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Elise Gould

@elisegould.bsky.social
3.5K followers 525 following 422 posts

Economist, bike commuter, ultimate frisbee player. Studying wages, jobs, and economic inequality. Striving to be part of the solution. www.epi.org/people/elise-gould

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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Notable weakness in today's #jobs report for this morning. Payroll employment grew by 29,000 while downward revisions to both July and August totaled 60,000. July is now recording losses. The job growth in September (29,000) is slower than the prior 12 months (45,000). #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Not much changed in the latest #JOLTS report for August. The BLS reports that most measures are little changed, changed little, or unchanged. www.bls.gov/news.release... - hires rate ticked up, but still depressed - job openings ticked down - layoffs and quits remain low #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
New data alert 🚨 - CEO pay surged in 2025, rising 14% to an average $27.9 million - CEOs are paid 325 times as much as the typical worker in their industry - Between 1978 and 2025, top CEO pay rose 1,316% compared to only a 28% increase for typical workers www.epi.org/blog/ceo-pay... #EconSky
epi.org
CEO pay surged in 2025: CEOs are paid 325 times as much as the typical worker
Key findings: CEO pay at the top 350 U.S. firms rose 14.0% in 2025 to an average of $27.9 million. CEOs made 325 times as much as the typical worker in 2025. It hasn’t always been this way. In 1965, C...
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
This morning, the Census Bureau is releasing the latest data on Income, Poverty and Health Insurance! Note: these data are for 2025 and will not reflect changes in the labor market, rising inflation, and attacks on vital safety net policies, hitting families in 2026. www.epi.org/blog/2025-ce...
epi.org
2025 Census data preview: Key measures of earnings, income, and poverty may show early signs of a softer labor market and weaker safety net
The 2025 Census data may show how the Trump administration’s policy choices were starting to impact the economic well-being of workers and their families last year.
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Today's #jobs data can be considered a solid bounce back to relative weakness in June and July. Job growth has averaged 71k over the last 3 months. Weaker numbers for leisure and hospitality and unusual July losses in local government education employment seems to have resolved in August. #econsky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Little changed in the latest #JOLTS report for July. But, revisions point to a weaker June than was originally reported. Between June and July, hires dropped a bit more, a worsening sign for labor market entrants. Other measures changed by by no more than 0.1 percentage points. #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Weak #jobsreport all around -Nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 (mostly driven by state and local losses) -The unemployment rate ticked down for the "wrong" reasons as labor force participation and employment-to-population ratio softened -Nominal wage growth decelerated to 3.2% over the year #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
The BLS reports mostly little or unchanged metrics in the latest #JOLTS report for June. After a weaker than expected jobs report for June, today's slightly softer job openings numbers as well as unchanged numbers of hires, quits, and layoffs are not surprising. bsky.app/profile/elis...
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Today's jobs report came in weaker than expected. The economy added 57k jobs in June and prior months were revised down. April and May are a combined 74k lower than previously reported. Analysts believe the World Cup added 40k to June numbers—without that, job growth would have been 17k. #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Year over year real hourly wages continued to fall in May. The CPI grew 4.2% in May, beating out nominal wage growth and leading to a 0.8% fall in real wages. Accelerating price inflation is the real culprit but decelerating nominal wage growth indicates a weakening labor market. #NumbersDay
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 10/06/2026
Trump's war has wiped out an entire year and a half of wage growth
Figure titled Trump has erased all the wage gains of his term, plotting average real hourly earnings for the private sector by month in May 2026
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
The latest jobs report came in stronger than expected this morning. The economy added 172,000 jobs in May and the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%. Nominal wage growth continued to decelerate, further exacerbating affordability as prices rise. #EconSky #NumbersDay @epi.org
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
What kind of labor market are young college graduates entering? @joe-fast.bsky.social and I just published an @epi.org series digging in on that question. Key findings: - noncollege and college unemployment rising - a college degree is losing its edge - AI is no more to blame than a low hires rate
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Year over year real hourly wages fell for the first time in three years. The CPI grew 3.8% in April, beating out nominal wage growth and leading to a 0.2% fall in real wages. Accelerating price inflation is the real culprit but decelerating nominal wage growth indicates a weakening labor market.
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Today's jobs report came in stronger than expected as payrolls increased by 115,000 in April. As a result, average monthly growth the last three months was 48,000 jobs. The unemployment rate held steady as both labor force participation and the employment level dropped slightly. #NumbersDay #EconSKy
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Today's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey data for March shows: - a bounce back in the hires rate, still far below pre-pandemic levels, but a promising move, if it's sustained in coming months - separations increased as quits and layoffs both ticked up slightly #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Josh Bivens @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Price effects of the Iran conflict already showing up in March data. For the month, prices up a lot and real earnings are down. And it almost surely gets worse from here. 1
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Today's jobs report came in stronger than expected with an increase of 178,000 to payroll employment. However, much of the gain was a bounce back to February declines (now a loss of 133,000 jobs). As a result, average monthly growth the last two months was only 22,500 jobs. #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/04/2026
Happy #JobsDay this Friday I'm on vacation. As ever, check out @bencasselman.bsky.social @elisegould.bsky.social @jc-econ.bsky.social @itsafronomics.blacksky.app @econberger.bsky.social for great analysis.
