat.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
Can a football tragedy reveal the true power of media influence? Discover how Liverpool reshaped politics when it turned away from a powerful tabloid. By Lucas Paulo da Silva, University of Zurich @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social Article: thesciencematters.org/how-liverpoo... @tcddublin.bsky.social
thesciencematters.org
How Liverpool’s Boycott of The Sun Changed Politics – The Science Matters
Can a football tragedy reveal the true power of media influence? Discover how Liverpool reshaped politics when it turned away from a powerful tabloid.
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
I'm delighted to start a new job as a research scientist at the University of Zurich! 😃🇨🇭 I am joining a really cool SNSF-funded project (see below) led by @annisch.bsky.social. I'll also work on other computational research about online media and public opinion. 💻📰📺📻📱 @ikmz.bsky.social #Zurich
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
Thrilled to say that I submitted my PhD dissertation! 😀 It measures the ideological structure of 324 online news outlets and tests the effects of this structure on voting. I find large ideological gaps in media markets and powerful effects of these gaps over public opinion and how we vote. 📺💻📱📠
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
Enjoyed my first APSA conference in beautiful #Vancouver! We're all very interested in media effects. But my paper uses original #survey #experiments and panel data to study how cross-pressured audiences select political #media in the first place. 📺📻💻📱📰 #APSA2025 @polcomm.bsky.social #APSA
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Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
🎙️ Exciting news! Lucas Da Silva, one of our PhD students in the Political Science Department joined @seanmoncrieff.bsky.social on @newstalkfm.bsky.social to discuss his research. Tune in to the interview here: link.goloudplayer.com/s/pGnJ3uW3vxTA #TCD #PoliticalScience #Newstalk #AcademicResearch
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Check out my radio interview with @newstalkfm.bsky.social yesterday!🎙️ We discussed my #research on how #media influences #voting, including my natural experiment based on the Sun boycott in #Liverpool. It was a cool experience, thanks Newstalk! 😀 @lfcr.bsky.social open.spotify.com/episode/3LjB...
open.spotify.com
Did the Liverpool boycott of The Sun change voting attitudes?
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Tune in to @newstalkfm.bsky.social today around 2:45pm to hear my interview about how media influences elections. 🎙️ 📺 📻 💻 📱 📰 You can listen in Ireland on Newstalk radio (106-108FM) or from anywhere in the 🌍 on Newstalk's website (live), Spotify, and other platforms: www.newstalk.com/shows/moncri...
newstalk.com
Moncrieff | Newstalk
Join Sean Moncrieff for a lively mix of phone-ins, insightful text messages and stories from around the world and down your street. Every weekday from 2pm - ...
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
My article was published on The Converation and Yahoo News! 🙌 It talks about the longlasting political effects of the boycott of The Sun newspaper in Liverpool (based on results from my recent Political Behavior study). 📰👕 Check it out! #LFC #politics theconversation.com/did-the-sun-...
theconversation.com
Did the Sun boycott make Liverpool more leftwing? My study indicates it may have shifted views
The boycott caused the percentage of people who said they supported the Labour party to increase by about 16 percentage points.
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
My favorite quote from my upcoming study (which maps the ideology of global media) has gotta be: "My eventual dataset represents 26 countries from all continents except Antarctica." Sorry, penguins!🐧
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
Thanks @comptext.bsky.social for a great conference in #Vienna! I presented (1) a new method -- "MQ-Class" -- for LLM-classifying the full spectrum of media ideology and (2) my project mapping the 2D structure of global media ideology. Great people, panels, and most importantly food! #COMPTEXT2025
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Reposted by Lucas Paulo da Silva
Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
🧐New Research 🧐 How does the media affect the way we vote? PhD Researcher @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social explores this in a new article published by @polbehavior.bsky.social 👏 🔗Read the article here: tinyurl.com/yc622vhu #politics #polscisky #politicalscience
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Lucas Paulo da Silva @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Thrilled that my paper is now published by @polbehavior.bsky.social! Using a natural experiment—the Sun boycott—I show how media may shape our voting mostly by changing our perceptions of party positions. Media matters! 🗳️ Read here: doi.org/10.1007/s111... @tcddublin.bsky.social #mediabias #vote
Research article about media influence and voting in the journal Political Behavior
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Reposted by Lucas Paulo da Silva
Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
📝 New Research 📝 PhD Research @lucas-p-dasilva.bsky.social has published an article with The Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties. 👏 Read the article 👉 tinyurl.com/45npvhma @tcdssp.bsky.social @trinityresearch.bsky.social #polscisky #politicalscience
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Reposted by Lucas Paulo da Silva
Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Curious about how media influences voting behaviour? 🤔🗳️ This month on PhD Perspectives we chat to Lucas Da Silva, who tells us about his research on how media affects cross-pressured voters- those with conflicting economic & cultural views. Read about his research here 🔽 www.tcd.ie/Political_Sc...
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