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Halvard Leira

@halvardl.bsky.social
2.2K followers 570 following 700 posts

Research Director and Research Professor at NUPI, ass. ed. EJIR. Comment here primarily as a private citizen. I do research on conceptual history, privateers and diplomacy etc. I like mountains, skiing and my woodfired pizza oven.

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Sharon 🪳🌹 @sharonk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
real American Peronism has never been tried
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Brian Actors Guild @spocksbrian.worstpossible.world · 03/10/2026
Getting ratioed to hell over there
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
If you like Norway, come back!
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I know. We automatically assumed that you hate NUPI (my employer), since you completely ignored us. (...) Had hoped to go to the event, but life intervened.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
This might be the peak of my Bluesky fame. Someday, and that day may never come, I will call upon you to acknowledge that comment. Until then.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
As a Norwegian, living in Norway and being just moderately (or even not-that-actually) online, I'm very confused by all this. Just in case you wondered.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
🧵Can't get numb to this: in the Iran War, we have a total vacuum of leadership in the Pentagon and State Dept amid a strategic disaster of America's own making. Two pieces show how: first, Hegseth blaming Trump's bad info on near-empty missile stockpiles on a deputy. wapo.st/4hQVTF0 1/
wapo.st
Trump, Hegseth clashed at Camp David over Iran missile depletion concerns
At a Camp David summit this weekend, President Trump demanded answers from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over extreme munitions shortages.
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Anders @andersskyrud.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Kanskje ikke den personen jeg ville gjetta at skulle skrive denne teksten, og kanskje heller ikke en perfekt tekst, men gud bedre så viktig og bra likevel. Nordmenn er rett og slett ikke klar over hvor ekstrem Musk har blitt, og det er DRITBRA at noen i mainstreamen sier det. e24.no/internasjona...
e24.no
Målbevisst og systematisk fremmer Musk ideer fra det ekstreme høyre
Verdens rikeste mann er også en høyreradikal aktivist som blir stadig mer ekstrem. Hvor langt kan det gå?
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Husket at de er medlem, måtte sjekke årstallet.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Sveits har vært fullt medlem siden 2002.
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Jelena Subotic @jelenasubotic.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Graduate students working on historical IR, there is a paper award for you! ISA Historical IR section has a best graduate paper award, deadline is August 1. You can nominate yourself! See the details here histsectionisa.weebly.com/awardrules.h...
histsectionisa.weebly.com
ISA HIST SECTION
Please scroll down for award criteria and nomination instructions for each prize.
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Nathan Goldwag @goldwagnathan.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
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shauna @goldengateblond.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
is there a pulitzer for photo captions because if so @theguardian.com just won it
Gianni Infantino carefully explains to Donald Trump that he is not part of the spanish national team.
Photograph: Javier García/Shutterstock
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
You have twisted your last sister.
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Parody Nigel Farage @parodypm.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
On the 10th anniversary of the Brexit referendum, let us check in on how it's going...
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Men her snakker vi om utvidelse - "tenkt til", heller enn "tenkt", "høres ut" heller enn "lyder", "føles ut" heller enn "kjennes". Er det dårlig ordforråd eller noe annet? 2/2
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Jeg håper egentlig at noen med ordentlig peiling kommenterer på dette. Blant de tingene jeg husker fra forprøven i fonetikk og lingvistikk, er ønsket om forenkling sentralt (det, samt den glottale stopplyden og de labio-labiale lydene). Synkopetiden FTW! 1/2
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Tenkt fra, spør jeg ofte. Barna mine elsker den formen for korreks...
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Dette er smitte fra nærliggende former, tenker jeg. "ser ut" - ja, det gir mening. "høres ut" - egentlig burde vi sagt lyder, men jaja. "føles ut" - hva er galt med kjennes?
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
The thing is - England is a country defined by class and with an extremely strong conservative bent. My argument before Brexit was in essence "the UK will manage, because the English upper class will throw the working class, Scotland and Wales under the bus, as they have always done". Now? Mayhem.
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Matthew 🍔 @matthewburger.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
I don’t get why no one bothers to point out that micromanaging renovations of the reflecting pool aren’t even remotely the job of the president. Everyone seems to be cool that this is is primary policy focus.
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Micah @rincewind.run · 22/06/2026
nobody in British politics seems to want to say it but the single biggest driver of their inability to keep a prime minister for any length of time is that Brexit was stupid and ruinous and made everyone’s lives worse
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
