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Hilary Wething

@hilwething.bsky.social
2.8K followers 136 following 97 posts

Economist at EPI. Former Asst Prof at Penn State's School of Public Policy. I research labor policy, women's employment, and education policy. www.epi.org/people/hilary-wething

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Reposted by Hilary Wething
Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
"Prioritizing high-pressure labor markets—those identified by extended periods of low unemployment—is key to providing lower- and middle-wage workers the leverage to bid up their wages."
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Monique Morrissey @moniquemorrissey.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
My @epi.org colleagues @elisegould.bsky.social & Hilary Wething put together a banger of a chartbook on wage suppression--the single biggest cause of the affordability crisis. Some of the charts are among EPI's greatest hits & some are new (at least to me). www.epi.org/publication/...
epi.org
Wage suppression in 10 charts
Wages for typical workers lag far behind productivity growth. It hasn't always been this way and does not have to be this way. These 10 charts outline the historical context of workers’ wage trajector...
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Stoked for the release of the 2025 Income, Poverty and Health Insurance estimates! But of course, I'd be remiss to not mention that we still don't know when the 2025 ACS estimates will be released-- this is a problem! (1/x)
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 04/09/2026
Trump's mass deportations were sold as a major jobs program, but they're still failing to help U.S.-born workers
Line plot title "US-born employment is lower in 2026" with subtitle "Employment to population ratio, US-born, ages 25-54"
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Today's #jobs data can be considered a solid bounce back to relative weakness in June and July. Job growth has averaged 71k over the last 3 months. Weaker numbers for leisure and hospitality and unusual July losses in local government education employment seems to have resolved in August. #econsky
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Economic Policy Institute @epi.org · 15/07/2026
🌟 NEW 🌟 First-of-its-kind analysis from @cmcnich.bsky.social, @jensherer.bsky.social, and @benzipperer.org measures how expanding union membership would boost wages, lower inequality, and benefit communities and democracy. A teaser of what that would mean for workers 🧵 1/
epi.org
The case for tripling union membership: How rebuilding union power would strengthen workers, the economy, and our democracy
Foreword Imagine union membership tripling in the United States. It may sound radical—if you’ve forgotten history. In fact, more than 1 in 3 private-sector workers belonged to a union in the 1950s. Th...
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
This week marks the one year anniversary of OBBBA-- reflecting on the harms this legislation will inflict, I thought it would be a good reminder to write about how Medicaid and SNAP cuts won't just harm ABAWDs, they will harm children, public schools and local economies www.epi.org/blog/medicai...
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 10/06/2026
Trump's war has wiped out an entire year and a half of wage growth
Figure titled Trump has erased all the wage gains of his term, plotting average real hourly earnings for the private sector by month in May 2026
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Nice piece from @epi.org @kdoc-writes.bsky.social on how government can earn the public's trust through progressive taxes-- this table stuck with me www.epi.org/blog/raising...
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Really interesting #JobsDay piece by @saraestep.bsky.social last week noting that women make up a majority of the employed. It reminded me about the growing prevalence of healthcare jobs & ensuring the jobs disproportionately held by women pay well. www.epi.org/publication/...
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Sara Estep (she/her) @saraestep.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Women have made up the majority of nonfarm employed since February this year and since the pandemic mothers have been driving LFPR trends. Check out @kennedyandara.bsky.social and my new analysis: www.americanprogress.org/article/wome...
americanprogress.org
Women Workers Are a Lifeline for the Economy
As Mother’s Day approaches, April jobs data highlight that women have been a bright spot in a volatile labor market, and underneath that trend are working mothers’ labor force participation rates.
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Reposted by Hilary Wething
Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Setting aside the significant losses in the public sector—the mass federal layoffs—private sector employment grew by 717k since January 2025. If it hadn't been for the sizeable gains in health care and social assistance (+848k), the private sector would have shrunk by 131k since Trump took office.
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 08/05/2026
Bad news for US workers: with nominal wage growth slowing and oil prices rising, real wages all but guaranteed to decline.
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Dean Baker @deanbaker13.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
share of job leavers among unemployed falls to 11.3%, very low for a 4.3% unemployment rate
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Today's jobs report came in stronger than expected as payrolls increased by 115,000 in April. As a result, average monthly growth the last three months was 48,000 jobs. The unemployment rate held steady as both labor force participation and the employment level dropped slightly. #NumbersDay #EconSKy
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Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
This is a real problem which should concern many of you, if you put any weight on inequality. There are issues around measuring the labor share. One is the role of depreciation. The net-of-depreication labor share is higher. But it also shows sharp decline post 2000.
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
If you are not in @epi.org AI webinar right now, you are really missing out -- starting now until 2pm us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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Josh Bivens @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
The spending cutbacks spurred by higher prices unemployment will rise and labor market will cool further, dampening nominal wage growth and making real declines even worse. This war is obviously a disaster across the board, but will have direct and terrible effects on affordability. 3
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Josh Bivens @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Real wage growth in 2025 was already negative for lowest-wage workers, and was below 1.5% for just about everybody. A price shock of 1.5% (what's likely baked in based on oil price per barrel increases so far) means 2026 is looking like a year of negative real wage growth for most workers. 2
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Josh Bivens @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Price effects of the Iran conflict already showing up in March data. For the month, prices up a lot and real earnings are down. And it almost surely gets worse from here. 1
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
We don't have the inflation data yet to show real wage changes in March, but slowing nominal wage growth coupled with rising prices from the Iran war almost surely means real wages will suffer, contributing to worsening affordability. #EconSky
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 27/03/2026
Come work at @epi.org! We're hiring a Development Director
Economic Policy Institute