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Joe Fast @joe-fast.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
February data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey show a decline in hires to 4.8M (-498K). The hires rate fell to 3.1 percent, its lowest level since April 2020, and similar to the levels seen in the years following the Great Recession. #NumbersDay
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Today is #EqualPayDay, but there's no cause for celebration. This is how far into 2026 women would have to work on top of the hours they worked in 2025 simply to match what men were paid in 2025. Emma Cohn and I detail changes in the pay gap and what we can do about it. www.epi.org/blog/the-gen...
epi.org
The gender pay gap widened slightly in 2025: How Trump’s first year in office hurt women and what states can do to fix it
Key takeaways: The persistent gender wage gap widened slightly in 2025; women were paid 18.6% less than men on average after controlling for race and ethnicity, education, age, marital status, and sta...
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Today, the BLS released the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey data for January: - Most measures experienced little to no change since December - Benchmark revisions indicate very small changes in originally reported data for December, little to no impact on trends #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Today's jobs report was much weaker than expected. Payroll jobs fell 92k in Feb, and revisions to Dec data show a loss of 17k jobs. Average job growth over the last 3 months now under 6k. Household survey population controls indicate a significant drop in the labor force. #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Today's #JobsReport highlights: - payroll job growth 130k in January, but benchmark revisions show 2025 much weaker than originally reported - unemployment rate at 4.3%, up from 4.0% last January - federal government continues to lose jobs #EconSky @epi.org #NumbersDay
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 05/02/2026
After substantial gains over the last several years, wage growth at the low end slowed sharply in 2025. The 10th percentile wage actually fell in real terms as the labor market weakened. Nice analysis from @elisegould.bsky.social and @joe-fast.bsky.social
Bar graph showing annualized real wage growth by decile and time period, titled "Wage growth stalled for low-wage workers in 2025"
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Today, the BLS released the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey data for December. Highlights: - job openings fell in sharply in December, down 966k over the year - hires ticked up slightly, but remain depressed at levels similar to 2013 - quits and layoffs unchanged #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Low-wage workers saw their real wages decline in 2025, a sharp reversal from the historically fast real wage growth they had experienced over the previous five years. For all the details, check out my latest research with @joe-fast.bsky.social @epi.org www.epi.org/blog/low-wag... #EconSky
epi.org
Low-wage workers faced worsening affordability in 2025 as wage growth stalled
Low-wage workers saw their real (inflation-adjusted) wages decline in 2025, a sharp reversal from the historically fast real wage growth they had experienced over the previous five years. Middle- and ...
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
The latest read on the labor market comes in the unemployment insurance claims data released this morning: www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf Initial and continued claims fell in latest week of data, but that trend is consistent with the same reference week in 2025. #EconSky #NumbersDay
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Anna Gifty @itsafronomics.blacksky.app · 09/01/2026
Among women, the unemployment rise has been SHARPEST for Black women according to Dr. Valerie Wilson @epi.org. This is #TheDoubleTax.
epi.org
What’s behind rising unemployment for Black workers?
For the last five years, I’ve given the same answer in response to questions about any one-month increase in the Black unemployment rate. Given the relatively small sample size used to calculate the n...