It is yours to keep, and to wear however you want. I removed my wedding band the moment I got divorced, but I still keep glancing down on my finger, imagining that I have lost it. Love lost is not love erased. To have been loved is probably the greatest thing in life. Cherish it.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
I tried making this point in March. Apart from @professormusgrave.bsky.social, I don't know if anyone cared. Damn, so effing stupid!
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Iva Vukušić @vukusiciva.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Ok, I couldn't care less about sports and the coming world cup but now I am rooting for #Belgium.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Well, it is the longest day...
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The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
I’m thinking very hard about this but it is difficult to see the US-Vietnam War involving higher stakes for the USA. I’m welcome to being corrected. The scale of loss is not an index of interest.
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The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Not for nothing but freedom of navigation has been a core US foreign policy objective for 200+ years and preserving the Arabian Gulf from domination has been one for just a hair under 50. When I say things like “calamity” or “inexcusable defeat”, I am not being partisan or exaggerating.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
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Alisha Grauso (She/Her) @alishagrauso.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Our entire economy is being artificially propped up by astrology for men: AI, crypto, sports betting, and prediction markets. It's an economy shaped entirely by male insecurity and lack of impulse control, and we'll all pay the price.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
If I ever saw a grad student in the vicinity of a Burger King, I would scream the obvious question: "Why are you eating? Why are you not writing? Tim Gill is watching you".
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
There is absolutely no reason for prediction markets to exist. None.
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Gareth Millward @millieqed.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Academia relies on good faith. It cannot be done otherwise. This is precisely why plagiarists, people who fake data, people who deliberately ignore counter-evidence, and fascists need to be driven out. Full cordon sanitaire against this crap.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
We haven’t even begun to understand the Pandora’s Box that this war has opened. @cfr.org www.cfr.org/articles/aft...
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
As per usual, because we have strong guardrails at EJIR, I did not know that this was in the pipeline until it was published. But really proud to have it! Well done, Pål!
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
just to emphasize again, closing Malacca means 'taking a couple of extra days on a trip.' the economist had a great recent graph on various straits and their relative levels of direness.
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Fascinating insight into the intersectionality of partisanship and gender…. #cucks
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
It does not repeat. It does not even rhyme. But sometimes it might echo. And echoes are always partial and open to interpretation by the listener.
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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Folks look at you like you're crazy when you say we're in the midst of the worst, most unprecedented Article I constitutional crisis in American history, & then it's Thursday.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Åpenbart riktig. Noe som fikk meg til å lure på om det var andre bakenforliggende motiver her, i tillegg til dem som ble nevnt i saken.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Dette er en kjent utfordring for kunnskapsbedrifter med mer eller mindre obligatorisk oppmøte, som ofte ikke kan flytte på seg - ligger du kronglete til, må du betale mer eller akseptere lavere kompetanse.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Det er jo alltid tradeoffs ved ansettelser. Kanskje har de kommet til at de må kompromisse for mye på kvalitet (eller betale for mye for den kvaliteten de ønsker seg) ved å bli værende?
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Argumentet om at det bare er 20 min med bil fra sentrum er så dumt at jeg knapt vet hvor jeg skal begynne.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Rar sak. Reisetid fra Oslo S er jo kun relevant som tilleggsreisetid for dem som evt. skal innom der på veien til jobb. Det er ikke veldig mange som bor på Oslo S. Det relevante målet må vel være hvor mange mennesker som bor innenfor X antall minutter fra arbeidsplassen med kollektivt/gange?
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
For the record: The Washington Post is run by partisan hacks who think we won't remember that they took the *exact* opposite stance when it was Republicans pushing their own gerrymandering grab in Texas last year -- *without* putting it up for a vote.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/08/20/texas-gerrymander-redistricting-midterms-backfire/
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Dette er akkurat den formen for negativitet som fører til at Flagg-debatten beveger seg til lukkede rom med fare for radikalisering. Her kunne vi ha hatt en fri debatt om Michael Jordan vs. LeBron James og lignende spørsmål, men den blir kneblet. KNEBLET sier jeg. Av trådstarter.
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Halvard Leira @halvardl.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
I am privileged enough to have a perfectly fine (albeit small) "home office". I can count on one hand, I think, the days I have sat in there after Covid. I still work at home now and then, but at the dining table. Can't bear the view and the feel of that room.
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