Development Director 

The Development Director will lead EPI’s fundraising strategy and operations, deepen and expand philanthropic support, and bring outstanding organizational and process-management skills to ensure fundraising systems, timelines, and workflows are effective, disciplined, and scalable. This is a senior leadership role that will collaborate across departments to build a sustainable, diversified revenue base for EPI’s mission-driven work.

The Development Director supervises two staff— the Associate Director of Development and the Senior Development Associate—and is a part of the senior management team, reporting to the Executive Vice President. 

This position is in our Washington, DC office and is on a hybrid schedule with in-person work at least two days per week
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 28/03/2026
The gender wage gap grew when Wisconsin let school districts negotiate pay individually with teachers instead of following union pay schedules based on seniority and credentials. Men's pay rose while women's pay fell.
Line plots from Flexible Wages, Bargaining, and the Gender Gap by Barbara Biasi and Heather Sarsons titled "Salaries of men and women, by time-to-expiration/extension of CBAs"
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Today is #EqualPayDay, but there's no cause for celebration. This is how far into 2026 women would have to work on top of the hours they worked in 2025 simply to match what men were paid in 2025. Emma Cohn and I detail changes in the pay gap and what we can do about it. www.epi.org/blog/the-gen...
epi.org
The gender pay gap widened slightly in 2025: How Trump’s first year in office hurt women and what states can do to fix it
Key takeaways: The persistent gender wage gap widened slightly in 2025; women were paid 18.6% less than men on average after controlling for race and ethnicity, education, age, marital status, and sta...
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Manufacturing jobs fell again, down 12,000 between January and February 2026. Since January 2025, the manufacturing sector has lost 100,000 jobs. I repeat: The manufacturing sector lost 100k jobs since Trump took office. #EconSky #NumbersDay
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Today's jobs report was much weaker than expected. Payroll jobs fell 92k in Feb, and revisions to Dec data show a loss of 17k jobs. Average job growth over the last 3 months now under 6k. Household survey population controls indicate a significant drop in the labor force. #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 11/09/2025
Latest deportation data: ICE is on course to deport more than 400 thousand people in 2025. The current deportation rate is about half of Trump's goal (1 million annual deportations).
Line graph showing average daily ICE removals in 2025 from biweekly detention reports published by ICE. The title of the figure is "Trump is deporting more than 1300 people every day"
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Alex Wayne @aawayne.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
NEWS: By vaccinating babies at birth, the U.S. nearly eradicated hepatitis-B in children. Kennedy's vaccine advisory panel is expected this week to recommend delaying the shot, opening a window for kids to be infected. Exclusive by @jackie-fortier.bsky.social kffhealthnews.org/news/article...
kffhealthnews.org
RFK Jr.’s Vaccine Panel Expected To Recommend Delaying Hepatitis B Shot for Children - KFF Health News
A federal vaccine panel, recently reshaped by Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is expected to vote on delaying the hepatitis B shot for newborns. Pediatricians warn that coul...
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
While changes at the median or 10th percentile were not statistically significant between 2023 and 2024, income grew 1.3% and 2.2% in real terms at the middle and bottom, respectively. However, inequality did rise because the top grew even faster (4.2% at the 90th percentile). #EconSky #NumbersDay
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Ismael Cid Martínez @icidmartinez.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Disparities in income continue to leave families of color with children disproportionately vulnerable to poverty. Black & Hispanic children remain 3 times as likely as their white peers to suffer poverty. #EconSky #NumbersDay
Supplemental child poverty rates since 2021 by race and ethnicity
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Ismael Cid Martínez @icidmartinez.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
New Census 2024 income data show a mixed picture for families of color. Asian & Hispanic families saw their median income rise. But Black families experienced a fall. Typical Black & Hispanic households continue to earn just a fraction of their white peers' income. #EconSky #NumbersDay
Real median household income by race and ethnicity
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
The latest data out from #Census today show median earnings and median household incomes kept pace with inflation in 2024. Men's earnings rose 3.7% increasing the gender wage gap back to 2019 levels. Income grew at the top, but not the middle or bottom, reversing recent trends. #EconSky #NumbersDay
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 09/09/2025
About 8% of people lacked any form of health insurance in 2024. Unfortunately that rate will dramatically increase in the coming years, from 27 million to more than 40 million thanks to Republicans who cut Medicaid and ACA marketplace subsidies
Bar graph from new Census data showing that 8.0% of people lacked any form of health insurance in 2024.
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Some big #NumbersDay releases today—Just a reminder that the Census data are incredibly valuable. We get transparent and non-politicized data to make informed decisions about what policies are delivering economic security for working people.
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 09/09/2025
Today's preliminary revisions to March 2024-March 2025 data suggest job growth was half the pace of initial estimates These regular, transparent steps by BLS to ensure its data are as accurate as possible are one of the hallmarks of the federal statistics infrastructure www.epi.org/blog/todays-...
Today’s BLS preliminary benchmark revisions are necessary for timely and accurate data—not fodder for Trump’s attacks