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 09/01/2026
Most of the drop in job growth is slower net immigration + workforce aging... but not entirely Rising unemployment and cooling wage growth suggest demand is weakening, just slowly
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Today's #JobsReport tells us the economy is decidedly weaker than a year ago: -unemployment rate is 4.4%, up from 4.1% last Dec -payroll employment up 50k; total gain this year only 585k compared to 2.0 million in 2024 -federal employment is down 277k since Jan, a loss of 9.2% federal jobs #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Today, the BLS released the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey data for November, which showed little changed across the board. Job openings and hires ticked down slightly. Hires remain depressed at rates akin to 2013. #EconSky #JOLTS @epi.org
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Earlier this week, we learned that the pace of nominal wage growth has been gradually slowing over the last several months. As the unemployment rate rises—now at 4.6%—workers struggle more to find jobs and have less leverage when it comes to demanding higher wages. #EconSky @epi.org
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Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
Confess I had not thought through the implications of no data collection in Oct. for Nov.'s jobs report until I read BLS's FAQ. 1)CPS is a panel. No collection in Oct means no new respondents initiated into the survey, and so many more need to be added in Nov. 2)above clearly has implications for
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
Today the BLS releases two months of payroll data and one month of household data. A little jarring to see the first gap in data on the unemployment rate in the history of the survey. Second thing to note is that the unemployment rate is now 4.6% a significant rise from 4.0% in January. #NumbersDay
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
The latest read on the labor market comes in the unemployment insurance claims data released this morning. Toplines: - regular UI claims rose, but appear to be typical for this time of year - claims for federal workers declined as paychecks resumed after the shutdown furloughs #EconSky #NumbersDay
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 11/12/2025
Big jump up in new unemployment insurance claims in week ending (WE) 12/6, +44K (+23%) to moderate 236K from low 192K, more than unravelling prior week's -25K. Makes prior week look like a Thanksgiving blip. Keep an eye on it. #NumbersDay
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
After a dearth of economic data, the latest #JOLTS report is out this morning for both Sept and Oct 2025. Main findings: - hires rate continues to be depressed, at rates we haven't seen since 2013 - quits rate lowest since 2014 - layoffs ticked up slightly Note: these ignore low points in 2020
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
In normal times today would have been a jobs day. But these are not normal times and BLS won't release labor market data for JOLTS until December 9 and jobs on Dec 16. And we will never have household survey data for October, no unemployment rate for that month, not ever. www.epi.org/blog/without...
epi.org
Without today’s jobs report, next-best data indicate a weakening labor market
In normal times, today would have been a jobs day. However, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has been forced to delay the release until December 16 due to the lingering impacts of the Trump admini...
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Ismael Cid Martínez @icidmartinez.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
The Hispanic unemployment rate (UR) increased slightly to 5.5% in September. This is the 3rd consecutive increase since June. While the UR for Latinos fell slightly to 4.6%, the UR for Latinas climbed to 5.5%. The Latina UR was 1 p.p. lower (4.5%) in June. #EconSky #JobsDay
Hispanic unemployment rate since December 2019. Tasa de desempleo hispana desde diciembre de 2019.
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Finally, the first #JobsDay since the shutdown! The latest data out today is for September before the shutdown began on October 1. Highlights: - payroll employment up 119k for Sept while August change was revised down to below zero - unemployment rate ticked up 3 months in a row to 4.4% #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
More data release dates provided today at www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap... After tomorrow's release of September 2025 #Jobs data, I'll be looking forward to #JOLTS on December 9 and Jobs on Dec 16. These will be highly unusual with catchup data on the establishment side. #NumbersDay #EconSky @epi.org
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
BLS operations are back up! Release dates have been set for some missing reports. The next #jobsday will be Thursday, November 20 where we will get to see data for September 2025. #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
The large uptick in federal unemployment insurance claims in the initial spate of layoffs last spring have been overshadowed nearly 10 fold by the UI claims of federal workers after the end of the fiscal year, in the longest ever government shutdown. #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
The large uptick in federal unemployment insurance claims in the initial spate of layoffs last spring have been overshadowed nearly 10 fold by the UI claims of federal workers after the end of the fiscal year, in the longest ever government shutdown. #NumbersDay #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Tomorrow marks the first time the federal government has failed to release a jobs report two months in a row. Without these data, unemployment insurance claims provide the most up-to-date read on the labor market. As the shutdown drags on, continued UI claims by federal workers hits 30k. #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
For useful analysis on the latest unemployment insurance claims data in the shutdown, check out @aimstettner.bsky.social's newsletter: substack.com/profile/1759...
substack.com
Andrew Stettner (@andrewstettner)
I’ll be publishing my weekly analysis of the shutdown induced spike in unemployment claims here: New state unemployment data show the growing toll of the shutdown on federal workers, with an addition...
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Without BLS monthly jobs and JOLTS reports, unemployment insurance claims data provide the most up-to-date read on the labor market. As the shutdown continues, initial claims by federal workers shoot up for the third week in a row. Over 10k initial claims reported nationally last week. #EconSky
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
The latest #UIClaims show much higher continued unemployment insurance claims for federal workers, up 156% for the week ending October 4—compared to the same week last year. The growth this year are due to federal layoffs, exacerbated this month by workers leaving federal payrolls and the shutdown.
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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Nothing replaces the comprehensive, trustworthy, and timely labor market data found in monthly jobs and JOLTS reports, but unemployment insurance claims—collected at the state level—offer a useful read on one key angle of the labor market. #EconSky #NumbersDay www.epi.org/blog/amid-th...
epi.org
Amid the shutdown data blackout, state unemployment insurance claims continue to shed light on the labor market
On Friday, October 3, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) did not publish the September Employment Situation Summary report. The monthly “jobs report” provides policymakers, businesses, and the ...
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