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Halvard Leira

@halvardl.bsky.social
2.2K followers 569 following 700 posts

Research Director and Research Professor at NUPI, ass. ed. EJIR. Comment here primarily as a private citizen. I do research on conceptual history, privateers and diplomacy etc. I like mountains, skiing and my woodfired pizza oven.

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Reposted by Halvard Leira
Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
🧵Can't get numb to this: in the Iran War, we have a total vacuum of leadership in the Pentagon and State Dept amid a strategic disaster of America's own making. Two pieces show how: first, Hegseth blaming Trump's bad info on near-empty missile stockpiles on a deputy. wapo.st/4hQVTF0 1/
wapo.st
Trump, Hegseth clashed at Camp David over Iran missile depletion concerns
At a Camp David summit this weekend, President Trump demanded answers from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over extreme munitions shortages.
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Anders @andersskyrud.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Kanskje ikke den personen jeg ville gjetta at skulle skrive denne teksten, og kanskje heller ikke en perfekt tekst, men gud bedre så viktig og bra likevel. Nordmenn er rett og slett ikke klar over hvor ekstrem Musk har blitt, og det er DRITBRA at noen i mainstreamen sier det. e24.no/internasjona...
e24.no
Målbevisst og systematisk fremmer Musk ideer fra det ekstreme høyre
Verdens rikeste mann er også en høyreradikal aktivist som blir stadig mer ekstrem. Hvor langt kan det gå?
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Jelena Subotic @jelenasubotic.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Graduate students working on historical IR, there is a paper award for you! ISA Historical IR section has a best graduate paper award, deadline is August 1. You can nominate yourself! See the details here histsectionisa.weebly.com/awardrules.h...
histsectionisa.weebly.com
ISA HIST SECTION
Please scroll down for award criteria and nomination instructions for each prize.
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Nathan Goldwag @goldwagnathan.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
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shauna @goldengateblond.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
is there a pulitzer for photo captions because if so @theguardian.com just won it
Gianni Infantino carefully explains to Donald Trump that he is not part of the spanish national team.
Photograph: Javier García/Shutterstock
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
You have twisted your last sister.
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Parody Nigel Farage @parodypm.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
On the 10th anniversary of the Brexit referendum, let us check in on how it's going...
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Matthew 🍔 @matthewburger.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
I don’t get why no one bothers to point out that micromanaging renovations of the reflecting pool aren’t even remotely the job of the president. Everyone seems to be cool that this is is primary policy focus.
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Micah @rincewind.run · 22/06/2026
nobody in British politics seems to want to say it but the single biggest driver of their inability to keep a prime minister for any length of time is that Brexit was stupid and ruinous and made everyone’s lives worse
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
I tried making this point in March. Apart from @professormusgrave.bsky.social, I don't know if anyone cared. Damn, so effing stupid!
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Iva Vukušić @vukusiciva.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Ok, I couldn't care less about sports and the coming world cup but now I am rooting for #Belgium.
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In Medias Malone @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
I’m thinking very hard about this but it is difficult to see the US-Vietnam War involving higher stakes for the USA. I’m welcome to being corrected. The scale of loss is not an index of interest.
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In Medias Malone @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Not for nothing but freedom of navigation has been a core US foreign policy objective for 200+ years and preserving the Arabian Gulf from domination has been one for just a hair under 50. When I say things like “calamity” or “inexcusable defeat”, I am not being partisan or exaggerating.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
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Alisha Grauso (She/Her) @alishagrauso.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Our entire economy is being artificially propped up by astrology for men: AI, crypto, sports betting, and prediction markets. It's an economy shaped entirely by male insecurity and lack of impulse control, and we'll all pay the price.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
There is absolutely no reason for prediction markets to exist. None.
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Gareth Millward @millieqed.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Academia relies on good faith. It cannot be done otherwise. This is precisely why plagiarists, people who fake data, people who deliberately ignore counter-evidence, and fascists need to be driven out. Full cordon sanitaire against this crap.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
We haven’t even begun to understand the Pandora’s Box that this war has opened. @cfr.org www.cfr.org/articles/aft...
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
just to emphasize again, closing Malacca means 'taking a couple of extra days on a trip.' the economist had a great recent graph on various straits and their relative levels of direness.
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Fascinating insight into the intersectionality of partisanship and gender…. #cucks
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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Folks look at you like you're crazy when you say we're in the midst of the worst, most unprecedented Article I constitutional crisis in American history, & then it's Thursday.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
For the record: The Washington Post is run by partisan hacks who think we won't remember that they took the *exact* opposite stance when it was Republicans pushing their own gerrymandering grab in Texas last year -- *without* putting it up for a vote.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/08/20/texas-gerrymander-redistricting-midterms-backfire/