Today’s preliminary benchmark announcement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reveals weaker job growth between March 2024 and March 2025 than when it was first reported based on survey data. These numbers are likely to anger President Trump and the White House who incorrectly view revised data as political manipulation. Trump has already lashed out at BLS, including firing the agency’s commissioner because a jobs report showed a rapidly weakening labor market. But these BLS data revisions are not corrections of mistakes. Revisions are part of the regular, transparent process to update employment counts with the most comprehensive data possible.
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Julia Coronado @jc-econ.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Statement from the National Association of Business Economics in light of ongoing attacks on the quality and integrity of US data and BLS staff. It is a pretty transparent effort to reduce transparency and accountability, not increase it @nabe-econ.bsky.social nabe.com/common/Uploa...
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Black unemp is a volatile series, but 3 months of increases denotes a trend that should be given some attention
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Jed Kolko @jedkolko.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
The sharp decline in immigration that began mid-2024 and has presumably accelerated in 2025 has not helped the native-born unemployment rate.
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Preston Mui @prestonmui.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
@gbenga-ajilore.bsky.social
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Job losses were particularly acute in professional/business services, the federal govt, and wholesale trade, but there have also been sustained losses over recent months in manufacturing, construction, and mining, an indication that Trump's blue-collar renaissance is clearly not happening. #EconSky
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Good morning folks! Today's #jobsday has payrolls at +22k and unemployment edged up to 4.3%. Follow @elisegould.bsky.social for all the gossip
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
I was in California conducting focus groups with teachers last week. My big takeaway? Abbot Elementary is not a comedy, but actually a docuseries that accurately reflects how teachers scrape to get by all across the country.
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Big news in today's #jobs report are the revisions. The labor market is much weaker than originally reported the last two months. While payrolls grew 73k in July, May and June data were revised down a total of 258k to 19k and 14k, respectively, bringing 3-month average growth down to 35k. #EconSky
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
I was travelling during #jobsday last week but wanted to share a few posts from my colleagues. In short, it's not good.
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 01/08/2025
From @hshierholz.bsky.social: Trump's firing of BLS commissioner is undemocratic and economically dangerous. Between illegal firings, starving data agencies of resources, and now political intimidation, the US looks set to run into the next economic downturn flying blind www.epi.org/press/trumps...
screenshot of the linked post titled "Trump’s firing of BLS commissioner is undemocratic and economically dangerous" by Heidi Shierholz, which reads: 

Today, Trump directed his team to fire the commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) because he didn’t like the jobs numbers they released. This is a move straight out of an autocratic playbook.

BLS is one of the most respected statistical agencies in the world, known for its methodological rigor, independence, and transparency. The president’s belief that the BLS commissioner personally “produced” the jobs numbers is preposterous and shows a complete misunderstanding of how government statistical agencies operate. These data are the product of careful work by hundreds of expert economists, statisticians, and civil servants following transparent, well-established methodologies.
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Wondering whether we might be headed into a recession? Check out @epi.org's Recession FAQ for data to watch and the consequences if it happens. @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social @ahecon.bsky.social @hilwething.bsky.social @benzipperer.org www.epi.org/publication/... #EconSky
epi.org
Recession FAQ
Interest in recessions has been elevated lately. The word "recession" started spiking in both media discussions and Google searches in March and persisted into April (see Figure A). While the public’s...
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Keep this in mind when looking at today's report. The report is for June, when many schools let out and begin summer vacation.
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Hilary Wething @hilwething.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
BLS #JobsDay report is out and higher than ADP projections-- payroll up by 147k & unemp at 4.1%. "Job gains occurred in state government and health care. Federal government continued to lose jobs."
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Chloe N East (she/her) @chloeneast.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Thanks to @lastweektonight.com for a great story on why work requirements are bad policy and for citing my research! Never thought I’d see my name next to John Oliver’s face while he talks about my work!!
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AFT @aft.org · 26/06/2025
Want to know how a voucher program would impact your school district? ‪ @hilwething.bsky.social shares a free online tool to estimate the costs of vouchers—including hidden costs that are most harmful to under-resourced schools—in the new #AmericanEducator. www.aft.org/ae/summer2025/wething
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