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Ben Collins @bencollins.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Sorry to be overly sincere for a second, but here's why we decided to persevere through all of the bullshit and take over InfoWars. There's just gotta be a line somewhere. Thank you @pablo.show for letting me talk so openly about this.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
I'm happy to announce something I have been so, so eager to share for a long time: "Leo Woodall has been cast as Halvard in ‘THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE HUNT FOR GOLLUM’". It will be a tall order for Leo, but I believe he might just have it in him to bring the complexity of Halvard to the big screen.
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Hilde Heger @dura.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Loppemarked er ikke til for at influensere skal gjøre vintagekupp. Det er for å skaffe penger til skolekorpset
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Marcy Gall @marcygall.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Should be part of his next test.
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Jacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
The earliest one listed is "Pius XII and the Holocaust." Mind you, for a thousand years, Popes were actual political rulers, and for much of that time they were involved in the selection or deposing of some of the most powerful crowned heads of Europe. Then for sixty years...
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The Onion @theonion.com · 13/04/2026
Man Who Threw Molotov Cocktail At Sam Altman’s Home Claims He Was Following ChatGPT Recipe For Risotto theonion.com/man-who-threw-molotov-…
Man Who Threw Molotov Cocktail At Sam Altman’s Home Claims He Was Following ChatGPT Recipe For Risotto
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
"We want Greenland"
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Jill Sargent Russell, PhD @jsargentr.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Logistics is the Mommy function in the armed forces, and that's why the bulk of the NatSec community ignores it, because Logistics imposes rules and limits.
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emptywheel @emptywheel.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
I feel like someone with far more moral authority than me needs to say this, over and over: Trump entrusted the fate of the country, the world economy, and thousands of service members, to his wildly conflicted son-in-law and developer buddy, who reportedly didn't know fuckall that they were hearing
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Steve Saideman @smsaideman.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
this is truly an abomination. I guess they were not satisfied with how thoroughly they have been betraying the lessons of the Holocaust.
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Clarefella @clarenafo.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
President Zelenskyy has revealed that russian satellites imaged key US/UK and allied bases in the Middle East from March 24-26 2026, including Diego Garcia, Prince Sultan Air Base, and Al Udeid, with the aim of aiding Iranian strikes.
Screenshot of post from President Zelenskyy's official Twitter/X account on 28 March 2026. He reveals Russian satellites imaged key US and allied bases in the Middle East from March 24-26 2026, with the aim of aiding Iranian strikes. He criticises recent US decisions to temporarily lift sanctions on Russian oil exports, arguing it funds an aggressor providing intelligence that endangers American and partner assets.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
This is a triple mashup I can get behind!
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
They made them take down the videos because they would cause "reputational damage" to people like this young man, Nathan Cavanuagh, so definitely don't post this all over the internet with the name Nathan Cavanaugh attached, or this guy might suffer reputational damage. This guy, Nathan Cavanaugh.
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Better Things Are Possible @internethippo.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
There's a hauntingly beautiful irony in these morons thinking that carefully crafted American hegemony was actually weak and woke, and they would be the ones who would do Power and Dominance properly, and immediately bringing everything crashing down
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Without naming your job, tell me something you say over and over again at work. "'Westphalia' (and 'Westphalian') is shorthand, not empirical description!" And, while we are at it: "Your view of [Thucydides, Sun-Tzu, Clausewitz etc.] is not exactly the specialist' view"
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
This Trump tweet is a work of art and needs to be kept for posterity. It turns out that the US has destroyed 100% of Iran’s military capability. Yet, to combat a military with no capability he is left pleading with allies he has regularly insulted to save him in the Gulf.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
The Trump WH is starting to reap what it has sown in terms of screwing over counterparties: -Iran can't trust a negotiated settlement so why reach one? -Ds in Congress can't trust Trump to follow the law so why bargain w/him? -Universities see past deals leading to future shakedowns so why make one?
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
I mean, it is almost as if a well-trained and professional diplomacy is actually, potentially....quite useful?
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
YESSSSS!
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Yep
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
Life under the Clicktatorship: the FBI Director is off watching hockey at the Olympics, and the administration is trying to send hospital boats to a country with universal health care even as they are gutting health coverage. Great content, owning the libs etc.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
This should be of interest to many of the Historical IR crowd!
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
THIS is the content I need in 2026!
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FLAVOR FLAV ⏰ @flavorflav.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Yes,,, your boy has taken a ride in the 4 man bobsled,,, but im an adrenaline junkie and needed to try skeleton. And now I’ve officially joined the team and am gonna try to start competing. 66 years old going 66 mph.
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